GBPJPYGBP/JPY Current 10-Year Bond Yield and Interest Rate Differential (June 2025)
1. Japan 10-Year Government Bond Yield
As of early June 2025, the Japan 10-year government bond yield is approximately 1.50% to 1.52%.
The yield rose by about 18 basis points in May 2025, closing near 1.50%, influenced by global yield increases, Moody’s US credit downgrade, and reduced BoJ purchases of super-long bonds.
The Bank of Japan maintains a very accommodative monetary policy with a policy rate around 0.50%, and the yield curve control program continues to cap longer-term yields, though with some recent volatility.
2. UK 10-Year Government Bond Yield (Gilt)
While the exact current UK 10-year gilt yield is not explicitly in the search results, typical recent yields for UK 10-year bonds have been around 3.5% to 4.0% in mid-2025, reflecting tighter monetary policy by the Bank of England amid inflation concerns.
The Bank of England’s policy rate is higher than Japan’s, around 4.5% to 5.0%, consistent with the higher gilt yields.
3. Interest Rate Differential
Using approximate yields:
UK 10-year gilt yield: ~3.75% (midpoint estimate)
Japan 10-year JGB yield: ~1.50%
The 10-year bond yield differential (UK minus Japan) is roughly:
3.75%−1.50%=2.25%
This positive differential indicates UK bonds offer significantly higher yields than Japanese bonds, reflecting the divergent monetary policies and economic conditions.
Summary Table
Metric United Kingdom (GBP) Japan (JPY) Differential (GBP - JPY)
10-Year Government Bond Yield ~3.5% - 4.0% ~1.50% ~2.25%
Policy Interest Rate ~4.5% - 5.0% ~0.50% ~4.0%
Implications for GBP/JPY
The higher UK bond yields relative to Japan suggest a carry advantage for GBP over JPY, encouraging investors to hold GBP assets funded by low-yielding JPY.
According to uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), this yield gap implies the GBP should depreciate against JPY by about 2.25% annually to offset the higher returns, but in practice, GBP/JPY movements also depend on risk sentiment, growth outlook, and central bank policies.
The yen’s safe-haven status and BoJ’s yield curve control can dampen yield-driven moves, while the UK’s inflation and policy tightening support higher yields and GBP strength.
#GBPJPY
JPYGBP trade ideas
GBPJPY Strong rebound. Buy opportunity.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within an Ascending Triangle pattern. Today's geopolitics made the price form its latest Higher Low at the bottom of the pattern, which also coincided with a 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) test, and rebounded.
That was a clear buy signal on the 4H RSI Support that signaled the last three bottom buys. Our Target is the top of the pattern at 196.300.
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GBP/JPY) Bearish analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) based on multiple Technical signals on the 4-hour timeframe. Let's break it down in detail:
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Overall Analysis Summary
Direction Bias: Bearish
Timeframe: 4H
Price (at analysis time): 195.033
Tool Used: EMA 200, RSI, Support/Resistance, Chart Pattern
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Technical Components
1. Strong Resistance Zone (~195.800 - 196.200)
Marked by 3 red arrows.
Price has rejected this level multiple times, forming a Triple Top pattern.
Suggests strong selling pressure and low probability of price breaking higher in the short term.
2. Trendline Break (Structure Shift)
Ascending support trendline (marked with "$$$") is broken.
This is a key market structure break, indicating the bullish momentum is weakening or reversing.
3. EMA 200 (193.661)
Price is currently just above the 200 EMA.
A clean break and close below the EMA would confirm trend reversal.
EMA often acts as dynamic support/resistance.
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Target Zones
Two downside targets are indicated:
Target 1: 192.600
Minor support level, could be the first stop for bearish pressure.
Target 2: 190.733
Strong historical support zone (yellow box labeled big support level).
Also aligns with measured move from the top of the range to the base (height of the range).
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RSI (Relative Strength Index)
RSI (14): ~43.40
Neutral zone (not oversold yet), meaning there’s room for more downside before oversold conditions are hit.
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Trading Psychology & Risk Management
This setup assumes:
Sellers continue to defend the resistance zone.
Break of structure (trendline + EMA) confirms shift.
Traders may consider short entries below 194.800–195.000 with stops above 196.200.
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Trade Idea (Based on This Chart)
Entry: Below 194.800 (after break confirmation)
Stop-Loss: Above 196.200
Take-Profit 1: 192.600
Take-Profit 2: 190.733
Risk-Reward: Favorable (~1:2+)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Caution
If price reclaims 196.200 and closes above the resistance, bearish setup is invalidated.
Watch for fakeouts near EMA.
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USDJPY and GBPJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GBPJPY: 1050+ Pips Move! Will JPY continue dropping? In our previous analysis, we anticipated a similar move for GBPJPY, but the price dropped a bit further than expected. It’s now in a position to buy long, but please use accurate risk management as JPY pairs are likely to remain more volatile than ever. There are three targets you can keep an eye on: 197, then 200. Remember, trading involves risk, so make your own decisions.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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#GBPJPY: +916 Pips Swing Buy Opportunity! Comment Down Your ViewThe FX:GBPJPY price has moved nicely from 187 to 191, almost +400 pips. I expect a small correction, but then the bullish move should continue towards the 200 region. You can set a target based on your analysis or set it at 200, whichever works for you. Good luck and trade safely.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
GBPJPY - Look for Long (INTRADAY) 1:4.5 and Short (SWING) 1:XXGBPJPY appears to remain in a distribution phase from the supply zone, making its way toward the next demand zone on the higher time frame. We might see a potential sell opportunity during any consolidation before the price continues trending toward the demand area.
Let’s wait and see how price action develops — there’s a chance for entries in both directions, but only if a clear consolidation forms. Otherwise, it’s best to remain patient and look for setups at the next key resistance level.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Update GJ June 12No sell confirmation yet. Until then, I'm scalping — 20 to 50 pips a day.
Structurally, a swing higher wouldn’t surprise me, but anything can happen. Keep monitoring the levels.
Notice how price respected the levels I mapped out in advance — these are not random lines.
Stay prepared. Anticipate with patience!
Why? Because liquidity is building at this support zone.🚨 GBP/JPY Traders — Don’t Get Trapped! 🚨
GBP/JPY has just touched a major support level, and on the surface, it looks like a golden buying opportunity. But here’s the catch: this is exactly where most retail traders get trapped.
Why? Because liquidity is building at this support zone. Smart money knows retail traders have stop losses and pending orders sitting right below — and they’re coming for it. 🧠💰
Here’s what the market is likely to do next:
📈 Step 1: A small bullish bounce to lure retail traders in. Everyone starts thinking, “This is the reversal!”
🔄 Step 2: Boom — a sharp move down. Stop hunts. Fakeouts. Panic sells. The market dips below support, grabbing liquidity.
🚀 Step 3: Once liquidity is swept and BPR (Break Point Range) is hit, then the real move begins.
This is a classic setup — trap retail, feed institutional orders, and then drive the market in the true direction.
⚠️ Don’t fall for the bait. Stay patient. Let the trap spring before you strike.
📊 Watch structure. Watch liquidity. Watch price behavior. That’s where the edge is.
DYOR — Do Your Own Research. This isn’t financial advice — it’s a trader’s insight.
Trade smart. Trade sharp. 💼🔥
GBPJPY WONDERMAP GBPJPY WONDERMAP
Bias: BUY
Daily candle closed bullish
H4 breakout zone retest in play
H1 support being respected
M30 breakout trendline intact
Lower timeframe momentum confirmation on standby
We're looking at a swing wave formation.
Expect price to tap into support, confirm structure, then blast toward 197.088 and 197.550.
25
GBPJPYI believe my analysis will help expose how the price moves in the market. It is clear that the price moves forming different patterns giving hints as to what we could expect next.
The price has been moving in an ascending channel, it got broken and retested, I believe the price will eventually fall towards my arrow head.
GBP/JPY SELL GBP/JPY has shown clear respect to this resistance zone that was created with a bearish engulfing on the daily time frame(may 14th). Price is now at the highest point of this resistance and created a bearish engulfing on the 4 hour Tf. With a strong besrish engulfing suggesting the sellers are taking control at the resistance. Sell 🥊
GBP/JPY Remains Trapped in a Sideways ChannelAt the moment, GBP/JPY continues to face steady buying pressure, which has held firm as the yen weakens gradually, driven by a temporary easing in trade war tensions. This has diminished the yen’s appeal as a safe-haven asset in the short term. While the bullish bias remains intact, it has not been strong enough to break out of the broad sideways channel that has defined price action in recent months.
Wide Sideways Channel
Since October 2024, the pair has remained confined within a broad horizontal range, bounded by resistance at 198.245 and key support at 188.437. So far, price movements have been insufficient to break out of this channel in the short term, making it the most relevant structure to monitor in the upcoming sessions.
Short-Term Uptrend
Within this broader range, bullish price swings have formed a steady short-term uptrend. However, recent moves have failed to produce higher highs, signaling a possible pause in upward momentum. If a neutral bias persists, this could challenge the ability of the uptrend to break free from the larger range.
Indicator Divergence
Flat price highs in GBP/JPY, combined with lower highs in RSI and MACD, have formed a bearish divergence, pointing to potential short-term exhaustion in buying pressure. This market imbalance could open the door for corrective selling in the near term if the divergence persists.
Key Levels to Watch:
196.406 – Current Resistance: Marks recent highs and could trigger short-term selling corrections if tested again.
198.245 – Major Resistance: Upper boundary of the broader sideways channel. A break above this level would invalidate the range and potentially signal a stronger bullish bias in upcoming sessions.
193.078 – Key Support: Aligns with the ascending trendline and the 50- and 200-period moving averages. A return to this level would reinforce the neutral tone and extend the current range-bound structure.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GJ-Tue-10/06/25 TDA-Claimant count change negative, GJ down!Analysis done directly on the chart
Follow for more, possible live trades update!
To understand if you are really for the long term trading
your mindset should not be if I make losses
I can always fund another account again or buy new challenges
but it shifts to how can I protect my capital so I will lose less
and in the future avoiding to make same mistakes?
Active in London session!
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY STARTED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTUREGBPJPY STARTED FORMING BEARISH TREND STRUCTURE.
Market is forming lower low, which indicates downtrend in 30 minutes time frame charts.
Market was trading in secondary trend from lest few sessions.
Candlestick reversal pattern can be shown at the top of secondary trend.
market is expected to remain bearish for upcoming sessions.
On lower side market may hit the targets of 194.90 and 194.30.
On higher side 196.45 can be major resistance level.
GBPJPY Might Start A CorrectionAfter weeks of rising, GBPJPY is showing signs of fatigue.
The AD line shows that the bulls are unable to drive the price upwards despite great efforts, while a liquidity zone awaits at the bottom with the Wick.
For this reason, it may make sense to take a short position with the aim of clearing the wick's liquidity.