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EURJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50 EMA target ✅15' Order block identification ✅Daily Order block rejection ✅Ultimate high short 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURJPY Technical Breakdown (MMC Strategy) : Target Zone 🧠 Concept Focus: MMC – Mirror Market Concept The Mirror Market Concept (MMC) helps identify pattern inversions, price reflection zones, and structural symmetry that hint at upcoming market turns. This chart reflects a curve-based reversal logic rooted in smart money behavior, volume analysis, and pattern exhaustion. 📊 Technical Structure Breakdown 🔹 1. Volume Contraction + Breakout (June 6–7) Early signs of bullish pressure were detected with volume contraction, forming a tight range wedge/triangle. This is often a liquidity trap where weak hands sell into strength. Smart money absorbed sell-side liquidity before impulsively breaking out. This is a common MMC move: contract > trap > expand. 🔹 2. 50% Area Used – Smart Money Trap (June 9) After the breakout, price tapped into the 50% equilibrium zone of the previous major move. This level often acts as a liquidity sweep zone, ideal for smart money to unload or build counter positions. The rejection wick here confirms that institutional traders reacted at this level. 🔹 3. Curve Bending Pattern – Exhaustion in Play The market has now entered a curve bending phase, visible with the arching price movement. This signifies momentum exhaustion, where bullish attempts get weaker. Think of this curve like a mirror ceiling — as each high gets tapped, it bends, showing the market can't sustain higher levels. 🔹 4. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: ~164.150–164.200) Based on MMC symmetry and previous demand zones, the area highlighted as Next Reversal is a key structure zone. This is where we expect price to react — either bounce (for buyers) or break (for continuation shorts). A clean bounce here could mirror the earlier pattern in reverse, hence the Mirror Market Concept. 🔁 Summary of Market Psychology 🧲 Volume contraction signals manipulation. 🎯 50% zone rejection shows trap completion. 🪞 Curve bending shows buyers losing strength. 🔻 Price likely to drop into the reversal zone, completing the mirror leg. 🧩 What Traders Should Watch Indicator/Zone Notes 50% Area Used Smart Money Exit or Entry Trap Curve Bending Reversal Geometry (Momentum Exhaustion) Next Reversal Zone Smart Money Demand Zone (~164.150) Break Below 164.100 Confirms deeper bearish continuation 🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook 🔍 Short Bias: Look for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, BOS on lower TFs) to enter shorts below curve zone. 🛑 Invalidation Level: Clean breakout above 165.500 would invalidate the mirror structure and shift to continuation long. 🎣 Reversal Scouting : If price respects the Next Reversal Zone, there could be a potential long scalp back into mid-range. 🧠 Educational Note: MMC in Action The Mirror Market Concept is powerful for intraday trading. It uses pattern reflection, liquidity logic, and price symmetry to forecast reversals before typical indicators catch up. If mastered, this concept can give early reversal entries and trap avoidance.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/JPY – The Crash Is Loading...Retail just got wiped out again. Look at this chart — liquidity was taken above the previous highs, exactly where retail traders expected a breakout. But here’s the truth: This was never a breakout — it was smart money manipulation. The market created fake momentum to trap buyers, then swept their stop losses and filled institutional sell orders at premium pricing. Now the path is set: Liquidity is taken ✅ No strong continuation after breakout ❌ Perfect rejection candle forming 🧠 Price is likely to retrace all the way to the 162.00 demand zone and even deeper ⚔️ Why You Need to Act Now: This is a textbook high risk-reward opportunity: Entry after liquidity sweep SL tight above the wick Massive downside room Smart money already positioned — you should be too 💡 Remember: The market doesn’t move by luck — it moves by manipulation. Those who understand that… capitalize on it.
Short
by Calugareanu_Alexandru
EUR/JPY – The Crash Is Loading...Retail just got wiped out again. Look at this chart — liquidity was taken above the previous highs, exactly where retail traders expected a breakout. But here’s the truth: This was never a breakout — it was smart money manipulation. The market created fake momentum to trap buyers, then swept their stop losses and filled institutional sell orders at premium pricing. Now the path is set: Liquidity is taken ✅ No strong continuation after breakout ❌ Perfect rejection candle forming 🧠 Price is likely to retrace all the way to the 162.00 demand zone and even deeper ⚔️ Why You Need to Act Now: This is a textbook high risk-reward opportunity: Entry after liquidity sweep SL tight above the wick Massive downside room Smart money already positioned — you should be too 💡 Remember: The market doesn’t move by luck — it moves by manipulation. Those who understand that… capitalize on it.
Short
by Calugareanu_Alexandru
EURJPY Tapped 4H Supply – Massive Drop Loading?EURJPY | 30-Min View with 4H CRT Zones 🔥 This is where Smart Money sharpens their blades… 🧊 New Confluence Just Dropped: 🔴 CRT 4H High Zone: 165.108–165.475 Price wicked right into the 4H Compression Reversal Top (CRT) — ideal Smart Money trap zone This area aligns perfectly with the bearish OB/supply from previous screenshot 🔵 CRT 4H Low Zone: Around 164.630 Strong structure level where liquidity is sitting Price respected it as temporary support before likely break-and-retest continuation 🔍 Price Action Logic: ✅ Price faked out above CRT 4H High, grabbing liquidity ✅ Immediate rejection candle with wick rejection signals institutional selling 🔁 Now price is retesting the mid-OB / lower CRT, likely forming a breaker pattern 🟥 Huge clean imbalance to the downside — marked by that juicy green TP box 🔽 Expectation: price fills inefficiency and heads to 163.378 minimum 🎯 Trade Parameters: 🔻 Entry Zone 165.100 – 165.397 (Red Supply / CRT High) 🛡 SL Above 165.475 (CRT 4H High) 🎯 TP Target 163.378 (bottom imbalance fill) ⚖️ RRR Over 1:4 potential — high precision entry zone 🧠 Chart Ninja Analysis: “When CRT zones align with OBs and liquidity sweeps, that’s a Smart Money feast waiting to happen.” – 🥷 This chart is a classic reversal blueprint. If you missed the first tap — wait for the retest. If this holds below CRT Low (164.630), expect full bearish momentum into midweek. 📊 Confirmation Tactics: 🔄 M15 bearish engulfing / shift in structure after tap into CRT 🔻 Break of 164.630 = confirmation of bearish intent ⏳ Optional: use FVG + volume spike as further entry triggers 🚨 Save this chart — it's one of those sniper moments where everything aligns!
Short
by ChartNinjas88
EURJPY Bulls in Trouble? Massive Rejection Signals📉 Full Multi-Factor Analysis – EUR/JPY 🔍 1. Price Action EUR/JPY strongly rejected the key supply zone between 164.80–165.50, aligned with a major static resistance. Last week's breakout was invalidated by a clear bull trap, followed by a bearish engulfing candle. Price broke below the ascending channel drawn since April and is now heading toward the 162.00 demand area. The weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence, confirming a slowdown in momentum. ➡️ Technical Bias: Bearish toward 161.50–162.00, with a possible extension to 160.00. 💼 2. COT Data – Commitment of Traders EUR Futures (CME) Strong increase in commercial longs (+16,095) and non-commercial shorts (+4,830). Suggests smart money is accumulating while retail/speculators are pressing shorts — potential accumulation, but no breakout yet. JPY Futures Significant rise in non-commercial shorts (+10,575), while long positions declined. The yen remains pressured, but extreme positioning could fuel a reversal if sentiment flips. ➡️ COT Takeaway: Euro remains in bullish consolidation. Yen is heavily oversold — ripe for mean reversion. Caution warranted. 📊 3. Retail Sentiment 80% of retail traders are short from an average price of 160.46, while price now sits at 164.86. The crowd is deep in drawdown — a typical condition for short-term consolidations or fakeouts before reversals. ➡️ Implication: Price may hover around 164+ to trap remaining retail shorts before unwinding. 📈 4. Seasonality June seasonality for EUR/JPY is historically neutral to bearish. Only the 5-year data shows strength, while 15Y and 20Y trends reveal consistent downside starting mid-June. ➡️ Seasonal Outlook: Adds further weight to a bearish correction scenario for the second half of the month. ✅ Actionable Summary 📌 Weekly Bias: Bearish 📉 Main Target: 162.00–161.50 📉 Extended Target: 160.00 📈 Invalidation: Weekly close above 165.60 🧠 Final Thoughts All major elements — price action, COT, sentiment, and seasonality — point toward a corrective move on EUR/JPY. Given the strong underlying trend and retail’s positioning, watch out for bull traps before deeper downside. Best setup: Sell the pullback or wait for clean breakdown below 163.00.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
10
EURJPY Supply Tap! Bearish Reaction Coming?EURJPY (30-Min) | Supply Zone Hit + Bearish Reversal Setup This EURJPY move is brewing into a classic SMC bearish play — engineered liquidity run, supply zone reaction, and a projected melt to imbalance below. Let’s dissect the ninja logic 🧠📉 🔍 Breakdown of the Setup: 🟥 Supply / Order Block Zone Price enters a strong bearish OB zone between 165.100–165.397 Previous rejection wicks in this zone = smart money sell interest Price now testing that area again — potential for liquidity sweep + reversal 🟪 Multi-Zone Confluence Multiple overlapping zones stacked: OB, mitigation block, and liquidity sweep area Perfect spot for Smart Money to unload positions before sending price lower 📏 Risk-Reward Optimization Entry near 165.100–165.397 zone Stop Loss placed slightly above the last rejection wick (above 165.397) Take Profit projected around 163.378 based on measured impulse leg and imbalance fill 🧠 Liquidity Narrative The rally into supply is likely a buy-side liquidity hunt Smart Money often drives price into key zones before triggering reversals Price may wick above 165.171 to fake bulls before a strong sell-off 🧠 Chart Ninja Entry Plan: 🔻 Entry Zone 165.100 – 165.397 (Supply OB) 🛡 SL Above 165.450 (above wick / last structure high) 🎯 TP Target 163.378 (imbalanced fill target) ⚖️ RRR Approx. 1:4+ depending on entry precision 🥷 Chart Ninja Note: “The trap is always set where the crowd feels the safest — and that’s exactly where the ninja strikes.” 🥷📉 This setup could be a clean ride down if price reacts as expected. Confirmation entry = bearish engulfing on M15 or M30. 🔁 Bonus Observation: You can see lower timeframes building internal liquidity, meaning we might get a sharp, volatile drop once that top wick finishes sweeping. 📍Mark this zone and set an alert — entry can trigger fast! 🔥 What’s your confirmation style — engulfing candle or breaker structure?
Short
by ChartNinjas88
Technical Analysis: JPY Price Action Near Resistance – Potential📊 Technical Analysis: JPY Price Action Near Resistance – Potential Reversal Ahead? ⚠️ --- 🔍 Overview: This chart illustrates the recent price action of a JPY-based asset (likely a JPY forex pair), currently testing a major resistance zone around the 165.286–165.500 area. The market is reacting sharply at this level, suggesting a possible rejection and correction downward. The setup is marked with well-defined support/resistance levels and potential retracement targets. --- 🟧 Key Zones: 🛑 Resistance Zone (165.286 – 165.500): Price is currently reacting at this overhead supply zone. This level has historically rejected bullish attempts, as seen in previous price action. 🟩 Support Zone (161.302 – 161.550): This demand zone has served as a strong base previously and is marked as the final potential retracement level (labeled "4") in the chart. --- 🔻 Retracement Levels: Labeled as 1 through 4 in purple lines: 1. Level 1 – 163.948 🟣: Initial minor support; might provide a short-term pause if price pulls back. 2. Level 2 – 162.803 🔄: Mid-level support; watch for consolidation or bounce. 3. Level 3 – 162.091 🧲: Stronger support and possible bounce level. 4. Level 4 – 161.550 🛡️: Key support aligning with historical demand zone. A break below this could signal trend reversal. --- 🔄 Price Projection: The curved arrow indicates a potential correction from the resistance zone down toward the support levels, especially targeting Zone 4. This move reflects a typical market reaction when price meets strong resistance after a steep rally. --- 📈 Strategic Implications: For Bulls 🐂: Wait for confirmation of support at any of the retracement levels (especially 3 or 4) before entering. For Bears 🐻: This is an optimal area to look for short entries, especially if bearish candlestick patterns confirm rejection from the resistance zone. --- ✅ Conclusion: Price is at a critical decision point near major resistance. A bearish reversal is likely if the resistance holds, with a corrective move toward 161.302–161.550 being the most probable target range. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to positions. --- 📌 Tip: Keep an eye on candlestick patterns and volume at the resistance zone to validate the reversal hypothesis.
Short
by MrStellanSight
1
EURJPY Long opportunity at 164.250EURJPY currently has bullish market directionality and is on a retracement from the 165.000 level toward the break and retest zone at 164.250. on the 4 hour timeframe price is trading above the 50 SMA and is in the Bullish RSI zone above 55 below 70. The 164.250 price points lays in the sweet spot between 45-55 in the RSI which signals the potential end of the retracement and pivot back towards the bullish momentum. Looking to ride this long position back towards the 165.000 resistance level.
Long
by Fides_Trading