USD/JPY 15M CHART PATTERNHere’s a breakdown and analysis of your USDJPY SELL trade setup on the 15-minute timeframe:
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Trade Details:
Entry: 147.280 (Short)
Stop Loss (SL): 147.998 (≈71.8 pips risk)
Targets:
T1: 146.960 (≈32 pips)
T2: 146.600 (≈68 pips)
T3: 146.019 (≈126 pips)
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Risk/Reward Ratios:
Target Reward (pips) R:R Ratio
T1 32 ~0.45:1
T2 68 ~0.95:1
T3 126 ~1.75:1
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Quick Technical Evaluation (Assuming standard price behavior):
Entry near local high? If yes, solid idea to sell after rejection/candle confirmation.
SL Placement: 147.998 is quite wide—possibly above a recent high or resistance zone.
T1 is relatively close, offering a partial TP level but low reward/risk.
T2 provides near 1:1 R:R, which is more balanced.
T3 is aggressive and may require a strong bearish continuation or news catalyst.
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Suggestions:
1. Adjust SL? – If the 147.998 level isn’t key resistance, consider tightening it closer to the swing high (e.g., 147.400–147.500) to improve R:R.
2. Scaling Out – Consider closing part of the position at T1 or T2, then letting the rest run to T3.
3. Monitor Price Action – On the 15m chart, look for bearish continuation (e.g., lower highs, bearish engulfing, MACD crossover, etc.).
JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY Breaks Higher – Bullish Momentum Targets 148.40FX:USDJPY CMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY continues to climb, extending gains above the key 146.00 breakout level, supported by Fed–BoJ policy divergence and rising geopolitical tensions. Despite Japan’s strong CPI and PMI prints, the BoJ maintains a dovish tone, while tariff concerns continue to cap yen sentiment. The Middle East conflict further fuels demand for the USD as a safe haven.
Technically, the pair confirmed a bullish breakout, with price hugging the upper Bollinger Band – a sign of sustained upside pressure. As long as 146.00 holds, bulls may aim for the 148.40 monthly resistance.
Key Levels :
Resistance : 146.75 / 148.40
Support : 146.00 / 145.25
⚠️ Momentum favours the upside while above 146.00. Break below may trigger short-term pullback toward 145.25.
Long - the final move up before moving to the downsideMy macro bias for USDJPY is bearish. However, I opened a long position today.
Reasons for a long trade:
Weekly chart:
1) Both MACD and RSI are in the bear territory, however, both MACD and RSI lines are starting to cross and move to the upside.
2) The price has been moving sideways for weeks, however, weekly candle has been forming higher low since late April (subtle move).
3) There is a major support line at 140.50 area and weekly EMA200 is also sitting right below it.
Although the price has been moving to the downside, it will require strong momentum to pierce through the major support zone that has been holding since July 2023.
Daily chart:
1) EMA9 > EMA14 > EMA 21 - bullish trend
2) Yesterday's daily candle retested EMA 9/14/21 and closed above all of them.
3) MACD has entered the bull zone.
4) RSI has entered the bull zone.
5) There is an unmitigated fair value gap in the Fib 0.618-0.786 area. (see blue rectangular box in the chart).
As I said above, it will take strong momentum for the price to break below the major support line. It makes sense for the price to retrace to the unmitigated fair value gap area to take out all the liquidity to fuel the momentum to the downside.
My trade setup is below:
Entry: 145 Stop/Loss: 144.25 (just under yesterday's candle wick)Target: 147.12
Risk:Rewards 1:1.78
Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 145.00
1st Support: 142.59
1st Resistance: 148.57
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USDJPY H4 AnalysisUSDJPY Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 148.668 and higher to 150.538. If no, Can rally between 143.981 or even lower to 142.410. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
Heading into pullback resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 146.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 145% Fibonacci extension and also slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 148.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 145.31
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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USDJPYUSDJPY is currently approaching a major breakout zone as it nears the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern. The pair has broken above the key horizontal resistance area around 145.80–146.00, which previously acted as a strong supply zone. Price is now challenging the descending trendline resistance.
A confirmed breakout and retest of the triangle and resistance zone may open the door for a bullish continuation toward 147.50, and potentially 150.00+, as marked on the chart. However, if the breakout fails, we may see a pullback toward the 145.00–144.80 support region before any further upside.
This setup highlights a potential breakout-retest-continuation scenario. Traders should watch for price action confirmation near the trendline for further direction.
USDJPY: Ready for Wave 5?USDJPY is showing a strong bullish wave structure, with a clear path toward higher levels based on Elliott Wave Theory. After a successful breakout from a multi-year consolidation, price action appears to be completing a Wave (4) correction thereby setting the stage for a Wave (5) rally.
Based on the bullish structure and projected continuation:
1st Target = 157.78
2nd Target = 177.41
Final Target = 209.16 Full wave extension, top of macro channel
With support holding above ¥140.00 and a bullish bounce forming, this could mark the Wave C bottom of (4), setting the stage for the next major leg up.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are dynamic and unpredictable.
USDJPY ANalysis week 26Fundamental analysis
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged and forecast only a small cut in 2026-2027 due to concerns about high inflation. The number of officials opposing a rate cut this year increased. The Israel-Iran conflict escalated, the US may attack Iran but is waiting for Tehran's response, causing the Japanese Yen to appreciate thanks to its safe-haven role.
Japan and the US have not reached a trade deal, the risk of higher tariffs before the July 9 deadline. The US dollar is near a one-week high, supporting the USD/JPY pair, but investors remain cautious due to the lack of new economic data.
Technical analysis
USDJPY is rising quite strongly and reacting at the resistance zone of 146.200. There is a possibility of a price gap next week, so trading early will be quite risky. The trading range is expected to be clearer at the resistance and support zones. 146,800 and 147,700 are noted as the two important upper boundary zones. 145,400 and 144,400 will be important support zones with a very strong buyer force waiting.
Trading Signals
USD/JPY - Potential TargetDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Key resistance breached.
Strong full body weekly close.
Can bull trend & support hold?
"LONG" Target:
1] 147.700
Keynote:
A 1D candle body close below 145.000 will invalidate this thesis.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
USD/JPY breakthrough & long position? (novice analysis) #techFrom what I've seen so far, USD/JPY has the momentum to try to break through 146.093 and is heading towards 146-147.
The price could make a pullback around the first key level before breaking through, if not, I would anticipate the price making a retracement after breaking through
Hi, I'm not good at trading, and I'm still learning. I explore trading alone myself and also use online free sources to improve. If somewhere mistakes please notify me
Thank you.
buy is coming on USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair recently experienced a bearish movement, which is largely influenced by heightened concerns surrounding the ongoing trade and tariff tensions between the U.S. and its global counterparts. This risk-off sentiment triggered a flight to safe-haven assets, weighing on the pair.
However, price action has now approached a key trendline support zone, which has held firmly in previous sessions. Technical indicators like RSI are also beginning to show signs of bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal. If this trendline continues to act as strong support, we may see a bullish bounce from the current level, aligning with the overall ascending trend structure but if the trade break these support zones, then the bearish movement might continues
for now we will be watching for confirmation signals such as bullish candlestick patterns or a break above near-term resistance levels to validate the upward movement.
USD/JPY Short1. Intervention-fade (always live)
Sell Limit 146.00
Stop Loss 146.80
Take-Profit 1 144.50 – if hit, move stop to breakeven
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled after 5 trading days
2. Break-and-retest (place this only after a daily candle closes below 145.00)
Sell Limit 145.20
Stop Loss 146.00
Take-Profit 1 144.00
Take-Profit 2 143.00
Good-till-cancelled: auto-cancel if not filled within 5 trading days of being placed
Rule: the moment one of these orders fills, cancel the other so you never have two USD/JPY shorts open at the same time.
Lingrid | USDJPY Breakout Could Trigger Strong Bullish RallyFX:USDJPY is approaching a retest of the 144.20–144.30 support band after rebounding from a wedge breakdown and reclaiming structure within a broader ascending formation. Price remains under the downward trendline, but a successful bounce here could fuel another push toward 146. A higher low above 144.20 would confirm bullish intent.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 144.20–144.40
Sell trigger: breakdown below 144.00
Target: 146.00
Buy trigger: breakout and hold above 145.00
💡 Risks
Rejection at the downward trendline limits upside potential
Failure to hold the 144.20 base could reverse the bullish structure
JPY strength from macro news could suppress breakout attempts
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻