Could the price bounce from here?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take-profit.
Entry: 147.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.83
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 148.95
Why we like it:
There is high swing resistance.
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JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY Outlook: Bullish Target Set at 151.0 USD/JPY Weekly Forecast – July Week 4
Last week, USD/JPY retested a weekly Fair Value Gap and closed with strong bullish pressure, confirming demand. Now, the next key liquidity level sits around 151.00 — just above the previous major highs.
On the daily timeframe, we may see a bearish retest toward 147.00 early in the week. From there, supported by both Federal Reserve sentiment and a bullish dollar, price could launch a strong bullish move to sweep the 151.00 highs.
Bias: Bullish
Key Zones:
• Support / Retest: 147.00
• Target: 151.00
• FVG Reaction: Confirmed on weekly close
The setup aligns with dollar strength and clean bullish structure.
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Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading
Drop your view in the comments.
#USDJPY #ForexForecast #SmartMoney #LiquidityTargets #SphinxWeekly #DollarStrength #PriceAction #FVG
USD/JPY) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential rally toward the 149.191–149.202 resistance zone. Here's the full breakdown
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Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (4H)
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support
Price recently filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG) level (yellow box) and is now pulling back toward it.
The FVG zone is expected to act as a support and potential entry point for buyers (marked by the green upward arrow).
2. Uptrend Structure
Price is moving within an ascending trendline, suggesting bullish market structure.
The current retracement is seen as a higher low setup, aligning with bullish continuation logic.
3. 200 EMA as Support
The 200 EMA at 146.198 is providing dynamic support.
Confluence between the EMA, FVG, and ascending trendline strengthens the bullish bias.
4. Resistance Target Zone
The projected target zone is between 149.191–149.202, which aligns with a previous high and key resistance level.
This zone is highlighted as the final take-profit area.
5. RSI Momentum
RSI is at 57.11, showing positive momentum but not yet overbought — which supports further upside.
RSI remains above 50, maintaining bullish momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: 147.653
Support Zone (FVG): 146.20–146.92 (approx)
Trendline Support: Uptrend line intact
200 EMA: Acting as dynamic support (146.198)
Resistance Target: 149.191–149.202
RSI: 57.11 – healthy bullish momentum
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USD/JPY Daily AnalysisPrice has rejected 146.00 for the second time this month as buyers currently regard this as a high value area.
Next stop could be 149.00 which was the last daily resistance zone, rejected this month.
If you agree with this analysis, look for a trade that meets your strategy rules.
USDJPY Will Fall! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 147.661.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 145.139 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USD/JPY - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Let me know if anything is unclear.
Keynote:
My personal point of view is that the greenback will be like a
train @ full throttle (BULLISH) for the second half of 2025.
Specifically, from the 1st of August...
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
USDJPY BULLISHUJ closed bullish last week so I’ll continue looking for buys this week. There was a daily double bottom & 50% Retracement on the daily timeframe. I would like for price to either break the H4 resistance, form a HL then look for buys. Or price could retrace and form a HL the I’ll look for buys towards daily resistance @149.190 then my next TP will be 151.00
USDJPY Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 146.300 zone, USDJPY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 146.300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY: Bullish Move From Support Ahead! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
I think that there is a high chance that USDJPY will continue growing
next week.
A bullish breakout of a resistance line of a flag pattern that occurred
after a test of a key support provides a strong bullish signal.
Goal - 148.7
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
UJ| Bullish Structure Ride | 5M Demand ExecutionPair: USDJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview: 4H structure stayed bullish with clean intent. Internal liquidity resting above prior highs, and price is still pushing through the 30M range toward those 4H targets.
LTF Confirmation: 30M showed a clean continuation range with a lower high (LH) inside structure — price never broke character. I tracked it into 5M where the OB was sitting patiently.
Entry Zone: Tapped into the 5M OB with a short-term sweep right before — no need for extra confirmation. The move had structure, inducement, and momentum on its side.
Target: TP hit at the 5M highs, but overall I’m watching for the 30M LH to go first, then ultimately expecting price to run the 4H internal highs this upcoming week.
Mindset Note: When the story is clear on the HTF, all you need is one clean LTF entry to ride with conviction. I’m letting the higher timeframe breathe and staying ready.
USD JPY shortthe sl is a bit short and narrow but yet lets see the rr is very good 1 to 3 lets see
Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !
USDJPY SELLUSD/JPY rises further and approaches 148.00 as the US Dollar firms up
The US Dollar rallies for the second consecutive day against the Yen, and approaches 148.00. Strong US data support the Fed's "wait and see" stance and underpin demand for the US Dollar. In Japan, the uncertain political context is likely to deter the BoJ from hiking interest rates further.
Previous market optimism is turning into caution as the market shifts its focus to the monetary policy reports by the Bank of Japan and the US Federal Reserve due next week.
The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged next week, more so after the strong US business activity and Jobless Claims figures released on Thursday. These data confirmed that the US economy remains resilient with a healthy labour market, which gives further leeway for the Fed to await further insight into the impact of tariffs before resuming rate cuts. The US Dollar has been trading higher following Thursday’s releases.
Also on Thursday, US President Trump paid an unusual visit to the Federal Reserve, only a few days ahead of their monetary policy meeting. Trump complained about the overcosts of the headquarters’ renovation and pressed for a less restrictive monetary policy, but his unusually soft comments after the visit eased investors’ concerns about the previous attacks on the central bank's independence.
In Japan, the somewhat softer Tokyo inflation figures seen on Friday and the trade deal would help the BoJ to continue hiking interest rates, but the bank is likely to stand pat next week and probably delay further monetary tightening until the political situation clarifies. This is likely to keep the Yen upside attempts subdued in the near-term.
SUPPORT 147.642
SUPPORT 147.311
SUPPORT 146.854
RESISTANCE 148.206
RESISTANCE 147.972
USDJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.83
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 147.34
My Stop Loss - 148.12
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY: Confirmed CHoCH & Bullish OutlookI spotted a confirmed Change of Character on 📈USDJPY on 4-hour timeframe.
The market, currently in a global bullish trend, has effectively broken through a minor bearish trend and surpassed a key horizontal resistance level.
It is likely to continue rising, with the next resistance at 149.00.
The Day AheadFriday, July 25 – Financial Market Summary (Trading Focus)
Key Data Releases:
US
June Durable Goods Orders: A leading indicator of manufacturing activity. Strong growth may boost USD and treasury yields; weak numbers could fuel rate-cut bets.
July Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Gauges regional service sector performance, often a directional cue for sentiment in broader Fed outlook.
UK
July GfK Consumer Confidence: Measures household sentiment. A decline may pressure GBP as it hints at cautious spending.
June Retail Sales: A key gauge of consumer demand. Surprises could move GBP sharply, especially amid BoE rate-cut speculation.
Japan
July Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation gauge ahead of the national print. Hotter data may raise doubts about BoJ’s ultra-loose stance.
June Services PPI: Measures business input costs; could signal future CPI pressure.
Eurozone
Germany July Ifo Survey: Monitors German business sentiment. Markets use this as a proxy for Eurozone economic health. Weakness can weigh on EUR and Bunds.
France/Italy Confidence Surveys: Consumer and manufacturing sentiment—important for pricing growth expectations across the bloc.
June M3 Money Supply: Closely watched by ECB for inflation outlook.
Central Bank:
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters: Key for insight into market inflation expectations, growth, and rate paths—could shift EUR and European yields.
Earnings – Market Movers:
HCA Healthcare: Strong US economic bellwether; watch for comments on consumer healthcare trends.
Charter Communications: Cable/streaming sector in focus—guidance may affect tech/media sentiment.
Volkswagen: Global auto demand barometer—insight into EV strategy, China exposure.
NatWest: UK-focused bank—comments on credit conditions and loan demand will influence GBP and FTSE sentiment.
Eni: Energy major—production guidance, commodity price outlooks will move oil-sensitive equities and possibly EUR.
Trading Implications:
Focus on US durable goods for risk-on/risk-off bias.
Eurozone sentiment and ECB inflation forecasts could reset EUR expectations.
UK data dump will be crucial for GBP direction amid BoE policy divergence.
Earnings from global cyclicals (Volkswagen, Eni) and banks (NatWest) may sway sectoral rotation.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.