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USDJPY – Potential Volatility AheadUSDJPY started the week with a 1.3% fall on Monday, where it fell from opening levels around its weekly highs at 143.88, to a low at 141.92 and has since stayed relatively quiet. However, that could all change as we move through towards Friday, as FX markets move into a 3-day period packed with important scheduled events. Risk sentiment towards US assets, and USDJPY in particularly, could be impacted by todays preliminary US Q1 GDP release at 1330 BST, which could indicate whether the US economy experienced a bigger slowdown at the start of 2025 than initially anticipated. Then, later in the day the Fed’s preferred gauge of inflation, the PCE Index is released at 1500 BST, and this is followed by the earnings updates from US technology giants Microsoft and Meta later in the evening. If that wasn’t enough to potentially increase USDJPY volatility, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will post its interest rate decision early on Thursday morning. Although no change is expected due to the current uncertain tariff impacted climate and on-going trade deal negotiations with the US, the press conference led by BoJ Governor Ueda could contain some market moving commentary. This all culminates on Friday’s US Non-farm Payrolls update at 1330 BST, where all eyes may well be focused on the unemployment rate print, currently 4.2%, to see if the US labour market is weakening, which if it is, could open the possibility of Fed rate cuts. Technical Update: 144.06 Resistance Holds Latest Recovery Having approached 139.58, the September 16th 2024 low trade, USDJPY has seen a recovery in price. However it could be argued, this appears a reaction to what were likely over-extended downside conditions, in place after the 7.50% decline from 151.21, the March 28th 2025 high. Importantly, latest price strength has been held and so far, reversed by 144.06, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of March 28th to April 22nd weakness, which traders are likely to continue to focus on, as a potential resistance. The BoJ announcement and data releases this week have potential to be important sentiment drivers for USDJPY, and we must be aware of support and resistance levels that may help us gauge the next direction of future price moves. Resistance Levels: As we have said, so far, recent recovery themes have been unable to break above 144.06 retracement resistance, which will likely be an area that needs to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of a more extended phase of price strength. While much will depend on the market’s reaction to up and coming events and future price trends, 144.06 closing breaks might suggest scope towards 145.43 the higher 50% Fibonacci level, even 146.80, the 62% retracement. Support Levels: Having seen Monday’s decline, price activity is back to what might be a support focus for traders at 142.00, equal to half recent strength. Closing breaks of 142.00 may be an indication of potential for further declines, although it is possible the 139.58 September 16th 2024 low may need to give way on a closing basis to suggest possibilities of increasing downside pressure on price. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
by Pepperstone
USDJPY H1 | Potential pullback supportBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price could potential make a pullback to our buy entry level at 142.76, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 144.01, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 141.94, a swing low support level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Buy Opportunity📈 USD/JPY LONG IDEA – Potential Bullish Reversal USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential recovery after finding strong support at the 141.50 zone, where previous demand and a volume node converge. Price has rebounded off the support and is now looking to reclaim lost ground. 🟢 Entry: 142.812 🎯 Target: 148.157 – Retest of major resistance and volume imbalance above 🛑 Stop Loss: 141.424 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.87 📆 Estimated Target Date: May 6, 2025 📈 Projected Move: +3.74% or +5.345 points 🔍 Indicators: Momentum histogram shows fading bearish pressure. Bullish MACD-style wave forming a potential reversal. Price holding above value area low (yellow/blue volume zones). 📌 Key Resistance to Watch: 144.072 A break above this could accelerate the move higher toward the 148 zone.
Long
by GODOCM
USDJPY 30M CHART PATTERNThis chart represents a USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen) 30-minute trading setup. Here's a breakdown of what's shown: Downtrend: Price drops sharply from around 143.95 to a support zone just above 141.80. Double Bottom Pattern: Two lows are marked with orange circles, suggesting a potential reversal. Entry Point: Marked by a green arrow where price bounces off the support zone. Take Profit Zones: First Take Profit: Around 143.25, near previous resistance. Final Take Profit: Around 143.95, retesting the previous high. Stop Loss: Positioned below the support zone (~141.70), minimizing risk if the setup fails. This is a classic reversal setup using a double bottom pattern, targeting previous resistance levels. Are you considering trading this setup or analyzing it for learning purposes?
Long
by money_magnet2
USD/JPY Retests Support Zone as Kato-Bessent FX Talks UnfoldOverview Summary: USD/JPY has reached a structurally significant weekly support/demand zone (140.0–142.0), where price has historically found support and initiated bullish reversals. As price consolidates in this zone, we are also seeing critical macroeconomic shifts unfold, mainly surrounding 'Japan-U.S. FX policy negotiations' and diverging central bank strategies. Key Macroeconomic Drivers: 1. BOJ Policy Outlook: The Bank of Japan has held rates near zero while inflation creeps above target. Despite global tightening trends, BOJ remains dovish and is cautious about hiking too soon. This supports further JPY weakness unless a shift occurs. 2. Kato-Bessent FX Meeting: Japan and the U.S. held their first bilateral currency discussion in 2025, with Kato emphasizing Japan’s economic conditions and wage data. While the U.S. issued no formal statement, the absence of joint commentary adds uncertainty around potential FX alignment or future intervention strategies. 3. U.S. Treasury Talks with Japan: U.S. and Japan are back at the negotiation table regarding FX stability and trade policy. While both affirm free-market rate setting, growing U.S. trade deficits with Japan are pressuring the Yen higher and inviting political attention. 4. U.S. Trade Pressures & Currency Realignments: With the U.S. trade deficit with Japan widening and USD strength persisting, policymakers face rising pressure to address competitiveness. If unchecked, this could trigger direct currency commentary or coordinated action in future meetings. 5. Global Currency Realignments: With USD strength persisting on rate divergence and geopolitical flows, Japan’s export competitiveness may cause either policy changes or FX intervention if the Yen weakens too far. Technical Analysis: - Weekly chart shows a clear support/demand zone between 140.0–142.0 , previously acting as a reversal area multiple times since 2023. - We’re currently seeing early signs of consolidation and wick rejection, a potential setup for a bullish bounce if macro factors align. - Break below 140.0 opens downside to 128.00 and 122.00 , both historically significant zones. Trade Setup (If Support Holds): Entry Zone: 140.00–142.00 Target 1: 150.00 Target 2: 158.00 Invalid Setup: Daily Close Below 139.50 Final Take: USD/JPY is currently at a macro + technical inflection point. If support holds and Japan refrains from policy tightening, we could see the pair bounce sharply back into the 147–150 range. However, any unexpected BOJ hawkishness or coordinated U.S.-Japan currency intervention would flip this narrative quickly. Stay tactical, monitor policy headlines, and size positions with volatility in mind.
Long
by GreenZoneCapital
USDJPY 4h Long Setup | Low Risk High Reward Market broke the descending structure with strong bullish impulse followed by higher lows respecting new trendline Price retested the previous resistance now turned support zone with a bullish reaction Entry is taken after confirmation of the retest holding and bullish continuation signs Entry : 142.494 SL : 140.676 TP : 148.270 RR 1 : 3.2 Price action aligned with short-term bullish reversal structure and clear demand zone defense Let price do the work
Long
by wolfchemist
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 141.63 1st Support: 141.00 1st Resistance: 142.75 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
USD/JPY : Bull or Bear? Let's See! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon reviewing the USD/JPY chart on the daily timeframe, we observe that due to the sharp drop in the Dollar Index, the price has reached the 140.850 level. This decline was very strong and impulsive; however, as seen on the chart, the price has now approached a significant demand zone between 139.6 and 141. If the price manages to close and stabilize above this area, we can expect a further bullish move from this pair. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
6
USDJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵 I see a very bearish price action on USDJPY: The price formed a head & shoulders pattern after a test of a key daily/intraday resistance and violated its neckline and a rising support of a rising wedge pattern. The next strong support is 141.75 It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
USDJPY: Will the Yen Weaken Against the Dollar? In the previous analysis, we accurately highlighted the pair’s decline toward the key 140 support level. After testing this support, the dollar has started to gain against the yen. With several key events lined up this week, the expectation that the Bank of Japan will maintain its interest rate policy could lead to yen weakness and support our bullish scenario. However, any resurgence in risk-off sentiment may reopen the door for a decline and reactivate the bearish outlook.
Long
by UnknownUnicorn65432248
USDJPY SELL 4H/1H TradeAm looking for USD Sells as this discounted prices are coming in upside correlation USD -2D/-5 CORRELATION JPY -2D/+1 I had 3 pair to look for but i saw that AUDUSD was in a range to the upside without any trend and GBPUSD was showing the most strength but its momentum was dying on every move upside and USDJPY came up to be showing strength in opposite where its momentum is off to upside and signs that seller are back in selling. correlation shows that all products are sold off daily but USD is coming from strength and JPY was very weak just coming up to strength. am watching the upcoming news in New York open and am targeting the lows of the previous range
Short
by malikhass69