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USDJPY Wave Analysis – 6 May 2025 - USDJPY reversed from resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 140.00 USDJPY currency pair recently reversed from the resistance zone between the resistance level 146.00 (former strong support from March) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous downward impulse from March. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous minor ABC correction 2. Given the strongly bullish yen sentiment seen today, USDJPY currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 142.00 – the breakout of which can lead to further losses toward support level 140.00.
Short
by FxProGlobal
Simple and clear as making tea, 4hr1. Market Structure & Patterns • Bearish Structure: The pair has been consistently forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. I follow structure first — it gives the most reliable roadmap before looking at patterns or indicators. • Bearish Flags (Continuation Patterns): These are rising channels within a downtrend, usually forming after a strong impulse drop. Think of them as “breathers” before price continues down. Every flag here broke down, confirming that sellers are still in control after short pullbacks. • Rejection Zones (Supply Areas): Marked in pink, these zones are where price previously reversed sharply. Every time price returns to these levels, it shows hesitation or reversal, especially when followed by a bearish candle or wick rejection. ⸻ 2. Strong Levels & Liquidity Zones • Liquidity Zones: Areas like 140.450 are key because price reacted strongly there in the past — either as a turning point or a fakeout. These zones often hold pending orders, so I mark them as targets for potential bounces or breakouts. • Confluence of Structure + Liquidity: When a strong level (like previous demand) lines up with a structural level (like a lower low), it becomes a high-probability target. • Dynamic Resistance (Trendlines/Channels): The upper trendline of the flag acted as a form of resistance. Once price broke below it and retested the area, it confirmed a potential continuation. ⸻ 3. Fundamentals (Light Touch ) • USD Side: Recent uncertainty around Fed rate cuts, inflation reports, and mixed labor data have caused the USD to fluctuate, but overall sentiment is leaning slightly dovish. This weakens the USD. • JPY Side: The Bank of Japan has started hinting at a possible shift away from ultra-loose policy, which could strengthen the Yen in the medium term. • Macro Context: If global risk sentiment turns negative (e.g., stocks fall or geopolitical tensions rise), safe-haven flows into JPY typically increase. Together, these fundamentals support the technical bearish outlook on USDJPY in the short to mid term. ⸻ Final Thoughts This setup is built on: • Clean structure • Pattern recognition • Key zone reactions • Light macro context Patience and confirmation are key — I wait for price to reject zones and form clear price action (like bearish engulfing or strong wicks) before executing. ⸻ #USDJPY #ForexEducation #BearishSetup #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #TradingPatterns #FundamentalAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #LiquidityZones #PriceActionTrader
Short
by AnalysisExpert
Analysis of the Latest SignalsRecently, the situation in Ukraine and Russia has remained tense, and the conflict in the Middle East has escalated (such as the confrontation between Israel and the Houthi armed forces in Yemen), prompting funds to flow to traditional safe - haven currencies. However, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained a dovish stance last week and did not clarify the interest - rate - hike path, which limited the upside potential of the yen. Although inflation in Japan persists and wage growth is strong (the largest increase in 34 years), the BoJ's cautious attitude towards economic recovery has led the market to lower the interest - rate - hike expectations for June and July, putting pressure on the yen. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 142.10 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 141.15 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 143.78 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
USDJPY Retest of Supply Zone Before Bearish ContinuationUSDJPY pair is reacting to key supply around 143.70–144.00 but shows signs of weakness after failing to hold above this level. With renewed risk-off sentiment and escalating global trade tensions—especially involving Japan and the U.S.—this pair may be setting up for a bearish continuation. Here's what both the chart and macro backdrop suggest. 📊 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart) Key Supply Zone Retested: The pair retraced into a previously broken structure zone (blue box), rejecting the 143.70–144.00 area multiple times. Price is now forming lower highs, indicating bearish pressure building beneath resistance. Bearish Continuation Pattern: Price action resembles a bear flag, with a minor pullback likely before continuation lower. A retest of 143.00–143.50 could serve as an ideal sell zone. Major Support Levels: 142.04–142.02: Immediate support, already tested. 140.16: Key structure low from late April. 138.04: Final measured move target based on Fibonacci extension and prior demand zone. Bearish Trade Setup: Entry Zone: 143.00–143.50 Stop: Above 145.35 TP1: 142.00 TP2: 140.15 TP3: 138.00 🌐 Macro Fundamentals Trump Tariffs Stir Instability: President Trump is pressing Japan in trade talks with threats of new tariffs, already impacting investor confidence A 25% tariff on Japanese auto exports has gone into effect, disrupting trade negotiations. Urgency for a Deal, But No Progress Yet: Trump says multiple deals are “coming,” but little substance has emerged. Analysts fear economic fallout and potential global recession if tensions continue JPY Strengthening on Safe-Haven Flows: With U.S. economic indicators weakening and global uncertainty rising, the yen may benefit from risk aversion. ✅ Summary USDJPY remains vulnerable to downside continuation from the 143–144 resistance zone. If price breaks below 142.00 again with conviction, expect momentum to build toward 140.15 and potentially 138.00.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
Massive H&S on USDJPYOver the weekend the US dollar began to fall rapidly against the Taiwan Dollar (TWD). Yesterday and Today we are beginning to see a US dollar sell off against the Chinese Yuan as well. Then we have a massive bearish setup against the Japanese Yen, the 3rd most traded currency after the USD and Euro. The DXY is just below 100 and still holding, but individual currency pairs are telling a different story. Could this mark the beginning of the US dollar collapse?
Short
by coinables
USDJPY: Bearish Trend ContinuesUSDJPY: Bearish Trend Continues USDJPY remains in a strong downtrend. Today, the Japanese yen showed strength, pushing USDJPY down by about 120 pips. This move is likely due to market expectations ahead of tomorrow’s FOMC meeting—investors don’t expect anything significant from Powell’s speech. USDJPY could rise to the 143.60 zone before dropping again. Key downside targets: 142.00, 140.00, and 138.00. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
12
USDJPY Forecast: Haven Appetite Back in SightUSDJPY remains above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone at 139, stemming from the uptrend between January 2023 (127.20) and July 2024 (162.00). However, the pair is currently trading below resistance at 146, steering the trend back toward key support levels at 142 and 139. A decisive break below 139 could expose new 2025 lows near 138.30 and 134.60, both key Fibonacci levels. On the upside, a rebound above 146 may open the way to 149 and 151, testing the grounds for a more sustainable uptrend. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart is a technical analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on a 30-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the chart: Pattern Identified: An inverse head and shoulders pattern, often seen as a bullish reversal signal. Support Zone: The green horizontal zone near 142.870 suggests strong buying interest; price has tested and bounced from it multiple times. Entry Point: Indicated by the last green arrow (right shoulder bounce), suggesting a long (buy) position. Stop Loss: Below the support zone (highlighted in red), protecting against a downward breakout. Take Profit Levels: First at approximately 144.750 (minor resistance). Final target at around 145.856, which aligns with a previous high. This setup aims to capitalize on the bullish reversal pattern with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Would you like help calculating the exact risk-reward ratio for this trade?
Long
by money_magnet2
USDJPY Technical Outlook: SMC and Wyckoff Analysis 5 May 2025As of May 5, 2025, the USDJPY pair is trading around ¥144.30, reflecting a 0.40% decrease from the previous session. This movement follows the Bank of Japan's decision to maintain interest rates while revising growth forecasts downward, leading to a depreciation of the yen. Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels: The pair is approaching a significant support zone near ¥143.00. A break below this level could expose the next support at ¥141.00, while resistance is observed around ¥148.00. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is nearing oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound. Smart Money Concepts: Order Blocks: A bullish order block is identified between ¥142.50 and ¥143.00, indicating potential institutional buying interest. Liquidity Pools: Liquidity above the recent highs near ¥148.00 may attract price action if bullish momentum resumes. Wyckoff Method Perspective: Accumulation Phase: The recent price action suggests a possible accumulation phase, with the pair trading within a range between ¥140.00 and ¥146.00. Spring Test: A false breakout below ¥143.00 could serve as a spring, leading to potentially high buying volume. Fundamental Factors: Bank of Japan (BOJ) Policy: The BOJ's decision to keep rates unchanged, despite lowering growth forecasts, has contributed to yen weakness. Federal Reserve Outlook: Market participants are closely watching the ISM Services PMI later today and the upcoming FOMC meeting for signals on US monetary policy, which could impact USDJPY dynamics. Conclusion: The USDJPY pair is at a critical juncture, with technical indicators pointing to potential support near ¥143.00. Traders should monitor price action around this level for signs of accumulation or further downside. Fundamental developments, particularly central bank policies, will play a crucial role in determining the pair's direction in the near term.
Long
by Apexfx_Alpha
USD/JPY..4h Chart pattern..### **USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Bearish Setup** #### **Key Observations:** 1. **Break of Structure:** - **H4 Chart:** Price broke below the **lower trendline of the ascending channel**, signaling a potential trend reversal. - **Alligator Indicator (Williams):** - **Lips crossed below Jaw** → Confirms bearish momentum. - **Chaikin Oscillator:** - **Fell below 0** → Indicates selling pressure and outflow. 2. **Daily Chart – Bearish Flag Pattern:** - A **bearish flag** (consolidation after a sharp decline) suggests continuation downward. - Confirms the **H4 breakdown**, increasing bearish probability. --- ### **Trade Plan: Sell USD/JPY** #### **Entry Zone:** - **Sell on consolidation below 143.300** (confirms bearish control). #### **Targets:** 1. **TP1: 142.000** (initial support level). 2. **TP2: 140.000** (next psychological & structural support). #### **Stop-Loss (SL):** - **Above 144.000** (above recent swing high for risk management). --- ### **Key Indicators to Monitor:** ✅ **MACD:** Bearish crossover & histogram below zero. ✅ **RSI (14):** Below 50 (confirms bearish momentum). ✅ **Price Action:** Rejection at 143.300 strengthens the sell signal. ### **Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):** - **Entry: 143.30** - **SL: 144.00 (70 pips risk)** - **TP1: 142.00 (130 pips reward) → ~1:1.85** - **TP2: 140.00 (330 pips reward) → ~1:4.7** --- ### **Final Verdict:** - **Strong bearish confirmation** on both H4 & D1. - **Sell below 143.30**, targeting **142.00 → 140.00**. - **Invalidation:** A break above **144.00** negates the bearish structure. Would you like a deeper analysis on Fibonacci retracement levels or order flow confirmation? 🚀
Short
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
Yen Slips Toward 144 on Stronger DollarThe Japanese yen edged lower toward 144 per dollar on Tuesday, as the U.S. dollar strengthened amid optimism over potential U.S.-China trade talks and investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. President Trump suggested a possible reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan held rates steady but revised its growth and inflation outlook. Trading activity remained subdued due to a public holiday in Japan. Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
EUR/CAD Short, AUD/CAD Short, USD/CHF Long and USD/JPY ShortEUR/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. AUD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. USD/CHF Long Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse up above area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. USD/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
by StewySongs