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JPYUSD trade ideas

USDJPY Channel Down rejection aiming for the 2024 Support.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the January 10 2025 High and right now is on its latest Bearish Leg, an outcome of the rejection near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This has also been confirmed by the 1D MACD Bearish Cross and the next technical Support is on 139.600. By the time it gets tested, the price may also make contact with the 1W MA200 (red trend-line). Our short-term Target is 139.600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
BUY USDJPY USDJPY Buy Bias Analysis – May 2025 I'm bullish on USDJPY following the strong reversal from the weekly demand zone at 139.901 touched on April 21, 2025. The pair has shown consistent bullish sentiment since April 22, confirming institutional interest and price strength. Seasonality supports this move, with historical patterns favoring USD strength during this period. From COT (Commitment of Traders) perspective , commercial institutions are heavily long USDJPY, further reinforcing the bullish outlook. Their positioning often reflects informed, long-term sentiment. Moreover, recent flows into the japanese Yen as a safe haven appear to be unwinding. With the USD regaining momentum, a massive sell-off in the Yen is likely, providing strong upside pressure on USDJPY. In conclusion, with technical support, seasonal tailwinds, and institutional backing, I maintain a strong buy bias on USDJPY . FOLLOW ME FOR WEEKLY BIAS
Long
by CartoonForex
5
Bullish bounce off overlap support?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 142.12 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level. Stop loss: 140.16 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 145% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 144.58 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the pullback support. Pivot: 144.85 1st Support: 142.56 1st Resistance: 145.85 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Falling towards pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 140.70 1st Support: 137.16 1st Resistance: 145.54 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USD/JPY Bears Hit Back in a Big WayIt was a painful week for both USD and USD/JPY bulls as both markets retreated massively following four-week spurts of strength. In both, a Monday breakout in the prior week was soundly rebuffed, but it still seems as though USD/JPY is driving USD markets and the prospect of greater carry unwind can keep that as a force to be reckoned with. There could be repercussions if we see greater carry unwind, like what showed up in Q3 of last year when USD/JPY fell by as much as 13% while global equity markets sold-off aggressively. Of note from the weekly chart is the comparison between up and down weeks: When both USD and USD/JPY topped in January, the down weeks showed large moves and the up weeks far more tepid. This week has been another aggressive sell-off, which opens the door for that theme to continue. And on that front, the 140.00 level still presents as a massive spot of importance - and not just for USD/JPY but also USD and equity markets, as a break of that level indicates larger unwind of the carry trade which could serve as a de-leveraging event, globally. Notably, the long-term trendline of prior support has remained as resistance. With that said - be careful of chasing breakouts in USD/JPY, as there have been several traps on both sides of the pair this year, including that last trip down to 140.00 which reversed dramatically in the four weeks that followed, by more than 800 pips, trough to peak. - js
by FOREXcom
USDJPY | FVG + OB + Weak Low Target = Textbook SMC Setup📊 USDJPY | 1H Bearish Play – Smart Money In Control We’re seeing a classic setup where price retraces into a bearish zone of confluence and prepares for a selloff toward internal liquidity. Check the breakdown: 🔻 1. Structure Shift Confirmed Price broke structure on the downside after forming a lower high Current move is a retracement into discount OB zone Clear rejection is forming, signaling short momentum incoming 🟪 2. Zone Confluence 📌 Order Block (OB): Sitting just under the 61.8% Fib 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Mitigated perfectly 📌 Fib Retracement: Price reacts between 61.8% and 70.5% — classic Smart Money play 📌 Previous Demand Turned Supply: This level is now acting as a rejection zone This is stacked confluence — just how Smart Money likes to move. 💣 3. Entry Strategy Entry Zone: 142.55 (midpoint of the OB reaction area) Stop Loss: Above 143.443 (above OB + liquidity wick) Take Profit: 139.888 (weak low, previous liquidity resting point) ⚖️ 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) 🎯 TP = 139.888 📍 Entry = 142.550 🔐 SL = 143.443 ✅ RRR ≈ 1:3.5 A great example of high-probability short setup using pure Smart Money logic. 📉 5. Why This Works Retail traders will try to long at this zone hoping for a breakout Smart Money uses this zone to engineer liquidity They tap into the FVG/OB, then target internal liquidity and weak lows Clean, controlled sell-off expected down to 139.888 🧠 SMC Insights This chart is all about liquidity engineering: Push up into OB Reject at premium pricing Drive down to weak low to collect stops Possibly reverse or continue trend from there 💬 Comment “FVG TAP + OB = 🔥” if you spotted this setup early 💾 Save it before the drop happens 📤 Share with a fellow SMC trader who needs this breakdown
Short
by ChartNinjas88
USDJPY:Is it a beginning of major bullish trend? Read CaptionThe price of USDJPY has shown a mixed volume, making it difficult to determine the trend. However, if we analyse the data, we can see that USD is gaining strength in the coming time. This could be due to the strong news coming in this week, which may divert the USDJPY towards the 150 price region. There are four potential targets that price could hit and surpass. Please use this analysis solely for educational purposes, as it does not provide any guarantees. Good luck and trade safely. Thanks for your support! 😊 If you’d like to help us out, here are a few things you can do: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_ ❤️
Long
by Setupsfx_
12
USDJPY Bullish Pullback Setup – Targeting 145.800 USDJPY has broken out of the previous downtrend structure and is now showing a potential bullish continuation pattern. - The recent impulse move from the demand zone (highlighted in blue) confirms buying interest around 143.600. - The current pullback could offer a buy opportunity, especially if the price retests the 143.600 support zone or forms a higher low. - As long as the price holds above this key support, we expect the pair to continue upward toward the next major resistance at 145.800. USDJPY is forming a clean bullish correction after an impulsive move up. If support at 143.600 holds, the next bullish leg could extend to 145.800. Watch for bullish confirmation near the pullback zone.
Long
by ClearTradingMind
USDJPY Faces An Intraday Corrective RecoveryUSDJPY Faces An Intraday Corrective Recovery after a bearish impulse, which can later send the price lower from technical and Elliott wave pespective. USDJPY is sharply bouncing after reaching May lows within the wedge pattern for wave »v« of an impulse, so it can be now trading in a higher degree abc correction, which can recover the price back to 145 – 146 resistance area before bears return. Basic bearish Elliott wave pattern shows that a five-wave impulsive decline indicates for more weakness after a corrective three-wave pause.
Short
by ew-forecast
USDJPY Shooting Star + Elliott Wave Spells TroubleUSDJPY bounced higher from a horizontal support shelf created from August - September 2024. The bounce is a second wave. The bearish shooting star candle on the daily chart spells reversal for USDJPY. The bearish wave count using Elliott Wave Theory as our guide as suggests deep cuts may be on the horizon for USDJPY. We are considering the next decline to be a third wave at multiple degrees of trend. Additionally, the trend lower would break the support shelf and eventually make it to 122 and possibly lower levels.
Short
by JWagnerFXTrader
USDJPY Breakout Watch | Bullish Momentum Toward Key ResistanceUSD/JPY is showing strong bullish momentum on the 15-minute chart, breaking out of a consolidation range with increased volume. Technical Highlights: Price has surged with strong bullish candles, showing clean impulsive movement. The key level at 144.39 is being tested as potential breakout resistance. If price sustains above this zone, it may target the next resistance area near 145.35. Clean price structure with volume supporting upward movement. Risk is managed with a stop below the breakout level, targeting a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. This setup reflects trend continuation with bullish momentum and clear technical structure. 📈 Watching closely for confirmation and follow-through above key breakout zone.
Short
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
USD/JPY Rebounds from Support — Bulls Back in Play?USD/JPY looks like it’s found its feet. After tagging support near the April VPOC (142.71) and 6 May low (142.36), Thursday’s session printed the first bullish candle in over a week — a spinning top just above key support. The daily RSI (2) bounced from its most oversold reading in a month, and the 1-hour chart shows bullish divergence on the RSI (14), now comfortably above 50. Price has lifted from the monthly S2 and is circling S1. If USD/JPY can push through yesterday’s high (144.40), I’m looking toward 145, 145.86 and potentially the 146 handle, which aligns with the monthly pivot at 146.38. ** Please note that Japan's CPI data drops in ~25 mins ** Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
As Goes USD/JPY, so goes the USD USD/JPY continues to drive impact in broader USD themes and given the fact that there's still considerable carry remaining in the pair, the consequences of a deeper sell-off could bring impact to several macro markets. USD/JPY is about 40% above the early 2021 lows when the carry trade began to build on the back of stronger US inflation, and even as US rate cuts started last year and BoJ rate hikes began, the carry trade only started to unwind - until the bounce from 140.00 in Q3 of last year. That same 140.00 level was back in action in April, right around the time that the USD bounced from a big spot of support on its own chart. And the four weeks that followed showed similar bounces in both markets. The pain for bulls last week was, similarly, felt in both markets. But this week has shown a different tone as a higher-low has held in USD/JPY around 142.50 and for DXY, around the 98.98 Fibonacci level. As looked at in the USD post, there's now the possibility of a monthly doji and if that completes, there's turn potential for the US Dollar. This would need to be supported by continued recovery in USD/JPY and for that, we're likely going to be looking for continued softening in longer-dated Japanese yields. Or else - as the divergence between Japanese and US rates continues to narrow, so too could the motivation for hedges and carry trades to close, putting downward pressure on the pair and the US Dollar. In that scenario, I think USD/CAD and GBP/USD could remain as attractive venues for USD-weakness to play out. But in the opposite, with USD-strength showing, I'm still favoring EUR/USD for USD-strength to continue playing out. And also for the Yen, USD/JPY has been 'trappy' on both sides and I'd instead look to work with Yen-weakness against the British Pound (GBP/JPY) and Yen-strength against the Euro. - js
by FOREXcom
USDJPY RESISTED AROUND 140.20From a technical standpoint, USD/JPY found support around the 142.11 level, which triggered a break above the descending trendline on the 4-hour chart. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum, favoring the bulls in the short term. However, the upward movement is currently facing resistance near the minor supply zone at 144.20, where price has temporarily stalled as the market awaits further direction. If bullish momentum continues, a brief pullback to retest the broken trendline is expected, a move that would also align with a nearby demand zone. This potential retracement could offer a fresh buying opportunity, with targets aimed first at clearing the 144.20 resistance. A successful breakout above this level may pave the way toward the psychological resistance at 145.00. On the flip side, if bearish pressure resumes and the pair breaks below the 142.00 support level, the next downside target would be the 141.52 area, further decline will target 140.65 level. Breakout of this levels are not ruled out. On the Radar for the Remainder of the Week: • Wednesday: Richmond Manufacturing Index (6:00 PM GMT+4) will offer a snapshot of U.S. factory activity. Later, the FOMC Meeting Minutes (10:00 PM GMT+4) could reveal key insights into the Fed’s stance on inflation and interest rates. • Thursday: A busy day kicks off with the Preliminary U.S. GDP, a crucial measure of economic performance, followed by Weekly Jobless Claims and Pending Home Sales, reflecting labor and housing market trends. • Friday: The focus shifts to Japan with the release of Tokyo Core CPI, which may guide yen sentiment. In the U.S., attention turns to the Core PCE Price Index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, and Consumer Sentiment, indicating household confidence. These datapoints has the tendency to drive prices in the coming days.
by CFI
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟 💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀 🕵️‍♂️ Heist Strategy: 📈 Entry (Bullish Raid): The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE! Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot. 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Profit Escape): 148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!) ⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike: LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly. Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒 💥 Why This Heist? USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check: 📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report 📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis 📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍 🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!): Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills! Trailing SL saves profits on running positions. 💖 Support the Heist Team! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
Long
by Thief_Trader
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 145.162. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 142.359 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
USDJPY INTRADAY bearish below 145.60The USDJPY pair is exhibiting a bearish sentiment, reinforced by the ongoing downtrend. The key trading level to watch is at 145.60, which represents the current intraday swing low and the falling resistance trendline level. In the short term, an oversold rally from current levels, followed by a bearish rejection at the 145.60 resistance, could lead to a downside move targeting support at 141.00, with further potential declines to 139.50 and 138.40 over a longer timeframe. On the other hand, a confirmed breakout above the 145.60 resistance level and a daily close above that mark would invalidate the bearish outlook. This scenario could pave the way for a continuation of the rally, aiming to retest the 147.90 resistance, with a potential extension to 149.00 levels. Conclusion: Currently, the USDJPY sentiment remains bearish, with the 145.60 level acting as a pivotal resistance. Traders should watch for either a bearish rejection at this level or a breakout and daily close above it to determine the next directional move. Caution is advised until the price action confirms a clear break or rejection. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation