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JPYUSD trade ideas

[_] ONENTRYONENTRY USDJPY- ONENTRY ' 2Fib Strategy ' Timeframe: 30 Minutes Session: London Pre-Market (00:00 - 06:30 +2GMT) Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range Mark the high and low of the price range between 00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT). Wait for a clear breakout with a candle closing above (for longs) or below (for shorts) this range. Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels After the breakout, use the Fibonacci retracement tool: Anchor Point 1: Start at the close of the breakout candle. Anchor Point 2: Drag to the start of the impulse move (first candle of the range). Key level for entry: 0.5 and 0.35 retracement. Step 3: Trade Execution Entry: Enter on a pullback to 0.5 and 0.35 Fib level after the breakout. Stop Loss : Long trades: Below the low of the breakout candle wick Short trades: Above the high of the breakout candle wick Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.0 Fib (1:1 risk-reward). TP2: 1.25 Fib extension. TP3: 1.6 FIB extension TP4: 2.3 Fib extension (runner position). Step 4: Trade Management Move SL to breakeven when price hits TP1.
Short
by ONENTRY
USDJPY Forecast: AI Strategy Signals Selling OpportunityBased on the EASY Trading AI strategy, I'm spotting a Sell signal for USDJPY. The recommended entry point stands clearly at 146.206, setting a target (Take Profit) at 145.40433333 and placing a safe Stop Loss at 147.55933333. The decision reflects current AI-driven technical patterns that indicate weakening bullish momentum, hinting at a short-term bearish correction. A solid opportunity to capitalize on anticipated downward movement. Be cautious, strictly follow risk management parameters.
Short
by ForexRobotEasy
1
USDJPY = Win. Finally? I have shit winrate, but at least this trade is "logical", and has followed the trading plan lol. TRADING SPECS: BIAS = DOWNTREND NARRATIVE = 4HR BEARISH PD ARRAY(S/R FLIP+FVG) CONTEXT = RESPECTED PREMIUM ARRAY + A Wave ENTRY = SELL STOP ORDER @ A WAVE LOW (RUN ON LIQUIDITY). Nearly got SL'd. OPTIMAL ENTRY WOULD HAVE BEEN THE BEARISH FVG AFTER THE "4HR PREMIUM ARRAY REBALANCE" INSIDE CONTEXT AREA. THERE WAS A SHARP TURN IN THERE SOMEWHERE BUT I DIDN'T WAIT FOR THAT. RISK MANAGEMENT = N/A(?) JUST LET TRADE PLAY OUT. BUT SL WAS INSIDE THE ORDERFLOW LEG(?) Here's how it went: 1. Assessed Day Bias - price was downtrending. checked orderflow and candle science for this shit 2. Assessed Current Price "Intention" - price only does two things: seek liquidity, and rebalance fair value. When I plotted my Key Levels, price was at a point where it was just done seeking liquidity(support + poc was swept) and it was reversing. I see an S/R Flip + FVG area. If price goes here, that means price has rebalanced fair value.. so, logic dictates that it will reverse again to SEEK LIQUIDITY. When I came back to this chart again, price has already rebalanced fair value, has respected the S/R Flip + FVG, and has started reversing down. 3. Picked Out a Target - I picked out something realistic. Here is where indicators/tools come in. Instead of using my confluence mix(POC+FVG+OTE pd array) as entry points, "I just used it as a target since... price has already rebalanced fair value at the higher TF, and it's already going down, so it's probably going to seek liquidity on the other side. It's most probable target before price may or may not do something else is the FVG+POC+OTE AREA." My choice of liquidity category was the Previous Day Session nPOC. Along with the FVG and OTE, it was a strong "magnet", especially considering that price has finished seeking buy side liquidity and therefore the price's next target are the liquidities below. Wow, this makes so much sense to me now. Price always intend to bounce from opposite liquidities, from higher timeframe to lower timeframe... so... 4. Waited for PA that will Deliver Towards Target - I think my entry here was sloppy, the weakest part of this trade. But it made sense, and it still worked anyway. I just found a sting candle down(the A wave) after tapping the (S/R Flip+FVG).. I set a sell stop limit on the exact low of that candle. LOGIC was, if price pushed down below that sting, especially with a strong fvg, it would validate the RESPECT of the (SR FLIP+FVG), and it would continue going down(an invalidation of a long continuation idea)... probably to, again, seek liquidity below. Reason why I think my entry was sloppy, is because I did not validate the trade idea first. I didn't wait for that sting candle to get "run on(liquidity)" first. I think in order to validate it, I would have waited for the sting to become a run on liquidity area first, and then a second bearish fvg candle close to confirm downtrend. It would have been too late and the profit would have been too small at that point. 5. Put SL at the Orderflow Leg Swing High - If price was really not intending to continue going up, it wouldn't have gone here, which it didn't. I nearly got stopped out, like the other trades I had on sunday and monday. ------------- Here's the pattern that I keep seeing though, when price makes a valid HIGH(like in this case, the SRFLIP+FVG rebalance), price will attempt to go here atleast twice with a WICK, but will still make lower highs. Usually, those second and third wicks will form as if it's going to take the liquidities at those wicks, but it will just take out the CANDLE BODY HIGHS... So take note of these next time. When price sweeps a higher timeframe FVG/LIQUIDITY, mark out the candle body closes as TARGET LIQUIDITIES, not the wicks. If a downtrend is valid, it will only take out the body close liquidities. I will make a diagram to help make this make sense lmfao. ------------- I feel like a mad scientist at this point... endlessly trying to see the actual logic in the market. Not the probabilities of patterns playing out, but the CAUSES and EFFECTS. I think I'm close to finding the pattern within the pattern... or the message hidden in the patterns(Arcane reference, anyone?). But I think the two things I have found thanks to Arjo is... "Price only does two things: 1. Seeking Liquidity 2. Rebalancing Fair Value and Higher TF = Rebalancing Fair Value <-> Lower TF = Seeking Liquidity" and "The Higher the Timeframe, The Stronger the Timeframe" Like... the market isn't random. I think these two things are the core principles of trading. Because with these two ideas, you don't need a strategy. You need to UNDERSTAND this. And the strategy can be adapted to whatever you see on the chart. You open EURUSD, and you see that price is on a downtrend, and it has recently rebalanced the bearish fair value gap on the 4HR? You know what price will do next. It will continue going down to seek liquidity below. So, with that information, what will you look for? How will you enter? Where will you set your entry point, your stoploss, and where is your target? You open USDCAD, and you see that price is on an uptrend, it has already rebalanced fair value below, has made a bullish choch+FVG, and has respected that choch+FVG on a lower timeframe. You know it will seek buy side liquidity next. So how will you enter? Where will you place your stoploss? Where's your exit? ------- Now, if only I can translate this knowledge into actual consistency in trading, I can finally make money. But I guess doing the journal is great. I'm consistently at the 25-30% winrate. So with this understanding.. Maybe I can slowly push that winrate up over time. I think mechanically, the trade entries i had a year ago and now was the same(choch+POC+FVG+OTE), but now I have the understanding of why it may work or why it won't work, and when do I apply it so I increase the odds of winning. So that's something. Before, I didn't know why it did or did not work. But now, I know. I can use this info moving forward to increase my odds. ------- OH WAIT YEAH, IF I KNOW WHAT THE MARKET DOES AND WHY IT DOES WHAT IT DOES, THEN I WILL BE ABLE TO REFINE MY ENTRIES, BECAUSE NOW I KNOW WHY AND HOW I'M MAKING MY MISTAKES. HELL YEAH. ------- I'm just not sure about whether I can stick to one entry strategy now, or if I should, or I won't trade something that looks doable under my principles... because I've studied everything, and it makes sense now. lmfao. ------- if people are reading this(up to this point lol that was a long ash read), then thank you. Reply with your thoughts if ever. Alright thanks bye
Short
by reventioaxie
ChartGeq Breakdown – [PAIR] [TIMEFRAME]📈 ChartGeq Breakdown – This setup was taken based on full structure confirmation: ✅ 20 & 200 SMA aligned in the same direction ✅ Price action close to the 20 SMA ✅ Clean session-protected entry with clear market structure No guessing. Just solid technical confirmation backed by momentum and timing. Posted for educational purposes to help traders recognize quality entries and avoid emotional trades. — Coach D.R | ChartGeq We don’t guess. We confirm.
by ChartGeq
USD/JPY) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This chart is for USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, and it presents a bullish trade setup. Let’s break down the idea --- Key Observations: 1. Current Price: USD/JPY is trading around 146.281. 2. Overall Bias: Bullish setup expecting a bounce from demand into a higher target zone. 3. EMA 200: Price is currently below the 200 EMA (147.942), which usually suggests a bearish trend — but this setup is aiming for a short-term bullish retracement. 4. Demand Zone (Buy Area): Marked in yellow between 145.822 and slightly above. Labeled as "FVG orders" (Fair Value Gap), suggesting institutional interest or imbalance fill. 5. Trendline Support: The price is approaching a rising trendline, adding confluence for a potential bounce. 6. Expected Move: Price is expected to bounce from the demand zone, form a higher low, and then move up toward the target zone at 148.221. Two upside targets are drawn: First Move: ~1.12% (30.6 pips) Full Target: ~1.76% (256.1 pips) Mr SMC Trading point 7. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is around 37.66, nearing oversold territory, supporting a bullish reversal idea. --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: Around 145.822 (fair value gap & trendline support) Target Zone: 148.221 Stop Loss: Likely just below the demand zone or trendline Confluence Factors: Trendline support RSI nearing oversold Fair value gap zone EMA 200 overhead (target acts as resistance) --- Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
13
USDJPY BUY📈 USDJPY: Potential Rebound Setup on M15/M5 🕒🔁 Looking at USDJPY on the 15-minute and 5-minute charts, there's a promising rebound setup forming that could align with the ongoing bullish move. 📍 Target: A possible price rebalancing toward the 150 zone. 🔸 Let’s not forget, I already have a running position on this pair, so I’m keeping a close eye on this short-term action. 💬 What do you think? Possible rebound or just a pause before more downside? 👀
Long
by MaitreForex
Yen Climbs on Trade Talks, Record SurplusThe Japanese yen climbed toward 147 per dollar on Tuesday, reversing losses as trade uncertainty lifted safe-haven demand. Trump agreed to begin trade talks with Japan after speaking with PM Shigeru Ishiba and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to lead talks covering tariffs, currency, and subsidies. Trump denied delaying tariffs, saying they may stay indefinitely. Domestically, Japan’s current account surplus hit a record high in February, backed by strong exports and lower imports, further supporting the yen. Key resistance is at 148.70, with further levels at 152.70 and 157.70. Support stands at 145.60, followed by 143.00 and 141.80.
by ChartMage
USD/JPY M30 | Falling to overlap supportUSD/JPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 146.62 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 145.71 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 148.09 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
2
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This chart is an analysis of the USD/JPY currency pair on a 2-hour timeframe, and it presents a possible bullish scenario. Here’s a breakdown of the idea: --- Key Points of the Analysis: 1. Support Level & Change of Character (ChoCH): Price found strong support around 144.556. A ChoCH (Change of Character) is noted, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend. 2. Bullish Reversal Setup: The price is forming higher lows, suggesting the start of a "New Up Trend". There's a clear zig-zag bullish projection, suggesting potential long opportunities. 3. Target Zones: The first target point is in the range of 149.692 – 150.493. This area is also marked with a resistance zone, making it a logical TP (Take Profit) level. 4. Risk/Reward Ratio: The risk is around -3.75% (-564.8 pips), and the reward is around +3.94% (+569.2 pips), suggesting a 1:1.05 R/R ratio. 5. RSI Indicator (Below): RSI is showing a bullish divergence (price made lower lows while RSI made higher lows). This divergence supports the idea of a possible bullish reversal. 6. 200 EMA: The 200 EMA is at 148.767, acting as a dynamic resistance. Price may react around that level before hitting the final target zone. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion: This analysis suggests a potential long trade setup on USD/JPY based on: A support zone, Bullish RSI divergence, Market structure shift (ChoCH), And projected movement toward 149.692–150.493. Idea: Buy near the support zone (~144.556) and target the resistance zone (~150.493) while managing risk carefully. --- Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
USDJPY Analysis: Reversal Forecasts Based on Trading MathDear Trader, Please find attached my analysis of $Subject, which uses mathematical calculations to identify potential reversal times and price levels. The analysis details projected south and north price targets (horizontal lines on the chart), along with estimated time frames for possible reversals (vertical lines on the chart, accurate to within +/- 1-2 candles). Please note that all times indicated on the chart, including the vertical lines representing potential reversal times, are based on the UTC+4 time zone. To increase the probability of these analyses, I recommend monitoring the 5-minute and 15-minute charts for the following key reversal candlestick patterns: Doji’s Hammer/Inverted Hammer Double/Triple Bottom/Top Shooting Star Morning Star Hanging Man For those interested in further developing their trading skills based on these types of analyses, consider exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. I welcome your feedback on this analysis, as it will inform and enhance my future work. Regards, Shunya Trade 151.17 145.09 154.26 142.09 160.53 136.19 166.93 130.42 173.45 124.77 180.10 119.25 186.87 113.85 193.77 108.58 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
by shoonya0000