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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

Potential bullish rise?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 140.98 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 140.24 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 142.41 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
1
JPYUSD - might pull backThis could pull back for a couple of months. Is this move down on JPYUSD gonna fuel rally in Equities? Gold looks like it wants to pull back (may be to 21 EMA or even a deeper correction to $2000/OZ). DXY might have a relief rally or just chop sideways. US10Y could drop to 3.4%. Have to watch SPX, GOLD, GOLD/SPX ratio, BTC/USD, BTC/GLX, US10Y, DXY, JPY/USD and VIX. We have to figure out if the secular bear market is already underway on equities (which means we sell the bounce on equities and buy the dip on GOLD), or if there is more blow off top left in equities. Only time will tell. Massive opportunities ahead either way. So protect your capital
by MrFleck
Yen extends gains, BOJ Core CPI lower than expectedThe Japanese yen has rallied for a third straight day. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 140.38, down 0.33% on the day. The yen has climbed 1.3% since Thursday, as the US dollar is under pressure against the major currencies. BoJ Core CPI, a key inflation indicator, remained at 2.2% for a third consecutive month in March, shy of the forecast of 2.4%. This follows Japan's National Core CPI, which rose 3.2% y/y, matching expectations but higher than the 3.0% gain in February. National CPI eased to 3.6%, down from 3.7% in February and below the market estimate of 3.7%. The inflation data comes a week before the BoJ's policy meeting next week. The central bank has signaled that it will continue to raise interest rates as wages and inflation have been rising. However, the risks to inflation and growth from US tariffs have muddied the rate outlook and the BoJ may decide to push off another hike until later in the year. The finance ministers of Japan and the US will meet later this week, as Tokyo looks to carve out some tariff exemptions. The BoJ is likely to sit tight and see if the talks lead to a breakthrough. The US is expected to bring up the exchange rate, as President Trump has accused Japan of deliberately keeping the yen weak in order to protect its export sector. There are no key releases out of the US today, but we'll hear from three FOMC members later today. The markets have priced in a rate cut in May at 10%, with a 62% probability of a rate cut in June.
by OANDA
Daily Analysis – USD/JPY📉🔽 Daily Analysis – USD/JPY Overall Trend: The pair is currently in a downtrend, with continued selling pressure dominating the market. Overbought Condition: We’ve noticed signs of exhaustion in price movement, suggesting a potential temporary correction. Next Strategy: We’re waiting for a price pullback towards strong supply zones, where selling would be the most suitable option, with clear targets in place. ⚡️ Tip: Closely monitor current price action and be ready to enter the market once the anticipated correction occurs.
Short
by ShakerTrading
Trade Friction and Fed Pressure Lift Japanese YenThe Japanese yen strengthened to approximately 140.5 per dollar on Tuesday, marking its strongest level in seven months, as investors sought safe-haven assets amid heightened global trade tensions and concerns over U.S. economic stability. Market sentiment declined following stalled trade talks, with China resisting President Trump's tariff demands. Confidence further eroded after Trump renewed calls to remove Fed Chair Powell over delayed rate cuts. Attention now turns to the upcoming Bank of Japan meeting, where rates are likely to remain at 0.5%, though the central bank may lower its growth forecast due to mounting external pressures. Key resistance is at 142.00, with further levels at 144.00 and 145.90. Support stands at 139.70, followed by 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
USD/JPY Analysis: Exchange Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per DollarUSD/JPY Analysis: Exchange Rate Falls Below 140 Yen per Dollar Today As shown on the USD/JPY chart today, the exchange rate between the US dollar and Japanese yen has fallen below 140 yen per dollar – marking the first time this has occurred in 2025. Since the beginning of the year, the rate has dropped by approximately 11%. Among the main driving factors is the White House's tariff policy, which has triggered a sell-off in US government bonds and a weakening of the dollar. One of the more recent developments includes the release of the Consumer Price Index report by the Bank of Japan, which revealed that the CPI remained steady at 2.2%, despite analysts (according to ForexFactory) forecasting a rise to 2.4%. It’s possible that, due to the lack of inflationary pressure in Japan, the yen is in a relatively stronger position compared to the US currency, where concerns persist that trade wars and Trump’s push for lower interest rates may lead to a spike in inflation and a devaluation of the dollar. Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart It’s worth noting that the psychological level of 140 yen per dollar has acted as key support since late 2023. On the rare occasions when the rate has dipped below this mark, the bulls have soon regained confidence, prompting a reversal. It’s quite possible we may witness a similar attempt on the USD/JPY chart in the coming weeks or even days. However, the current outlook remains bearish, as the price has broken below the Descending Wedge pattern (marked with black lines), indicating that supply is outweighing demand. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDJPY at a Crossroads: Resistance Held, But What’s Ahead?USDJPY at a Crossroads: Resistance Held, But What’s Ahead? In our previous analysis, USDJPY respected the resistance zone near 144.40, and the price has already reached our first target. The trade situation between the US and Japan remains uncertain, which could keep USDJPY under pressure. Japanese Economic Revitalization Minister Ryosei Akazawa left the US on Friday without securing a deal, suggesting that an agreement may take time. Meanwhile, Trump is frustrated with the strong Japanese yen against the US dollar. This could lead to a weaker USDJPY in the coming weeks, as Japan may seek to appease him and work toward a deal. So far, the price is moving as expected, though at a slow pace. Let’s see how things unfold. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
9
USD/JPY in Free Fall: What’s Behind the Break Below 140?🔍 Technical Analysis – USD/JPY The weekly chart shows a sharp rejection in the macro zone between 155–158, where strong supply is present (highlighted in red). After brushing historical highs, USD/JPY experienced a vertical drop down to 140, decisively breaking through the key zone at 148–146. Price has now broken the weekly structure and is approaching an area that previously triggered significant rallies (blue zone between 138–141). Monthly support is in danger, with the RSI deeply in oversold territory, but no clear reversal signals just yet. 📊 COT Report – USD Index Asset Managers: Slight recovery on long positions, but still in neutral territory. Leverage Money: Increasing net shorts, indicating speculative bets against the dollar. The divergence between the falling USD Index and speculative positions confirms a growing lack of confidence in the greenback. 📊 COT Report – JPY Futures Asset Managers: Strong increase in long positions on the yen since December 2024. Leverage Money: Reinforcing long bias since February 2025. This confirms that institutional players are accumulating yen, possibly anticipating BoJ interventions or a broader flight-to-safety. 💥 Trade Outlook USD/JPY is in full bearish breakout mode. If the 140 level breaks decisively, the next technical targets are: 137.00 → historical mid-level support 134.00 → base of the 2023 structure Keep an eye on the RSI: a bullish divergence with strong volume could trigger a technical rebound. But as long as the overall sentiment remains strongly risk-off, every rally is a selling opportunity.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
1