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USDJPY Analysis: Potential Reversals Based on Trading MathDear Trader, Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels. The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone. To increase the probability of these analyses, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns: Doji’s Double Bottom/Top Engulfing Bullish /Bearish Hanging Man Hammer/Inverted Hammer Morning Star Shooting Star Triple Top/Bottom For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance. 144522 144630 144481 144671 144386 144766 144196 144956 144006 145147 143817 145337 143627 145528 143438 145719 143248 145910 143059 146101 142304 146866 141550 147634 140799 148403 140049 149175 139302 149948 138556 150724 137813 151501 137071 152281
by shoonya0000
USDJPY Analysis: Reversal Estimations Based on Trading MathDear Trader, Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels. The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone. To increase the probability of these analyses, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns: Doji’s Double Bottom/Top Engulfing Bullish /Bearish Hanging Man Hammer/Inverted Hammer Morning Star Shooting Star Triple Top/Bottom For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade Price levels Price DH Price DL 144.52194 144.63007 144.48096 144.67107 144.38595 144.76618 144.19602 144.95648 144.00622 145.14691 143.81654 145.33746 143.62698 145.52814 143.43756 145.71894 143.24825 145.90987 143.05907 146.10093 142.30361 146.86639 141.55015 147.63385 140.79868 148.40332 140.04922 149.17478 139.30176 149.94824 138.55630 150.72370 137.81283 151.50117 137.07137 152.28063 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
by shoonya0000
USD/JPY Trend Update Today - Maintaining Uptrend🔔🔔🔔 USD/ JPY news: ➡️ The Japanese Yen (JPY) maintains its upward bias against a weaker U.S. Dollar (USD) during Asian trading on Tuesday, despite a lack of strong follow-through buying. While escalating concerns over the negative impact of intensification U.S. tariffs on Japan's economy persist, investors appear confident that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue raising interest rates in 2025, amid signs of rising domestic inflation. Moreover, fears of global economic disruption stemming from U.S. President Donald Trump's tit-for-tat tariff policies have added to the safe-haven appeal of the JPY. ➡️ Still, a modest sentiment rebound in global risk has curbed aggressive bullish bets on the Yen. On the flip side, the USD came under renewed selling pressure, halting its two-day recovery from multi-month lows seen last week, as markets increasingly price in the possibility that the U.S. Economic downturn caused by tariffs could push the Federal Reserve to resume its rate-cutting cycle faster than expected. This stark contrast to the BoJ’s hawkish outlook suggests that the path of least resistance for the lower-yielding JPY remains to the upside. Personal opinion: ➡️ DXY’s RSI is showing signs of falling after entering the overbought zone, causing USD/JPY to decline in the short term ➡️ The initial uptrend is still maintained, so watch for technical recovery zones to be able to buy at good prices. ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy. Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 146.20- 146.00 ❌SL: 145.60 | ✅TP: 146.70 – 147.20 – 148.00 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USDJPY = Win. Finally? I have shit winrate, but at least this trade is "logical", and has followed the trading plan lol. TRADING SPECS: BIAS = DOWNTREND NARRATIVE = 4HR BEARISH PD ARRAY(S/R FLIP+FVG) CONTEXT = RESPECTED PREMIUM ARRAY + A Wave ENTRY = SELL STOP ORDER @ A WAVE LOW (RUN ON LIQUIDITY). Nearly got SL'd. OPTIMAL ENTRY WOULD HAVE BEEN THE BEARISH FVG AFTER THE "4HR PREMIUM ARRAY REBALANCE" INSIDE CONTEXT AREA. THERE WAS A SHARP TURN IN THERE SOMEWHERE BUT I DIDN'T WAIT FOR THAT. RISK MANAGEMENT = N/A(?) JUST LET TRADE PLAY OUT. BUT SL WAS INSIDE THE ORDERFLOW LEG(?) Here's how it went: 1. Assessed Day Bias - price was downtrending. checked orderflow and candle science for this shit 2. Assessed Current Price "Intention" - price only does two things: seek liquidity, and rebalance fair value. When I plotted my Key Levels, price was at a point where it was just done seeking liquidity(support + poc was swept) and it was reversing. I see an S/R Flip + FVG area. If price goes here, that means price has rebalanced fair value.. so, logic dictates that it will reverse again to SEEK LIQUIDITY. When I came back to this chart again, price has already rebalanced fair value, has respected the S/R Flip + FVG, and has started reversing down. 3. Picked Out a Target - I picked out something realistic. Here is where indicators/tools come in. Instead of using my confluence mix(POC+FVG+OTE pd array) as entry points, "I just used it as a target since... price has already rebalanced fair value at the higher TF, and it's already going down, so it's probably going to seek liquidity on the other side. It's most probable target before price may or may not do something else is the FVG+POC+OTE AREA." My choice of liquidity category was the Previous Day Session nPOC. Along with the FVG and OTE, it was a strong "magnet", especially considering that price has finished seeking buy side liquidity and therefore the price's next target are the liquidities below. Wow, this makes so much sense to me now. Price always intend to bounce from opposite liquidities, from higher timeframe to lower timeframe... so... 4. Waited for PA that will Deliver Towards Target - I think my entry here was sloppy, the weakest part of this trade. But it made sense, and it still worked anyway. I just found a sting candle down(the A wave) after tapping the (S/R Flip+FVG).. I set a sell stop limit on the exact low of that candle. LOGIC was, if price pushed down below that sting, especially with a strong fvg, it would validate the RESPECT of the (SR FLIP+FVG), and it would continue going down(an invalidation of a long continuation idea)... probably to, again, seek liquidity below. Reason why I think my entry was sloppy, is because I did not validate the trade idea first. I didn't wait for that sting candle to get "run on(liquidity)" first. I think in order to validate it, I would have waited for the sting to become a run on liquidity area first, and then a second bearish fvg candle close to confirm downtrend. It would have been too late and the profit would have been too small at that point. 5. Put SL at the Orderflow Leg Swing High - If price was really not intending to continue going up, it wouldn't have gone here, which it didn't. I nearly got stopped out, like the other trades I had on sunday and monday. ------------- Here's the pattern that I keep seeing though, when price makes a valid HIGH(like in this case, the SRFLIP+FVG rebalance), price will attempt to go here atleast twice with a WICK, but will still make lower highs. Usually, those second and third wicks will form as if it's going to take the liquidities at those wicks, but it will just take out the CANDLE BODY HIGHS... So take note of these next time. When price sweeps a higher timeframe FVG/LIQUIDITY, mark out the candle body closes as TARGET LIQUIDITIES, not the wicks. If a downtrend is valid, it will only take out the body close liquidities. I will make a diagram to help make this make sense lmfao. ------------- I feel like a mad scientist at this point... endlessly trying to see the actual logic in the market. Not the probabilities of patterns playing out, but the CAUSES and EFFECTS. I think I'm close to finding the pattern within the pattern... or the message hidden in the patterns(Arcane reference, anyone?). But I think the two things I have found thanks to Arjo is... "Price only does two things: 1. Seeking Liquidity 2. Rebalancing Fair Value and Higher TF = Rebalancing Fair Value <-> Lower TF = Seeking Liquidity" and "The Higher the Timeframe, The Stronger the Timeframe" Like... the market isn't random. I think these two things are the core principles of trading. Because with these two ideas, you don't need a strategy. You need to UNDERSTAND this. And the strategy can be adapted to whatever you see on the chart. You open EURUSD, and you see that price is on a downtrend, and it has recently rebalanced the bearish fair value gap on the 4HR? You know what price will do next. It will continue going down to seek liquidity below. So, with that information, what will you look for? How will you enter? Where will you set your entry point, your stoploss, and where is your target? You open USDCAD, and you see that price is on an uptrend, it has already rebalanced fair value below, has made a bullish choch+FVG, and has respected that choch+FVG on a lower timeframe. You know it will seek buy side liquidity next. So how will you enter? Where will you place your stoploss? Where's your exit? ------- Now, if only I can translate this knowledge into actual consistency in trading, I can finally make money. But I guess doing the journal is great. I'm consistently at the 25-30% winrate. So with this understanding.. Maybe I can slowly push that winrate up over time. I think mechanically, the trade entries i had a year ago and now was the same(choch+POC+FVG+OTE), but now I have the understanding of why it may work or why it won't work, and when do I apply it so I increase the odds of winning. So that's something. Before, I didn't know why it did or did not work. But now, I know. I can use this info moving forward to increase my odds. ------- OH WAIT YEAH, IF I KNOW WHAT THE MARKET DOES AND WHY IT DOES WHAT IT DOES, THEN I WILL BE ABLE TO REFINE MY ENTRIES, BECAUSE NOW I KNOW WHY AND HOW I'M MAKING MY MISTAKES. HELL YEAH. ------- I'm just not sure about whether I can stick to one entry strategy now, or if I should, or I won't trade something that looks doable under my principles... because I've studied everything, and it makes sense now. lmfao. ------- if people are reading this(up to this point lol that was a long ash read), then thank you. Reply with your thoughts if ever. Alright thanks bye
Short
by reventioaxie
ChartGeq Breakdown – [PAIR] [TIMEFRAME]📈 ChartGeq Breakdown – This setup was taken based on full structure confirmation: ✅ 20 & 200 SMA aligned in the same direction ✅ Price action close to the 20 SMA ✅ Clean session-protected entry with clear market structure No guessing. Just solid technical confirmation backed by momentum and timing. Posted for educational purposes to help traders recognize quality entries and avoid emotional trades. — Coach D.R | ChartGeq We don’t guess. We confirm.
by ChartGeq
Yen Undervalued: Dollar Likely to Fall as Fundamentals ShiftThe USD/JPY pair's recent decline to 147.88 reflects an emerging shift in yield dynamics, with the US 10-year Treasury at 4.20% against Japan's approximate 1.10% yield. While this 310 basis point differential historically supported dollar strength, markets are now pricing in potential Fed rate cuts against speculation of BOJ policy normalization, narrowing the anticipated future yield gap. This fundamental realignment has accelerated yen appreciation despite the still-significant current yield advantage for the dollar. The yen looks undervalued given Japan’s improving economy and rising prices, while the US may start cutting rates soon. The yen likely deserves a stronger level around 135–140 instead of the current 147.88, so despite short-term moves, the dollar still has room to fall against the yen in the coming months.
Short
by youbicode
USDF/JPY Trading Trend Today - Short Term Bullish🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news: ➡️ The Japanese yen (JPY) started the week on a positive note as U.S. President Donald Trump’s broad-based tariff measures heightened fears of a global economic downturn, boosting demand for traditional safe-haven assets. At the same time, concerns that harsher reciprocal tariffs from the U.S. could negatively affect Japan's economy led investors to scale back expectations for a faster pace of interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). This, in turn, acted as a drag on the yen and helped the USD/JPY pair recover its earlier losses during the Asian session, climbing back toward its six-month low just below the key psychological level of 145.00, which was briefly touched on Friday. Personal opinion: ➡️ In the short term, USD/JPY is recovering after being sold off late last week ➡️ RSI reversed to the upside after entering overbought territory and creating divergence. ➡️ Analysis based on Volume profile and important resistance - support levels combined with EMA to come up with appropriate strategies. Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy USD/JPY 146.10 – 146.20 ❌SL: 145.75 | ✅TP: 146.60 – 147.30 – 148.00 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
USD/JPY(20250407)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 146.32 Support and resistance levels 149.17 148.11 147.41 145.22 144.53 143.46 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 146.32, consider buying, the first target price is 147.41 If the price breaks through 145.22, consider selling, the first target price is 144.53
by BraveTigercat
Yen Fluctuates on Global Tariff VolatilityThe yen fluctuated on Monday, rising to 145 per dollar before easing to 147, as global trade tensions and reciprocal tariffs triggered market volatility. Fears of a global recession drove demand for safe havens like the yen, Swiss franc, and bonds. Japan’s February wage growth offered some optimism, and the Bank of Japan is still expected to raise rates this year despite ongoing uncertainty. Key resistance is at 147.00, with further levels at 152.70 and 157.70. Support stands at 145.60, followed by 143.00 and 141.80.
by ChartMage