AUD-JPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY keeps falling
And the pair made a
Bearish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 98.000
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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JPYAUD trade ideas
AUDJPY Set to Decline, Sellers in ControlHello,
AUDJPY has experienced significant rejection and is likely to continue its decline, aiming to test the 1-year pivot point and support levels. Sellers are currently in control of the market.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
30/10/2024 - AUDJPY LongAUD/JPY - Long Trade Plan
Trade Details:
Entry: 100.438 (Order Block)
Stop Loss: 100.240
Take Profit: 100.630
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:1
Reason for Trade:
Entry is based on an Order Block (OB) identified on the chart, suggesting a potential bounce from this support zone.
The plan is detailed in the accompanying chart, including key levels for entry, stop loss, and target.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please conduct your own analysis before trading.
AUD / JPY DAILY BEARISH MOMENTUM TO FOLLOW ?
Description
AUD JPY on a daily overall looks bullish , but on a biggger scenario it is an pullback on daily level to 50 % of overall bearish momentum of the pair ( look left a big bearish momentum can be seen Jul to sept 2024.
ATM the pair has given us a hint on reversal by two way , first a retracement of 61 % and 50 % on daily TF then followed by a good head and shoulder pattern on 4hr level ,signaling us a potential reversal of the pair.
Trade can be taken with bearish confirmation on 4hr and 1hr confirmation .
Things i look on markets are
Market structure
SWING
IBOS - Break of structure and change of pair character
Fractal structure to trade on 4hr and 1hr
Looking to trade the distribution phase model 1price has been ranging for long enough, after the manipulation of the weekly FVG and close back inside the CLS range I expect the distribution phase to the 50% of the range. This would be my target, Im not in the trade yet.
Want to see at least a small pullback.
The goal of this post is to show you briefly my unique method of reading the market by understanding CLS.
Let's put it all together ๐งฉ
๐HTF Level - Weekly FVG. Nested in Monthly
๐CLS Range Monthly
๐Dropping to the D1 which confirmed change in order flow. And I see potential for downside. Will be looking for an entry on the lower time frame - H1
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Good Luck
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AUDJPY broke the uptrend line. Is it time to sell?The AUD/JPY pair recently made a significant break on the daily chart. The price broke through two significant zones:
1. The uptrend line, which has been supporting prices since August 2024.
2. The sideways range, between 99.70 and 102.00, which had served as a consolidation area for several weeks.
These breakouts indicate a loss of buying momentum, with sellers taking control of the market. Currently, the price is at 98.15, below the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward movement, with the 38.2% retracement (97.44) as the next intermediate support.
Bearish Continuation Forecast
With the loss of support at 99.70, if the price comes back to the breaking point at 99.50 and it works as a resistance, the downward movement should continue, especially since the breakout was accompanied by a large-bodied daily candle, indicating sellers' conviction. If the price loses the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 97.44, the next targets would be:
94.60 - Target projected by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, in addition to being a significant psychological zone.
90.00 - A long-term support, marked by the low of the July 2024 bearish movement.
This scenario will be reinforced if buyers fail to defend the next support zones.
Possibility of Retracement, an Alternative Scenario
Although the breakout indicates weakness at the moment, there is a possibility of a pullback to retest the 99.70 region or the broken uptrend line. If price manages to break above this level, there is a chance that the AUDJPY will resume the uptrend. In this case, the short-term targets would be:
102.00 - Former resistance and the top of the lateralization.
104.75 - An important level that acted as resistance in May 2024.
For the price to initiate a stronger reversal, a sustained breakout above 100.00 would be necessary, which would cast doubt on the strength of the sellers.
The AUD/JPY presents a dominant bearish outlook after the recent breakouts. The next critical zone will be the support at 97.44, which will determine whether the price will continue its downward trajectory or make a pullback to retest the broken levels. This is a crucial time to observe the price reaction at the support and resistance zones, seeking confirmation for both scenarios.
Disclaimer:
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AUDJPY Channel Up approaching its bottom.The AUDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 05 Low and yesterday broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The previous Low of the pattern was priced on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as well as when the 1D RSI started rising after almost hitting the oversold (30.00) barrier.
As a result we are looking for a buy below 97.500, targeting 104.000 (just under the -0.236 Fibonacci extension, which was the last Higher High).
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AUDJPY Favoring Bears to Take Price ControlAUDJPY Favoring Bears to Take Price Control
While I typically don't like short setups on XXXJPY pairs, AUDJPY presents a unique situation, though the risk of this short trade remains high. Last night, AUDJPY moved down by nearly 120 pips. Currently, the price is taking a pause, but it could move further down in the coming days.
AUDJPY broke below the 100.00 price level, a strong psychological area. Market speculation suggests that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) may hike rates at the upcoming meeting. Additionally, the BOJ CPI data due this week will provide further insight into the next move, which is expected to be largely speculative.
These factors support the likelihood of AUDJPY moving lower.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go long on AUD/JPY right now from the support line below with the target of 99.928 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general uptrend on the previous 1W candle and the oversold situation on the lower TF determined by itโs proximity to the lower BB band.
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AUDJPY: Bearish Wave Poised for Targets around 98.77Hello Traders,
Trust trading has been awesome.
Find below my analysis of AUDJPY currency pair.
Current Price: 99.738
The pair shows bearish sentiment across the H4, H1, and M30 timeframes, with a downward trend firmly established (as price keeps making lower highs and lower lows). Momentum indicators suggest strong bearish pressure; however, the price is currently consolidating within a narrow range, limiting immediate directional movement.
Bias: Bearish, as long as the price remains below the key resistance level at 99.997, and we see a breakout of the consolidation range (Squeeze).
Targets
First Target: 98.770
Second Target: 98.108
Ultimate Target: 97.816
This bearish outlook is further supported by Elliott Wave analysis, with the potential for a downward move fulfilling the Wave 5 projection of the current impulsive wave, provided the price stays below 100.048.
AUDJPY: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
AUDJPY
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long AUDJPY
Entry Point - 99.401
Stop Loss - 98.887
Take Profit - 100.32
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 100.20
1st Support: 99.09
1st Resistance: 100.86
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