JPYGBP trade ideas
GBPJPY: Bearish Forecast & Outlook
Looking at the chart of GBPJPY right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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GBP/JPYGBP/JPY has been bullish since April, since then price has reached a significant key area at 199.000-200.000. Over the next few days/weeks i shall be watching this pair to see if price rejects this key zone or if its able to push through. This will determine my next move as to whether we go short or long.
GBPJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D7 W28 Y25GBPJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D7 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GJ| - Bullish Flow Maintained |Continuation into Next Week Pair: GBPJPY
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 4H, 1H, 30M
• 4H structure remains clean and bullish — no break in flow. Price is still respecting HTF order and momentum.
• 30M gave us that deeper SSL sweep, likely grabbing the early buyers and fast hands. But we stayed patient and followed the structure.
• 1H shows my view clearly — bullish pressure confirmed with reaction from OB and shift in momentum.
🔹 Entry: After sweep of SSL into demand (OB)
🔹 Entry Zone: Green zone marked — same level from earlier in the week
🔹 Target: Near structure highs — letting price flow up clean
Mindset: Week played out with precision. All levels still valid going into next week — no need to erase, just observe how price continues to respect our framework.
Bless Trading!
GBP/JPY Bears Eye Drop to 195GBP/JPY closed lower for a third day on Wednesday, with bearish momentum increasing thanks to political tensions in the UK and dovish comments from BOE voting members.
While the daily RSI (2) is oversold, there could still be room for a move to 195 over the near term. Its less than a day’s trading range away using recent volatility levels, and it also sits near the bullish trendline from the May low.
The 1-hour chart shows prices are drifting higher in an apparent corrective fashion, yet prices remain in the lower third of Wednesday’s range. I suspect bears will seek to fade into any pops higher in anticipation of another drop towards 195, near the daily S1 pivot, weekly S and rising trendline.
Should GBP/JPY drop to the lower target area, how prices react could provide clues over its potential to use the level as a springboard or break lower from that pivotal zone.
Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GBPJPY Wave Analysis – 9 July 2025- GBPJPY reversed from long-term resistance level 199.65
- Likely to fall to support level 198.00
GBPJPY currency pair recently reversed from the strong long-term resistance level 199.65 (former strong resistance from October, November and July) standing near the upper daily Bollinger Band.
The downward reversal from the resistance level 199.65 is likely to form the daily Shooting Star reversal pattern.
Given the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic indicator and the strength of the resistance level 199.65, GBPJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 198.00.
GBPJPY - BUYUS ADP Numbers came in worse than expected means economy contraction the real numbers look like they are flowing through now they can only fudge the numbers for so long
My opinion Trump has told them make sure the numbers look good
Revisions on Job openings have all been revised down over the last 4 months they lie through their teeth until the facts are so obvious even they have to give in with the lies.
Anyway all currencies reacted of course
GBP quite strongly across the board
GBP has been very strong
Trend is up long term
Classic Return to Previous Level if u ask me
Lets see
GBP/JPY Shifts to Bearish Trend – Key Levels to MonitorGBP/JPY Shifts to Bearish Trend – Key Levels to Monitor
The GBP/JPY pair has entered a confirmed bearish trend structure, with the formation of a lower low signaling increasing selling pressure. This technical development suggests the currency pair may continue its downward trajectory in upcoming trading sessions, presenting potential shorting opportunities for traders.
Bearish Confirmation
The recent lower low formation serves as a classic technical confirmation of bearish momentum. This pattern indicates sellers are successfully pushing prices below previous support levels, establishing a new downward trajectory. The breakdown follows what appears to be exhaustion of the prior bullish trend, with bears now taking control of market direction.
Downside Targets
The pair now eyes potential support levels at:
- 196.300 (immediate target)
- 194.300 (secondary objective)
These levels may provide temporary support, but a decisive break below could accelerate the decline. Traders should watch for potential bearish continuation patterns or reversal signals around these zones.
Key Resistance
The 198.900 level now stands as critical resistance. Any corrective rallies toward this zone:
- May attract fresh selling pressure
- Could offer potential short entry opportunities
- Would need to be decisively broken to invalidate the bearish outlook
Market Considerations
Several factors could influence GBP/JPY's movement:
- Bank of England vs. Bank of Japan policy divergence
- Risk sentiment in global markets
- UK economic data releases
Trading Strategy
With the bearish structure confirmed, traders might consider:
- Short positions on rallies toward resistance
- Tight stop-losses above 198.900
- Profit-taking near support levels
The bearish outlook remains valid unless price reclaims and sustains above the 198.900 resistance level. As always, proper risk management is essential when trading this volatile currency pair.
GBPJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25GBPJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
GBPJPY Long – Deep Sweep Reversal from 196.786 Sellside Liquidit
Price swept major sellside liquidity at 196.786, forming the deepest leg of a broader structural draw during London session. Entry followed a clean W pattern formation and bullish reaction from deep discount territory. This setup aligned with structure, liquidity engineering, and session timing. Trade captured a reversal opportunity with price lifting from the sweep zone and targeting EQ/premium within the intraday box.
Can the pound-yen maintain its uptrend?Fundamental:
BoE Governor Bailey signaled potential rate cuts ahead, with markets expecting a 0.25% rate cut in Aug. Political uncertainty persists as UK PM Starmer scaled back on welfare reforms amid a party rebellion, adding to fiscal caution. Trade tensions intensified as US President Trump threatened new tariffs on Japan and demanded greater agricultural access.
Technicals:
GBPJPY retreated from recent highs following a break above the ascending channel's upper bound. If GBPJPY rebounds from the support at 196.50, the price could extend its rally to the psychological resistance at 200.00. Conversely, a break below 196.50 could prompt a decline to the following support at 193.80.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
GBP_JPY WILL GROW|LONG|
✅GBP_JPY made a pullback
From the resistance above just
As we predicted, however, the
Pair made a retest of the horizontal
Support below around 196.500 and
We are already seeing a beautiful
Rebound so as the pair is in the
Uptrend we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GJ Potentially BearishHi there,
We take another look at GJ. I see an ascending channel pattern with GBP/JPY trading within parallel trendlines. The pair respected both the upper and lower boundaries of this bullish channel, with the current price action showing consolidation near the upper resistance around 198.20 levels.
🎙️ **Key Support and Resistance Levels**
We have critical levels at the time of this writing as following:
- **Immediate Support**: 197.30 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement level) and 196.434 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement)
- **Major Support**: 194.0 37 representing the main channel support
- **Resistance**: 198.80 acting as the primary obstacle.
- **Extended Target**: 199.55 as the next potential bullish objective
**Wave Structure Analysis**
We have ABC wave pattern, with the pair seeming to have completed a Wave (C) bullish rally and now forming a temporary retracement. The current consolidation suggests the pair is "catching its breath" before a breakout.
## 🎲 Some Fundamental Highlights Appealing to Bullish Bias:
**1. Bank of England's Cautious Easing Stance**
BoE Governor Bailey has signaled a "gradual and careful" approach to monetary policy, pointing to sticky inflation concerns while acknowledging a softening labor market with over 100,000 fewer payrolled workers in May. This measured approach is keeping the British Pound supported near year-to-date highs.
**2. Bank of Japan's Divided Policy Response**
The BoJ remains cautious despite rising inflationary pressures, with Governor Ueda maintaining a data-dependent approach. While hawkish board member Naoki Tamura suggests "decisive" rate hikes may be needed, the central bank's measured pace at just 0.5% rates keeps the Yen defensive against stronger currencies.
**3. Inflation Dynamics Favoring GBP**
Japan's Consumer Price Index has surged due to higher food and energy costs, yet the BoJ's hesitant response contrasts with the BoE's more proactive stance on inflation management. This divergence in central bank responses to inflation is supporting GBP strength against the Yen.
**4. Upcoming Japanese Economic Data Releases**
Key Japanese economic indicators are scheduled for release, including June Tokyo CPI, May Unemployment Rate, and Retail Trade data. These releases could provide clarity on the BoJ's future policy direction and potentially impact the Yen's performance against the Pound.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.