USDJPY M,W,D BIAS
Monthly
Bias Bullish target 151.304 (monthly fvg)
Weekly
Price Currently trading on an imbalanced zone which im watching for a possible reversal zone. But if price closed through im looking at this weekly and daily impalance zone of 148.27 as possible draw on liquidity
Daily
Bias Bearish daily target 144.753 which happens to be a daily bullish fvg. I might consider this level to look for buys since order flow for me is is bullish if price does fall back for a correction
4Hour confirmation zone
Please let me know your thoughts
"trading is a probability game, its always best to have a plan"
JPYUSD trade ideas
Sell Opportunity🔵 USD/JPY Short Setup – Resistance Rejection with R/R 2.06
Price action on the 1H chart shows a clean rejection from the volume cluster resistance zone near 145.85–146.00, backed by Stochastic RSI turning down from overbought territory.
📉 Entry: 145.845
🎯 Target: 144.830
🛑 Stop Loss: 146.282
📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.06
⏱️ Timeframe: 18 hours projection
🔍 Technical Factors:
Volume Profile Resistance: Strong supply area at 145.85–146.30 has capped upward momentum.
EMA Pressure: Price retesting below the 50 EMA, with 200 EMA well below suggesting possible downside room.
Stochastic RSI: Bearish crossover near 70 signals short-term exhaustion.
Bearish Candle Structure: Rejection wick and bearish confirmation following attempted breakout.
USDJPY Bearish Reversal – Trendline Retest + Supply ReactionUSDJPY is reacting from a major confluence zone after breaking out of a descending wedge.
Price has returned to retest the underside of the trendline while tapping into an FVG and historical resistance.
This zone shows early signs of rejection on the 4H, with long wicks and slowing bullish momentum.
I’m watching for confirmation of bearish intent — if structure breaks on lower timeframes, it could signal the start of a larger correction.
Key structure zones and imbalance levels are in play. I’ll be monitoring for clean entries on the next pullback or confirmation candle.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which is overlapping resistance. It could reverse from this level to the 1st support, which acts as pullback support.
Pivot: 147.17
1st Support: 142.42
1st Resistance: 151.00
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USDJPY Trade for the Week📊 USDJPY Long-Term Trade Plan
Timeframe: 1M | Style: Swing/Positional
📅 Posted: May 2025
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a long-term play based on monthly structure and support levels. Trade at your own risk.
📈 Bias: Long-Term Bullish (until invalidation)
💡 Plan:
I'm currently tracking a multi-tiered support ladder on the 1H as part of a broader monthly bullish reversal.
Entry Zone: Between 145.088 and 144.056
Support Range:
Light support: 145.08
Mid support: 144.05
Last line: 143.08 (invalidation zone)
🎯 Target Zones:
TP1: 146.52 (structure break)
TP2: 148.50 (monthly resistance)
TP3: 150.00+ (full extension target)
🧠 Context:
Monthly candle has tapped major support and is now sitting at 50% fib retracement.
Weekly shows strong bullish engulfing from support.
Intraday structure remains intact with multiple re-entry zones shown in the image.
💬 Let me know if you're following this move or waiting for confirmation.
Keep your SL tight. Don’t force it. ✊
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 143.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 146.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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USD/JPYUSD/JPY Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe
Current Situation:
The USD/JPY pair recently tested the 141.38 level (a key price-time zone) with a false breakout on April 21, followed by a strong rebound.
This bounce held the price above the support zone and triggered a bullish move, pushing the price above the 144.81–144.87 resistance area and closing the week with a potential continuation candle to the upside.
Additional Insight:
This bullish phase may represent a retracement of the bearish impulse that originated from the 149.84–149.63 area, which is marked with the green arrow on the chart.
The broader trend remains bearish, so this could be a technical pullback before the downtrend potentially resumes.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 144.81 / 144.87 → 142.20 → 141.38
Resistance / Target Zone: 149.63–149.84 (crucial area for reassessment)
Lower Bearish Targets (if support breaks): 136.81 and 132.80
Trading Conclusion:
In this context, a continued move to the upside toward the 149.63–149.84 area is expected, but it will be crucial to closely observe price behavior at those levels.
Conversely, if the 141.38 support is breached, we may see a resumption of the broader downtrend with significantly lower targets.
⚠️ Note: The overall market structure remains bearish, meaning this current rally is likely a corrective phase. Caution and confirmation are key before taking action.
USDJPY - Technical Analysis Favors Dollar Strength AheadBased on the USD/JPY chart, we're seeing a promising bullish setup after the pair rebounded from support around 142.00. The price has formed a higher low and appears to be establishing a potential uptrend, having recently broken above the 145.00 resistance level. With the current price action showing resilience and momentum shifting to the upside, there's a higher probability of continued strength toward potential targets near the previous highs around 148.00. The formation of consecutive bullish candles above key support zones reinforces this positive outlook, suggesting buyers are regaining control after the April decline.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY WEEKLYHello Traders. This is my analysis for USDJPY. If it breaks out of the trend line, we can expect a significant drop. Let's hope it will make a false breakout from the trend line and continue bullish.
I am not a professional and I would be happy if you share your opinion in the comments.
USDJPY Set to Rise as Support Holds and Dollar Finds TailwindsUSDJPY looks poised for further upside following a period of consolidation and a successful retest of strong support around the 140.50 level. The weekly chart reveals a clear triple bottom pattern, reinforcing the strength of this support zone and suggesting renewed bullish momentum.
The US Dollar is starting to regain strength after a period of weakness, supported by improving U.S. economic data, sticky inflation, and a less dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. In contrast, Japan is unlikely to change its ultra-loose monetary policy in the near term, keeping rate differentials wide and favoring a stronger Dollar.
With the Bank of Japan expected to hold rates steady for the foreseeable future, capital is likely to continue flowing out of the yen. Carry trade flows remain intact, adding to the upward pressure on USDJPY.
Momentum indicators are turning higher, and price action is forming a steady base for another leg up. The market could target the 150 zone in the coming weeks, where the 50-week moving average may act as initial resistance.
As long as 140.50 holds, dips could offer attractive buying opportunities. A sustained move above 145.00 could trigger fresh bullish momentum and accelerate gains.
USDJPY Buy Opportunity Above 143.525Entry Point: 143.525 (unchanged)
Stop Loss: 141.847 (unchanged)
Target Point One (TP1): 145.063 (unchanged)
Final Target (TP2): Now refined to 147.883 instead of 147.894 — a small, precise update.
📈 Pattern and Structure:
Cup-and-handle formation still intact, indicating a continuation pattern.
Support confirmation at the 143.5 zone, showing a potential base for a bullish reversal.
The chart shows strong upside projection toward the resistance band near 147.8–148.0, highlighted with the upper purple zone.
📊 Risk-Reward Profile:
Risk (Entry to SL): 143.525 – 141.847 = 1.678
Reward (Entry to TP2): 147.883 – 143.525 = 4.358
Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 4.358 / 1.678 ≈ 2.6R — a favorable risk/reward setup.
🧠 Trade Notes:
Entry is slightly above a demand zone.
First target is conservative, near a known resistance.
Final target aligns with prior highs and the broader ascending wedge’s upper bound.
Timing suggests the bullish push may unfold over the next few sessions (likely May 6–8 range, as curved arrow indicates a rounded retest/bounce scenario)
USDJPY Will Move Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 142.756.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 144.697.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/JPY Trendline Resistance - 145.00 SupportUSD/JPY has been tricky this year as the pair has brewed several bear traps and there's even been some bull traps along the way. Trading breakouts in a market like that can be even more frustrating than usual, as a case in point the 140.00 test from a few weeks ago was a brutal false breakout that then led to a 500+ pip reversal.
Last week's Bank of Japan meeting was followed by this week's FOMC meeting and the net result of the two was a stronger USD/JPY, and for the second consecutive week the pair found resistance on the underside of a trendline projection.
But perhaps more notably, the same 145.00 level that bulls could not hold above a week ago showed up as support into the end of this week. I wouldn't want to call the weekly bar as a purely bullish item, however, as it has more of a spinning top/indecisive type of nature. But - given that it closed green for a third week in a row and held above 145, we have to give bulls some credit here, and the door would remain open for a deeper run towards the 146.75 prior swing low. - js
USDJPY Smart Money Short Setup | 30m OB + FVG Reaction🧠 USDJPY 30m SMC Setup | May 9, 2025
We’ve got a high-probability short brewing as price taps the premium zone and aligns with multiple Smart Money Concepts. A clear Fair Value Gap (FVG) is sitting inside a bearish Order Block, with price aggressively wicking into it — right where institutions unload.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🧱 Bearish Order Block rejection in premium
⚡ Fair Value Gap filled at 145.910
💰 Risk-to-Reward ~1:4+, targeting discounted zone
🧲 Liquidity sweep + FVG fill = SM distribution trigger
⏳ Entry timing aligned with NY session reaction
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: USDJPY
Timeframe: 30 min
Entry: 145.910 (after FVG fill)
SL: ~146.246
TP: ~144.440
RR: Approx. 1:4.5
💡 Smart Money Logic:
Price filled a clean imbalance zone, ran liquidity from earlier highs, and instantly showed distribution behavior. If momentum confirms with a bearish break, this becomes a high-conviction short.
📈 Chart Ninja Note:
“FVG + OB is where the banks sell while the crowd buys… don’t be the crowd.”