Risk assets rally amid trade talk developmentsFollowing the agreement between the United States (US) and China to temporarily reduce tariffs, there has been a notable unwinding of safe-haven assets and an increase in demand across risk. Recent developments show the US is preparing to lower levies from 145% to 30%, while China is set to decrease tariffs from 125% to 10%.
Safe-haven assets weighed
Along with the Swiss franc (CHF) and Spot Gold versus the US dollar (XAU/USD), the Japanese yen (JPY) is on the back foot today. The USD/JPY currency pair is up 2.0% today and has rallied nearly 4.0% on the month, poised to snap a four-month losing streak.
USD/JPY bulls to remain on the offensive, targeting ¥149.00?
Technically, support remains clear on the monthly scale of USD/JPY at ¥140.31, a base that is complemented by the Relative Strength Index demonstrating signs of rebounding from the 50.00 threshold (and the lower boundary of a falling wedge taken from 86.72 and 56.82). Buyers certainly have room to stretch their legs on the monthly timeframe, with resistance calling for attention at ¥160.20.
As long as the unit closes above the ¥148.28 high (9 April) on the daily chart today, this will not only provide support around ¥148.15 to work with but also unlock the door for further upside towards the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥149.68. This is closely shadowed by another layer of possible resistance between ¥150.99 and ¥150.16, as well as Fibonacci resistance at ¥152.05-¥151.61.
If you drill down to the H1 chart, you will note another support that warrants attention at ¥147.43. Should daily price fail to close above ¥148.28, I will closely monitor H1 support from ¥147.43 as another potential floor, with an immediate upside objective at ¥149.00, followed by the 200-day SMA at ¥148.69, as mentioned above.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
JPYUSD trade ideas
NEXT MOVE Bearish Disruption Analysis:
1. Support Breakdown Risk
The chart highlights the 145.000–145.200 area as a support zone.
If price breaks below this support with strong bearish momentum, it could invalidate the bullish reversal expectation.
A close below 144.800 would confirm weakness, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment
USDJPY will it go higher?Hello everyone!
I want share my idea about USDJPY.
last few week we saw USD weaker than other Currencies, but now we see Trend Change after test 140.000 LVL. If we look at JPY index we will see price moving with strong seller but still uptrend, i think JPY will move lower and dollar will still dominant in the race.
If we look at technical with simple Support/Resistance strategy price going higher it broke some resistance levels and had pretty nice reactions from supports i think price will brake easy 140 LVL and will go to check 151 Resistance.
Soon we will have China and America meeting which will be about rates, i think it will affect at dollar index and it is starting place which is signal the meeting will go well.
FOR COLLABORATION TEXT ME DM!
ALWAYS MAKE YOUR OWN RESEARCH!
USD/JPY Breaks Out – Bulls Eye 149.35 Fibonacci TargetUSD/JPY surged nearly 2%, breaking above both its 50-day SMA and short-term downtrend line, signaling a potential trend reversal:
📈 Strong bullish candle, clearing the 146.50–147.50 zone
📊 RSI climbing through 60, showing accelerating bullish momentum
📉 MACD crossing the zero line, reinforcing the bullish signal
🔺 Next upside targets:
149.35 = 50% Fib retracement of the Dec–April decline
151.60 = 61.8% Fib and near 200-day SMA
Staying above 146.30 keeps the bias bullish. A close above 149.35 would open the door for a potential run toward 154.80.
-MW
USD/JPY: Ready to Explode !!USD/JPY: Ready to Explode !!
We have a choch made on 23/04
Price repected major key levels
Delivered a clean setup to the upside
Target : 147.643
(Not financial advice)
#USDJPY #Forex #FXTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #ChoCH #ForexSetup #JPY #USDollar #TradeIdeas
USD/JPY 145 Support -> 148 ResistanceIt's a fast start to the week for the FX market and the U.S. Dollar recovery has shifted into another gear. CPI data headlines this week's economic calendar and that can certainly carry some punch, but the past two weeks have been big for USD/JPY with rate meetings out of both Japan and the U.S., with the net being a massive move in the pair after the test at 140.00 in late-April.
The 148 level is big as this is a Fibonacci level that held the highs twice earlier in April. And from the four-hour chart, an inverse head and shoulders pattern could be argued with that price playing a role as the neckline in the pair. This can keep the door open for breakouts, although the move is already quite stretched from shorter time frames as that resistance has come into play. For support, there's a few spots of interest, such as the 147.50 psychological level or the trendline projection that had held resistance into the end of last week, which currently plots around 146.20. Of course, 145.00 is of interest as well, although a 300 pip retracement might not be the most enticing lead-in for longs. For next resistance, the 150.00 level looms large as this was last in-play around the time of the 'liberation day' announcement. - js
USDJPY Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Impatience Tax in Trading: The Costs of Clicking Too SoonHave you ever thought that maybe some of your losses don’t come from bad trades? Rather, they come from good trades, timed badly?
You see the setup, the signal’s almost there, the MACD is leaning in, the candle is flirting with support — and boom, you click. Early. Too early.
Price dips a bit more and then shoots upward like a rocket. Your stop gets triggered — you just paid the impatience tax.
Welcome to the place where you get taxed for being impatient — a very real, very expensive fee traders pay when their fingers move faster than their reasoning.
🤫 The Impatience Tax — A Silent Killer Dressed as Urgency
The impatience tax doesn’t appear on your statement. You won’t see it listed in your commissions, or under slippage, or labeled in red ink like a realized loss. But rest assured, it’s there — nibbling away at your P&L every time you front-run your own strategy.
And the worst part? It feels productive. You’re taking initiative, showing conviction, being bold. Except what you're really doing is lighting good setups on fire because you couldn’t wait for one more candle to close.
🧬 The Anatomy of an Early Click
Here’s how it usually goes:
You spot a setup.
You get excited.
You skip the checklist.
You enter on the 3rd candle instead of the 5th.
The market fakes out.
You get stopped out.
The market then does exactly what you expected — without you.
Every trader has lived this story. And it hurts more than a loss from a bad trade. Because this wasn’t a bad idea. It was a good idea butchered by bad timing.
🤝 Impatience Loves Company (And Volatility)
Impatience tends to thrive in fast markets. When the price is moving, you feel like you need to act. You notice some breaking news that moves markets, charts start to jiggle and tickers flash — suddenly your FOMO glands kick in.
You’re not waiting for confirmation. You’re reacting — to price, to emotion, to fear of missing out.
It’s not just beginners either. Even seasoned traders occasionally get sucked in. Why? Because the brain is wired to avoid missing opportunities more than it’s wired to avoid losses. We want in. Now. Before it's “too late.”
But here’s a pro secret: the markets tend to always give second chances. You just have to be around to take them.
⏰ Why the Best Traders Wait
Let’s talk about patience. Not the zen-monk, meditate-in-a-cave-for-years kind. The market kind.
The kind that says: “Nope, not yet.”
The kind that closes the platform until the London session starts.
The kind that lets a trade go because it didn’t meet all the criteria — even if it was close.
Top traders aren’t paid for activity. They’re paid for precision. The entry is 90% of the battle. If you win there, the rest is just management.
🧐 How to Identify an Impatience Habit
Want to know if you’re paying the impatience tax regularly? Try this:
Look at your last 10 triggered stop loss orders: How many were within a few ticks of reversal?
Count your trades per day: Are you averaging more than your strategy demands?
Review your entry notes: Did you say things like “close enough” or “looks good”?
If the answer is yes, you’re a tax-paying member of the Impatience Society.
👷♂️ Build a Buffer: Taming the Trigger Finger
So how do you stop paying the Impatience Tax?
Start with structure:
Use time-based confirmations. Wait for the candle to close. A candle halfway formed is a lie detector test mid-question.
Have a rule-based checklist. If a trade doesn’t meet every item, you don’t take it. No exceptions.
Use alerts , not entries. Let the price come to you. Your job is to hunt, not chase.
Trade fewer setups, better. Less is more when each trade has meaning and clarity.
And when in doubt? Wait. The worst that happens is you miss one trade. The best that happens is you finally stop losing money edge by edge.
💵 Impatience Is Expensive. Patience Is Profitable.
The market is designed to reward discipline, not urgency. Speed might help you scalp news reactions, but even that requires planned execution. Unchecked impatience is just impulse with a brokerage account.
It's important to always remember that you’re not trying to win this trade. You’re trying to win this game for the long run.
And winning the game means surviving long enough to let your edge play out — with patience, not panic.
💎 Final Thoughts: Don’t Confuse Action with Progress
The financial markets are a cruel place for dopamine seekers. They offer constant motion, flashing lights, and infinite temptation to click before thinking.
But progress isn’t about how many trades you take — it’s about how many good ones you wait for.
So next time your mouse finger twitches, ask yourself: Is this the plan? Or is this impatience disguised as opportunity seeking instant gratification?
Because every early click is a donation to someone else’s P&L.
👉 Your turn : What’s your best (or worst) story of jumping the gun? How have you built patience into your process — or are you still wrestling with the trigger? Let us know in the comments!
USDJPY - Predictive Analysis & Forecasting USDJPY
Scales
- S: pending 149.964 activation
- M: nears cycle completion from 140.648 to 148.52-149.53 target range
- L: 142.67 activation triggered 149.21 pivot
Forecast & Targets
- ST: limited upside to 149.96 max
- MT: bearish to 143.09 min, 138.29 max
#USDJPY #Forex #CROW2.0
4xForecaster
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Originally published in BlueSky
USDJPY Weekly CLS I Model 2 I Target CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
USDJPY is expected to target 165.5Daily chart,
USDJPY CMCMARKETS:USDJPY price is forming a falling expanding wedge pattern. After clear crossing of the line R, and stabilizing above it for 2 days, the target will be 165.5
Note that there are resistance levels on the way, especially the strong historical High (at 161.95)!
Stop loss below 145 - Consider a rising stop loss level as the price goes up.
Technical indicators:
RSI is positive
MACD is about to cross its signal line.
USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS.The third chart you uploaded shows the USD/JPY currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, as displayed on TradingView.
Key observations:
1. Trend Reversal:
The chart shows an initial downtrend (red line) followed by a strong bullish reversal (green line).
The reversal started from a demand zone (gray box), where buyers stepped in and pushed the price up.
2. Bullish Momentum:
The price has moved significantly upwards, breaking through resistance levels.
The current price is around 145.902, and the chart shows a bullish continuation pattern aiming for a target of 146.500.
3. Moving Average Support:
The blue curved line appears to be a moving average (possibly a 50 or 100 period), providing dynamic support during the upward movement.
The chart indicates a strong bullish sentiment, with a clear target of 146.500. The momentum looks robust after the demand zone bounce.
Would you like guidance on managing risk or identifying entry points in this scenario?
US Dollar fall is far from over .......Don't let the recent US-UK deal tricks you into thinking Trump is winning in his negotiating. He chose a weak opponent to begin with . I won't pop the champagne yet !
The one must watch show is the one in Switzerland where his representatives meet up with the Chinese counterparts. Knowing his style, he will trumpet and exaggerate a thousand times even nothing is cast in stone. This guy loves the media and must say , he is manipulating them very well. People saw his plot yet few dares to call him out.
As usual, please DYODD