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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for July 3, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded with a slight positive bias against the bearish US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday and remains near the near one-month peak reached earlier this week. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hesitation to hike rates, investors seem convinced that the central bank will remain on the path of normalizing monetary policy amid rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the stance of other major central banks (including the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)), which are leaning towards a softer approach, and is favorable for lower JPY yields. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump hinted at a possible end to trade talks with Japan, and also threatened new tariffs against Japan over its perceived reluctance to buy American-grown rice. This, along with the overall positive tone towards risk, is a headwind for the safe-haven yen. In addition, traders seem reluctant and prefer to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of today's release of the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The crucial data will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar (USD) and will give a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair. Trade recommendation: BUY 144.00, SL 143.00, TP 145.40
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
JPY Steadies, Trade Optimism Counters Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen held near 143.7 against the dollar on Thursday, stabilizing after recent losses, supported by improved trade sentiment and a weaker greenback. Japan reiterated its aim for a fair trade deal with the US, though Trump raised pressure by threatening tariffs up to 35% on Japanese imports over low US rice and car sales. Meanwhile, a finalized US-Vietnam deal added to market optimism. The yen also found support as investors awaited key US jobs data, which could increase the odds of a Fed rate cut. Key levels: Resistance at 145.70; support at 143.55.
by ChartMage
USDJPY1. Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern This is a classic bullish reversal pattern. You've marked the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder, and the neckline is broken to the upside. Breakout confirms trend reversal from bearish to bullish. 2. Break of Trendline A long-term bearish trendline was clearly broken. Price broke above it with momentum, showing bullish strength. 3. Fib Confluence Entry area is around the 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci retracement zone. Combined with support zone = high-probability reversal area. 4. Change of Character (CHoCH) CHoCH confirms that the market has shifted structure from lower highs/lows to potential higher highs/lows. You can see the higher low (HL) forming already. 5. Strong Bullish Candles The breakout move is supported by strong bullish candles, showing buying pressure. We're entering on a confirmed bullish reversal – Inverted Head & Shoulders breakout, trendline breach, and bullish market structure shift. Fib zone confluence seals the setup. Buy-side pressure is in control.
Long
by AzdrenBytyqi
USDJPY M30 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the M30 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 143.61, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 144.15, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 143.32, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Potential Long ScalpUSDJPY tried multiple times to test the bear trend extreme after the 3-Push correction. It seems like bears can't keep price below the EMA, with gaps getting smaller and smaller at each bear swing. Now, it's forming sort of a Double Bottom at the bull Trend Line at the end of what seems to be a 2-legged bear move. Chances are that the bears are exhausted and if the current candle closes with a bull body or even a small bear body, there could be a good long scalp. The problem is that it looks like a Barb Wire too, so any Breakout tend to fail. Still, there could be a good opportunity to enter in second leg after a bullish breakout out of the Double Bottom.
Long
by lestercrest
USD JPY ACa possible scenario it should hit for tomorrow . I'm so lost in this market nothing seem to work .still try to survive. a strategy that works for days or even a month dosent have a guarantee to work for next month ,every thing is like gamble . im trying so hard too many ways too see the holy grail yet till now i can say it with trust there is not a easy peasy holy grail of trading ... be ready to looose and be ready to maybe not to gain anything ,, this trading stuff is like an art as u drown in it it only cuase insanity . right now i gotta go ill use trading view as journal now on to see what im doing good luck have fun trading
Short
by alisardari
USDJPY Poised for Liquidity Grab Ahead of NFP USDJPY is currently undergoing a clear redistribution phase on the 4H chart, having recently broken bullish structure and formed successive lower highs. The first week of July is packed with high-impact economic events from both the US and Japan – most notably speeches from Fed Chair Powell and BOJ Governor Ueda, alongside ADP and Non-Farm Payrolls – all of which could trigger significant volatility and a potential liquidity sweep before a true directional move takes shape. 🎯 Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Flow Analysis ✅ A Break of Structure (BOS) has just occurred following a sharp selloff from the 147.8 supply zone – a bearish structure is now clearly established. ⚠️ Change of Character (ChoCH) near the 145.8 level signals potential institutional involvement and short-term redistribution. 💧 Equal Lows (EQL) around 143.0 and 142.2 suggest prime liquidity targets likely to be swept before any genuine bullish intent emerges. 📈 Price is currently retracing toward the 145.85 – 146.00 short-term supply zone, offering a favourable area for short setups if rejection occurs. 🧠 Trade Scenarios (Planned) 🔻 Priority SELL Setups SELL at 145.851 – 146.000 SL: 146.351 TP1: 145.351 (+50 pips) TP2: 144.851 (+100 pips) TP3: 143.851 (+200 pips) TP4: Open This is a fresh supply zone formed post-BOS, ideal for potential short entries upon confirmation. SELL at 147.750 – 147.950 SL: 148.150 TP1: 147.250 (+50 pips) TP2: 146.750 (+100 pips) TP3: 145.750 (+200 pips) TP4: Open A key higher timeframe supply zone. If price breaks above 146.3 and rallies further, this is where Smart Money may re-enter shorts. 🔺 Potential BUY Setups Post-Liquidity Sweep BUY at 143.031 – 142.930 SL: 142.731 TP1: 143.531 (+50 pips) TP2: 144.031 (+100 pips) TP3: 145.031 (+200 pips) TP4: Open This zone aligns with the trendline and EQL – a possible bounce zone if bullish BOS or strong price rejection appears. BUY at 142.200 – 142.000 SL: 141.800 TP1: 142.700 (+50 pips) TP2: 143.200 (+100 pips) TP3: 144.200 (+200 pips) TP4: Open A deeper liquidity pool – likely an institutional entry point if price is flushed prior to NFP data. 📅 Key Upcoming Events – USD/JPY Traders Beware Tuesday (1 July): 🗣️ Speeches from BOJ Gov Ueda and Fed Chair Powell – high-impact catalysts early in the week. 🧾 ISM Manufacturing PMI, JOLTS Job Openings – insight into the US economy’s momentum. Wednesday to Thursday (2–3 July): 💼 ADP Employment & Non-Farm Payrolls – major market-moving data to shape USD sentiment. → Given the heavy news calendar, it's wise to react to price action at key zones with strong risk management, rather than pre-empt.
by EliseLunaTraders
Long trade 30sec TF entry 📍 Pair: USDJPY 📅 Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025 🕒 Time: 4:15 AM (London Session AM) ⏱ Time Frame: 15min 📈 Direction: Buyside 📊 Trade Breakdown: Metric Value Entry Price 143.803 Profit Level 144.825 (+0.71%) Stop Loss 143.733 (−0.05%) Risk-Reward Ratio 14.6 : 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes 🔄 15 Minute Structure Support: The trade was based on a reactive low from the 5-minute TF, aligning with a buy-side imbalance zone formed on the 5-minute chart (Monday, 16th June, 10:00 AM). 📉 RSI in Low Region: RSI was observed in an oversold condition on LTFs, providing additional confluence for a short-term reversal setup. 30sec TF entry overview
Long
by davidjulien369
Can PCE data rescue the dollar? JPY, EUR, GBP setup in playThe latest U.S. PCE report is set for release at 8:30am EDT, with both headline and core inflation expected at 0.1% month-on-month. As the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, today’s figures could influence interest rate expectations. A stronger print may reduce the case for a July rate cut, while a softer result could add pressure on the U.S. dollar. The dollar has already weakened this week amid speculation over central bank independence (trump is reportedly considering nominating Fed chair Jerome Powell’s successor earlier than normal in order to undermine the current chair). Pairs to watch include, EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY with symmetrical triangle formations suggesting breakout potential in either direction for all once the data hits.
by BlackBull_Markets