NZDJPY to continue in the downward move?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Short term RSI is moving higher.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 85.25.
We look to Sell at 85.25 (stop at 85.55)
Our profit targets will be 84.20 and 84.00
Resistance: 85.25 / 85.70 / 86.10
Support: 84.60 / 84.20 / 84.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
JPYNZD trade ideas
NZDJPY Will Solid breakout will Formed to short term NZDJPY Technical Outlook:
NZDJPY is currently under pressure, aligning with the broader global bearish trend. On the local scale, the pair is moving within a flat range, showing signs of a pre-downtrend consolidation near a key support level.
A false breakout has already occurred, suggesting that bearish momentum may be building. Price action indicates that a retest of the 85.400 support level is likely. A repeated test of this level typically increases the probability of a breakout to the downside, potentially initiating a continuation of the decline.
Key Technical Notes:
Resistance zone : 85.400
Major Support 84.200
Keep eye on the market how the price will react Keep support with like and comments for more better analysis Thanks.
NZDJPY: Long Signal with Entry/SL/TP
NZDJPY
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy NZDJPY
Entry Level - 84.918
Sl - 84.386
Tp - 85.905
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDJPY Wave Analysis – 22 May 2025- NZDJPY reversed from resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 84.00
NZDJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 87.30 (which has been reversing the price from February, as can be seen below), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from November.
The downward reversal from the resistance zone stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (A).
Given the overriding daily downtrend, NZDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 84.00 (low of the previous minor correction B).
NZD/JPY Breaks Wedge Structure – Bearish Setup Targets 82.42NZD/JPY has broken down from a rising wedge and failed to reclaim upper support, now acting as resistance. The structure is cleanly bearish on the 4H chart, with rejection near 85.60 and a confirmed lower high. Weak New Zealand data and rising safe-haven demand for JPY add weight to this technical setup. Price looks poised to extend toward 82.42 and possibly 80.99 if momentum builds. Bearish bias is valid unless price closes above 87.17.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Chart Pattern: Rising wedge → broken → retest failed
Bear Flag: Forming below wedge base, suggesting further downside
Resistance Area: 85.60–87.17
Bearish Structure:
Lower highs and bearish candle formations
Price unable to reclaim former support trendline
Support Targets:
First TP: 84.00 – minor support, fib confluence
Second TP: 82.42 – March swing low
Final TP: 81.00 zone – next fib cluster
🌍 Macro Fundamentals
🇳🇿 New Zealand Dollar (NZD)
Retail Sales missed: 0.0% vs 0.9% forecast → consumer sector is slowing
Core Retail Sales weak: 0.7% vs 1.4%
Dairy auction (GDT Index) down -0.9% → key export underperforming
Implication: Risk of slower growth → RBNZ may shift toward neutral/dovish stance
🇯🇵 Japanese Yen (JPY)
JPY supported by risk-off flows due to:
U.S. credit downgrade
Iran-US nuclear tension
Declining global PMI forecasts
Yen strengthens as traders seek safe havens despite BoJ’s dovish baseline
🎯 Trade Plan
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: 85.50–85.60 (confirmation area)
Targets:
TP1: 84.00
TP2: 82.42
TP3: 81.00
Stop Loss: Above 87.17 (invalidates wedge breakdown)
⚠️ What to Watch
China sentiment or surprise stimulus (may support NZD)
Sharp equity rallies (could reduce JPY demand short-term)
If NZD/JPY closes above 86.00, reduce position or stay out
🧭 Conclusion
NZD/JPY has rolled over from a broken rising wedge, now forming a clean bearish continuation structure. Weak NZ data and macro risk flows into JPY favor downside extension. This setup offers clear levels, defined risk, and macro alignment — ideal for disciplined short entries.
NZDJPY: The Price Started The Downward Movement As ExpectedNZDJPY: The Price Started The Downward Movement As Expected
NZDJPY is moving as expected, dropping nearly 90 pips since our last analysis.
The price recently broke below a bearish triangle pattern, and after a brief pullback, I expect it to continue downward.
However, the Bank of Japan’s upcoming meeting with the U.S. could also play a key role in shaping the market.
Let’s see how the charts unfold!
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trade Uni - SELL NZDJPY (84.885)NZDJPY (84.885) - Utilising the FXFTM strategy in line with a major head and shoulders reversal pattern we have taken a short at current level 84.885.A Head and Shoulders pattern is a classic chart pattern used in technical analysis to predict a potential trend reversal — typically from bullish to bearish. Good luck.
NZDJPY On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the NZDJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 85.502
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 85.708
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDJPY Key Neckline/Support Under PressurePEPPERSTONE:NZDJPY
After completing a bearish Shark pattern at 87.59, the pair has been in corrective mode and is now testing a critical support at 85.05 — which also serves as the neckline of a potential head and shoulders formation.
A clean break below 85.05 would confirm the pattern and likely open the door for a deeper move toward the monthly fractal support at 83.05. This level remains a key downside target if bearish momentum accelerates.
🧭 Key Levels:
Neckline Support: 85.05
Bearish Target: 83.05 (Monthly fractal)
Invalidation: Recovery above the "head"
📌 Neckline holding for now, but structure favors downside if broken. Watch for confirmation.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
NZDJPY bearish continuation📌 Key Observations
Previous Structure Shift (QM + Break of Structure):
There was a clear Quasimodo (QM) formation at the top, followed by a break of structure to the downside, confirming bearish intent.
The high created liquidity and was swept—then price broke below the QM low confirming order flow shift.
Bearish Channel Breakout & Retest:
Price broke below the rising wedge (bearish reversal pattern).
Retested inside a minor bearish flag now acting as a continuation pattern (currently breaking it down again).
Current Price Action:
Price is reacting to a supply zone inside the red box, which also aligns with:
A previous order block.
A potential breaker structure.
This zone also represents a BOS retest.
🧠 Trade Idea (Sell Bias Confirmed)
✅ Entry: Inside the red supply zone (already showing rejection).
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: 85.15 → minor demand zone + previous structure.
TP2: 84.20 → mid-level POI.
TP3: 83.14 → major demand/FVG zone.
TP4: 82.58 → extreme demand and liquidity resting point.
📍 Stop Loss: Above the red zone, ~85.95 to 86.00 area.
🔻 Risk-to-Reward (RR): The RR to final target (TP4) looks excellent (~1:4 to 1:5+).
🧩 Volume/Engulfing Confirmation (Optional)
You may wait for a bearish engulfing candle inside the red zone with bearish volume to confirm entry if you're applying your VSA + engulfing method.
NZDJPY – Sell Into Resistance as Top Formation EmergesTrade Setup
Type: Sell Limit
Entry: 85.95
Target: 85.20
Stop Loss: 86.20
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~3:1
Duration: Intraday
Expires: 21/05/2025 15:00
Technical Overview
Price action is showing signs of topping, with rallies stalling below previous highs.
Short-term RSI is rising, but momentum appears to be weakening into resistance.
Bespoke resistance is located at 85.95, which aligns with yesterday’s high — a likely ceiling for price in the short term.
The preferred strategy is to sell into strength, with downside targeting support at 85.20.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDJPY - Off We Go... Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈NZDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong demand!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDJPY approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDJPY Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 85.439.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 85.706 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDJPY to find sellers at previous resistance?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Short term RSI is moving higher.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 86.35.
We look to Sell at 86.35 (stop at 86.65)
Our profit targets will be 85.30 and 85.00
Resistance: 86.30 / 86.80 / 87.20
Support: 85.30 / 85.00 / 84.50
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 83.261 area.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDJPY: Another Bullish Confirmation 🇳🇿🇯🇵
If you remember, I already posted a bullish outlook for NZDJPY on Friday.
This morning, I spotted one more intraday bullish confirmation.
I see a breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 85.9 level soon.
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDJPY Long: Fib 0.786 Retest + Strong NZD Momentum🔹 Pair: NZD/JPY
🔹 Timeframe: Daily
🔹 Direction: Long
🔹 Status: Price holding Fib 0.786 retracement level (bullish structure intact)
🔹 Entry Zone: ~85.50–85.60 (Live entry)
📊 Fundamental Confluence
🇳🇿 NZD – Bullish Momentum
Conditional Score Jump: 🚀 From 8 → 13 (Strongest improvement this week).
Seasonality: 🔼 Strong seasonal bias from mid-May onward.
CB Stance: Hawkish — RBNZ cautious but maintains restrictive policy.
Global Risk-On: VIX < 20 supports high-beta currencies like NZD.
🇯🇵 JPY – Weakening
BoJ Outlook: Delayed inflation target to 2027 = no urgency to tighten.
Score Flat: Minor improvement (11 → 12), not enough to change bias.
Risk Sentiment: Safe-haven demand dropping, weakening JPY.
Macro Drag: Japan underperforming vs G7 counterparts.
NZD-JPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY made a bearish
Breakout of the rising support
Line then made a retest of the
New resistance and is going
Down now so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.