USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 144.493.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 148.651 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY Analysis by zForex Research Team - 07.21.2025Yen Recovers After Japan’s Upper House Election
The Japanese yen rose to around 148.5 per dollar on Monday, recovering some of last week’s losses after the ruling coalition lost its upper house majority. Markets had mostly priced in the result, limiting the reaction. Prime Minister Ishiba is expected to remain in office, which could ease concerns over political instability.
The opposition is likely to push for more spending and tax cuts, which could pressure the yen and lift bond yields. The election outcome comes as Tokyo continues trade talks with Washington. US Commerce Secretary Lutnick confirmed the August 1 tariff deadline but said negotiations will continue.
For the yen, resistance stands at 149.30, followed by 151.50, with the next key level at 155.00. Support is located at 147.50, with further levels at 146.15 and 145.30.
USDJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 148.811.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 147.818 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY SELL
USD/JPY
Editorial Tools Latest
USD/JPY Forecast and News
share
Join
NEW
Japanese Yen hangs near multi-month low against USD ahead of Japan election on Sunday
The Japanese Yen drifts lower against its American counterpart for the second straight day on Friday and remains within striking distance of an over three-month low touched earlier this week. Investors now seem convinced that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would forgo raising interest rates this year amid worries about the economic fallout from higher US tariffs
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY pair showed some resilience below the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) earlier this week, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. Moreover, oscillators are holding comfortably in positive territory and are still away from being in the overbought zone. However, the overnight failure to build on the momentum beyond the 149.00 mark warrants some caution. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the 149.15-149.20 region, or a multi-month peak, before positioning for a move towards reclaiming the 150.00 psychological mark.
On the flip side, the 148.20-148.25 region, or the 100-hour SMA, could offer immediate support ahead of the 148.00 mark. Some follow-through selling, leading to a slide below the 147.70 area, could make the USD/JPY pair vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards testing sub-147.00 levels. Acceptance below the latter might shift the bias in favor of bearish trades and drag spot prices to the 146.60 intermediate support en route to the 146.20 area, the 146.00 mark, and the 100-day SMA, currently pegged near the 145.80 region
1 SUPPORT147.642
2 SUPPORT 147.311
3 SUPPORT 146917
1 RESISTANCE 148.206
2 RESISTANCE 147.972
U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen - 4h Chart (FOREX.com)4-hour chart from FOREX.com shows the exchange rate between the U.S. Dollar (USD) and the Japanese Yen (JPY). The current rate is 148.184, reflecting a decrease of 0.623 (-0.42%) as of 01:29:16. The chart highlights recent price movements over the past few hours, with a shaded area indicating a consolidation phase around the current level.
USDJPY Possible long for 149.60#usdjpy started rally from the start of the month of July. Price consolidate in range between 142.85-10. Then started rally. price again consolidate in range between 147.15-145.76 area. Market build energy and institutional add further longs and broke above the daily resistance line 148.60. Need to sell off / retracement to test demand zone range 146.37-145.78 area to test and filled remaining institutional orders for long. Buying area 146.37-145.76. stop loss: 145.60. Target: 149.60
USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 15' OB UPDATE 📊USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25 15' OB UPDATE
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25📊USDJPY Q3 | D21 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT 📊
Heading into overlap resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 151.42
1st Support: 146.67
1st Resistance: 154.34
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 21, 2025 USDJPYThe pair opened the week near 148.500, clawing back ground after Sunday’s upper‑house election saw Japan’s ruling LDP‑Komeito coalition lose its majority. The outcome clouds the fiscal outlook and raises the probability of additional stimulus, a combination that tends to undermine the yen as investors anticipate higher public borrowing and a looser policy mix.
At the same time, subdued inflation and stagnant real wages have pushed expectations of Bank of Japan tightening into late‑2025 at the earliest. With the 10‑year US‑Japan yield gap hovering near yearly highs, capital continues to flow from low‑yielding JGBs into higher‑yielding US assets, reinforcing dollar demand against the yen.
Dollar strength is also underpinned by persistent tariff worries and a Federal Reserve that maintains a cautious stance rather than rushing to cut rates. Given these fundamentals, USDJPY could retest the psychological 150.000 barrier, while dips below 147.500 are likely to be viewed by the market as opportunities to re‑establish long positions rather than the start of a deeper correction.
Trading recommendation: BUY 148.500, SL 147.500, TP 149.500
USDJPY: Range-on-Range SetupUSDJPY remains in a broader uptrend but has recently stalled after breaking out of multiple ranges. This setup targets a short-term move as price attempts to test the top of a lower timeframe range—likely the daily. We're trading within nested ranges here, looking to catch a small piece of the move before higher timeframe resistance steps in.
USDJPY 4Hour TF - July 20th,2025USDJPY 7/20/2025
USDJPY 4Hour Neutral Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bullish
4Hour - Bullish
UJ is looking better than a couple weeks ago and at least we can spot some decent setups for the week ahead. These are NOT perfect setups but we have two scenarios that we are ready for if price action shows it is ready too. Here are the two scenarios we’re looking at for the week:
Bullish Continuation - We can see UJ in a nice 4hour channel but we are currently seeing a bit of flat price action. For us to consider UJ long setups again we would need to be convinced. Look for a break above our 149.250 zone with a confirmed higher low above. This would be enough to consider longs and target higher toward key levels of resistance.
Bearish Reversal - If price action continues to stall, this bearish setup will become more and more likely. Ideally, we want to see some strong rejection from our 149.250. If this happens look to target lower toward 147.500.
USDJPY M SIBI SELL SHORTUSDJPY M SIBI SELL SHORT
- Market in Monthly TF market is bearish
- Market in weekly TF is bullesh
- Market in Daily TF fully bullesh
- IN Monthly SIBI when market is present on our AOI then shift to LTF
find a Valid Market Structurer Shift with Valid OBI / LTF SIBI / BPR ,
- when market is in our OBI / LTF SIBI / BPR after Liquidity Swap then Entry in our AOI
with proper Tight SL with Open Target for a big Movement Catch . Partly Profit book our nearest HTF Liquidity .....
********************Enjoyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy
KGB Priyabrat Behera
ICT Trader & Advance Mapping SMC Trader
USDJPY - Bullish Structure in Play• Pair: USDJPY (UJ) • Bias: Bullish • HTF Overview (4H): • Clean external break to the upside confirms bull control heading into the new week. • Structure shift is undeniable — market bias is now favoring continued strength.
• MTF Refinement (30M): • Zoomed in to the 30M and identified internal liquidity (SSL) taken out. • Strong mitigation of internal OB followed. • Still in analysis mode — no trades taken yet.
• LTF Confirmation (5M): • Waiting on a refined CHoCH (marked by green lines at highs). • Once that prints and rules align, I’ll shift into trader mode for the execution.
• Entry Zone: • 30M OB mitigation + LTF (5M) CHoCH confirmation.
• Mindset Note: • Patience is the play. No guessing, no hesitation — just clean reads and precision strikes. • Analysis first, execution second. That’s the system.
Bless Trading!
USD/JPY: The 150.00 Rejection SignalThe chart for USD/JPY looks like a simple one-way street going up. But underneath the surface, my quantitative models are in a state of conflict, and that's a high-clarity signal that something is about to change.
This isn't a signal to short right now. This is a signal to be patient and watch for a very specific setup that the "smart money" models are anticipating.
The Quant Conflict 🤖
My analysis involves several different mathematical models. Here's the situation:
One model, which is great at tracking trends, is still signaling BUY , following the obvious upward momentum.
However, two other, more complex models that analyze the relationships between economic data are now flashing a SELL signal. They are detecting underlying weakness that the price chart isn't showing yet.
When the simple trend model and the complex structural models disagree, it often means a major turning point is near. We are siding with the smarter models, but we need price action to confirm their warning.
The Game Plan 📊
We will use the 150.00 level as our "line in the sand." We are waiting for the market to fail at this level and then break down, which would confirm the bearish quant signal. This is our high-probability entry trigger.
Here is the exact setup we are waiting for:
📉 THE SETUP: A patient short position, waiting for confirmation of a breakdown.
👉 ENTRY: We enter only on a confirmed daily close below 148.00.
⛔️ STOP LOSS: Place the stop just above the psychological wall at 150.25.
🎯 TAKE PROFIT: Our primary target is the major support level at 145.00.
This is a setup where patience pays. We are letting the market do the hard work and show its hand before we commit. Let's watch this one closely.
USD/JPY - Pattern & SMA PerspectiveDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Can demand/trend hold to jump over the 150.000 barrier?
1) Daily 200SMA @ 149.600 may cause serious pressure.
2) Will price hold above 1HR-200SMA in case of selling pressure?
3) The pattern suggests bullish continuation with limited downside.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
USD_JPY STRONG UPTREND|LONG|
✅USD_JPY is in a strong
Long-term uptrend now
And the pair is accumulating
For the next leg up so we will
Be expecting a bullish continuation
On Monday!
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W30 | Y25📊 USDJPY – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W30 | Y25
Weekly Forecast 🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT FOREX ANALYSIS 📊
USD JPY shortthe long term trend is long but who know what trump has under his sleeve , so a lower high suggest there is chance of a mid term correction , or as its kind of more possible it can break above and make newer highs again ... if so consider buy opportunities for next week ...
Please note: This is for educational purposes only and not a trading signal. These ideas are shared purely for back testing and to exchange views. The goal is to inspire ideas and encourage discussion. If you notice anything wrong, feel free to share your thoughts. In the end, to learn is to share !