Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 141.82
1st Support: 140.15
1st Resistance: 144.52
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JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart shows a potential "W" or double-bottom pattern forming on the USD/JPY 30-minute timeframe, indicating a possible bullish reversal setup.
Key observations:
Pattern Setup: The "W" pattern suggests price might retest the previous low and then bounce up.
Entry Zone: The potential buy zone is near the bottom of the right leg of the "W" (around the green support line).
Stop Loss: Positioned just below the recent low to manage risk.
Take Profit: Two targets are indicated:
The first around the middle horizontal resistance (interim TP).
The second at the previous swing high (full TP).
It looks like a long (buy) trade idea with a solid risk-reward ratio. Are you planning to enter this setup or just analyzing it for now?
Haven play: Long yen back in focusAmid growing uncertainty surrounding U.S. equities and the US dollar, investors could be returning to a traditional defensive strategy: going long on the Japanese yen.
While some analysts believe the recent yen rally is not yet overstretched, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has noted that Japan’s central bank is likely to push back the timing of further interest rate hikes, a factor that could limit the yen's potential to strengthen further. As such, we are looking at the support level of 140.00 and the bearish-yen sentiment seen today, and the potential resistance at 144.80.
Up next: a scheduled meeting between Japan’s Finance Minister Kato and U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent later this week.
USD/JPY(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
142.82
Support and resistance levels:
144.93
144.14
143.63
142.01
141.50
140.71
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.63, consider buying, the first target price is 144.14
If the price breaks through 142.82, consider selling, the first target price is 142.01
USDJPY Breakdown? (Elliott Wave)USDJPY bounced higher from a horizontal support shelf created from August - September 2024.
Using Elliott Wave Theory as our guide, the model suggests a breakdown below the support shelf is looming nearby.
I'm keeping an eye on 144.55. Below this mark, the risk remains high of a breakdown in a wave (iii).
Even if 144.55 is hit to the upside, wave (iii) is the favored model we are following.
USDJPY is dancing on top of the support shelf now. May break below and revisit the support shelf from the underside. Once the break appears, downside targets are large.
128 becomes the first target with even lower levels possible.
EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCAD, and AUDUSD appear to be reversing too. This means EURJPY, GBPJPY, CADJPY, and AUDJPY may be ready to trend lower.
USD gain back the strengthYesterday candle shows buyer is controlling the market.
I'm expecting market will do a healthy pullback before it goes up again.
where to buy?
I'm waiting at H1 doji area. that is the sweetest spot to go for long.
monitor the lower timeframe price action and wait for the reversal sign is the best IMO.
Good Luck
USDJPY Wave Analysis – 23 April 2025
- USDJPY reversed from the support area
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 144.65
USDJPY currency pair recently reversed up from the support area between the long-term support level 140.00 (former multi-month low from September) and the lower daily Bollinger Band.
The upward reversal from this support area stopped the previous sharp downward impulse wave 3 of the higher impulse wave (3) from February.
Given the strength of the support level 140.00 and the strongly bearish yen sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to rise toward the next resistance level 144.65 (former support from the start of April).
DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING HEAD N SHOULDER TOP The chart posted should be viewed with the other chart I just posted on twitter .DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING .Can they reflate the system just enough to create a 5the wave super bubble ?? Not sure But the fact that the drop was perfect fib math and that the high was as well leads me to think I will wait just a little as I feel the world and the markets are at the crossroads of a final bubble or that the 2007 top is in place and we are bouncing back up in the ABC rally as we did in 2007 that rally was .618/66% and .786 in NYA See 2025 forecast so far it is 99% on target .Best of trades WAVETIMER
USDJPY INTRADAY Bearish below resistance at 144.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level.
In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe.
On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels.
Conclusion:
Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection.
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USDJPY Holds Above 2024 LowsUSDJPY is currently retesting its 2024 lows and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the uptrend from January 2023 to July 2024, near the critical 139 zone.
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is now in oversold territory—levels that have previously marked key reversals for USDJPY in both 2023 and 2024. If a reversal takes hold, potential resistance targets include 142, 145, 147, and 151.
However, if the support around 139 fails to hold, the pair may extend losses toward 138 and potentially 134, which aligns with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY has just completed a clean breakout above a well-defined descending channel on the 4H chart, signaling the beginning of a short-term bullish wave. This move reflects a technical shift in sentiment as buyers reclaim control after weeks of selling pressure. The breakout candle closed above the upper trendline, indicating a strong potential for continuation. The target zone appears to align with the previous resistance zone around 147.68, where price reacted multiple times in the past, creating a well-defined liquidity area.
From a fundamental standpoint, the dollar is regaining traction following a stabilization in U.S. Treasury yields and a slight pullback in geopolitical tensions. Market participants are also pricing in a slightly more hawkish Fed tone, as inflation remains persistent and jobless claims continue to show strength. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan remains firmly dovish, with no indication of tightening policy anytime soon, reinforcing yen weakness and supporting the upside momentum in USDJPY.
This current price action is not just technical—it is aligned with macro drivers. The divergence in monetary policy stance between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continues to be a key bullish factor for USDJPY. As long as U.S. inflation remains sticky and Fed officials lean toward holding or even hiking rates, this pair is likely to stay supported on dips. Add to that Japan’s fragile domestic consumption outlook and persistent intervention threats, and USDJPY may find itself grinding higher toward resistance zones.
In conclusion, with the channel breakout confirmed and fundamentals favoring a bullish bias, I’m eyeing upside continuation toward 147.68. A tight stop below 140.20 makes the setup attractive in terms of risk-reward. I'll be watching price reaction at interim levels, but the structure is clean and the setup has strong confluence—perfect for capturing this short-term wave.
April 23, 2025 – USDJPY Long📈 Bias: Bullish | Risk: 1% | 🎯 RRR Target: 1:3
🧠 Reasoning:
Price rejected from HTF zone (previous lows that caused a strong bullish move).
Took a long during London session after a 15M BOS + entry from a 15M OB, confirmed by a 1M BOS ✅
🔍 Confluences:
HTF bullish structure
15M Order Block 📊
1M BOS confirmation ⏱️
Unfilled Asian range above 🌏
🛡️ SL: 20 pips, below recent lows – enough protection.
💬 Note: There was still a deeper 15M OB below, but this trade had strong confirmation. No regrets – solid execution & confident decision.
USDJPY Short Term Buy Trading PlanM15 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback
No opposite signs
Expecting bullish continuation until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
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USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers,
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Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated that if China does not negotiate, "the United States will make the decision and set the tariff rates," while White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said, "Negotiations with China are going very well."
- Regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, President Trump said, "I have no intention of firing him, but I hope Chairman Powell will be more proactive about the idea of a rate cut."
- The Russian side explained that when the President mentioned the possibility of bilateral talks to ban attacks on civilian targets, it was with negotiations and discussions with Ukraine in mind.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 23: U.S. April Manufacturing PMI, U.S. April Services PMI
USDJPY Chart Analysis
Contrary to expectations, the pair showed a downward movement and formed a bottom around the 140 level. A rebound is occurring in this zone, suggesting the potential for a short-term rise. The 144 level is a likely target for the next peak. However, if the 140 level is broken downward, there is a possibility of a decline toward the 135–136 range.
USDJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 141.912.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 145.882 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDJPY Technical & Order Flow Analysis (Swing Trading)Our analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view, the price will rise to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
Please support our analysis with a like or comment!
Market Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh IncreaseMarket Analysis: USD/JPY Eyes Fresh Increase
USD/JPY is rising and might gain pace above the 142.45 resistance.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY climbed higher above the 141.00 and 141.65 levels.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 141.20 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh upward move from the 140.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bullish momentum above 141.65 against the Japanese Yen.
There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 141.20. It even cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and 142.45. The pair climbed above 143.00 and traded as high as 143.21 before there was a downside correction.
The pair dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 139.88 swing low to the 143.21 high. The current price action above the 141.65 level is positive.
Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 142.45. The first major resistance is near 143.20. If there is a close above the 143.20 level and the RSI moves above 75, the pair could rise toward 144.50.
The next major resistance is near 145.00, above which the pair could test 148.00 in the coming days. On the downside, the first major support is 141.65 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 139.88 swing low to the 143.21 high.
The next major support is visible near the 141.00 level. If there is a close below 141.00, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 139.90 support zone. The next stop for the bears may perhaps be near the 137.50 region.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 23, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart for a second straight day on Wednesday and retreated further from the multi-month peak reached the previous day. The Trump administration officials' comforting comments on US-China trade talks triggered a sharp rebound in global risk sentiment, which in turn had a strong impact on traditional safe-haven assets, including the yen. Moreover, a slight recovery in the US dollar (USD) from multi-year lows, supported by easing concerns over Federal Reserve (Fed) independence, pushed the USD/JPY pair to a one-week high, a level above 143.000 during the Asian session.
Growing optimism that the US and Japan are moving closer to a temporary trade agreement is helping the yen, which reacted weakly to unimpressive domestic PMIs, to pause its intraday decline. In addition, strengthening expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates in 2025 is keeping JPY bears from betting aggressively. Meanwhile, investors are losing confidence in the US economy amid Trump's rapidly shifting stance on trade policy. This, as well as bets that the Fed will soon resume its rate-cutting cycle, is holding back the dollar and taking the USD/JPY pair below 142.000 in the last hour.
Trading recommendation: SELL 141.700, SL 142.100, TP 140.500