GBPJPY: Break, Retest, Boom ?Eyes on GBPJPY, Bulls Loading Up?
Price is respecting a clear ascending trendline on the 4H timeframe. After breaking through a minor Resistance Level, it looks set to pull back for a retest before continuing higher. The next target lies in the higher supply zone around the 192.500 193.000 area. As long as the trendline holds, the bullish bias remains intact.
⚠️ Not a financial advice
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JPYGBP trade ideas
GBP/JPY Hourly Analysis & Scalping Perspective 10:30pm 4/24Looking at the GBP/JPY 1-hour chart, I see price currently hovering around 190.164, showing mild bullish momentum but still respecting key resistance levels. Here’s my breakdown:
Market Structure & Key Zones:
Price has been bouncing between 190.00 and 190.40, suggesting a short-term consolidation phase.
190.30-190.40 is acting as a liquidity zone—if buyers can push through this level, we could see upside toward 190.60-190.75.
On the flip side, 190.00 remains a psychological support level, and a break below it could lead to a sweep toward 189.70-189.50, where previous demand has existed.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI (1-hour): 45.09 → Momentum is neutral, meaning price isn’t aggressively overbought or oversold.
CCI (1-hour): 81.05 → Mild bullish strength, but nothing parabolic yet.
Stochastic RSI (1-hour): 100.0 → This is overbought, which signals a possible pullback before further upside.
Directional Strength:
ADX (1-hour): 13.28 → Weak trend strength, confirming the possibility of range-bound movement.
DX (1-hour): 3.67 → Not an explosive directional move yet, meaning a breakout needs confirmation.
Scalping Plan:
Bullish Play: If price breaks 190.40, my next upside targets are 190.60-190.75.
Bearish Play: A rejection from 190.30-190.40 could drive price back toward 190.00 or lower.
Liquidity Grab Scenario: If price sweeps below 190.00, institutional absorption might trigger a strong reversal, making 189.70-189.50 a potential buying zone.
At this point, I’m watching price action closely—especially around 190.30—for signs of buyer exhaustion or a sudden momentum shift. Would I enter a trade right now? Not just yet. I’d want further confirmation, possibly volume profile analysis, to see if institutions are positioned for continuation or a reversal.
GJ-Thu-24/04/25 TDA-Potential GJ buy!Analysis done directly on the chart
If you want to scalp, at least for me just
stick to one or max two pairs. You get familiar
with the pair, understanding its moves and
focusing on qualitative trades than quantitative.
Not financial advice, DYOR.
Market Flow Strategy
Mister Y
Two different methods Looking at the chart it broke through first one retraced backed from it’s resistance point made retested made another triangle Broke again moved upward retested resistance the lows are also getting higher too much retesting the resistance may be it got weeker we can look for a buy
GBPJPY Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 189.024.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 187.906.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
[_] ONENTRY### **GBP/JPY - ‘2FIB Strategy’ by ONENTRY**
**Timeframe:** 30 Minutes
**Session:** London & New York
### **Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range**
- Mark the **high** and **low** of the price range between **00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT)**.
- Wait for a **clear breakout** with a candle *closing* above (for longs) or below (for shorts) this range.
### **Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels**
- After the breakout, use the **Fibonacci retracement tool**:
- **Anchor Point 1:** Start at the *close* of the breakout candle body.
- **Anchor Point 2:** Drag to the *start* of the impulse move - first candle body of the range.
- Key level for entry: **0.5 and** **0.35 retracement**.
### **Step 3: Trade Execution**
- **Entry:** Enter on a pullback to **0.5** and **0.35 Fib level** after the breakout.
- **Stop Loss :**
- *Long trades:* Below the **low of the breakout candle’s body**
- *Short trades:* Above the **high of the breakout candle’s body**.
- **Take Profit Targets:**
- **TP1:** 1.0 Fib
- **TP2:** 1.25 Fib extension.
- TP3: 1.6 FIB extension
- **TP4:** 2.3 Fib extension (runner position).
### **Step 4: Trade Management**
- Move SL to breakeven when price hits **TP1**.
- Close the running trade before midnight.
Always Test The Strategyevels**
- After the breakout, use the **Fibonacci retracement tool**:
- **Anchor Point 1:** Start at the *close* of the last impulse candle wick.
- **Anchor Point 2:** Drag to the *start* of the impulse move - first candle wick of the range.
- Key level for entry: **0.5 and** **0.35 retracement**.
### **Step 3: Trade Execution**
- **Entry:** Enter on a pullback to **0.5** and **0.35 Fib level** after the breakout.
- **Stop Loss :**
- *Long trades:* Below the **low of the breakout candle wick.**
- *Short trades:* Above the **high of the breakout candle wick.**
- **Take Profit Targets:**
- **TP1:** 1.0 Fib
- **TP2:** 1.25 Fib extension.
- TP3: 1.6 FIB extension
- **TP4:** 2.3 Fib extension (runner position).
### **Step 4: Trade Management**
- Move SL to breakeven when price hits **TP1**.
- Close the running trade before midnight.
Always Test The Strategy
New Pair under my belt, GBPJPY! Let's see how this goes.. I have been closely monitoring GBP/JPY, currently trading around 188.775. The pair has been hovering near resistance, and multiple technical indicators suggest momentum is weakening. My focus is on institutional absorption near 188.75–189.00, where price has struggled to break higher.
Examining price action, I see rejection wicks forming near resistance, confirming potential sell-side control. MACD divergence on the hourly timeframe indicates slowing momentum, and RSI is hovering around 54.69, reflecting a neutral stance rather than strong bullish continuation. ADX at 18.83 suggests the trend is weak, meaning price could be consolidating before a directional move.
Support sits near 187.50–188.00, where price has previously shown demand. If institutions absorb sell orders here, a long position toward 189.00 may develop. However, if price fails to hold above 188.75, a short trade targeting 187.50 aligns with institutional rejection patterns. With volume showing signs of clustering near resistance, the probability of a pullback is increasing.
At this point, I am watching how price reacts near key liquidity zones. If sellers continue defending 188.75, I will wait for bearish confirmation before executing a short trade. Alternatively, if price holds above 188.50 with bullish volume, I will reassess my bias for a potential breakout toward 189.50. Managing risk effectively and waiting for clear signals will be the key to executing the best trade setup.