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JPYAUD trade ideas

AUD/JPY Snaps Bearish Price SeriesAUD/JPY appears to be bouncing back ahead of the monthly low (91.42) as it snaps the series of lower highs and lows from last week. Lack of momentum to close below the 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may push AUD/JPY back toward the 95.10 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) to 95.20 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region, with a breach above the monthly high (95.65) bringing the March high (95.75) back on the radar. Next area of interest comes in around the February high (97.34), but a close below the 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may push AUD/JPY toward the 91.50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 91.70 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) region. --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
Trading idea AUDJPY, break at trendlineNOTE: I am not an expert trader by any means, I am open input and sharing my ideas. I am still learning. ------------------------------- There is a break at the trendline. I have two ideas..... #1.. it was a fake out and will continue up to make an extension to 127%. (Near, green arrow head and buy position projection ) Factors: A) Price still holding above key support B) RSI oversold C) News is positive for this pair News= Increase in Aus. employment data, and trade surplus exceeded expectations = strength #2 it will retest below trendline and continue down. (Somewhere near, red arrow head and sell position projection ) Factors: A) Break of trendline B) Some indicatiors are neutral, so price can do either way We shall wait and see. -------- (please know arrow bounces are not exact.... just showing price may bounce before making it to sell or buy targets.) --------- Open to all advise or comments. Would love input on how I break down the market or make my analysis ... ------ FYI there is not audio my cursor is explaining this text here and the text on screen. Happy trading.
by jbae-89
4
AUDJPYReserve Bank of Australia (RBA): Current cash rate: 4.10% (expected to cut to 3.85% on May 20). RBA on a dovish pivot driven by progress on inflation (trimmed mean CPI: 2.9% in Q1) and global trade risks. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Current policy rate: 0.50% (held steady in May). Outlook: BoJ signaled potential hikes if economic conditions improve, but weak GDP (-0.7% annualized in Q1) and U.S. tariffs (24% on Japanese goods) limit tightening scope The upcoming Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cut, widely expected to be a 25 basis point reduction at the May 20, 2025 meeting, is anticipated to have a short-term bearish impact on AUD/JPY, primarily by putting downward pressure on the Australian dollar (AUD) relative to the Japanese yen (JPY). Here’s why: Key Points on the Impact of the RBA Rate Cut on AUD/JPY AUD Under Pressure Due to Rate Cut Expectations: Growing market consensus around the RBA’s rate cut has already led to AUD depreciation, causing AUD/JPY to edge lower below the 92.21 level as of late April 2025. Lower interest rates reduce the yield advantage of the AUD, making it less attractive to carry traders and investors seeking higher returns. Economic Uncertainties and Trade Outlook: The RBA’s cautious, data-dependent approach amid rising economic uncertainties and global trade tensions (especially U.S.-China relations) adds to downward momentum for AUD/JPY. However, signs of easing U.S.-China trade tensions could provide some support to the AUD, limiting the downside. JPY Dynamics: The Japanese yen has weakened recently due to reduced safe-haven demand amid improving global trade sentiment, which has somewhat offset AUD weakness. However, ongoing expectations of further Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hikes in 2025 support the yen, applying pressure on AUD/JPY. Moderating Factors: Reduced Aggressive Rate Cut Bets: Recent data, including a hotter-than-expected Australian Wage Price Index, has tempered expectations for aggressive RBA cuts, which could limit AUD/JPY losses. BoJ Policy Outlook: BoJ’s commitment to possible further rate hikes supports the yen, creating a headwind for AUD/JPY. Technical and Sentiment Outlook: The pair has paused recent gains and is vulnerable to further downside if the RBA confirms the cut and signals a cautious path forward. However, dip-buying interest could emerge on declines due to improving trade optimism and softer USD dynamics. Summary Factor Impact on AUD/JPY RBA 25 bps rate cut (May 20) Bearish AUD, downward pressure Signs of easing US-China trade Potential support for AUD BoJ rate hike expectations Yen strength, bearish for AUD/JPY Wage growth in Australia Limits aggressive AUD weakness Global trade sentiment Supports yen weakness, offsets AUD pressure Conclusion The anticipated RBA rate cut is expected to weigh on AUD/JPY in the short term, primarily due to reduced yield appeal of the AUD. However, improving global trade sentiment and tempered expectations for aggressive rate cuts may cushion losses. The yen’s strength from BoJ tightening expectations will also continue to exert downward pressure on the pair.
by Shavyfxhub
AUDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 93.383. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 96.039. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Will AUDJPY rebound?FX_IDC:AUDJPY had recently corrected lower, but continues to trade above a broken downside resistance line. Will we see a push back up anytime soon? Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:AUDJPY Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D15 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15' order block targets ✅Gap to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUD/JPY Struggles to Test March HighAUD/JPY snaps the series of higher highs and lows carried over from last week after struggling to test the March high (95.75). In turn, AUD/JPY may continue to give back the advance from the start of the week, with a move/close below the 92.80 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 93.30 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) zone bringing the monthly low (91.42) on the radar. Failure to defend the 91.50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 91.70 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) region opens up 90.50 (61.8% Fibonacci extension), but a breach above the March high (95.75) may push AUD/JPY back toward the February high (97.34). --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
AUDJPY Wave Analysis – 14 May 2025 - AUDJPY reversed from resistance area - Likely to fall to support level 93.20 AUDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the resistance area between the key resistance level 95.30 (former monthly high from March), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse wave (C) from November. The downward reversal from this resistance area stopped the earlier short-term impulse wave 3 from the start of May. Given the overbought daily Stochastic and strongly bullish yen sentiment, AUDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 93.20.
Short
by FxProGlobal
AUDJPY – Bearish Drift Toward Double Target ZoneAUDJPY – Bearish Drift Toward Double Target Zone 🔻 Short Bias | 🎯 Targets: 91.85410 → 91.36166 | ⏳ Deadline: June Price action looks heavy, and I’m aiming for both targets shown on the chart. I’ll be entering this trade as soon as the market opens. If you’re joining me, just be prepared to hold for up to a week—this one may take time to develop. This is not financial advice. I'm simply sharing how I’m positioning myself. 💡 All trades can be replayed on TradingView for review. #AUDJPY #ShortSetup #ForexTrading #GlobalHorns #TradingView #BearishBias
Short
by GlobalHorns
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W20 D14 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅15' order block targets ✅Gap to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAUDJPY has successfully broken out of a long-term descending channel and is currently trading around 94.50. The breakout is clean and supported by solid bullish volume, which confirms that momentum is shifting in favor of the bulls. This setup indicates a clear trend reversal on the daily timeframe, and with the pair establishing higher lows and breaking resistance, the path toward 100.00 looks technically achievable in the coming weeks. From a fundamental standpoint, the Australian dollar is gaining strength after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) maintained a firm stance on inflation management. The latest CPI figures remain above the RBA’s comfort zone, and recent wage growth data has further reduced the probability of near-term rate cuts. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen continues to lag due to the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary stance and consistent verbal intervention that lacks follow-through, keeping JPY broadly weaker across the board. Technically, we’ve seen strong follow-through after the breakout, with price now holding firmly above prior resistance turned support. If this momentum sustains, we could see buyers step in aggressively, targeting 96.50 short-term and extending toward the key psychological level of 100.00 in the medium term. The risk-reward remains attractive with a clearly defined invalidation point below 91.00. Overall, AUDJPY stands out as one of the most bullish JPY crosses on my radar. With a clean breakout, supportive fundamentals from the Australian side, and persistent weakness in the yen, this trade aligns with broader macro sentiment and could offer strong upside potential heading into the next quarter.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
8
AUDJPY Short Setup – Fair Value Gap + 61.8% Precision Tap📊 AUDJPY | 1H Bearish Setup Breakdown (SMC Perspective) This is a clean setup for sniper traders 🧠 — a perfect blend of FVG, Fib retracement, and a reaction from Smart Money zones. Let’s dig in: 🔻 1. Macro Context: Bearish Bias Market structure is still bearish, with lower highs and lows Price just completed a correction phase We're seeing price react at a high probability distribution zone 🟪 2. Confluence Zones: FVG + Fib 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) – Price has just tapped into the FVG between 92.92 and 93.12 📌 61.8% Fib Level – Price perfectly aligns with golden pocket zone 📌 OB Above – Strong bearish order block lies around 93.60, with a Strong High marking retail’s target stop area This stack of confluences makes this zone ripe for a short entry. 💣 3. Entry Logic Entry was triggered after a clean tap into the FVG zone Price shows signs of rejection with long upper wicks and slowing momentum Ideal Smart Money scenario: Price mitigates FVG, avoids OB sweep (for now), and targets internal liquidity 🎯 4. Target Zone TP = 91.651 Clean equal lows and imbalance just above Channel midpoint & liquidity resting below Matches 0% Fib level on the move ⚖️ 5. Trade Setup 📍 Entry: 92.926 🔐 Stop Loss: ~93.390 (above FVG + structural high) 🎯 Target: 91.651 🧮 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:4.5+ 🧠 Smart Money Flow Retail longs are eyeing a break above that “Strong High” — but Smart Money will likely: Tap into FVG Drive price down for a liquidity grab Possibly retest or sweep OB after internal liquidity is cleared 💬 Drop “FVG ZONE SNIPED 🧨” if you took the entry 🧠 Save this post to study FVG + Fib reactions 👀 Tag your trading buddy who needs to level up their confluence game
Short
by ChartNinjas88
1