GBPJPY 1H ShortAppears price is making a head and shoulders or an ugly wedge. I’m looking at a tp of 186.15. Everything is still pointing down except the higher timeframes.
JPYGBP trade ideas
GBPJPY scenario 25/02/2025English description
We can see that the AMD model has formed, and we will wait for another one to develop before going bearish during the distribution phase.
Moroccan Darija description
kachofo bli deja kan 3andna whd AMD model db kantsanaw wahd akhor iban lina apres ndekhlo sell f la phase dyal distribution .
ATTENTION : I SHARE JUST MY IDEAS, NOT A SIGNELS
GBPJPY: Channel Down on its new bullish wave.GBPJPY is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.292, MACD = -0.960, ADX = 36.514) as since the February 13th LH and rejection near the 1D MA50, it was been on its new bearish wave. The 1D RSI doesn't give a buy signal until it hits its S1 Zone, so we remain bearish on this pair with a typical TP = 185.500, unless the RSI hits S1 first, in which case you'll be encouraged to take profit earlier.
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GBP/JPY 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This GBP/JPY 1-hour chart presents a bullish trade setup, suggesting an upward move. Here's the analysis:
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone: Price has bounced from a strong support level near 188.432 - 189.081, indicating potential buying interest.
2. Bullish Projection: The black arrow suggests an expected rise toward the 191.041 - 191.086 resistance zone.
3. Risk-Reward Setup:
Entry: Near 189.110
Take Profit (TP): Around 191.086
Stop Loss (SL): Below 188.432, ensuring risk management.
4. Market Structure: A higher low formation suggests a shift to bullish momentum.
Trade Idea:
A long (buy) position is expected to reach 191.086, provided price holds above support. A break below 188.432 may invalidate this setup.
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GBP/JPY shortWe are still in a bearish market at 4H and 1D. Currently we have a strong resistance at 189,3-189,5 which we are not able to close above and we just filled FVG gap formed by a sharp fall. I sold a little bit earlier at 189.1. I am looking for retesting previous support and collecting strong OB. I see possibility of reverse from 188.8 where several FVG gaps lie together on different TF and because of double bottom formed. But I believe RR is good enough for taking this risk.
Entry 189.1
SL 189.65
TP 187,4
Good luck
GJ result/continuationTook 90% of my trade out, left a runner and set break even. I still believe it will continue going down.
GBPJPY - LongGBPJPY has formed double bottom divergence.
If price breaks LH, sellers will be in control.
Entry is at the breakout of LH.
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Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
Buy entry above 192.500
Sell Entry below 187.000
However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
-Thief SL placed at 189.000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
-Thief SL placed at 189.000 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
-Bullish Robbers Primary TP 197.000 / Secondary TP 201.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
-Bearish Robbers TP 184.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook:
GBP/JPY "The Beast" Forex market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bearishness)., driven by several key factors.
🟠Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: BoE likely cutting to 4-4.5%; BoJ at 0.25-0.5%, supporting GBP/JPY upside mildly.
Inflation: UK at 2.5-3%, Japan at 2-2.5%, capping GBP strength, mildly boosting JPY.
Growth: UK GDP 1-1.5%, Japan ~1%, both modest, JPY favored in risk-off.
Trade/Geopolitics: U.S. tariffs may boost JPY, UK less exposed.
Energy: Stable oil prices (~$70) neutral for JPY.
🟤Macroeconomic Factors
USD Strength: Pressures GBP/JPY, JPY gains in risk-off.
Global Growth: 3% in 2025, U.S./China slowdown favors JPY.
UK Risks: BoE easing weakens GBP.
Japan Risks: Policy tolerance limits JPY gains.
🔴COT Data
Speculators: Net short JPY (~150,000 contracts), fading bearishness.
Hedgers: Net long JPY (~100,000), expect strength.
Trend: JPY bottoming, potential GBP/JPY decline.
🟣Market Sentiment
Retail: 70% short GBP/JPY, contrarian upside risk.
Social Media: Bearish GBP/JPY, JPY optimism.
Broker Data: 65% long, overcrowded, reversal possible.
🟡Positioning Analysis
Speculators: Moderating JPY shorts, bearish GBP/JPY.
Retail: Short cluster at 190.00, squeeze risk.
Institutions: Eye 184.000 target.
🔵Next Trend Move
Technical: Below 50/200 SMA (194.23/193.20), bearish.
Short-Term: Down to 185.00-183.00.
Medium-Term: Range 175.94-190.00.
Triggers: UK data up to 192.00, JPY strength to 180.00.
🟢Overall Summary Outlook
GBP/JPY at 189.000 reflects a tug-of-war between a weakening GBP (due to BoE easing and UK growth risks) and a cautiously strengthening JPY (safe-haven flows, modest BoJ tightening). Fundamentals favor a mild JPY edge, supported by macro trends like U.S. tariff impacts and global slowdown risks. COT data hints at a JPY bottoming, while sentiment and positioning suggest overcrowding in shorts, risking a brief squeeze.
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Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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GBPJPY pt 3 Strong move to the downside early into the trade hopefully take profit get reached soon.
Gbpjpy 24 Feb 2025I still think we're heading low , more especially since price is failling to move above the imbalance area and the trend on the higher time frame still shows more bearish movement.
GBPJPY pt 2Just got an entry in on GBPJPY which is a 75% trade according to our trading plan. Hopefully price can keep this momentum as we are only looking for a 1:1.2 RR this trade.
Possible buy b4 overall sellDo we see gj give us a nice push to the topside to clarify our characteristic sells or do we disrespect the overal bias fill wics below as I planned and give us some better buying opportunities. This is what I want
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
GBPJPY jumps above 190.50The GBP/JPY pair climbs to around 190.70 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The British Pound (GBP) gains strength against the Japanese Yen (JPY) following the release of the UK's January Retail Sales data.
The Office for National Statistics reported on Friday that UK Retail Sales rose by 1.7% month-on-month in January, compared to a decline of 0.3% in December. This figure exceeded the market's expectation of a 0.3% increase. On a yearly basis, Retail Sales grew by 1.0% in January, compared to a previously revised increase of 2.8% (originally 3.6%), surpassing the forecast of 0.6%. The GBP remains strong in immediate response to the positive UK Retail Sales figures.
GJ 30mIt will look weird because I'm doing it from my phone rather than my computer but the pattern is there. It created external liquidity, market structure shift, and now internal liquidity which aligns with an FVG that's respecting and fib retracement. 😎🤙🏽
GBPJPY NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move)(mid term)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Anup Bias (Mid term)
Current price- 189.300
"if Price stay below 192.000 then next target is 185.000 and 181.300 and below that 195.000.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position.
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gbpjpy buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 4-hour analysis,GBP/JPY (British Pound / Japanese Yen) 4-hour analysis on OANDA, incorporating key technical levels:
Key Levels & Zones:
• Entry Zone: 189.198 - 189.241, acting as a potential buy area.
• Support Zone: 187.295 - 187.948, marked in red, indicating a strong support area.
• Resistance Levels:
• 190.374 (first target)
• 191.926 (second target)
• 193.052 (major resistance level)
Price Projection & Analysis:
• The price is currently testing the entry zone, suggesting a potential bounce from this level.
• If the price holds above 189.198, a bullish move towards 190.374 and beyond is expected.
• A break below 187.921 could lead to further downside towards 187.295 or lower.
Short GBPJPY intradaySupply zone in line with Fibbo 61.8
overall trend is downtrend
Favorable RR ratio
Gbpjpy giving more signs of potential sellsStill believe we are in a sell trend more especially after breaking structure, we might pottentialy see the imbalance being closed before finally heading lower ,
Share your insight
Mon 24th Feb 2025 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
LONG ON GBP/JPYPrice has change structure from down to up on the lower timeframe from a major support/demand zone.
The Jpy index is currently falling from a major resistance zone.
I am buying GJ to the next supply area/zone for about 150-200 pips
GBP/JPY Analysis – 1H & Daily TimeframesCurrent Price: ¥188.48
1-Hour (H1) Chart Analysis:
📌 Downtrend in Play – GBP/JPY is trading within a descending trendline (red), showing continuous lower highs and lower lows.
📌 Support Around ¥188.00 – The pair found temporary support near ¥188.00, aligning with the green trendline, indicating potential buying interest at this level.
📌 Resistance at ¥190.00 – The descending trendline and recent price action suggest that ¥190.00 is a key resistance zone. Any upside move could face rejection here.
📌 Indicators:
✔️ Price remains below short-term moving averages, confirming bearish momentum.
✔️ A break above ¥190.00 would be needed to shift momentum toward bullish recovery.
✔️ A breakdown below ¥188.00 could open doors to ¥186.50 or lower.
H1 Prediction:
📉 Bearish Scenario: If GBP/JPY fails to break above ¥190.00, expect further downside toward ¥188.00 and possibly ¥186.50.
📈 Bullish Scenario: A break above ¥190.00 could trigger a rally toward ¥192.00, but strong resistance exists at the trendline.
Daily (D1) Chart Analysis:
📌 Strong Downtrend Since ¥200.00 – GBP/JPY has been in a bearish structure, consistently rejecting from lower highs.
📌 Bearish Wick Rejection – Recent price action shows a bearish wick, indicating selling pressure at higher levels.
📌 Descending Triangle Formation – The pair is forming a descending triangle, with lower highs and support around ¥185.00 - ¥186.00 (blue horizontal line).
📌 Indicators:
✔️ The trend remains bearish as price trades below key resistance levels and moving averages.
✔️ If ¥185.00 - ¥186.00 support breaks, expect further downside to ¥180.00.
✔️ A bullish reversal is possible only if ¥192.00 is breached.
D1 Prediction:
📉 Bearish Scenario: If GBP/JPY continues to reject lower highs, expect ¥186.00 - ¥185.00 to be tested soon. A break below this could send price toward ¥180.00.
📈 Bullish Scenario: A break and close above ¥192.00 would signal a trend shift toward ¥195.00+.
Final Outlook:
🚨 Overall Bias: Bearish
🔸 Short-Term (H1): Watching for a retest of ¥190.00 resistance or further downside toward ¥188.00.
🔸 Long-Term (D1): GBP/JPY remains bearish unless it breaks above ¥192.00.
💡 Strategy:
✅ For sellers: Look for rejections at ¥190.00 and target ¥186.00.
✅ For buyers: Wait for a confirmed breakout above ¥192.00 before considering a long position.
📊 GBP/JPY remains in a clear downtrend—until key resistances break, the trend favors the bears! 🚨
