USDJPY: Bullish Continuation Confirmed?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY looks bullish after a test of a recently broken resistance.
The price formed a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
after its test and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern then.
I believe that the pair will continue growing.
Goal - 145.8
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JPYUSD trade ideas
USDJPY is Sellinghaving given a CHoCH, it is temporally retracing to the up side to take out liquidity before giving us an official downtrend on the 1hour time frame. sell 1 and sell 2 are the two possible areas it could touch prior to the expected movement. stop loss should be 50 pips above sell 2 and also manage your risk.
USD/JPYThe pattern has **four points**: A, B, C, and D, forming two legs: **AB and CD**, which are equal in length and time.
There are two types:
* **Bullish AB=CD**: Signals a potential reversal to the upside.
* **Bearish AB=CD**: Signals a potential reversal to the downside.
Fibonacci Guidelines:
* The length of AB should be approximately equal to CD.
* The time it takes for price to move from A to B should be similar to C to D.
* The retracement BC is often:
* 61.8% or 78.6% of AB
* The projection CD is:
* 127.2% or 161.8% of BC
"USDJPY Crashing from Premium FVG | Liquidity Grab Confirmed!"USDJPY Analysis 🧠 | 15M Timeframe
Price tapped deep into the Premium Area, perfectly aligning with a high-probability Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block confluence.
We witnessed a strong bearish reaction — classic Smart Money move in action.
Key Observations:
Price surged aggressively into the Premium Zone (~79% retracement area).
Immediate bearish reaction from the red Fair Value Gap zone.
Liquidity sweep confirmed above the previous Strong High.
Discount Area below remains unfilled, offering juicy targets.
🧠 Smart Money Concept Insight:
Institutions love to bait breakout traders by pumping into Premium Zones.
After collecting stop orders and liquidity above highs, they aggressively reverse, aiming to rebalance into the Discount Area.
USDJPY delivered a textbook liquidity grab before the sharp drop!
Current Trading Plan:
Bearish bias remains intact after the strong reaction.
TP1: Mid Discount Area
TP2: Weak Low liquidity sweep zone
SL (for any new shorts): Above the Strong High
Remember:
📚 Premium = Look for Sell Opportunities
📚 Discount = Look for Buy Opportunities
Stay laser-focused on Smart Money footprints, not noise.
📉 Emotions out, execution sharp!
"USDJPY | Smart Money Premium Trap | Mitigation Block Rejection"⚡ USDJPY Analysis – 30M Timeframe | April 30, 2025
📊 Price Action Summary:
USDJPY has aggressively tapped into the Premium Zone, aligning perfectly with a Mitigation Block and Fibonacci 61.8% golden pocket.
We’re seeing early signs of Smart Money rejection — time to stay sharp! 🧐
🔥 Key Moves:
Premium Zone Entry: Price retraced right into the 61.8–70.5% fib region.
Mitigation Block respected: A known Smart Money zone where trapped sellers from previous moves get wrecked.
Liquidity Build-Up Below: Eyes on the unprotected lows — Smart Money LOVES to grab those.
🧠 What’s Really Going On Behind the Scenes:
Retail traders: "It’s bouncing! Let’s go long!" 🟢💸
Smart Money: "Perfect… let’s trap them for liquidity." 🧊📉
This move screams classic Premium Trap — draw them in, then nuke it. ☠️
🧩 Why This Setup Matters:
Mitigation Block + FVG combo = High-probability rejection zone
Sellers are likely reloading positions here
The Strong High has been established — room to target Weak Lows below
🎯 Trade Setup Idea:
Entry: Inside or just below the Mitigation Block (confirmation from bearish rejection)
Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~142.813)
Take Profit Zones:
TP1: Mid-discount (~141.400)
TP2: Weak Low (~139.899) — the real liquidity target 🎯
💬 Pro Tip:
"Mitigation blocks are the sniper’s nest for Smart Money. Get in, get out, get paid." 🎯
Watch the reaction closely inside the purple zone. It’s not just a block — it’s a liquidity recycling station.
🚀 Summary:
✅ Price entered Premium
✅ Mitigation Block tested
✅ Liquidity below waiting
✅ High RRR bearish setup aligning
🧘♂️ Be patient. Wait for confirmation. Let Smart Money leave the trail — then follow.
✍️ Save this chart and study how Mitigation Blocks get respected over and over. It’s not magic — it’s mechanics.
➡️ Comment "SNEAKY SHORT" if you're watching the block trap unfold!
➡️ Tag a trader who still doesn’t believe in Premium/Discount theory. 😂📉📈
USDJPYThis is a 4-hour chart of the USD/JPY currency pair with a technical analysis setup that includes the following key elements:
Chart Analysis:
Trendline Support:
The price is following an ascending trendline, confirmed by higher lows (marked by green arrows).
The recent bounce off this trendline signals ongoing bullish momentum.
Key Levels & Zones:
Daily Supply Zone: Located around 147.80–148.30, which could act as a major resistance if price rallies.
Daily Resistance: At approximately 145.735, which price is approaching.
Daily Support: Around 142.87, reinforced by trendline confluence.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Fibonacci levels are drawn from the recent swing low to high:
0.382 ≈ 144.05
0.5 ≈ 144.07
0.618 ≈ 144.51
The price recently bounced from near the 0.618 retracement and is now climbing.
Moving Averages:
EMA 9 and EMA 21 are both sloping upward, with the 9 EMA (blue) currently at 144.757 and above the 21 EMA (orange), reinforcing a short-term bullish bias.
Bullish Scenario (highlighted by arrows):
If the price holds above the trendline and the 144.50–144.75 zone, a move toward 145.92 (previous high) is expected.
A break above 145.92 could lead to an extension toward 148.28 (1.618 Fib extension), coinciding with the supply zone.
Summary:
Current Bias: Bullish, as long as price respects the trendline and EMAs.
Confirmation for Continuation: A close above 145.735.
Invalidation: A sustained break below 143.75 or the trendline could shift the bias bearish.
Complete Mapping Analysis — USDJPY (H1 Chart)Strategy Focus: Elliott Wave (Impulse) + AO Divergence + Fibonacci Extensions
🔍 1. Current Wave Structure (Elliott Wave Count)
You’ve identified:
A completed Wave 3 (impulse).
A completed or nearly completed Wave 4 correction.
Now projecting Wave 5 to complete the 5-wave impulse.
Substructure breakdown:
Wave 1-2: Clean impulse and pullback.
Wave 3: Strong rally with AO confirming higher momentum peaks.
Wave 4: Corrective move, breaking below the internal trendline (initial break), signaling potential end of correction.
Wave 5 (projected): Final push upward to complete the motive wave.
📊 2. Fibonacci Extension Targets
From Wave 0–3 and Wave 4 retracement:
2.618 extension: ~146.50
2.886 extension: ~146.78
4.236 extension: ~148.22 (Aggressive top for a possible extended fifth)
These are possible Wave 5 termination zones. Confluence with previous supply zones increases likelihood of reversal here.
📉 3. Momentum Confirmation — Awesome Oscillator (AO)
You're watching for:
Bearish Divergence on AO:
Wave 3 had a strong momentum peak.
Expect Wave 5 to push higher in price, but AO shows a lower high, signaling weakening momentum.
This aligns with classic Wave 5 behavior — price extension with momentum exhaustion.
🧭 4. Entry Strategy
Setup: Long entry at Wave 4 bottom.
Entry trigger: Initial break → minor pullback → bullish confirmation candle.
AO: Turns green after red bars = first sign of momentum recovery.
Optional confirmation: Break of short-term structure high (micro Wave 1 in Wave 5).
🎯 5. Take Profit Plan
Layered take-profit strategy based on Fibonacci and AO:
Target Zone Price Area Action
TP1 (Safe) ~1.618 (145.44–145.72) Take partial profit (30–50%)
TP2 (Primary) ~2.618 (146.50) Secure majority of profit (80%)
TP3 (Max/Stretch) ~4.236 (148.22) Optional final push / runner
🛡 6. Stop Loss Strategy
SL placement: Below Wave (4) low (~143.73 zone) or below structure break.
Use structure break or strong bearish engulfing as a reason to exit early if momentum fails.
⚠️ 7. Divergence & Reversal Monitoring
Once price enters your TP2–TP3 zone:
Look for:
AO divergence (price high vs. AO lower high).
Bearish engulfing candles or microstructure breaks.
Weak volume or extended wick rejection.
These may indicate Wave 5 completion and the start of Wave A (correction) or a reversal.
🔄 8. Next Play After Wave 5 Completes
If divergence confirms and reversal begins:
Map corrective structure (ABC).
Short from:
Break of rising wedge/trendline.
AO flips red + break of microstructure.
Target retracement:
0.382 to 0.618 retracement of the full Wave 1–5 impulse.
Target zone: ~144.80 – 143.70
✅ Summary: Strategic Flow
✅ Identify Wave 4 completion → Confirm via initial break + minor pullback.
✅ Long entry for Wave 5 → Enter on bullish candle or structural break.
✅ Track AO → Expect divergence at Wave 5 peak.
✅ Use Fibonacci for TP zones.
✅ Exit with confirmation of divergence and reversal signs.
✅ Option to reverse short post-Wave 5.
USD/JPY: 145.00, Trendline ResistanceThe net result of the Bank of Japan rate decision has been Yen-weakness, with USD/JPY initially showing an explosive move with a breakout beyond 145.00. That move couldn't hold, however, with an assist from the underside of a bullish trendline helping to cap the weekly highs, leading to a push back-below the 145.00 handle.
For next week there's remaining bullish structure, which a recent higher-low at 144.00 that bulls need to defend to retain control. But given the broader backdrop of USD-strength going into FOMC, USD/JPY has bullish continuation potential, with levels at 148.00 and 150.00 as the next significant waypoints overhead. - js
Uj might be reversing- We are at a painfully large demand area.
- Price squeezing and consolidating in a dropping wedge.
- Thursday candle was a bullish harami (indicating a possible u-turn)
- Friday was the Good Friday (Market holiday), so it doesn't count
Let us patiently wait here for the price to either break the wedge or at least it hits the lower border of the wedge to place our first entry. The reversal is imminent provided we do not break the demand area. Patience is the key here.
Once we have a full confirmation to buy we will look further for targets, till then just watch it.
I will update you guys when I place my own entry. Pray hard, trade smart :) and best of luck!
Here is the close up look of the wedge:
USDJPY → Price in range, retest of resistanceFX:USDJPY is emerging from local consolidation in hopes of seeing economic data that could support the dollar. The target for this movement could be the liquidity zone at 144.00.
The currency pair is trading within a neutral range of 144.14 - 141.64. However, a local consolidation has formed within the range, from which the price has broken out. The main task for the bulls is to hold the defense above 142.75, in which case we will be able to catch the price distribution to the upper border of the global range of 144.14.
News ahead, positive data may strengthen the dollar, which will accordingly affect USDJPY, but there is strong resistance at 144.14, whose liquidity pool may trigger a downward rebound. The trend is neutral.
Resistance levels: 143.9, 144.14
Support levels: 142.75, 141.98
There are no reasons to exit the global range. Over the past two weeks, this will be the first retest of the 144.14 zone, which in general only increases the chances of a false breakout and correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY: Bounce on the 17 month Support starting massive rally.USDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.306, MACD = -0.870, ADX = 40.251) but is on a massive bounce on the S1 Zone, which has been holding since December 25th 2023. That Low last week also approached the 1W MA200. The LH trendline is the Resistance level of this pattern (Descending Triangle) and since the last one hit the 0.786 Fibonacci, we expect this one to hit the 0.618 Fib (TP = 153.500).
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Can USD/JPY hold THIS key support after a mixed NFP report? The US dollar traded mixed shortly after the NFP was released, as risk-on sentiment remained the prevailing trend. As index futures rose further, commodity dollars extended their gains against the greenback, while the USD/JPY attempted to find support around the key 144.00 - 144.50 area. This zone was resistance in the past so let's see if the UJ will be able to rebound from here later in the session, and in early next week.
NFP comes in stronger, but...
The nonfarm payrolls data “beat” forecasts, with a headline print of 177K vs. 138K eyed. But data for March was revised lower to 185K rom 228K. Revisions to prior two months have taken out 58K from initial estimates. Taken together, this is hardly a beat. But the good news was that full-time employment rose sharply. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, was unchanged at 4.2%.
On the inflation side of things, average earnings came in slightly lower than expected, rising 0.2% on a month-over-month basis, compared with 0.3% expected. Nothing to get too excited over, but potentially good news as far as inflation is concerned – especially after we saw a slightly weaker Core PCE Price Index in mid-week.
NFP was never going to matter much
The market’s focus is on trade war and trade negotiations. We were never going to see any wild market reactions, and so it has so far proved. The US dollar initially spiked then quickly returned to pre-NFP levels. Gold fell, and index futures added onto earlier gains.
Up next: ISM Services PMI on Monday and FOMC on Thursday.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
USDJPY: Bullish Trend Reversal?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY formed a strong bullish reversal pattern on a daily,
breaking the underlined daily resistance and confirming
a Change of Character CHoCH.
I believe that the pair will steadily return to a global bullish trend.
The price may grow at least to 147.0 level after a completion of a retracement.
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USDJPY Long Setup | Bullish Reversal from Value Area🧠 Technical Breakdown
🔹 Volume Profile Analysis
High Volume Node (HVN) around 144.50–145.20 indicates strong price acceptance.
Price is currently sitting on the Point of Control (POC) or near a zone with high historical transaction volume.
Low Volume Area (LVA) just above this level suggests price may move upward swiftly if buyers take control.
🔹 Key Levels
Entry: ~144.55 (current price where long position begins)
Stop Loss: Just below 144.166 (low-volume rejection zone / support)
Take Profit: ~145.183 — previous resistance level, where selling pressure appeared earlier
🔹 Structure
The previous bearish correction may be coming to an end as price stabilizes at a key support cluster.
The "open & close" line marks a significant balance point, with buyers stepping in to defend it.
Formation of potential higher low, suggesting early signs of a bullish reversal.
🛠 Trade Setup
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Current price zone ~144.55
Stop Loss: Below 144.166 support
Target: 145.183 (resistance)
Risk:Reward: Favorable (approx. 1:2)
✅ Confluences for Long Entry
Strong support zone at 144.166
High-volume accumulation zone (Volume Profile POC)
Price holding above prior open/close levels
Bullish rejection wicks forming at the bottom
⚠️ Watch For
A break and close below 144.166 would invalidate this setup.
Volatility from upcoming USD/JPY macroeconomic events — check the calendar.
🧭 Game Plan
If price continues to hold above 144.366–144.50 zone and shows bullish momentum (like bullish engulfing or strong reaction candles), this setup offers a high-probability long with clean invalidation and solid upside.
USD/JPY(20250502)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
144.67
Support and resistance levels:
147.49
146.44
145.75
143.58
142.90
141.84
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 145.75, consider buying, the first target price is 146.44
If the price breaks through 144.67, consider selling, the first target price is 143.58
USDJPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the USDJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 144.50
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 142.26
My Stop Loss - 145.51
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPYThe technical analysis shows a bullish outlook for the USDJPY pair on the 4-hour timeframe, summarized as follows: The price was within a descending channel and broke upwards. After the breakout, a strong bullish impulse occurred. The price broke a previous structural level (price structure) and is currently retreating to form a pullback.