JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart illustrates a bullish trade setup for USD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown:
Pattern: The price appears to be forming higher lows and higher highs, suggesting an uptrend.
Green Arrows: Indicate points of price support and potential entry zones.
Orange Circles: Highlight pullbacks or corrections within the trend.
Green Trendline: Shows an ascending support line, supporting the bullish outlook.
Entry Point: Around the current price near 145.260, aligned with trendline support.
Stop Loss: Set just below the recent support zone (~144.134) to limit downside risk.
Take Profit: Targeting the upper green box near 147.493, aligned with previous highs.
This setup seems to be a buy-the-dip strategy in an uptrend.
Do you want help analyzing the risk-reward ratio or confirmation signals?
USDJPY... 4H chat partternThe 140.166 level on USD/JPY appears to be a historical support level. If price action previously bounced around this area, traders might be watching it as a key zone where buying interest could re-emerge.
To evaluate this level properly, consider:
1. *Past price reactions*: Did price previously reverse or consolidate around 140.166?
2. *Volume profile*: High volume near this level might strengthen its significance.
3. *Indicators*: Are RSI, MACD, or moving averages signaling oversold or potential reversal near this level?
4. *Fundamentals*: Watch for Bank of Japan and Fed policy signals or geopolitical developments, as they heavily influence USD/JPY.
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 01, 2025 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is trading with small losses, hovering around the mid-143.00s after disappointing US economic growth data and weak Japanese economic reports caused a divergence in sentiment between the two currencies. The US economy contracted 0.3 per cent in the first quarter of 2025, the first contraction since 2022, missing growth expectations and highlighting the impact of rising imports and government spending cuts. At the same time, Japan released weaker-than-expected industrial production and retail sales data, limiting the yen's gains even as global risk appetite declined.
On the macroeconomic front, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported that real GDP contracted 0.3% in Q1, missing the market forecast for a 0.4% increase and slowing sharply from the 2.4% growth in Q4 2024. The contraction was primarily driven by a 41 per cent rise in imports and lower government spending. Meanwhile, core PCE inflation, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, fell to 2.3 per cent year-on-year, in line with expectations and below February's 2.5 per cent. Other data showed a slowdown in job creation, with the ADP report showing just 62,000 new jobs in April against expectations of 108,000.
Despite the softer data, personal spending remained flat in March, rising 0.7%, while incomes rose 0.5%. However, market sentiment turned cautious, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling more than 200 points to stagnate around 40,300.
In Japan, the yen weakened 0.5% against the dollar as industrial production and retail sales data disappointed, highlighting the fragility of the domestic economy.
Trade recommendation: BUY 144.20, SL 144.00, TP 145.00
Trade Idea: Buy USDJPY from the highlighted demand zone (around The market has recently revisited a key demand zone highlighted around the 142.195 level on the 1-hour chart. Price previously reacted strongly to this area, suggesting the presence of institutional interest. After a sharp decline, the pair found support within this zone and has since shown a bullish push, indicating renewed buying pressure.
Zone to zone The market broke out our weekly zone ,I'm predicting that it will go up to the next nearest zone . Currencies moves slowly this move might even take days, but I advise that once you hit your target close your trades or move your stop loss to protect your profits .
Remember this is not a financial advice but this is a suggestion of mine
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart represents a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) 30-minute trading setup. Here's a breakdown of what's shown:
Downtrend: Price drops sharply from around 143.95 to a support zone just above 141.80.
Double Bottom Pattern: Two lows are marked with orange circles, suggesting a potential reversal.
Entry Point: Marked by a green arrow where price bounces off the support zone.
Take Profit Zones:
First Take Profit: Around 143.25, near previous resistance.
Final Take Profit: Around 143.95, retesting the previous high.
Stop Loss: Positioned below the support zone (~141.70), minimizing risk if the setup fails.
This is a classic reversal setup using a double bottom pattern, targeting previous resistance levels.
Are you considering trading this setup or analyzing it for learning purposes?
USD/JPY Retests Support Zone as Kato-Bessent FX Talks UnfoldOverview Summary:
USD/JPY has reached a structurally significant weekly support/demand zone (140.0–142.0), where price has historically found support and initiated bullish reversals. As price consolidates in this zone, we are also seeing critical macroeconomic shifts unfold, mainly surrounding 'Japan-U.S. FX policy negotiations' and diverging central bank strategies.
Key Macroeconomic Drivers:
1. BOJ Policy Outlook:
The Bank of Japan has held rates near zero while inflation creeps above target. Despite global tightening trends, BOJ remains dovish and is cautious about hiking too soon. This supports further JPY weakness unless a shift occurs.
2. Kato-Bessent FX Meeting:
Japan and the U.S. held their first bilateral currency discussion in 2025, with Kato emphasizing Japan’s economic conditions and wage data. While the U.S. issued no formal statement, the absence of joint commentary adds uncertainty around potential FX alignment or future intervention strategies.
3. U.S. Treasury Talks with Japan:
U.S. and Japan are back at the negotiation table regarding FX stability and trade policy. While both affirm free-market rate setting, growing U.S. trade deficits with Japan are pressuring the Yen higher and inviting political attention.
4. U.S. Trade Pressures & Currency Realignments:
With the U.S. trade deficit with Japan widening and USD strength persisting, policymakers face rising pressure to address competitiveness. If unchecked, this could trigger direct currency commentary or coordinated action in future meetings.
5. Global Currency Realignments:
With USD strength persisting on rate divergence and geopolitical flows, Japan’s export competitiveness may cause either policy changes or FX intervention if the Yen weakens too far.
Technical Analysis:
- Weekly chart shows a clear support/demand zone between 140.0–142.0 , previously acting as a reversal area multiple times since 2023.
- We’re currently seeing early signs of consolidation and wick rejection, a potential setup for a bullish bounce if macro factors align.
- Break below 140.0 opens downside to 128.00 and 122.00 , both historically significant zones.
Trade Setup (If Support Holds):
Entry Zone: 140.00–142.00
Target 1: 150.00
Target 2: 158.00
Invalid Setup: Daily Close Below 139.50
Final Take:
USD/JPY is currently at a macro + technical inflection point. If support holds and Japan refrains from policy tightening, we could see the pair bounce sharply back into the 147–150 range. However, any unexpected BOJ hawkishness or coordinated U.S.-Japan currency intervention would flip this narrative quickly. Stay tactical, monitor policy headlines, and size positions with volatility in mind.
USD/JPY Bullish ReversalUj has been bearish since March with bulls dominating the market for the past week and considering persisting bullish momentum, I will be looking long with my stop loss below Monday's low as I target the 147.972 daily resistance level. The overall trend is bearish, hence the need to remain conservative with our long positions till major structural levels are broken to give us added confluence for our bullish reversal.
LONG POSITION SCALPING USD/JPY🔵 Technical Analysis for USD/JPY:
We are observing a key rebound support area at the current levels.
Entry Zone: Around 142.48
Rationale for the Trade:
Price is positioned at a strong order block area on the 1-hour timeframe.
Expecting a bullish corrective move from the current support zone.
First Target for the Correction: Aiming for the 144.00 level as an initial resistance and profit-taking area.
Stop-Loss Level: A break and close below 141.44 would invalidate the setup.
Note: Proper risk management is essential, as this is a speculative corrective move within a broader market trend.
Japan's Economic Outlook: Steady Progress Amid UncertaintiesHello,
FX:USDJPY will see downside as Japanese economic data remain positive, with recovery ongoing. The BOJ's outlook appears accurate, as the economy continues to progress steadily. Although uncertainties persist, they are unlikely to prevent the BOJ from raising rates in the future. The current account surplus is now Y3.3525 trillion, with a Y2.6911 trillion surplus anticipated. December bank loans increased by 3.1% year-on-year, following rises of 2.9% in November and 2.6% in October. Robust bank loans indicate that Japan Inc is progressing smoothly. There are uncertainties regarding new US Trump administration policies in 2025. Nonetheless, the domestic economy is stable, with trade with the US being the only question. This will be a solid bearish opportunity that will unfold shortly!
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily H&S pattern forming (Retest of the neckline)
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level 143.000
This trade has high potential to create bullish structure
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 7.11
Entry 90
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USD/JPY(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.40
Support and resistance levels:
144.89
144.33
143.97
142.83
142.47
141.91
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.97, consider buying, the first target price is 144.33
If the price breaks through 143.40, consider selling, the first target price is 142.83
How To Use The MACD Indicator In 3 Steps Have you ever heard of buying the dip?
Listen I was watching a short news report on CNBC.
It was about how the youngest workforce Gen Z..is now doing blue collar.Am from jumping on a call
With a young buddy of mine.He told he got me, if I ever need a blue collar job in the mines as a truck operator.
Am so happy to know I have options in case I decide to settle down.
I started trading a long time ago.
And the #1 indicator for dip buying has always been the MACD.
So how does it work?
👉When the 12 day moving average crosses above the 26 day moving average.This signals a buy signal.
👉Also notice the historical power bars.When they turn dark green.
👉Also the increase of demand and supply*
*Supply and demand come from macro economics.
Shout out to Mike Maloney for shedding light on this forex pair.I began to follow this particular one about 2 years ago after watching a video he did on gold and silver.
Now will I get a blue collar job? Maybe but I am happy that I sacrificed my time to learn how to trade the financial markets.
Rocket boost this content to learn more 🚀
Disclaimer ⚠️ Trading is risky please learn how to use Risk Management And Profit Taking Strategies.Also feel free to use a simulation trading account before you use real money.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 28, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY:
The Japanese yen (JPY) fluctuated in a narrow range in Monday's Asian session and paused its recent pullback from a multi-month high reached last week against its U.S. counterpart. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did not support President Donald Trump's statement that tariff talks with China are underway. That tempered optimism about a quick resolution to trade tensions between the world's two largest economies and provided some support for the safe-haven yen.
Meanwhile, traders pushed back expectations of an immediate interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) due to rising economic risks from US tariffs. However, signs of rising inflation in Japan leave the door open for further BoJ rate hikes this year, which is a big divergence from bets on more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing. This keeps USD bulls on the defensive and also serves as a tailwind for the low-yielding Yen.
Trading recommendation: SELL 143.20, SL 143.60, TP 142.50
USDJPY Long Setup – Fundamental + Sentiment AlignmentAfter a full macro, COT, and sentiment analysis for this week, USDJPY stands out as the cleanest opportunity.
✅ Strong USD support: solid economic growth, persistent inflation, and elevated Treasury yields.
✅ Extremely weak JPY: Bank of Japan remains dovish, with low inflation and no sign of tightening policy.
✅ Risk sentiment: Stable to positive, favoring continuation of USD strength.
Bias: Long USDJPY
Risk: Unexpected shifts in US data or global risk-off shocks.
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