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JPYEUR trade ideas
I'm waiting for a good drop on the chart.It is at a historical ceiling where resistance is very strong. I expect a return to the 170 range and a market decline. Our main target is 9%. There is a possibility of a decline of up to 20% in the long term. The decline is probably as low as 20%. I am taking profit with a stop.
1- Break of the uptrend line
2- Start of the bearish phase
3- Retracement to the 86% Fibonacci line in the bearish phase
4- Start of our short position and receive 9% of the chart
OANDA:EURCAD
EURJPY: Get Ready For The Next MovementEURJPY: Get Ready For The Next Movement
The EURJPY has completed a bullish harmonic pattern and has tested a strong support and psychological zone near 156.00. Despite initial weakness, EURJPY recovered very well.
The JPY's strength has been bolstered by market uncertainty related to tariffs, driving volume towards safe-haven currencies like the JPY.
Currently, the EURJPY appears to be stabilizing, suggesting for a potential correction for the moment. The bullish trend may resume during next week after the price spends some time in correction.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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EUR/JPY Bias: Bearish📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Target: Yearly Fair Value Gap (FVG) below
🕵️♂️ Analysis:
Daily TF: Price has completed an inducement grab ✅
Expectation: Price to tap into the bearish Order Block (OB) 🔄
HTF Move: Liquidity grab expected before further drop 🌊📉
🎯 Plan: Wait for price to react at the OB and look for confirmations before entering a short position. 🚀📊
EURJPY The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The EURJPY price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 161.30, 50 Day Moving Average level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 161.30 level could target the downside support at 158.85 followed by 15687 and 156.00 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 161.70 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 162.76 resistance followed by 163.70 levels.
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EURJPYShort Fundamental Analysis – GBP/JPY
1. Context
• Bank of England (BoE)
• Maintains relatively high interest rates in an effort to bring down persistently elevated inflation.
• Ongoing discussions about whether the BoE will continue rate hikes or pause if economic growth shows signs of slowing.
• Bank of Japan (BoJ)
• Continues its ultra-loose monetary policy with near-zero interest rates, limiting the yen’s yield appeal.
• While minor adjustments are possible (e.g., yield curve control tweaks), there is no clear signal yet of a decisive shift toward tightening.
2. Possible Direction
• Bias: Bullish for GBP/JPY, largely due to the significant interest rate differential. The pound tends to benefit from BoE’s hawkish stance, while the yen remains under pressure from the BoJ’s accommodative policies.
• Alternate Scenario:
• If the BoJ unexpectedly hints at rate hikes or abandons yield curve control, it could spark a sharp downward correction in GBP/JPY.
• Weaker-than-expected UK data (e.g., disappointing inflation or growth figures) might also reduce the pair’s upward momentum.
3. Factors to Watch This Week
1. BoE Speeches & UK Data
• Inflation reports, GDP releases, and employment statistics that could reinforce or diminish BoE hawkishness.
2. BoJ Policy Communications
• Any sign of a more hawkish approach or surprising policy changes may strengthen the yen.
3. Global Risk Sentiment
• Heightened uncertainty can sometimes boost JPY as a safe-haven currency, though GBP typically benefits from higher rates when investors seek yield.
4. Overall Conclusion
• GBP is supported by a relatively hawkish BoE, though the UK economy faces inflationary pressures and potential growth concerns.
• JPY stays vulnerable under the BoJ’s ultra-accommodative regime, unless a sudden policy pivot occurs.
• In the near term, GBP/JPY is likely to remain on an upward path, barring a surprise move from the BoJ or significantly weaker UK macro data.
Disclaimer
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets can be volatile and carry significant risks. Always align decisions with your own risk tolerance and consult reliable sources before making trading choices.
Scenario on EURJPY 13.2.2025As far as EURJPY is concerned, if I wanted to take a short, the first target is the sfp above the level of 161.95-162.3, then around the main resistance with longs, I would see it as follows, and the first possible target is the sfp below the monthly level, which is located in the price zone of 157.917, then below the current sfp.
EURJPY - ClearwaterOn a macro perspective we have the same view on the Eurozone : weak growth, neutral rates, lower inflation, etc. The EURO is an unattractive currency and is unlikely to find new buyers in 2025 at least until H2.
On the technical side of things this trade is remarquable :
1. Head and Shoulder pattern
2. Death cross + retest of 50 MA
3. 4 touches of 155-156 area (likely to break anytime soon)
These are all beautiful confirmations of a trend reserval.
Stay safe with your position and always remember the bigger picture.
Pattern Identification ExerciseHere I run through an exercise I first started carrying out around 4 years ago. It is a brilliant tool to help train yours eyes to spot patterns within the market, log the data across multiple different instruments and find specific characteristics with that instrument.
The importance behind carrying out an exercise like this is training your lens to spot these in the live markets, and also stacking your confidence so when you see these develop you are able to approach them in the best way possible.
Any questions just drop them below 👇
EURJPY testing its 1D MA50. Buy opportunity even if rejected.The EURJPY pair is about to test its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today for the first time since January 31. We are on the 4th day of a strong rebound within a Rectangle pattern.
As you can see, every time the 0.785 Fibonacci retracement level of this Rectangle gets hit, the price reverses shortly after, targeting at least the 0.236 Fib. The bottom is also marked by a 1D RSI test of the 30.00 oversold level.
The rebound that follows, tends to pull-back after a 1D MA50 test, which is the 2nd opportunity to buy for those that missed the bottom. This time it is possible not to hit the 0.236 Fib as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is involved and is the level that caused the January 24 2025, January 07 2025, December 30 2024 and November 15 2024 rejections.
As a result, a fair target would be just below it at 163.250.
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Thursday hedge zones and key levelsYesterday CPI pushed yield up, further into the extreme of our key levels where we looked for breakdown hedging entries:
Today's zones we looking at for EURJPY
Note, we don't just look at EURJPY for plays. Cross currencies analysis provides great confluence for the pair you trade as well. Eg. our previous EURJPY longs setups provided signals for EURAUD long confluence as well. But EURAUD ofc under different dynamics.
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information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice