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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

USDJPYShort Fundamental Analysis – USD/JPY 1. Context • Federal Reserve (Fed) • Maintains high interest rates to combat persistent inflation in the US. • Solid macro data (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%) supports a strong US dollar. • Bank of Japan (BoJ) • Continues an ultra-loose monetary policy with interest rates near zero. • Possible minor tweaks (e.g., yield curve control adjustments), but no firm signal of a major tightening cycle yet. 2. Possible Direction • Bias: Bullish for USD/JPY, driven by the favorable interest rate differential for the dollar and the lack of clear indication that the BoJ will abandon its ultra-accommodative stance. • Alternate Scenario: • A more “hawkish” tone from the BoJ (e.g., rate hikes, withdrawing yield curve control) could trigger sharp downward corrections in USD/JPY. 3. Factors to Watch This Week 1. US Economic Data: Indicators like Inflation (CPI/PCE) and Labor Market (NFP, Unemployment) can strengthen or weaken the dollar. 2. BoJ Communications: Any unusually firm signals of tightening could boost the yen. 3. Geopolitical Events: In periods of uncertainty, the yen may act as a safe haven, potentially tempering USD/JPY’s bullish momentum. 4. Overall Conclusion • USD remains strong due to higher rates and a resilient US economy. • JPY stays under pressure given the BoJ’s very accommodative policy. • In the absence of major surprises from Japan, the upward trend in USD/JPY is likely to remain intact in the near to medium term. Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading recommendation. Financial markets can be volatile and carry significant risks. Always align your strategy with your personal risk profile and consult official sources before making trading decisions.
by SkylimitBreakPoint
USDJPY - Trendline reached, watching the FVGThe price has recently reached and reacted to a significant descending trendline that has been acting as resistance since mid-January 2025. The current interaction with this trendline around 154.00 is particularly noteworthy as it coincides with a short-term pullback. Below the current price action, there's a Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked by the orange box approximately at the 153.00 level. This FVG represents an inefficiency in price that often tends to get filled. Should the price pull back to this zone, it could present an interesting long opportunity for traders for several reasons: 1) The FVG zone could act as support, as these areas often attract price action 2) The pullback would allow for a better risk-reward ratio for potential longs 3) The recent upward momentum from the early February lows suggests underlying strength For traders considering long positions, the FVG zone would be the key area to watch for potential entries.
Long
by financialflagship
Yen Below 154, Rate Cut Bets ReducedThe Japanese yen weakened past 154 per dollar, hitting its lowest level in over a week, as strong U.S. inflation data prompted traders to scale back expectations for further Federal Reserve rate cuts. Markets now anticipate just one quarter-point reduction this year. Meanwhile, Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda provided no clear indication regarding future interest rates, reaffirming the BOJ's commitment to its current policy. However, BOJ board member Naoki Tamura hinted at a possible rate hike in the latter half of fiscal 2025. The key resistance level is at 154.90, with a break above potentially opening the door to 156.00 and 157.00. On the downside, initial support stands at 151.90, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the decline continues.
by ChartMage
Long trade 1Hr TF overview Buyside Trade Pair: AUDNZD Date: Monday, 10th February 2025 Session: NY Session PM (noon) Trade Details: Entry: 151.973 Profit Level: 155.276 (+2.17%) Stop Level: 151.516 (-0.30%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.23 Reasoning: This buyside trade is based on a break of structure (BOS) on a higher timeframe, confirming bullish momentum. Price action suggests a strong demand zone, with a liquidity grab (sweep of sell-side liquidity) before reversing. Directional Bias: Bullish confirmation from market structure and fractal alignment. Entry Justification: Price reacted to a discounted price level, showing signs of accumulation.
by davidjulien369
Sell Opportunity📢 USDJPY Trade Signal - Short Setup 🚀 📉 SELL USDJPY @ 154.333 🎯 Target: 150.957 (-2.19%) 🛑 Stop Loss: 155.186 (-0.55%) ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.98 ⏳ Estimated Duration: 13 Days 🔹 Analysis: Key Resistance: 154.791 & 155.186 Key Support Levels: 153.265 → 152.430 → 150.984 Volume Profile: High liquidity zone around 152.500 200 MA Resistance Rejection 📊 Trade Rationale: USDJPY showing exhaustion near resistance with a potential drop towards 152.43 & 150.96 Risk/Reward is highly favorable (3.98) Sellers likely to dominate if price stays below 154.33 🚨 Caution: If price breaks 155.186, reconsider the short bias.
Short
by GODOCM
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 13, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today: 15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims USDJPY: The Japanese Yen (JPY) has attracted some buying interest following the release of a stronger-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) in Japan on Thursday, which confirms bets on further rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).However, the market reaction was short-lived amid concerns over the impact of US President Donald Trump's tariffs on steel and aluminium imports, as well as upcoming retaliatory tariffs. This helped USD/JPY to hold above 154.00 during the Asian session and remain near the weekly high reached the previous day.Meanwhile, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell made it clear that policymakers are in no hurry to cut interest rates, and US consumer inflation data released on Wednesday suggests that the Fed does not have much room to cut rates this year. This has led to an increase in US Treasury yields, resulting in a widening of the yield differential between the US and Japan and a limitation on the upside for the low-yielding Yen.However, the US Dollar (USD) has experienced difficulty attracting buyers, which may potentially discourage traders from making new bullish bets on the USD/JPY pair. Trade recommendation: USDJPY: SELL 154.200, SL 153.500, TP 154.800
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY H1 | Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 154.33, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 153.42, an overlap support level that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 155.07, which is a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM