USDJPY FORECAST - JEVUSDJPY has been and is currently trading between $160 and $140 since December 2023.
Optimal buy entry will be at ~$140. Sell entries will be at ~$160.
The buy entry at $140 is justified by the apparent demand at that zone for major buyers. Technically, this is corroborated by the consistent Yellow line on the TDI indicator (1hr TF) trending beneath the 30 line level each time price reaches that level; ~$140. Additionally, validation of a continued upward trend is supported with the recovery of the US Dollar since Pres. Trump has expressed confidence that he is close to making trade deals with a number of trading partners.
TP = $155
SL = $137.30
JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY ANALYSISUSDJPY has been and is currently trading between $160 and $140 since December 2023.
Optimal buy entry will be at ~$140. Sell entries will be at ~$160.
The buy entry at $140 is justified by the apparent demand at that zone for major buyers. Technically, this is corroborated by the consistent Yellow line on the TDI indicator (1hr TF) trending beneath the 30 line level each time price reaches that level; ~$140. Additionally, confirmation of the upward trend and validation of the upward trend is supported with the recovery of the US Dollar since Pres. Trump has expressed confidence that he is close to making trade deals with number a of trading partners; Japan being of such.
TP = $155
SL = $137.30
Why Yen — When the Dollar Pays 4.5%?USD/JPY recently dropped to its lowest level since September 2024, hovering near the weekly moving average. The market buzzes with concerns over potential U.S. instability and speculation that a Trump administration could weigh on the dollar — prompting some investors to seek safety in the yen.
However, the yield story tells a different tale.
The U.S. still offers an attractive 4.5% overnight interest rate, while Japan lags far behind at just 0.5%. With USD currently undervalued, the yield differential may once again tilt investor preference back toward the dollar.
Looking ahead, a potential rebound toward resistance at 148.639 could be in play in the coming weeks.
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June
②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
142.79
Support and resistance levels:
143.94
143.51
143.23
142.34
142.06
141.63
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23
If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
USDJPY - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 25.04.25)Overall Trend & Context:
This pair is in an overall uptrend and has reacted off the 140.00 support levels (as well as the 200 EMA on the Daily chart).
Technical Findings:
Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on intraday charts.
Powerful break of structure which leaves no question about bullish force.
Current consolidation - Demand needs to be built before continuation.
Notes:
Price is currently at a historic support level however has not closed above daily supply, we are still in the area of doing so.
Manage your risk, take the trade with confirmations only.
USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 24, 2025📊USD/JPY Price Action Update – April 24, 2025
🔹Current Price: 142.657
🔹Timeframe: 30M
📌Key Resistance Levels:
🔴143.685 – Major Intraday Resistance
🔴142.970 – Minor Structure Resistance (watch for breakout/rejection)
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢141.672–141.773 – Recent Bullish Breaker Block (potential reaction zone)
🟢139.635–140.722 – Higher Timeframe Demand Zone (strong support and reversal base)
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price is consolidating just below the 142.970 resistance level after a strong bullish rally. A clean breakout above this level could lead to a move toward 143.685. For safer buys, wait for a retest of the 141.672–141.773 zone.
📉Bearish Outlook:
If price rejects from the 142.970 level and breaks below 141.672, expect a deeper correction toward the 139.635–140.722 HTF demand. Monitor for bearish structure shifts or strong rejections near resistance zones.
⚡Trade Setup Tip:
✅Wait for a breakout + retest or confirmation candle
✅Use the 141.672 zone for possible long entries
✅Control risk around key levels with clear invalidation points
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USDJPY - Possible Short USDJPY - Possible short position coming our way. The pair is currently trading below Daily Open price which is a strong indication for shorts. I'm currently sitting on my hands and waiting for a break either bullish or bearish. Once one of the trendlines is broken I'll be looking at FVG's to fill either my short or long position. PS. - Feeling shorts today, let's wait for confirmation before we enter.
Happy Trading
AsrielFX