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JAPANESE YEN / BRITISH POUND

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JPYGBP trade ideas

GBPJPY - Bullish No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈As per our last GBPJPY analysis (attached on the chart), it rejected the lower bound of the rising blue channel. What's next? GBPJPY is currently approaching the upper bound of its falling trend marked in red. Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and resistance. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of structure and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #GBPJPY approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
Gbp/Jpy intra-day Analysis 21-May-2025 Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
GBPJPY Channel Breakout: Bearish SetupGBP/JPY Technical Outlook: Consolidation at Key Support Ahead of Potential Breakout or Breakdown The GBP/JPY pair has entered a phase of consolidation following a robust bullish rally that propelled the price toward its March high. After an impressive upward run, the pair now finds itself at a pivotal juncture—testing a critical support zone around 193.8, where the ascending trendline, previous breakout zone, and psychological price structure converge. This area is particularly significant because it represents not just a technical confluence but also a sentiment battleground. Buyers will aim to defend this zone to preserve the broader bullish structure, while sellers may view any weakness here as an early sign of a deeper retracement. The pair’s behavior at this level will likely define its direction for the sessions ahead. Holding above this trendline could reinforce bullish momentum and potentially send GBP/JPY higher toward the 196.3 resistance zone. On the other hand, a firm breakdown below 193.0 would violate key trend support and could trigger an extended corrective move, possibly targeting 191.000 or lower. 🔍 Technical Structure and Trading Scenarios Key Support Zone: The area between 193.0 and 193.8 serves as an immediate demand zone. It’s not only the site of a prior breakout but also intersects with the current rising trendline that has guided price action for several weeks. Bullish Continuation Setup: If GBP/JPY rebounds from the 193.0–193.8 area with confirmation from bullish momentum indicators (such as a bullish engulfing pattern or RSI bounce from mid-levels), the pair could resume its uptrend. A move toward the 196.3 target zone would then be on the cards, especially if broader risk sentiment remains supportive. Bearish Breakdown Setup: A clean break and close below 193.0 would be a significant bearish signal. This would indicate that buyers are losing control and that the trendline has failed to hold as dynamic support. Such a move would likely trigger follow-through selling, opening up space for a decline toward the 191.000 support region—a level that previously acted as a strong demand zone during price consolidations. 📈 Trading Levels to Watch Buy Zone: 193.0 – 193.8 Ideal area for long positions if price stabilizes and shows signs of strength. Buy Trigger: A bullish bounce from trendline support, especially on increased volume or intraday reversal patterns. Target: 196.3 Represents prior highs and a likely resistance area where sellers may step in again. Sell Trigger: A breakdown below 193.0, confirmed by a daily close or breakaway candle. ⚠️ Fundamental & Sentiment Risks Weak UK Economic Data: Any disappointing economic releases from the UK—particularly related to inflation, employment, or growth—could weigh on the pound and limit GBP/JPY’s upside potential. Safe-Haven Yen Demand: In times of geopolitical uncertainty, risk aversion, or equity market stress, the Japanese yen often attracts safe-haven flows. A resurgence in yen strength could pressure this pair even if the pound remains stable. Trendline Break Risks: A violation of the trendline would mark a shift in short-term sentiment and could trigger algorithmic and technical-based selling, accelerating the downward momentum toward 191.000 or even lower if broader risk sentiment turns negative. 📌 Conclusion: Pivotal Moment for GBP/JPY GBP/JPY is currently navigating a highly strategic technical zone that could define its near-term trajectory. Bulls will need to defend the 193.0–193.8 region with conviction to preserve the broader bullish structure, while bears are likely waiting for a breakdown to exploit any weakness. Patience and disciplined trade management will be key as traders await confirmation of the next move. This setup offers an attractive risk-reward environment for both breakout and mean-reversion traders—but only if the technical signals align with broader macro and sentiment drivers.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
GBP/JPY Holds Key Support as Bullish Momentum BuildsA bullish setup has emerged on GBP/JPY, with recent price action suggesting bullish momentum is building. With GBP strengthening against USD, GBP/JPY may present a higher-probability bullish scenario compared to USD/JPY in the near term (though this also looks bullish to my eyes over the near term). GBP/JPY held above key moving averages midweek. GBP/JPY failed to close below its 200-day SMA on both Wednesday and Thursday, while yesterday’s session also respected support at the 50-day EMA and the 192.00 handle. Momentum indicators support the bullish case, with the daily RSI trading above 50 after rebounding from its most oversold level in six weeks. As long as prices hold above Thursday’s low, bulls may look for a retest of the cycle highs near 196.00. ** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in >30 minutes ** Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
GBPJPYHello traders, There’s currently a solid Sell opportunity on GBPJPY. I’ve already entered this trade, and if the price moves into drawdown, I’ll apply my Smart Pullback Entry model to scale up the position with a higher lot size. 🔍 Trade Details: ✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell ✔️ Entry Price: 193.199 ✔️ Take Profit: 192.908 ✔️ Stop Loss: 193.393 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m sharing a trade I’m personally taking based on my own strategy, strictly for educational purposes. 📌 Interested in a more systematic and data-driven approach to trading? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated with future setups and detailed market insights.
Short
by Nurlan_PT
Gbp/Jpy Intra-day Analysis 19-May-2025Price action on GBP/JPY has shown upward momentum after reaching the 193 level and failing to break below it. Possible scenarios include: • A retest of the 193.6 area, where failure to close below this level could suggest continued bullish pressure. In such a case, attention may shift toward the 194.7 region as a potential level of interest. Sustained momentum could see the pair approach the 196 area, though a move back toward 193.6 remains possible if upward pressure fades • Around 196, price behavior could become more reactive. This area may attract interest from market participants watching for signs of reversal, particularly if technical patterns suggest a slowdown in upward momentum. Should that occur, a move toward 194.8 may come into focus. Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
IT DEPENDS WHAT HAPPENS 1ST! GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25IT DEPENDS WHAT HAPPENS 1ST! GBPJPY SHORT FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
GBPJPYGBP/JPY Interest Rate Differential and Bond Yield Overview (May 2025) Interest Rate Differential Bank of England (BoE): Current policy rate around 4.25%, with markets pricing in potential gradual rate cuts later in 2025 but with caution from BoE officials about premature easing. Inflation remains somewhat sticky, and the BoE may keep rates higher for longer, limiting GBP downside. Bank of Japan (BoJ): Policy rate at 0.50%, the highest in 17 years, with a gradual tightening path expected. BoJ remains cautious but signals further hikes as inflation and wage growth support normalization. Japan’s economy contracted by 0.2% QoQ and 0.7% YoY in Q1 2025, but BoJ’s hawkish tilt supports JPY strength. Differential: The interest rate gap favors GBP by roughly 3.75–4.00%, but narrowing as BoJ tightens policy. This differential has historically supported GBP/JPY strength, but recent BoJ hawkishness has limited GBP gains. Bond Yield Dynamics UK 10-Year Gilt Yield: Around 4.44% in April 2025, volatile due to fiscal uncertainties and global bond market swings. Yield movements influenced by BoE’s slow easing and UK’s fiscal outlook. Japanese Government Bond (JGB) 10-Year Yield: Approximately 1.32% as of April 2025, up from previous lows but still low relative to UK yields. BoJ’s cautious policy normalization and reduced bond purchases have pushed yields higher. Yield Spread: The spread between UK Gilts and JGBs remains wide (~3.1%), supporting GBP/JPY’s carry trade appeal but with some compression due to BoJ tightening. Market and Technical Outlook GBP/JPY weakened to around 193.40 recently amid Japan’s Q1 GDP contraction but rebounded near 193.50 as BoE officials warned against aggressive rate cuts. BoJ’s hawkish signals and Japan’s economic contraction have strengthened JPY, creating headwinds for GBP/JPY. Market expectations of BoE’s slower rate cuts and BoJ’s gradual hikes create a complex dynamic, limiting GBP/JPY upside. Divergent monetary policies continue to drive volatility, with the pair sensitive to shifts in BoE and BoJ guidance. Summary Table Factor GBP Impact JPY Impact GBP/JPY Bias BoE Rate (4.25%, cautious) Supports GBP, limits losses – Mildly bullish BoJ Rate (0.50%, tightening) – Strengthens JPY Bearish pressure on GBP/JPY UK 10-Year Gilt Yield (~4.44%) Supports GBP carry – Bullish JGB 10-Year Yield (~1.32%) – Supports JPY yield advantage Bearish pressure Japan Q1 GDP contraction Weakens GBP/JPY Strengthens JPY Bearish Conclusion GBP/JPY is influenced by a still favorable but narrowing interest rate differential, with BoE’s cautious stance on rate cuts supporting GBP, while BoJ’s gradual tightening and Japan’s economic contraction bolster the yen. The bond yield spread remains supportive of GBP/JPY but is compressing. Near term, the pair faces resistance around 193.50, with downside risks if JPY safe-haven demand intensifies or BoE signals faster easing. Traders should watch BoE and BoJ policy updates closely for directional cues.
by Shavyfxhub
GBP/JPY Elliott Wave Completion + AO Divergence @ Zone 4.23 | BUHey traders! 👋 Here’s an exciting setup on GBP/JPY (1H) — we might be at the early stage of a major reversal, and you’ll want this on your radar. Let's break it down with Elliott Wave theory, the Awesome Oscillator (AO), and some powerful Fibonacci confluence. 🧠 Elliott Wave Count – 5-Wave Impulse Completed We have a clean 5-wave bearish impulsive structure: 1️⃣ Wave (1): Sharp drop kicks off the trend. 2️⃣ Wave (2): Classic pullback, respecting structure. 3️⃣ Wave (3): Longest and most powerful wave down. 4️⃣ Wave (4): Corrective triangle/flat with weakening bear momentum. 5️⃣ Wave (5): Final push into a key demand zone, but lacks strength. 🛑 What makes this special? Wave (5) lands right into “Zone 4.23” — a Fibonacci extension (423.6%) of the corrective leg — acting as a magnet for price exhaustion. 📊 AO Divergence – Early Warning Signal! Check the Awesome Oscillator (AO): Price makes lower lows (Wave 3 → Wave 5) AO makes higher lows — textbook bullish divergence 🔍 This is smart money exhaustion: the bears are running out of steam, even though price is still pushing lower. When momentum diverges from price, a reversal is highly probable. 📌 ZONE 4.23 – Fibonacci Confluence + Demand Zone This zone (191.900 – 192.300) is no ordinary support. It combines: 📐 423.6% Fibonacci extension (a powerful exhaustion level) 🟦 Historical demand zone from previous impulsive rally 🤖 Price reacting instantly on touch = algorithmic buying likely ⚠️ What Comes Next – Break of Structure (BOS) = Entry Trigger We’re not rushing in blindly. Here’s the plan: Wait for BOS: Price must break above Wave (4) structure (~193.200). AO flips green: Extra confirmation of new bullish momentum. Retest of BOS or Zone 4.23: That’s our golden buy entry. Target Zone: Use Fibonacci retracement of full Wave 1–5 down. First targets: 🎯 38.2% = 193.800 🎯 61.8% = 194.900 🎯 Full correction = 196.000+ 🎯 Conclusion: This Is a Setup with EDGE ✅ Completed Elliott Wave ✅ AO Divergence = Hidden strength ✅ Fibonacci 4.23 Confluence ✅ Demand Zone bounce ✅ Clear BOS-based entry plan 🔥 Are You Ready for the Reversal? Drop a comment if you're watching this setup too 👇 Like ❤️ + Follow if you want more clean, actionable Elliott Wave + AO confluence setups like this! 📈 Let’s catch the move before the crowd reacts. #GBPJPY #ElliottWave #AO #Divergence #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BuySetup #SmartMoney #Fib4.23 #BreakOfStructure #TrendReversal
Long
by AwesomeOscDad
Lingrid | GBPJPY potential Short-Term RetracementFX:GBPJPY broke above the March high but immediately reversed, forming a fake breakout paired with bearish divergence. This signals potential exhaustion as the pair sits near the upper boundary of the resistance zone. A pullback toward 194.200 or deeper into the 192 area appears increasingly likely. 📌 Key Levels Support level: 192.338 Invalidation level: Above 196.500 Target area: 194.200 and possibly 192.338 ⚠️ Risks Continued bullish pressure could invalidate the bearish reversal setup A sustained hold above 196 would point to trend continuation toward 198+ Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
7
WHERE PRICE GOES...WE FOLLOW GBPJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25WHERE PRICE GOES...WE FOLLOW GBPJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block rejection ✅Daily order block rejection ✅Intraday 15' order blocks ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
GBPJPY: Weekly overview + Significant zonesHello dear traders, The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones. These points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray. After reacting to the following zones, you can enter the trade. Place the stop loss slightly above/below the zone to which the reaction was shown. The profit point is the next zone. The drawn channels and their medians can also be considered as moving support and resistance. I usually use them as target points. I've doubled the short-term channel because it was so thin ;-). * I don't use 189.663 zone to take short! There are too many moving S&R around it. This analysis is valid until the end of the week. ************************************** Important news that could change the direction of the trade: Wed: Great Britain CPI of April.
Long
by AliSignals