AUDJPY at Key Resistance Level: Will it Drop To 92.850?OANDA:AUDJPY is approaching a key resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 92.850 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
JPYAUD trade ideas
AUDJPY Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a boost or comment!
Potential bearish drop?AUD/JPY has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullbac resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 93.33
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance leel.
Stop loss: 94.70
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that i slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 91.04
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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"Epic AUD/JPY Forex Raid Plan Bullish Swing Trade to 96.600!"Ultimate AUD/JPY Forex Heist Plan 🚨 Swing Trade Mastery for Epic Gains! 🚀
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Entry 📈: The heist begins! Watch for the MA pullback in the market maker’s trap zone (91.500 OR above) to strike. Bullish riches await! Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average or place buy limit orders within the 15 or 30-minute timeframe’s recent swing low/high.
Pro tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout entry in action! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑: Place your Thief SL at the recent swing low/high on the 4H timeframe (90.200) for swing trades. Adjust SL based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and multiple orders.
Target 🎯: Aim for 96.600 or make a swift exit before the target to secure your loot!
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Bearish Outlook on AUD/JPY – Watching for Entry After Retrace!I'm currently focused on the AUD/JPY currency pair 📉.
We’re seeing a clear, sustained downtrend on the daily timeframe, marked by a recent break of market structure — a key sign that sellers are firmly in control 🐻.
At the moment, price appears overextended and is trading directly into a major liquidity pool — specifically, a cluster of sell-side liquidity sitting below previous lows 🧲.
I’m watching for a retracement or pullback into a zone of interest. If that happens, I’ll be on the lookout for a bearish break of structure on the lower timeframes to confirm a high-probability short setup 🎯.
As always, this is not financial advice, just a look at how I’m approaching the current price action ⚠️.
AUDJPYAUD/JPY Bond Yield Differential and Carry Trade Analysis ,the current interest rate differential
Bond price will be watched as carry are looking for directional bias on a cautious note .
Australia 10-year bond yield: drops from 4.5 % to 4.391 a drop today
Japan 10-year bond yield: 1.53%
Interest rate differential: 3.00% (AUD yield − JPY yield)
Carry Trade Mechanics
The AUD/JPY carry trade involves borrowing low-yielding Japanese yen (JPY) to invest in higher-yielding Australian dollar (AUD) assets, profiting from the 3% yield spread. For example:
Borrow ¥15 million at 0.1% (JPY rate) and convert to AUD.
Invest in Australian bonds or deposits yielding 4.53%.
Annual profit: ~3% (minus transaction costs and currency fluctuations).
Key Drivers and Risks
Opportunities
Yield Advantage: The 3% differential offers steady returns in low-volatility conditions.
AUD Resilience: Improved global trade sentiment (e.g., US-China tariff reductions ) supports AUD demand.
BoJ Policy: Japan’s gradual monetary tightening (10-year JGB yield at 1.53%, up from 0.99% in 2024 ) has not yet erased the yield gap.
Risks
RBA Rate Cuts: The Reserve Bank of Australia recently cut rates to 3.85% , which could pressure AUD yields downward.
JPY Appreciation: BoJ’s hawkish tilt and safe-haven demand during market stress could strengthen JPY, eroding carry profits.
Currency Volatility: AUD/JPY has faced downward pressure, trading near 93.00 in May 2025 . A 5% JPY rally could wipe out the annual interest gain.
Strategic Considerations for Traders
Factor Impact on Carry Trade
Yield Spread 3% provides baseline return
AUD/JPY Stability Critical to preserving capital
Central Bank Policies Monitor RBA/BoJ for rate changes
Global Trade Dynamics US-China tensions affect AUD
Historical Performance and Outlook
In 2024, similar yield spreads generated 4–5% annual returns for AUD/JPY carry trades .
Forecasts suggest the spread may narrow slightly if the RBA continues easing, but remains attractive compared to other pairs like USD/JPY (4.25% vs. 0.1% ).
Conclusion
The AUD/JPY carry trade remains viable in May 2025, leveraging a 3% yield differential. However, traders must hedge against JPY strength and monitor RBA/BoJ policy shifts. While the strategy offers steady returns in stable markets, currency volatility and central bank actions pose significant risks.
#forex #audjpy
AUDJPY Long: Buy the Dip into Trendline + Seasonal AUD Surge🔹 Pair: AUD/JPY
🔹 Timeframe: 4H
🔹 Direction: Long
🔹 Status: Retesting Trendline Support
🔹 Entry Zone: 93.20–93.40 (Live Entry Area)
⸻
📊 Macro & Fundamental Confluence
🇦🇺 AUD – Bullish
• Strong Seasonality: Historically bullish May 19 – June 10.
• Conditional Score Rise: From 21 → 24 = Positive momentum shift.
• Dovish CB, But Risk-On: Supports carry trade flows into AUD.
• Macro View: Rebalancing inflation & trend recovery, AUD outperforming.
🇯🇵 JPY – Bearish
• BoJ Hawkish Talk, Dovish Action: Delayed inflation targets (to 2027).
• Score Flat: Minor rise (11 → 12), showing underperformance.
• Risk-On Mood: With VIX under 20, safe-haven demand fading.
• Macro Lag: JPY weakest G7 performer year-to-date.
🧠 Confluences Supporting the Trade
✅ Seasonal AUD strength
✅ Fundamental divergence: AUD strong, JPY weak
✅ Risk-on regime (favoring carry trades like AUDJPY)
✅ Trendline respected since April (bullish market structure)
✅ Support zone at 93.00–93.30 area
⸻
📈 Technical Setup
• Entry Zone: 93.20–93.40
• Stop Loss: 92.08 (below structure and ascending trendline)
• Take Profit:
• TP1: 95.40 (resistance zone)
• TP2: 96.00 (supply zone retest)
• Risk:Reward: ~1.8 – 2.2 depending on final entry
📌 Execution Notes
Watching for candle closure confirmation above 93.50.
Break below 92.08 invalidates the bullish bias.
This setup combines macro divergence, seasonal strength, and clean 4H market structure.
⸻
💬 Are you trading AUDJPY this week?
Drop your thoughts below ⬇️
HTF 50EMA POWER PLAY - AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 D23 Y25
HTF 50EMA POWER PLAY
BE SMART- AWAIT A BREAK OF STRUCTURE FIRST!
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅4H Order Block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
✅4H 50EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUD/JPY💰Symbol: { AUD/JPY }
🟥sell🟥
🟩Price: { 93.540 }
🟥Stop: { 94.150 }
1️⃣profit: { 92.940 }
2️⃣profit: { 92.130 }
3️⃣profit: { 91.400 }
4️⃣profit: { 90.570 }
5️⃣profit: { 89.690 }
🟩Buy🟩
🟩Price: { 93.720 }
🟥Stop: { 93.140 }
1️⃣profit: { 94.390 }
2️⃣profit: { 95.030 }
3️⃣profit: { 95.500 }
📊Check your chart before entering.
🚨Check before use to make sure there is no important news.🚨
AUD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 88.446 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUDJPY – Short Setup | Volume Trap + Order Flow + Multi-TimeframWhy I'm Selling AUDJPY Here:
1. Massive Volume Trap Exposed 📊
On the left chart (5min), there's a huge cluster of volume** between 93.20–93.50 (67K–76K contracts). That’s not retail – that’s institutional distribution. Price pumped into that zone and dumped hard, confirming it was a liquidity grab.
Now we’re retesting the low-volume void (LVN) just under that cluster = perfect re-entry short zone.
2. Smart Money is Exiting (VBSM Indicator) 🧠
On the 20h Heikin Ashi chart (right), the VBSM 25 line just dropped below the moving average:
From 21+ down to 16.6
16.6 < 17.05 MA = Smart money is exiting the market, not buying the dip.
3. OBV Confirmation 📉
OBV 30 and OBV 200 are both trending downward
Price is moving sideways/slightly up, but OBV is leaking = hidden bearish divergence
This confirms distribution, not accumulation.
4. Money Flow Index Reversal
MFI 30 dropped from 80 to 62.28
Losing buyer momentum = another sign of buyer exhaustion
5. Heikin Ashi Candles: No Upper Wicks 🚫
On the 20h timeframe, the last two candles are solid red with no upper wicks
This confirms selling pressure is increasing — clean bearish price action
---
Trade Plan (Execution):
Sell Entry Zone: 93.05 – 93.20 (while price is testing the trap zone)
Stop Loss: Above 93.55 (above the highest volume spike)
Take Profit: 92.00 area (next demand zone + low-volume pocket)
Risk: Under 50% capital, in line with my risk strategy
---
Final Thoughts – From Shavarie Gordon:
This setup is the result of 7 years of deep volume analysis, order flow study, and market psychology. I only pull the trigger when all components line up — and this one checks every box.
If you're looking to learn how smart money really operates, this chart is your textbook case: liquidity grab, volume trap, weakening buyers, and stealthy exit.
Stay sharp, stay patient — 1 quality setup is all it takes.
AUD/JPY “Aussie vs. Yen” Skyrocketing Safari!🌈 G’day, Forex Adventurers & PIP Hunters! 🌏✨
Join our epic AUD/JPY Forex expedition! 🦘🚀 Our Stellar Navigator Strategy fuses pinpoint technicals with powerful fundamentals to chase profits in the Aussie-Yen jungle. Ready to soar to new heights and grab those pips? Let’s embark on this bullish quest! 🌍💰
🌟 The Stellar Navigator Plan
Entry Points 🛫:
🦅 Bullish Launch: Jump in after a breakout above the Sky High at 94.800—your cue for bullish gains!
🐾 Pullback Path: Place buy limit orders near the 15M/30M support (94.200) for a savvy entry.
Pro Tip: Set alerts to spot the breakout spark! 🔔
Stop Loss (SL) 🛡️:
Bullish Trade: Secure SL at the 2H support (93.600) for day trades.
Tailor SL to your risk, lot size, and order count. This is your safety net—keep it snug! ⚠️
Take Profit (TP) 🎯:
Bullish Explorers: Aim for the Star Peak at 96.500 or exit if the momentum dips.
Scalpers: Grab quick pips on the long side, but lock in gains with trailing stops! 🚨
🌏 Why AUD/JPY?
The Aussie’s soaring 📈 as of May 12, 2025, powered by:
Fundamentals: RBA’s 4.35% rate dwarfs BoJ’s 0.1%, boosting AUD.
Macroeconomics: Australia’s commodity boom (gold, iron ore) outpaces Japan’s slow recovery.
COT Data (May 9, 2025): Rising AUD net longs signal bullish sentiment (source: CFTC).
Intermarket: AUD/JPY tracks Nikkei 225’s risk-on rally.
Quantitative: RSI (14) at 59 and a break above the 50-day SMA (93.57) confirm upward momentum.
📊 Sentiment Snapshot (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
Retail Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 53% 😊 (RBA strength, China trade optimism)
🔴 Bearish: 37% 😣 (Yen safe-haven demand on tariff risks)
⚪ Neutral: 10% 🤔
Institutional Traders:
🟢 Bullish: 46% 💼 (Commodity demand, risk-on flows)
🔴 Bearish: 39% ⚠️ (BoJ intervention fears, US yields)
⚪ Neutral: 15% 🧐
📰 Market Buzz (May 12, 2025)
- US-China trade progress lifts risk appetite, pushing AUD/JPY to 94.50.
- Easing tariff concerns weaken JPY safe-haven appeal.
- Japan’s soft consumer spending data pressures JPY.
📡 Risk Navigation ⚡
Markets can be wild—tread carefully:
- Avoid new trades during major news (RBA, BoJ, US CPI).
- Use trailing stops to protect profits and cap losses.
- Watch for BoJ moves if JPY weakens sharply! 🌪️
💸 Real-Time Market Data (May 12, 2025, UTC+1)
- Forex: AUD/JPY at 94.50, up 0.5% daily (source: Financial Juice).
- Commodities CFD: Gold (XAU/USD) at 2,650, up 0.2%; Iron Ore at 105.50, flat.
- Metals: Silver (XAG/USD) at 31.820, down 1.3%.
- Energies: WTI Crude Oil at 78.40, up 0.6%.
- Crypto: BTC/USD at 62,300, down 0.5%.
- Indices: Nikkei 225 at 39,200, up 0.7%; ASX 200 at 7,850, up 0.4%.
🚀 Join the Stellar Navigator Squad!
Smash the Boost Button to supercharge our Stellar Navigator Strategy and make this safari epic! 🌟 Every boost empowers our crew to dominate the markets. Let’s conquer AUD/JPY together! 🤝
Stay glued to your charts, keep alerts active, and vibe high. See you in the profits, adventurers! 🤑🎉
#StellarNavigator #AUDJPY #AussieYen #TradingView #ChaseThePips
WHO'S PRINTING PIPS AND CASH? AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25WHO'S PRINTING PIPS AND CASH? AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅HTF 50 EMA acting as support and resistance.
✅Gap to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
AUDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 92.666 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 93.784
Recommended Stop Loss - 92.004
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 21 May 2025
- AUDJPY reversed from key resistance level 95.30
- Likely to fall to support level 92.00
AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the key resistance level 95.30 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of March).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 95.30 started the active intermediate correction (B).
Given the strength of the resistance level 95.30 and clear daily downtrend, AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 92.00.