GBP/JPY at the Edge! Bounce or Breakdown? The weekly chart of GBP/JPY reveals a highly volatile scenario, with a recent bearish expansion pushing the price back toward a key support zone between 185.00 and 188.30 — an area that has been defended multiple times in the past. After an attempted recovery toward the supply zone between 194.00 and 195.00, the pair encountered heavy selling pressure, failing to break out and sharply reversing.
From a technical perspective, the move suggests a possible swing failure above local highs, with the current weekly candle confirming a return below resistance. Price action is now within a critical area: if the current support holds, we could see a technical rebound with interim targets at 191.40 and potentially back toward 194.00. However, a breakdown below 185.00 would open the door to deeper correction, with possible extensions toward 182.00 and 180.00 — both zones marked by previous accumulation.
The RSI, after dipping into oversold territory, is now attempting a reaction, indicating that buyers are trying to regain control, though the structure remains fragile. Strategically, this phase demands caution: aggressive longs may seek confirmation of reversal above current lows, while bearish traders should closely watch for a confirmed breakdown below support. The 188.30 to 191.40 price range will be key to monitoring the next directional move.
JPYGBP trade ideas
GBPJPY BUY TRADING SETUP IDEAGBPJPY Trade Outlook (30m TF) – Bullish Continuation Setup📈
Following an aggressive bullish impulse yesterday that saw GBPJPY rally nearly 200 pips, price decisively continue breaking structure at 189.95, signaling a clear shift in order flow.
Currently, the market appears to be in a corrective phase, retracing into a well-defined demand zone between 189.15 - 188.80 which align perfectly with a bullish order block and ascending trendline support, maintaining the bullish structure.
As long as price holds above 188.80, I remain bullish on this pair, anticipating a continuation towards the 192.00+ premium zone, where further reaction or distribution may occur.
Market bias: Bullish
Trade idea: Wait for a reaction within the demand zones, confirm with bullish intent, and target higher liquidity zones above 191.50.
Stay patient, trust your zones, and always manage risk.
#RYKERSMCPREMIUM #Rykerkain
Buy-the-Dip Setup on GBP/JPY with Target at Previous HighGBP/JPY is currently trading at 188.85, within a corrective move but still preserving its bullish structure, as long as price remains above the 178.00 support floor. The zone between 184.57 and 178.03 marks a strong weekly demand area, which aligns with previous consolidation and demand before impulsive moves.
The price is below the Ichimoku cloud (Span A: 190.90, Span B: 192.93), indicating short-term bearish momentum. However, this could simply be a retracement within a larger bullish trend, especially since the market has not yet broken structure to the downside.
Trend Strength Index (TSI) readings show a clear loss of momentum:
TSI(10): -0.62
TSI(20): -0.56
These values are near oversold levels, increasing the likelihood of a bullish reversal, especially within a key demand zone. Liquidity above recent local highs may serve as fuel for a breakout if bulls reclaim key levels near the cloud base.
If price confirms support at 184–178, the bullish setup targets a return to the previous swing high at 208.11. This would offer a highly favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the invalidation clearly placed below 178.00.
Trade Setup Summary:
Long Entry Zone: 184.57 – 178.03
Stop Loss: Below 178.00
Target: 208.11 (previous high)
Structure Bias: Bullish above 178.00
The British pound remains relatively strong as the Bank of England signals caution before cutting rates, contrasting with Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy. While the yen remains fundamentally weak, there is always potential for temporary JPY strength due to risk-off flows. However, unless the BoJ surprises with policy shifts, GBP/JPY continues to favor upside on both structural and macroeconomic grounds.
Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not represent financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Trading involves risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose.
GBPJPY – Breakout Buy Setup (Macro Alignment)GBPJPY long setup backed by rising LEI, strong macro trend, JPY weakness, and bullish seasonal window approaching after April 24.
Waiting for breakout confirmation above resistance to validate entry.
🧠 Macro + Model Alignment
LEI score rising → 33 (April), macro outlook improving
Exo+LEI = 1153 → strong bullish signal
JPY COT: Overbought → reversal risk
GBP fundamentals outperform JPY across April
Seasonality: GBP bearish till April 24, then bullish into month-end
📌 Best entry window = April 25+
📊 Technical Setup – 1H Chart
Price testing key resistance zone ~190.00
Watching for breakout & candle close above resistance for confirmation
Clear R:R with defined structure zones
📥 Entry: Break and close above 190.284
⛔ Stop Loss: 187.414
🎯 Take Profit: 192.608
🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2+
Confirmation required before entry ✅
#GBPJPY: Will JPY Drop or Continue The Bullish Trend? As JPY strengthens, all ‘XXXJPY’ pairs sold heavily. This trade war scenario is uncertain, so it brings significant risk. If strong news supports the US DOLLAR, we’ll likely see a sharp price drop. Use accurate risk management and analyse before blindly following any advice.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best.
Thanks for your support and love.
Team Setupsfx_
Am I receiving inaccurate data on my charts?
On April 9, 2025, I conducted a chart analysis and drew a vertical line labeled WLQ (Weekly Liquidity). The following week, I observed what appeared to be a wick touching the WLQ line. I initially blamed myself for being careless and possibly overlooking this detail. However, I was fairly confident that I hadn’t made such an error.
A day or two later, upon revisiting the chart, I noticed that the wick was no longer visible and that the line was placed accurately, just as I had originally drawn it. This inconsistency was quite surprising, so I took a screenshot as evidence.
Given this experience, I’m beginning to question whether I'm receiving inaccurate or inconsistent data on my charts. Has anyone else encountered something similar, or could there be another explanation for this?
GJ-Tue-22/04/25 TDA-Money flowing into Gold, Yen not much!Analysis done directly on the chart
GJ not breaking out, stucking inside this wide range.
It's hard to have good setups, if you are not already
in the trade. Best and safest way to deal with GJ is
just let the market range until clear structure is made.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
GBPJPY - Bullish Head & Shoulders PatternWalking you through a potential bullish head and shoulders pattern on the GBPJPY sharing with you 2 ways to tell if it's valid & where I would expect price to rally too if the pattern were to work out.
If you have any questions or comments about the setup (or anything else trading related) feel free to leave them below as i do go through and respond to each and every one.
Akil
GBPJPY Poised for Breakout: Bullish Reversal from Key Support
The GBP/JPY pair is exhibiting range-bound behavior with a neutral intraday bias. The price action is oscillating between key support and resistance levels, indicating a lack of decisive momentum in either direction
The overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, with traders eyeing the key resistance at 190.00. The recent price action suggests building momentum, but confirmation through a breakout is essential before committing to long positions.
In summary, the GBP/JPY pair is at a critical juncture. The alignment of technical indicators and market structures supports the potential for a bullish continuation, but traders should await confirmation through a break above key resistance levels
As always, we’ll stay reactive and follow price action confirmation and update the VIP members timely. No chasing — just smart, structured trades.
Let’s stay patient and ready.
Stick to the plan, Forex Mind Empire
GBP/JPY: Bearish Bias Pushes Price Toward Key Support LevelOver the last three trading weeks, the GBP/JPY pair has depreciated by more than 3%, establishing a firm bearish bias in favor of the yen in the short term. This perspective has remained intact primarily due to growing expectations of a more dovish monetary policy from the Bank of England, which left its interest rate unchanged at 4.5% in its latest meeting. Markets now anticipate a 25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming May 8 meeting, potentially bringing the rate down to 4.25%.
This expectation is supported by the fact that inflation in the UK currently stands at 2.6%, close to the central bank’s 2% target, further justifying the possibility of additional rate cuts in the short term. Lower interest rates in the UK reduce the appeal of GBP-denominated assets, which in turn can drive selling pressure on the pound.
Safe-Haven Demand for the Yen
It is also important to note that the Japanese yen is historically seen as a safe-haven currency, due to its relative stability compared to other major currencies. As the global tariff conflict intensifies and economic growth prospects weaken, demand for the yen is likely to increase further in the short term. This dynamic could lead to continued downside pressure on GBP/JPY.
Broad Sideways Channel Still Intact
Since August 2024, GBP/JPY has traded within a well-defined sideways channel, with resistance around 198.676 and support near 186.932. Recent bearish moves have not been strong enough to break below this key support, suggesting that this lateral formation remains the dominant structure for upcoming sessions.
Indicators Show Growing Neutrality:
MACD:
The MACD histogram is currently sitting around the neutral 0 line, indicating that the average momentum of recent moving averages remains in balance, with no dominant force in either direction.
RSI:
A similar situation is seen in the RSI, which is hovering near the neutral 50 zone. This reflects a constant balance between buying and selling pressure.
Together, these indicators suggest persistent neutrality, likely due to the strong support zone that the price is currently testing.
Key Levels to Watch:
190.14: A near-term resistance level, aligned with the Ichimoku cloud barrier. A bounce toward this level could reactivate short-term bullish momentum.
192.493: A significant resistance, located at the convergence of the 100- and 200-period moving averages. A return to this area could reinforce the validity of the sideways channel still visible on the chart.
186.93: Key support level, located at the lower boundary of the broad sideways range. Bearish moves that manage to break below this level could mark the beginning of a much more significant downtrend in the upcoming sessions.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
GBPJPY - Sell Opportunity Following Resistance Test?Based on the 4-hour chart of GBP/JPY, the pair has been consolidating within a range after a significant decline from the 195.00 area. The currency is currently testing resistance around the 189.00 level, marked by the blue highlighted zone. We anticipate a temporary break above this consolidation zone as price completes a correction, which would offer an attractive selling opportunity. Traders should watch for price action confirmation after the break above the zone before entering short positions, as the broader trend appears to remain bearish.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Looking for a potential short entry on GBP/JPYConsider entering a short trade around the current pConfirmation: Look for bearish confirmation before entering the trade. Avoid shorting directly into resistance without signs of rejection.rice level
Adjustments: Be prepared to adjust your stop-loss or take-profit levels based on evolving price action.