Ceasefire Supports Yen’s StrengthThe Japanese Yen stayed strong near a one-week high around 145.5 on Wednesday, supported by risk-off sentiment and dovish commentary from the Bank of Japan. Several BOJ members favored steady rates with concerns over U.S. tariffs and their impact on Japan’s economy.
May’s Services PPI remained above 3% yearly, strengthening speculation that the BOJ could still raise rates later this year. Meanwhile, lingering geopolitical uncertainty and expectations of Fed rate cuts continued to pressure the US Dollar.
The key resistance is at $146.20, and the major support is at $144.85.
JPYUSD trade ideas
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 25, 2025 USDJPYEvents to pay attention to today:
17:00 EET.USD - Fed Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a speech
17:30 EET.USD - Crude oil inventory data from the Department of Energy
USDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) remains in the lead against the US dollar during Wednesday's Asian session and remains close to the weekly high reached the day before, amid a combination of favourable factors. The summary of opinions from participants at the Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting in June showed that some policymakers called for interest rates to be kept unchanged due to uncertainty about the impact of US tariffs on the Japanese economy. In addition, the fragile truce between Israel and Iran and trade uncertainty are supporting the Japanese yen as a safe-haven currency.
Meanwhile, investors seem convinced that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates again amid mounting inflationary pressure in Japan. These forecasts are confirmed by Japan's producer price index (PPI), which rose for the third consecutive month in May and remained above 3% year-on-year. In contrast, traders are factoring into their prices the likelihood that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will further lower the cost of borrowing this year. This, in turn, is causing US dollar (USD) bulls to tread cautiously and suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding Japanese yen remains upward.
Trading recommendation: SELL 144.900, SL 145.100, TP 144.000
USD/JPY 4-Hour Forex Chart4-hour chart from FOREX.com displays the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY) as of June 25, 2025. The current rate is 145.156, reflecting a 0.16% increase (+0.226). The chart highlights a recent sharp upward movement followed by a decline, with key support and resistance levels marked around 144.484 and 145.731, respectively. The shaded areas indicate potential trading ranges, with the current price hovering near the upper boundary.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – USD/JPY
1. Sideways/Flat Price Action
Price is consolidating in a tight range with small-bodied candles.
This indicates indecision and lack of momentum, not strength.
The upward arrows suggest bullish bias, but no strong signal confirms a breakout yet.
2. Bearish Momentum
The recent red candles dominate, showing a clear drop from above 146.000 earlier.
The overall trend (short-term) is down, and the support area could be tested again.
3. Decreasing Volume
Volume is fading out, especially the most recent bar (around 1.01K).
This suggests waning interest—any bullish breakout without volume support is likely to fail or reverse.
4. Resistance Area is Strong
The resistance zone near 145.800–146.000 is clearly tested before and held.
Without a significant catalyst, it's unlikely to break in the near term.
5. False Breakout Risk Above Target
The marked "target" just below resistance could trigger false bullish entries.
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USD/JPY Bearish Correction in Progress – Key Supports in Focus
USD/JPY is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the 146.00 level. The pair has started a corrective move on the 1H timeframe, trading below the previous support at 145.455, which has now turned into resistance.
As long as the price remains below this level, the current momentum suggests a possible drop toward the next support zones at:
First target: 144.78
Second target: 144.343
Any bullish retracement toward 145.455 may serve as a retest before continuing lower. This idea reflects the current price structure and does not constitute financial advice.
USD/JPY Bull is back to push the price upHi All,
Firstly, I want to congrats to traders who short the market for the last few months. Well done!!!
Those who is waiting for LONG opportunity, let's get ready for sniper entry.
Here is my prediction and entry on USD/JPY. As you can see, the orange zone around $139-$140 is extremely strong zone. Prices reverse 3 times on this level. On 22 March 2025, the closed daily candle was formed a hammer candle and followed by a strong bullish candle next day which indicates potential reversal to upward.
The RSI indicator lines were crossed on 22 March 2025. Now, the indicator is showing upward momentum as the both lines are about cross 50%.
We also have bullish divergence on the volume indicator. As you can see, the volume was going to sideway where as the price was heading to the orange zone.
These confluence is supporting me to enter LONG. Therefore, I entered 3 entry at different price point which is $143.50, $142.996, $144.70.
Yen Rebounds as Ceasefire Calms MarketsThe Japanese yen recovered to around 145.5 per dollar on Tuesday, gaining strength after the ceasefire announcement. Although Iran launched missiles at a US base in Qatar, causing no casualties, the gesture was largely seen as symbolic. Tehran’s decision not to target the Strait of Hormuz further eased fears of major disruptions.
The key resistance is at $146.20 while the major support is at $144.85.
USD/JPY 2-Hour Forex Chart2-hour performance of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) from FOREX.com, showing a current exchange rate of 145.498 with a decrease of 0.661 (-0.45%). The chart highlights a recent sharp decline, with a shaded area indicating a potential support or resistance zone around 145.000 to 146.047. Key levels include 144.721 (support) and 146.047 (resistance), with the price movement tracked over the past two hours.
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 145.45, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 146.79 a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.97, an overlap support.
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USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers.
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Key Points
- Iran launched a total of 14 missiles toward U.S. air bases, but most were intercepted. U.S. President Trump stated, "I want to thank Iran for giving advance notice and ensuring there were no casualties or injuries," and the market interpreted the event as a "staged confrontation" where Iran saved face.
- President Trump said on Truth Social, “Israel and Iran have fully agreed to a comprehensive and complete ceasefire.” Reuters, citing a senior Iranian official, reported that Iran accepted the ceasefire proposal mediated by Qatar and suggested by the United States.
- Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that "if Israel halts its 'illegal attacks' on Iran by 4 a.m. on the 24th (Tehran time), Iran has no intention to further respond." Israel has not yet made an official statement.
- Federal Reserve Vice Chair Bowman said, “If inflationary pressures continue to ease, I will support lowering the policy rate as early as the next meeting to bring it closer to a neutral level and to maintain a healthy labor market.”
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 24: Testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
+ June 25: Testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell
+ June 26: U.S. Q1 GDP
+ June 27: U.S. May PCE Price Index
USDJPY Chart Analysis
After breaking through the 145 level, the pair showed a sharp upward move and formed a peak around the 148 level before reversing downward. It is expected to form a bottom in the 144–145 range during this pullback and potentially rise to the 151 level. However, if it unexpectedly breaks below the 144 level, there is also a possibility it could fall to around 140.
USDJPY MULTI TIME FRAME POV + XAUUSD , GU RECAP Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair .
💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
Quick Forex Market Overview | USDJPY, GBPUSD, CADJPY, EURUSD...In this video, I give an unstructured but insightful overview of the current market conditions across several major forex pairs. I walk through key price action and technical levels on USDJPY, GBPUSD, CADJPY, EURJPY, EURUSD, and EURAUD — sharing what I’m seeing in the moment and how the setups are developing.
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Yen Falls Despite Japan’s Manufacturing ReboundThe yen fell past 146 on Monday, its lowest in over five weeks, as the US dollar gained on safe-haven demand after US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear sites escalated Middle East tensions. Domestically, Japan’s manufacturing sector grew in June for the first time since May 2024, and services expanded for a third straight month, showing economic resilience.
The key resistance is at $148.15 meanwhile the major support is located at $146.15.