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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

Be careful with buying USDJPY!!!Hello traders this is a trade that almost everyone sees it coming but it is too good to be true. We have a clear breakout of this downtrend. An inverted head and shoulders some might say cup and handle. A lot of ppl (including me) are going to put their SL inside this zone but that can be dangerous I recommend taking a better entry or just leaving this trade bcz it is too risky. Do not be a victim of FOMO. Lets wait for the bounce first then we will secure our position that is all I am saying and do not simply enter after the trendline touches the trendline because this might be a very strong downtrend.
Long
by Linkhive001
usdjpy shortUSDJPY has been showing calculated signs of bearish intent — but not the kind of drop beginners should rush into. Here’s what I’m seeing : On the 1H timeframe, an M-structure formed between Thursday and Friday, triggering early bearish sentiment. However, zooming out to the 4H, just above this M lies a clean liquidity pool (resting buy stops) and a Bearish Order Block (OB) — right at the origin of the last aggressive move down. This OB sits directly above the previous week range, and interestingly, it’s also the exact candle that broke the range structure. This tells me something powerful: The M on the 1H was likely a trap, luring in early sellers before the market grabs liquidity and delivers a true mitigation into the 4H OB. So what am I expecting? Early week manipulation (Monday–Tuesday) : Price may break above Friday’s high, sweeping liquidity and filling inefficiencies. Mitigation into the 4H OB : If price taps this zone and rejects with momentum (watch for bearish engulfing, M structure, or FVG on 15min/1H), I’ll prepare for a calculated short setup. Potential mid-to-late week sell-off : If confluence aligns post-OB rejection, expect price to target previous internal lows or the base of the previous week range. ⚠️ Risk Note — Read Carefully : This is not financial advice. Although my bias is bearish based on multi-timeframe confluence, news flow, liquidity behavior, and smart money concepts, every trader should conduct their own analysis before entering a position. Don’t get trapped by early M-patterns. Be patient. Let the market show its hand, then respond — not react. Trade smart. Protect capital. Master patience.
Short
by The-ultimate-trader
USDJPY Will Move Higher! Long! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 144.942. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 148.284 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
2
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY chart shows a bullish reversal setup. Here’s a breakdown behind the analysis: 1. Downtrend & Channel Breakout: Price was trending downward within a descending channel (marked “channel trend”). Recently, the price broke out of the channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. 2. Demand Zone (Diamond Zone): The yellow box labeled “Diamond Zone” represents a demand/support zone where price previously found buyers. A retest of this zone is expected before the bullish move. 3. EMA (200): The EMA (200) is currently above the price but close. A break above this level (142.522) could add to bullish momentum. 4. RSI Indicator: RSI is showing a bounce off a mid-level (~50), suggesting bullish momentum is gaining. 5. Target Level: The analysis targets 147.838, which aligns with a prior resistance zone. The move projects a 5.19% gain (~778.5 pips) from the current setup. Trading Idea Summary: Entry: Around the “Diamond Zone” after a successful retest. Confirmation: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or a break above EMA 200. Target: 147.838 Stop Loss (implied): Below the Diamond Zone (~140.000) Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
18
USDJPY Long PositionUSDJPY pair is currently positioned at a key support zone, where price action has historically reversed direction. Following a recent rebound from this level, the pair retested the support area. Given the broader uptrend structure (characterized by higher highs and higher lows), this retest presents a potential opportunity to enter long positions, contingent on bullish confirmation at this critical juncture. Key Observations: Established Uptrend: The pair’s consistent upward trajectory on higher time frames supports a bullish bias. Support Retest: The current pullback to the support zone aligns with typical price behavior in trending markets, where retests of prior levels often precede trend resumptions, but a decisive close below the support would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially signaling a trend reversal or deeper correction. Risk Management Strategy: A prudent approach would involve placing a stop-loss below the support zone to protect against a breakdown, while targeting the next resistance level for profit-taking. Final Assessment: The setup aligns with bullish momentum, provided the support holds.
Long
by sirkamal
1
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: You might thinking why Im bearish here when we can see such high number of shorts in the COT. Here is where historical extremes comes in to play. Look how JPY Longs (USDJPY shorts) reached 10 years extreme and in the same time there is 10 years extreme net positions. Right in the time may when Dollar is seasonally strongest. ITs time to take profits from these USDJPY shorts it will take price up. Dollar Seasonal Tendencies Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
10
USDJPY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 USDJPY Price Forecast – 1H Timeframe 📈 Bullish Scenario: Price may bounce from the LPP Inducement + HL (Higher Low) area and push upward. The first target would be the upper blue LQ Close zone, which is still untouched. If we observe weakness or an “M-shaped” reaction within that blue zone, a sell setup could be valid (inducement trap). However, if price breaks and closes above the blue zone, further bullish continuation is expected — possibly toward the higher green liquidity zone around 147+. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the HL (blue zone) fails and breaks down, forming a new Lower Low (LL), Then we can expect price to retrace toward the lower green demand zone, around 141.000, which aligns with higher timeframe liquidity and unmitigated demand.
Long
by collegepips
USD/JPY Bull is back to push the price upHi All, Firstly, I want to congrats to traders who short the market for the last few months. Well done!!! Those who is waiting for LONG opportunity, let's get ready for sniper entry. Here is my prediction and entry on USD/JPY. As you can see, the orange zone around $139-$140 is extremely strong zone. Prices reverse 3 times on this level. On 22 March 2025, the closed daily candle was formed a hammer candle and followed by a strong bullish candle next day which indicates potential reversal to upward. The RSI indicator lines were crossed on 22 March 2025. Now, the indicator is showing upward momentum as the both lines are about cross 50%. We also have bullish divergence on the volume indicator. As you can see, the volume was going to sideway where as the price was heading to the orange zone. These confluence is supporting me to enter LONG. Therefore, I entered 3 entry at different price point which is $143.50, $142.996, $144.70.
Long
by RedPanda_Trader