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JPYUSD trade ideas

JPY on track for its worst monthly performance in 8 years. USD/JPY closed higher at 153.29 (+0.65%), up 6.70% in October, putting the JPY on track for its worst monthly performance in 8 years (since November 2016). The slide in the JPY accelerated yesterday after the LDP/ Komeito ruling coalition lost its lower house majority for the first time since 2009. There are signs that Ishiba will be able to cobble together an LDP-led minority government, which would be the first occurrence of this since WW2. This month's sell-off in the JPY increases the chances that the BOJ may push back against recent JPY weakness at its meeting on Thursday. While USD/JPY holds above an important band of support at 152.00/150.00 further gains appear likely.
Long
by IG_com
USD/JPY schould the bears take their chance ? In recent weeks, we’ve seen a massive bullish movement. I believe many have been anticipating a bearish pullback or pivot. The market has now entered my daily supply zone, with indicators suggesting a potential bearish move ahead. Switching to the 4-hour timeframe, I don’t see a supply zone that meets my criteria when looking to the left. I’ll wait for the market to establish a current supply zone, which could present an entry opportunity soon. What I’m looking for now is a clear rejection favoring the bears to confirm a strong bearish move.
Short
by Glitchz_99
4
Yen slips to 3-month low after Japanese electionThe Japanese yen is lower on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.63, up 0.22% at the time of writing. The yen weakened as far as 153.88 but has pared most of the losses. The new trading week has barely begun but the markets are busy digesting the drama out of Tokyo. The snap parliamentary election over the weekend was a disaster for new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba, as his Liberal Democratic Party (LPD) coalition won just 215 seats, short of the 233 majority. Ishiba has been in power for only a month and the snap election backfired as the LDP lost its parliamentary majority for the first time since 2009. It’s unclear if Ishiba will be able to cobble together a majority and the political uncertainly could push the yen, which is trading at 3-month lows, even lower. The election bombshell comes just ahead of the Bank of Japan’s on Oct. 31. The BoJ is expected to maintain policy settings and will release updated growth and inflation forecasts. The BoJ has intervened in the past when the yen showed a sharp and quick decline and there is speculation that the central bank might intervene if the yen falls to 155 or 160 per dollar. The US wrapped up the week with mixed results. Durable Goods Orders declined 0.8% in September, unchanged from a revised -0.8% reading in August and above the market estimate of -1%. The UoM Consumer Sentiment index improved slightly to 70.5 in October, above 70.1 in September, beating the market estimate of 69.0. USD/JPY continues to push through resistance lines. The next resistance line is 153.94 152.03 and 151.68 are providing support
by OANDA
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by Thapelo_Mlangeni
USDJPY | Potential buy opportunity Hey Traders! 👉USDJPY@ 152.75~ BUY 📍 SL - 152.15 💰 TP1 - 152.95 💰 TP2 - 153.35 💰 TP3 - 154.35 Hey Traders! 👋 I believe USDJPY has a good chance to start some bullish pressure, since its overall market direction is heavily bullish, the trade has now had a cycle of exhaustion before a another continuation of bullish pressure, minimum to the 20 moving average I believe, if it breaks it we will see this trade fly higher to re-test the top. ✔️💯
Long
by FX-TradingLions
USDJPY - Hangman Reversal (600 pip)Dollar (USD) has been extremely strong, however has come to a point of resistance and risk. US Elections are in 10 days. Market is monitoring the resiliency of US economy. With markets normalizing, looks like there may be more appetite for risk as Central Banks are telegraphing their moves. Yen (JPY) has been been on the other side of this coin and it has been nothing but weak. This is at a potential changing point with new administration in Japan, expected rate hikes coming from BoJ and shifting global trends. This will be highly data-driven trade. Can be invalidated or in-the-money extremely quickly.
Short
by dsmall
UsdJpy Trade IdeaA set up I'm looking to get into this morning is going to be a short set up on UJ. UJ has been ranging since last week with solid structures for a trading opportunity. Price opened up bullish before crashing back down below resistance. Smaller time frames show a shift in structure after the bullish run so I'm personally looking to get into some shorts within the range. If all goes well I'll execute for a 1:3rr. We'll see what happens. IF price doesn't give confirmation and decides to push back to the upside I'll adapt and wait for some type of buying opportunity or call it a day if another pair doesn't present a solid set up.
Short
by OfficialJ23
USD/ JPY ! 10/ 28 ! SELL resistance ! GAP USD/ JPY trend forecast October 28, 2024 The Japanese Yen (JPY) recovers about 50 pips from a three-month low against the USD, though gains are limited amid uncertainty over the Bank of Japan's rate hike plans and the ruling coalition’s recent loss of its parliamentary majority. Additionally, a positive risk sentiment continues to weigh on the safe-haven JPY. At the beginning of the week, the price created a GAP to increase - need to adjust to fill the GAP. There is a slight resistance zone - in the context of not much important news today. /// SELL USDJPY : zone 153.250 - 153.550 SL: 153.850 TP: 60 - 100 - 250 pips (151.050) Safe and profitable trading
Short
by Moon-ForexAcademy
2
USD/JPY at Key Support: Bullish Momentum with Possible CorrectioUSD/JPY is currently sitting at a strong support level that has proven its significance in the past. Although the price previously broke through this level with strong momentum, it has since lost steam. The overall trend and outlook still indicate a potential continuation of the bullish movement. However, be mindful of the possibility of a correction. If you observe strong upward momentum, you may consider joining the uptrend, targeting previous high (161.70) levels as indicated on the chart.
by Charts_M7M
USDJPY todayUSDJPY is currently trending upward, driven by several key factors: Interest Rate Differential: The Federal Reserve’s higher interest rates make the USD more appealing to investors, especially as the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintains near-zero rates. This rate difference is a fundamental reason for the yen’s weakness against the dollar. Strong U.S. Economy: Robust economic data from the U.S., particularly in employment and growth, bolsters the dollar. In contrast, Japan’s slower growth adds further momentum to USDJPY’s upward movement. Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions have led investors to favor the USD over the yen as a safe-haven asset, pushing USDJPY higher. These factors collectively support the bullish trend in USDJPY.
Long
by Pierce_Bowers
USD/JPY Chart Analysis: Rate Hits Autumn HighUSD/JPY Chart Analysis: Rate Hits Autumn High Today’s USD/JPY chart indicates that the U.S. dollar has strengthened against the yen by over 6.6% since the beginning of the month. Starting this trading week, the rate has surpassed 153 yen per dollar, a level not seen since August 31. This bullish sentiment towards the dollar has been driven by the outcome of Japan’s parliamentary elections over the weekend. According to Reuters, investors believe that the loss of the ruling coalition’s majority in Japan’s parliament reduces the likelihood of a future interest rate hike, contributing to the yen's weakening. On October 10, there was speculation that bears might halt the October rally (marked by the blue channel) and guide the rate back down within a descending channel from its upper boundary (marked in red), with the psychological level of 150 yen per dollar acting as resistance. However, bulls maintained their momentum (which originated from the psychological level of 140 yen) and continued the rally, breaking through this resistance. Per USD/JPY technical analysis, the 150 yen level may now serve as a support line. The RSI indicator currently suggests the formation of a potential bearish divergence, hinting that a slight correction might occur as the market anticipates key upcoming news, which could heavily influence the sustainability of the current USD/JPY rally: → The Bank of Japan’s interest rate decision, expected on Thursday → Key U.S. labor market data releases scheduled for later in the week This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Remains In Strong UptrendMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Remains In Strong Uptrend USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 153.85 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today - USD/JPY climbed higher above the 150.50 and 152.20 levels. - There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance at 152.00 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. USD/JPY Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 149.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 150.50 against the Japanese Yen. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 152.00. There was a break above a key contracting triangle with resistance at 152.00. The pair climbed above 153.50 and traded as high as 153.88. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 151.45 swing low to the 153.88 high. The current price action above the 153.20 level is positive. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 153.85. The first major resistance is near 154.20. If there is a close above the 154.20 level and the RSI moves above 65, the pair could rise toward 155.00. The next major resistance is near 155.85, above which the pair could test 157.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 153.20, below which the bears could gain strength. The next major support is visible near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 151.45 swing low to the 153.88 high at 152.65. If there is a close below 152.65, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 152.20 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 151.45 region. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/JPY Analysis for October 28, 2024: Bearish Bias Amid Rate !Introduction The USD/JPY pair faces a potential bearish bias today, October 28, 2024, as market sentiment and fundamental factors weigh on the US Dollar. Below is a detailed analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair, highlighting key economic data, monetary policy signals, and global risk appetite, all of which suggest a downward tilt in USD/JPY for the day. Key Drivers of Bearish Bias in USD/JPY 1. Federal Reserve Policy Outlook - Recent Federal Reserve commentary has created a dovish outlook, signaling a likely pause in interest rate hikes. This expectation comes amid signs of slowing US economic momentum, specifically within the labor market and consumer spending. - Market participants are increasingly factoring in lower yields on US Treasury bonds, reducing the demand for the USD as investors seek higher returns elsewhere. A weaker dollar directly impacts USD/JPY, pressuring it downward as Japanese yen demand remains steady. 2. Japanese Yen as a Safe-Haven - The Japanese yen, traditionally viewed as a safe-haven currency, often appreciates during times of economic uncertainty or lower US Dollar strength. Current global geopolitical concerns and risk aversion have pushed some investors back into the yen, enhancing its value against a softening USD. - Additionally, with Japan's recent stability in inflation and the Bank of Japan’s commitment to policy balance, the JPY could see support as the yen maintains strength, despite the BoJ’s dovish stance in recent years. 3. US Economic Data Weakness - Last week, softer-than-expected data in the US labor market and consumer confidence metrics suggested a slowing economy. With potential headwinds in these key areas, investors may be viewing USD as overvalued at current levels, leading to a weakening of USD/JPY. - The recent dip in the US Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) further underscores concerns of economic slowdown, diminishing demand for the USD and supporting bearish pressure on USD/JPY. 4. Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels - Support Level: Key support for USD/JPY is currently at 148.50. A move below this level could accelerate bearish momentum for USD/JPY. - Resistance Level: Resistance around 150.00 remains a psychological barrier for the pair. Failing to break this level strengthens the bearish case as sellers look to capitalize on a potential reversal. - Moving averages and RSI indicators also show signs of bearish divergence, suggesting that downside potential is present in the short term. 5. Broader Global Risk Sentiment - Broader market sentiment remains cautious, with some aversion to riskier assets as investors shift focus to more stable options like the yen. With China’s economic recovery wavering and other global uncertainties affecting investor sentiment, a “risk-off” environment typically benefits the yen while weakening USD/JPY. Conclusion Given these combined factors, USD/JPY could face a slight bearish bias today, pressured by a dovish Fed outlook, weak US economic data, and steady yen demand. Monitoring global risk sentiment and economic data releases will be essential for traders, as any shifts could further define USD/JPY’s direction in the coming sessions. --- SEO Keywords for TradingView: 1. USD/JPY forecast 2. USD/JPY today 3. Japanese Yen analysis 4. US Dollar bearish outlook 5. Federal Reserve impact on USD/JPY 6. forex trading USD/JPY 7. USD/JPY support and resistance 8. USD/JPY technical analysis 9. safe-haven currency yen
Short
by PERFECT_MFG
USDJPY BULLISH SENTIMENT CEMENTEDThe USD/JPY exchange rate can be influenced by various factors, including interest rate differentials, economic data releases, and geopolitical events. If the USD/JPY is experiencing upward movement, it might be due to: Interest Rate Expectations: If the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates or maintain higher rates compared to Japan's central bank (which often has a more dovish stance), the USD might strengthen against the JPY. Economic Data: Strong economic indicators from the U.S., such as job growth or GDP growth, can boost confidence in the dollar. Geopolitical Factors: Increased uncertainty in global markets can lead investors to favor the USD as a safe haven. Market Sentiment: General risk appetite can also affect the USD/JPY, with stronger demand for the dollar in times of uncertainty. Central Bank Policies: Any shifts in monetary policy from the Bank of Japan, like potential easing or maintaining low interest rates, can weaken the yen.
Long
by Marshall_Wick
1