USD/JPY – Bullish Breakout Setup (1H Timeframe)I’m currently monitoring the USD/JPY pair on the 1-hour chart. The pair was in a bearish trend earlier, but after forming a Bullish Divergence, it has started to print a series of Higher Highs (HHs) and Higher Lows (HLs) — a classic sign of trend reversal and strength.
I’m planning a Buy Stop entry above the most recent Higher High. If the breakout occurs, I’ll execute the trade based on this bullish continuation setup.
🧠 Technical Confluences:
✅ Bullish Divergence observed — signals momentum shift.
✅ Market Structure shifting to HHs and HLs.
✅ Entry planned above recent HH to confirm breakout.
📊 T rade Setup:
Pair USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Trend: Bullish
Entry: Buy Stop @ 144.789
Stop Loss: 143.834
Take Profit 1: 145.744
Take Profit 2: 146.699
Lot Size: 0.15
Risk–Reward 1:1 and 1:2
Risk $200
Reward $300
📌 Trade will be activated only upon confirmation — a break above the previous high. Stick to proper risk management.
🔖 Hashtags:
#USDJPY #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishBreakout #ForexSetup #TradeIdeas #MarketStructure #ForexSignals #BuySetup #DivergenceTrading #1HChart #FXMarket #RiskManagement
JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 144.203 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Stronger Dollar Pressures Yen on Geopolitical RisksThe Japanese yen fell past 144.2 per dollar on Monday, marking a second day of losses, as the U.S. dollar strengthened on increased safe-haven demand. This followed renewed conflict between Israel and Iran, with both sides targeting energy facilities and pushing oil prices higher. The rise in energy costs may reduce the chances of a near-term Fed rate cut as inflation and trade risks persist. Meanwhile, focus turns to the Bank of Japan’s upcoming policy meeting, where it is expected to keep rates unchanged while assessing the inflation impact of rising oil prices amid global uncertainty.
Resistance is at 145.30, while support stands near 142.50.
USDJPY Long potential setupWhat's going on?
USDJPY – Reload Zone Marked. If They Take Me Out, I’ll Be Waiting Lower.
Discipline means you don’t chase. You wait where the market must return.
Currently in 2 buys, one is an added position, then I moved my stop in from the purple line— but if those get wicked out, I’m hunting the next key demand zone just beneath 144.10. Where we'll have a textbook spring setup!
🧠 What I See:
We're forming a potential micro accumulation structure.
If the current position gets taken out, I’ll reload lower at the spring aligned with the prior reaction low + liquidity sweep zone.
🎯 Next Area of Interest:
Zone: 144.00 – 144.10
📌 Target Remains:
144.76 → 145.36
1.618 extension aligns with supply inefficiencies & range completion
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> “Stop loss isn’t failure. It’s recon. The second entry — that’s where pros feast.”
I’m not trading emotion. I’m trading plan + precision + execution.
USD/JPY...1h chart pattern..Here's a quick summary of MY USD/JPY trade setup:
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Trade Idea: SELL USD/JPY @ 144.000
Entry Point: 144.000
Target 1 (TP1): 143.400 → +60 pips
Target 2 (TP2): 142.400 → +160 pips
Suggestions:
Stop Loss (SL): Consider setting a stop loss above recent resistance (e.g., 144.500 or 144.800) to manage risk.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
For TP1: 1:1 with SL @ 144.600
For TP2: ~2.6:1 with SL @ 144.600
Key Technical Zones:
Watch for support near 143.400 (TP1); possible bounce or consolidation.
142.400 is a deeper move — stronger confirmation needed (e.g., a break below 143.400 with volume).
Let me know if you’d like a chart analysis or updates on news that could impact this trade.
Potential bullish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 143.79
1st Support: 139.64
1st Resistance: 148.91
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USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce Off the 50%Based on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.74, a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 144.79, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.29, a pullback support.
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USD/JPY 1H ShortUSD/JPY 1H – Analysis
🔍 1. Context: Macro Fundamentals
BOJ (Bank of Japan) remains dovish, showing little intention of raising rates significantly.
USD strength continues due to sticky inflation and delayed rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.
Geopolitical risks and U.S. economic resilience further strengthen the dollar.
This macro backdrop supports bearish JPY bias, hence a long USD/JPY setup aligns with the fundamentals.
🧠 2. Structure and Liquidity Analysis
Price recently swept sell-side liquidity (marked by the dip into demand zone).
Strong bullish reaction from a demand block confirms interest from smart money.
The market has now printed a short-term higher low, signaling a possible intent to create a new leg up.
📌 3. Entry, Stop Loss, Target (SMC-Based)
✅ Entry:
At 144.180–144.250 (refinement inside the lower bullish reaccumulation zone).
This zone represents a mitigation of a lower imbalance and offers a favorable risk-reward long.
❌ Stop Loss:
Below 143.880, beneath the refined demand zone and last liquidity sweep — if broken, the bullish narrative is invalidated in this leg.
🎯 Target 1 (Partial):
145.400 — first major supply zone where prior imbalance sits and price previously reversed. Could see first reaction here.
🎯 Target 2 (Final TP):
146.280 – 146.400 — a higher timeframe buy-side liquidity pool and previous distribution origin.
Risk-to-reward is well-optimized at 1:4+, depending on execution precision.
🔄 4. Price Action Expectations
Price may retest the 144.200–144.250 zone (demand).
If order flow remains bullish, expect a clean break of internal high at 145.180.
Watch for reaction at 145.400, but holding partials for a liquidity run toward 146.280+ is justified.
📉 5. Invalidation Scenario
If price breaks and closes below 143.880, we consider:
The demand was not institutional.
A deeper mitigation into the lower demand block near 142.100–141.800 may be required.
✅ Final Outlook
“USD/JPY has completed a sweep of liquidity and is now forming bullish internal structure. With macro favoring USD strength, and current order flow signaling institutional positioning, a long from 144.200 toward 146.280 is a high-probability setup — provided price protects the latest demand block.”
USD/JPY(20250616)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.79
Support and resistance levels:
145.47
144.84
144.43
143.15
142.74
142.12
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 144.43, consider buying in, the first target price is 144.84
If the price breaks through 143.79, consider selling in, the first target price is 143.15
USDJPY - Technical AnalysisThere is a possibility to open a short position in this pair.
By analysing the pair on higher timeframes and using a 45-period exponential moving average along with two simple moving averages of 70 and 95 periods (supported by a Parabolic SAR), a selling opportunity arises.
Although the pair has shown a strong bullish move on the monthly timeframe, I believe it will reach the price level of 139.885 again.
This prediction is based on the fact that in April a strong bearish candle was formed, followed in May by a bullish candle that failed to sustain a strong move, unlike what happened previously.
This does not mean the pair won’t continue its bullish trend, but I expect the bullish momentum to strengthen after it reaches the 139.885 level again, possibly with a stronger upward move.
It is important to note that, despite this technical analysis, attention should be paid to news, economic data, and any other factors that may influence this pair, as this is purely a technical perspective.
The short position tool shown on the chart is only meant to support the entry decision for the trade.
USD/JPY Approaching Key Buy Zone
USD/JPY is trading above a potential demand zone between 143.827 and 143.449, following a recent bounce. This zone aligns with prior structure support and could act as a re-entry level for bullish momentum.
If price retests and holds this area, a move toward the 144.490 resistance could unfold. A clean break above that level might open the door toward 145.138.
However, a confirmed break below 143.449 would invalidate the bullish idea and signal a potential shift in short-term sentiment.
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 143.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 142.88
Why we like it
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 144.38
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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USDJPY Technical Brief: Structure Points Lower
💴 USDJPY: Structure suggests further downside
The upward movement from April 22 to May 12 appears to be corrective — I label it as a double zigzag.
The segment from May 12 to May 27, on the other hand, is highly likely to be an impulse.
After that, the price moved into a range, the boundaries of which are gradually narrowing. This gives reason to assume the formation of a contracting triangle (cT).
If this scenario plays out, we may see:
🔸 a break of the 142.108 low
🔸 a drop toward the 139.883 zone
🔸 an overall potential decline within the 140.8–138.0 range
📎 Link to my long-term FX:USDJPY OANDA:USDJPY FOREXCOM:USDJPY scenario:
USDJPY - Medium term prediction - 16/06/25For USD/JPY at 144.11, weighing the daily range (139.58–148.65) and recent price action, I’d estimate roughly:
Slide below 139.58 first ~60%
Rally above 148.65 first ~40%
Reasoning
Range position: We’re in the upper half of a well-defined 139.58–148.65 band—mean regression favors a move back toward the lower boundary.
Failed rallies: Price has tried three times (Feb, Apr, May) to breach 148.65 and faltered, suggesting that resistance remains firm.
Momentum: Recent advances lack conviction—the daily candles are indecisive with wicks on both ends, hinting at exhaustion.
Bearish longer‐term tilt: From last summer’s high (~162), USD/JPY has carved lower highs, putting the overall bias slightly skewed to the downside until a clean break above 148.65.
USDJPY – 4H . [[ TRIANGLE PATTERN ]]Technical Breakdown:
Symmetrical triangle pattern clearly formed with clean ABCDE wave structure.
The price has broken out from the upper resistance (trendline), confirming a bullish breakout scenario.
Next key area to watch is the supply zone near 145.800 – 146.200, where price may either:
Face resistance and retrace,
Or break through for continuation.
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🔍 Key Levels:
Support Base (Retest zone): ~143.000
Breakout Entry Trigger: Above 144.200
Supply Zone Target: 145.800 – 146.200
Invalidation Level (Break Below Triangle): <142.500
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🧠 Analysis Insight:
This is a classic triangle consolidation breakout, with price respecting both ascending and descending boundaries before thrusting upward.
Look for possible pullback retest entries before continuation to the supply zone.
Volume and momentum confirmation on breakout is key for sustainability.
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🎯 Strategy Note:
Use low-risk entry setups on breakout retest.
Ideal for scalp to swing trades, with strong risk-reward structure.
USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis iUSD/JPY on the 30-minute timeframe, showing a rejection from resistance zones and a potential move toward lower support levels.
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Analysis Breakdown
Technical Components:
1. Resistance Zones:
Primary Resistance: Near 145.500 (upper yellow box), which has previously been rejected multiple times (red arrows).
FVG (Fair Value Gap) Resistance Level: Around 144.400, also acting as strong resistance, especially near the EMA 200.
2. Downtrend Line:
The price is moving below a downward trendline, respecting bearish structure.
Last rejection from both the trendline and FVG zone confirms selling pressure.
3. EMA 200 (144.075):
Price is hovering around this level, showing indecision.
Bearish bias remains unless price breaks and holds above it.
4. Target Zone:
A clearly marked support level around 142.543, shown as the bearish target.
Includes multiple event markers (potential news catalysts or key dates), suggesting added volatility.
5. RSI (14):
Currently near 55.23, with a prior rejection from higher RSI levels.
Bearish divergence not clear, but no overbought conditions.
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Bearish Idea Summary:
Thesis: Rejection from resistance zones + trendline + EMA suggests continuation to downside.
Expecting: Price to either:
Retest the upper resistance zone (around 145.000–145.500) and reject again, or
Break below current levels and continue lower toward 142.543.
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Trade Idea Concept:
Entry Option 1: Sell on confirmed rejection from FVG zone or upper resistance.
Entry Option 2: Sell on break and retest below 144.000.
Target: 142.543 (support zone).
Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone or trendline (e.g., >145.600).
Mr SMC Trading point
Risks to Watch:
Invalidation: Clean break and close above 145.500 would invalidate the bearish setup.
News Impact: Note the icons near the target zone – monitor economic releases around that time.
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USDJPY: Intraday Bearish ConfirmationIn the middle of last week, I spotted a valid confirmed structure breakout on 📉USDJPY on a 4-hour timeframe.
Currently, the pair is retesting the broken structure, and the price has formed a strong bearish confirmation on the hourly chart.
I see a double top pattern and a violation of its neckline.
With high probability, the price will fall and reach the 144.02 level.