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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

Fundamental Market Analysis for May 6, 2025 USDJPYUSDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) declined against its US counterpart during Tuesday's Asian session, albeit without any follow-through selling. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) ‘restrained’ guidance last Thursday, Japan's rising inflation and prospects for continued wage increases leave the door open for further policy tightening by the central bank. In addition, uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's trade policy and rising geopolitical tensions continue to act as tailwinds for the safe-haven yen. Meanwhile, the prospect of more aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) is not helping the US Dollar (USD) attract meaningful buyers and is helping to limit the upside for the USD/JPY pair. Traders also seem unwilling to wait for more signals on the Fed's policy outlook before positioning for the next leg of directional movement. Thus, the main focus will be on the outcome of the two-day FOMC meeting, which starts this Tuesday and which will give the dollar a fresh impetus. Trading recommendation: BUY 143.90, SL 143.60, TP144.80
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY: Detail Technical Analysis and USDJPY CharacteristicsIn this long video, I go through USD/JPY short idea in 2 parts: Part 1: Detailed Technical Analysis and Elliott Waves 1. Head and shoulders - daily 2. Completion of Elliott Waves 3. Breaking down of A-B-C 4. Measurement rules on profit targets. Part 2: USDJPY as a product (characteristics) 1. It's a flight-to-safety product similar to Gold 2. thus also a short equity markets product. 2. It is a short dollar product.
Short
by yuchaosng
USDJPY Tuesday AMThe overall weekly direction is quite bearish as there has been a recent bullish days retracement. If by 9:30 AM Eastern standard time we see this pair break internal liquidity by the time the market opens then we can expect this pair to go for more shorts. But given the timing of the week with the news, I’m expecting this pair to build momentum to take buyside liquidity before stamping through lower price. I expect to see this pair range a bit until Wednesday’s news.
Short
by abbeyxo617
2
USDJPY 1HThe chart you provided is a 1-hour USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) chart showing a bearish pattern analysis. Here's a quick breakdown: Descending Triangle Pattern: The chart outlines a descending triangle pattern with multiple lower highs (marked by red arrows) and horizontal support (marked by green arrows and a horizontal line). Sell Zone: The area near the horizontal resistance has been labeled the "Sell Zone," indicating a likely entry point for short positions. Breakdown Confirmation: The price has broken below the triangle’s support line, followed by a downward arrow and a label "TARGET SUCCESSFUL", suggesting that the bearish target has been hit. Technical Interpretation: This implies a bearish sentiment with a completed breakdown and target fulfillment, likely indicating a pause or reversal opportunity ahead. Would you like help identifying the next possible move or support/resistance levels?
Short
by Alpha_Gold_Trader
USDJPY NEXT MOVE Assumption of a Bullish Continuation (Without Confirmation) • Disruption: The projected upward path to the “Double Top Resistance” presumes a bullish continuation without confirming signals (e.g., bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or RSI divergence). • Alternative View: Price is currently rejecting the resistance zone and heading downward—this could be the start of a deeper retracement or trend reversal, not just a dip. ⸻ 2. “Strong Support” Zone is Based on a Single Bounce • Disruption: The “Strong Support” zone is derived from a single historical reaction. It might not hold on the next test, especially if momentum and volume increase on the way down. • Counterpoint: Stronger support typically comes from multiple prior reactions or a broader consolidation zone. ⸻ 3. Lack of Consideration for Bearish Structure • Disruption: The broader structure is bearish (from left to right on the chart), with lower highs and lower lows. The analysis skips over this longer-term downtrend context. • Alternative: Instead of anticipating a return to 148, traders might watch for short setups if price fails to break back above the resistance cleanly. ⸻ 4. Volume Decline During the Recent Rally • Disruption: The bullish leg into early May shows diminishing volume. This divergence between price increase and falling volume weakens the bullish case. • Warning Sign: Could indicate a bull trap, followed by a sharper fall through the support. ⸻ 5. Overemphasis on “Double Top” without Neckline Break • Disruption: The projected double top at ~148 assumes that level will be revisited. But without a confirmed breakout through 144.000, it’s premature to predict such a move. • Risk: Traders buying now on this expectation may be caught in a pullback that dips below the “Strong Support.”
Long
by Vip_Signal
1
Bullish Breakout from Falling WedgeThe exchange rate of the US dollar against the Japanese yen shows a slight downward trend. The opening rate of the US dollar against the Japanese yen on that day was 144.8740. During the trading session, it hit a high of 144.9890 and a low of 144.085. The latest trading price is 144.082, which is 0.60% lower than the closing price of 144.9180 in the New York foreign exchange market on the previous trading day. Buffett has warned of the risks of the US dollar, and funds may flow to safe - haven assets such as the Japanese yen, which may have had a certain impact on the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Japanese yen. On the other hand, from a technical perspective, according to the chart data, the "Daily Chart PP" of the US dollar / Japanese yen shows that its pivot point is at 158.27, and the maximum coverage range of the corresponding support and resistance is 157.29 - 159.33. The current exchange rate is at a relatively low level and may be attracted by the lower support level. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
1
UJ Impulse Wave 5 IncomingFX:USDJPY seems to have finished Wave 4 being a Correction Wave of the Elliot Wave Theory and looks to be prepping for the start of Wave 5 being an Impulse Wave! Now Price has not only made a 38.2% Retracement to 143.6 of the 145.941 Swing High that ended Wave 3 but is testing Break of Previous Structure being Past Resistance attempting to turn it into Support if enough Buyers enter the market in this opportune area. Price Action during the Correction of Wave 4 has formed a Falling Wedge Pattern, typically seen as a Continuation Pattern. For this to be fact, we will need to see a Bullish Breakout to the Falling Resistance followed by a successful Retest of the Break where the Long Opportunities should present themselves. Once Wave 5 is confirmed, we can expect Price to work from here and potential reach the Potential Range Target of ( 148.662 - 150.245 )
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
USDJPY Weekly CLS I Continuation setup I Target Weekly CLS HighHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 🛡️ Models 1 and 2: From my posts, you can learn two core execution models. They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. 📍 Model 2 occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
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Long
by David_Perk
23
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen. 🕯Technical Analysis After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500 BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
by TVS-Trader
USDJPY D1 | Bullish Bounce Off 61.8%Based on the D1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.53, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 145.49, an overlap resistance. The stop loss is placed at 141.61,a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 146.90 1st Support: 142.06 1st Resistance: 150.92 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1