JPYGBP trade ideas
GBPJPY Sell- Go for short term sell
- potentially go lower
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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BUY GBPJPY now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuBUY GBPJPY now for a four hour time frame bullish trend continuation ...............
STOP LOSS: 196.33
This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with... trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
GBPJPY Profit TakingGBPJPY has given strong bullish momentum and hit swing high on previous day currently the traders are taking profit and GBPJPY is giving a pullback. We can see from the picture that there is fair value gap and demand zones. The possible move for GBPJPY will be to hit demand zones and again follow the same bullish momentum.
GBP/JPY BEARISH AB = CD PATTERN Potential Short Opportunity fromMarket Structure
Price formed a Higher High (HH) and is now completing a Bearish AB=CD harmonic
pattern
The Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) has been tapped
RSI shows bearish divergence at the second HH, suggesting weakening bullish
momentum
Technical Details:
Pattern: Bearish AB=CD with clear symmetry
Key zone: PRZ between 198.684 and 199.128
Bearish RSI divergence adds extra confluence
Potential Sell Stop strategy below structure for safer entry confirmation
Bias Bearish (Pattern Completion + Divergence)
Short bias is activated only on the confirmation, either by sell-stop break or strong
rejection candles inside PRZ
If the price breaks above 199.128, the bearish setup is invalidated
Trade Plan
Action Level / Condition
Sell Entry Below 198.684 (Sell Stop Trigger Zone)
Stop Loss Above 199.128 (invalidation of PRZ)
Target 1 198.066
Final Tp 197.564
✅ Wish you best of luck and happy trading!
GJ Buy-setup SMC/ICT Perspective. Bias: Bullish
I’m expecting further upside continuation on GBP/JPY based on a confluence of smart money principles and higher timeframe structure.
🧠 Reason for Buying:
🔹 HTF Bullish Structure:
Price remains in a clear bullish trend across the Weekly, Daily and 4H timeframes, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. This trade aligns with that higher timeframe narrative.
🔹 Liquidity Sweep
🔹 CISD
🔹 Rejection from a FVG
🎯 Trade Details:
Entry: 197.540
Stop Loss: 197.199 (invalidation point)
Take Profit: 198.813
🎯 Why I’m Targeting 198.813:
This level aligns with:
🔸 Untapped Buy-Side Liquidity: Clean highs from previous price action likely hold resting buy orders (liquidity pool).
🔸 Round Number Magnet: 198.800 is a psychological level that can act as a price magnet, especially when aligned with technical confluence.
⚖️ Risk to Reward: 3.7R+
A high-probability trade with favorable reward relative to risk. Trade management will be key — partials can be taken as price approaches interim highs.
GBP/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the GBP/JPY pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 197.518.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Timeframes: Why They’re Fundamentally Flawed (And What To Do)When analyzing price action, timeframes serve as a convenient lens through which traders attempt to make sense of the market. They help us categorize price movement — bullish , bearish , ranging , trending , and so on — within a structured framework. But here’s the reality: candlesticks themselves aren’t real . Much like clocks or calendars, they’re simply man-made constructs — tools we've invented to measure and scale something intangible: time . I know that might sound a bit abstract, but stay with me.
While traders commonly rely on standard timeframes like the Daily, 4H, 1H, 15M , etc., it’s important to recognize that price doesn’t conform to these rigid intervals. The market moves continuously, and the “spaces between” those timeframes — like a 27-minute or 3-hour chart — are just as real . These non-standard timeframes often offer better clarity depending on the speed and rhythm of the market at any given moment.
This begs the question: How do we keep up with this ever-shifting pace? Do we constantly toggle between similar timeframes to recalibrate our analysis? Do we measure volatility? Amplitude? Period length? There’s no clear consensus, which leads to inefficiency — and in trading, inefficiency costs.
In my view, the solution lies in blending multiple nearby timeframes into a single, adaptive framework . We need a representation of price action that adjusts automatically with the speed of the market. And the answer is surprisingly simple — literally . It’s called the Simple Moving Average (SMA) .
Think an SMA is just a line representing past highs, lows, or closes? It’s much more than that. When used creatively, the SMA becomes a dynamic lens that filters noise, reveals trend clarity, and smooths out irregularities in price behavior. Rather than relying on a single metric, we can combine multiple SMA variations — highs, lows, opens, closes — into one composite view of the market . This gives us a continuously adjusting snapshot of average price action.
Once we adopt this approach, everything starts to click.
• Engulfing patterns become more reliable
• Liquidity sweeps occur less frequently
• Supply and demand zones become more precise
• Market structure begins to make consistent sense
With SMA-based price action , our strategies don’t just become clearer — they become smarter .
Want to See It in Action?
If you’re interested in applying this concept to your own trading strategy, check out my TradingView profile: The_Forex_Steward . There, you’ll find the SMA Price Action indicator used in the examples shown, as well as tools that apply this methodology to:
• Supply and Demand
• Market Structure
• Market Balance Levels
• Velocity & Momentum
• And more to come!
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GBPJPY H1 I Bullish RiseBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 196.80, which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit will be at 198.09, an overlap resistance level.
The stop loss will be placed at 195.39, a swing low support.
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GBP/JPY H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportGBP/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 198.60 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 197.80 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 200.94 which is a resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPJPY SHORT (swing)This is a trade setup based on a **Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern**. The pattern meets all the key Fibonacci criteria for validity. Specifically, the AB leg retraces 80.8% of XA, which is close to the ideal 78.6% level and is considered acceptable, especially since it closed with a wick. The BC leg retraces 37.5% of AB, which is within the standard range of 38.2% to 88.6%. The CD leg extends 127% of XA, which is the minimum required for a valid Butterfly pattern, and also extends 252% of BC, which falls within the acceptable range of 161.8% to 261.8%.
What makes this setup stronger is that the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at point D coincides with a **major resistance level**, adding significant technical confluence to the area. This increases the probability of a market reaction or reversal from that zone.
However, no entry will be taken immediately upon price reaching the PRZ. A trade will only be initiated **after the appearance of a confirmed reversal candlestick pattern** at or near the D point, such as a bearish engulfing.
This ensures that we enter with confirmation and not just based on pattern completion.
GBPJPYGBPJPY price is near the major resistance zone 200.186. If the price cannot break through the 200.186 level, it is expected that the price will go down. Consider selling the red zone
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GBPJPY H4 XABCD Short at Market TP Below Market🔸Hello traders, let's review the 4 hour chart for GBPJPY. Strong gains off the lows recently, however price getting overextended and expecting reversal later at/near PRZ/D.
🔸Speculative XABCD structure defined by point X 199 point A 188 point B 195.20 point C 186.80 point D/PRZ 198.40/80 .
🔸Currently most points validated, point D/PRZ validated as well.
Short sell at market SL over point D/PRZ TP details see chart
🔸Recommended strategy for GJ traders: Short Sell at Market
SL over point D/PRZ TP1 193.30 TP2 191.00 TP3 188.80.
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GBPJPY Shown Good Pullback after hitting Swing HighAs share earlier GJ show good bullish move and hit swing high. After hitting swing has given a good pull back and entered into the trade. The engulfing hourly candle showing strong pullback which will possibly go further down to retest a demand zone and an area.
GBPJPY Eyes 200 BoJ Dovishness & Bullish UK SentimentGBPJPY pair has staged a decisive breakout from a multi-day consolidation zone, with technical momentum and macro fundamentals aligning in favor of further upside. Price action has respected a bullish continuation structure — a falling wedge followed by horizontal accumulation — and is now pressing toward the psychological 200.00 level. With the Bank of England holding firm on policy and the Bank of Japan maintaining its ultra-loose stance, GBPJPY presents one of the strongest carry trade setups in the market. Here's a breakdown of what’s driving this move and what to watch next:
📈 Current Bias: Bullish
The pair has confirmed a bullish breakout above the 198.80–198.95 resistance zone, targeting higher fib extensions at 199.40 and 200.00. Momentum is clearly on the bulls’ side as GBPJPY follows through on a textbook pattern breakout.
🔍 Key Fundamentals:
Bank of Japan’s Dovish Stance: The BoJ continues to resist any significant tightening, reaffirming yield curve control and negative real yields. This keeps the yen fundamentally weak, especially against higher-yielding currencies.
Bank of England’s Hawkish Hold: Despite global easing signals, the BoE remains cautious and data-dependent, with inflation still sticky in the UK. This underpins GBP strength relative to the yen.
Global Risk Appetite: Strong equity markets, especially the US500 rally, reduce demand for the safe-haven JPY and increase appetite for high-yielding cross pairs like GBPJPY.
⚠️ Risks to the Trend:
Safe-Haven Shocks: Any sudden geopolitical tension (e.g., Middle East, US-China trade rhetoric) may trigger JPY demand and reverse the bullish flow.
Unexpected BoE Dovish Pivot: A surprise in UK inflation or dovish commentary from the BoE could weaken GBP momentum.
JPY Intervention Risks: With the yen near historically weak levels, any threat or action from Japan’s Ministry of Finance or verbal intervention by BoJ officials could spark sudden volatility.
📅 Key News/Events Ahead:
Japan’s Tankan Survey (June 30): May influence BoJ tone.
UK Final Manufacturing PMI (July 3): A key gauge for growth momentum.
BoE Governor Bailey Speech (July 5): Any hints on policy trajectory will be market-moving.
US NFP & Global Risk Sentiment: Impacts broader carry trade appetite.
⚖️ Leader or Lagger?
GBPJPY is a leader — it often acts as the flagship pair for carry trade demand. Moves in GBPJPY frequently guide sentiment across other JPY pairs like CADJPY, AUDJPY, and NZDJPY, especially when driven by macro divergences. Its high beta to risk sentiment also makes it a prime barometer for global financial mood.
🎯 Conclusion:
GBPJPY has momentum, macro divergence, and a clean technical setup on its side. The breakout above consolidation favors a continued rally toward 199.40 and possibly 200.00. While geopolitical or policy shocks remain risks, the current backdrop supports staying bullish while above the 197.65 invalidation level.
GBPJPY Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
We are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern on the GBPJPY chart. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and you can even count their subwaves (especially the microwaves of the main wave 3). Now wave 5 is completing and moving inside an ascending channel.
At the moment, the microwaves of the 5th wave have not been completed, so we expect the price to grow within this channel. The minimum growth is up to 200.00, of course, it can grow even more.
But after the completion of the 5th wave, with the breakdown of the trend line drawn below and a return to it, we can expect the price to fall to the specified support. The first support is 196.00. Of course, the price decrease in the 5th wave is always accompanied by divergence and a decrease in the slope of the chart, as you can see that the slope of wave 5 is much lower than wave 3.
Good luck and be profitable.