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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USDJPY H2 Best Level to SHORT/HOLD TP +100/+200 pips🏆USDJPY H2 Market Update H2 chart 📊 Technical Outlook 🔸trading in well defined range 🔸trading near range highs now 🔸range highs set 148.40/148.80 🔸range lows set at 140.80/141.40 🔸strategy: SHORT SELL from resistance 🔸SL 60 pips TP1 +100 pips TP2 +200 pips 🔸swing trade setup for patient traders 🌍 FX Market Snapshot — June 2025 🇪🇺 EUR/USD (~1.1500) Euro climbs near 1.15 as eurozone inflation cools and ECB turns more dovish. Stable German sentiment provides support, but softer CPI could limit gains. 🔑 Support: 1.1445 | Resistance: 1.1550 🇬🇧 GBP/USD (~1.3435) Pound slips toward 1.34 after recent highs, as UK data remains mixed. Manufacturing picks up, but falling inflation boosts BoE rate cut bets. 🔑 Support: 1.3400–1.3420 | Resistance: 1.3500 🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index, ~99.14) Dollar edges higher as investors seek safety amid geopolitical tensions. Mixed US economic signals; eyes on upcoming job data. 🔑 Support: 98.80 | Resistance: 100.00 🇯🇵 USD/JPY (~147.4) Dollar rallies above 147 as yen weakens; BOJ stays ultra-loose. Oil price spikes add extra pressure on JPY. 🔑 Support: 145.0 | Resistance: 148.5 📊 Quick View Pair Rate Support Resistance Key Theme 🇪🇺 EUR/USD ~1.1500 1.1445 1.1550 Dovish ECB, soft CPI 🇬🇧 GBP/USD ~1.3435 1.3400–1.3420 1.3500 Mixed UK data 🇯🇵 USD/JPY ~147.4 145.0 148.5 Yen weakness 🇺🇸 DXY ~99.14 98.80 100.00 Geopolitical risks
Short
by ProjectSyndicate
27
USDJPY Daily TF - June 29th, 2025USDJPY Daily Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bearish Daily - Bearish I’m looking at the Daily time frame here as this is the only clear picture for price action in terms of trends. The 4hour looks like price action can’t make a decision so we will wait for price action to get closer to some major zones. Bearish Continuation - Ideally, we want to see price action touch 147.500 again followed by convincing bearish rejection. Look to target lower toward major support levels if this happens. Aside from this potential setup we don’t have much to look at here on UJ.
by ForexLeague
USD/JPY and what’s expected from the NFP?The USD/JPY hasn't dropped like the other dollar crossed yet, but could we potentially see a clean break down below 142.50 support? Well, we will need to see a big miss on the NFP print for that to potentially happen. The consensus is for a 110K increase in non-farm payrolls, but recent data has been less than convincing. The ADP private payrolls figure released yesterday registered its first decline in over a year, stoking concerns that today’s number might fall short of expectations — potentially even slipping below 100K. On the unemployment front, a slight uptick to 4.3% is anticipated, up from 4.2%, while Average Hourly Earnings are seen rising 0.3% month-on-month vs. 0.4% increase the month before. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
DeGRAM | USDJPY correction 📊 Technical Analysis ● Monday's rebound above the 4-month falling trend line was quickly repelled, leaving a “false breakdown” candle; price has returned under the line and is now retesting it as resistance around 144.65. ● The rebound also stopped at the top of the triangle and a small bearish flag formed; the height of the pattern points to the 142.80 support band and the broader channel to 139.90 as continuation. 💡 Fundamental analysis ● Softer U.S. core GDP data drove 2-year Treasury yields to two-week lows, reducing the rate differential that favored the dollar. Meanwhile, Japanese officials again warned that they “do not rule out any measures” against excessive yen weakening, raising the risk of intervention and discouraging new long USD/JPY positions. Summary Short 144.4 - 144.65; break below 143.8 targets 142.8 -> 139.9. Bearish view loses strength with a 4-hour close above 145.30. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
3
USDJPY Ascending channel breakout buy strong from demand zone📈 USDJPY Bullish Breakout Alert! 🚀 USDJPY has officially broken out of the descending channel from the 143.800 demand zone — showing strong bullish momentum on the 1H time frame! 🔥 🎯 Technical Targets: 1st Target: 145.000 – Supply Zone 💥 2nd Target: 146.000 – Key Resistance 3rd Target: 148.000 – Major Resistance Level Momentum is building — bulls are in control! 🐂 👇 Like, Follow & Comment your thoughts below! 💬 Join our trading community for more real-time updates and analysis! #USDJPY #ForexSignals #PriceAction #BreakoutTrade #LiviaTrades 😜
Long
by LIVIATRACK
Forecast USDJPY Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, and I do not encourage anyone to follow my analysis blindly. I’m simply sharing my personal market view based on my strategy, experience, and interpretation of the data. Everyone is responsible for their own decisions. The USD/JPY market has likely just exited its accumulation phase after several weeks of quiet consolidation. What we’re seeing now is a clear buy-side manipulation orchestrated by major players. Despite weak fundamentals for the dollar — disappointing NFP, rising unemployment, and a slowdown in services — price exploded to the upside, trapping early sellers and drawing in retail buyers through a false breakout. Technically, the market is overbought on H1 and H4, with a hidden bearish divergence extending all the way from the historical highs of 1971, combined with a confirmed bearish reversal divergence on the weekly chart. On top of that, institutional speculators (COT data) are heavily short USD/JPY, reinforcing the idea that this rally is not genuine but engineered for liquidity grabs. I’m not rushing in. I’m waiting for 146.00, a key psychological and structural level where this manipulation could reach its peak. That zone would likely mark the end of the fake bullish move and the beginning of a real distribution phase. All signals — technical, macro, and behavioral — are aligned. This could be one of the best short opportunities on USD/JPY in months.
Short
by Kanounsyphax
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟 💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀 🕵️‍♂️ Heist Strategy: 📈 Entry (Bullish Raid): The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE! Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot. 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Profit Escape): 147.500 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!) ⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike: LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly. Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒 💥 Why This Heist? USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check: 📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report 📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis 📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍 🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!): Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills! Trailing SL saves profits on running positions. 💖 Support the Heist Team! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
Long
by Thief_Trader
USD/JPY pair struggles due to a weaker US DollarOn the JPY side, nothing has changed fundamentally, and the currency has been mainly driven by the risk sentiment. As a reminder, the BoJ kept interest rates unchanged at 0.5% and reduced the bond tapering plan for fiscal year 2026 as expected at the last meeting. The BoJ continues to place a great deal on the US-Japan trade deal and the evolution of inflation. USD/JPY is moving lower despite the disappointing Industrial Production report from Japan. The report showed that Industrial Production increased by +0.5% month-over-month in May, compared to analyst forecast of +3.5%. However, I think that if we respect this area, we might see upward momentum coming soon.
by TRADINGACPVIP
USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 143.869. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 144.699 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Trump threatens tariff on Japan as deadline looms, yen dipsThe Japanese yen is negative ground on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.06, up 0.47%. The US and Japan are racing to reach a trade deal before a deadline of July 9. There are some serious roadblocks to a deal, including the current US tariff of 25% on Japanese cars and opening Japan's agricultural sector, particularly rice. President Trump has insisted that Japan import American-grown rice, but the Japanese government says that is unacceptable. Japan's Economy Minister Ryosei Akawaza said earlier this week that Japan would not "sacrifice the agricultural sector", while Farm Minister Shinjiro Koizumi said that foreign rice imports would threaten Japan's food security. It's a shortened week in the US due to the Fourth of July holiday on Friday. The US will release the June employment report on Thursday, with all eyes on nonfarm payrolls. Nonfarm payrolls eased slightly in May to 137 thousand from 147 thousand and the downward trend is expected to continue, with a consensus of 110 thousand for June. This would mark the weakest pace of job growth since 2020, with the exception of a meltdown in job growth in Oct. 2024. The Federal Reserve will also be monitoring the nonfarm payroll report. The US labor market has been weakening and the Fed is concerned that the jobs market could show a sharp deterioration. Currently, the most likely date for the next Fed rare cut is September, but a soft NFP reading south of 90 thousand would boost the case for a cut at the July 30 meeting. The Fed has maintained a wait-and-see stance since Nov. 2024 but that is expected to change in the fourth quarter, where we could see up three rate cuts.
by OANDA
USDJPY Ascending channel breakdown ahead selling strong📉 USDJPY Breaks Down! Strong sell-off from the key supply zone at 145.500 – the ascending channel has been broken on the 1H timeframe, signaling momentum shift. 🎯 Technical Targets: 🔹 1st Target: 144.000 – key demand zone 🔹 2nd Target: 143.000 – strong support level Bearish pressure is building — price action confirms the shift. Eyes on lower zones as sellers take control. 📊 🔔 Like, Follow, and Comment your thoughts! 💬 Join us for more timely market updates and clean setups! #USDJPY #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalTrading #PriceAction #FXSetup #LiviaTrades 😜
Short
by LIVIATRACK
8
Yen rises sharply, Tokyo Core CPI nextThe Japanese yen has edged higher on Friday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.57, up 0.16% on the day. Tokyo Core CPI surprised on the downside in June, falling to 3.1% y/y. This was down sharply from the 3.6% gain in May and below the market estimate of 3.3%. This was the the first slowdown in Tokyo core inflation since February. The decline was largely driven by a renewal of fuel subsidies and a reduction in water charges. Despite the drop, core inflation remains well above the Bank of Japan's 2% target, maintaining expectations for another rate hike in the second half of the year. BoJ Governor Ueda has signaled that the Bank will raise rates if it is confident that wage growth is sustained, which is critical to maintaining inflation at the 2% target. However, this week's BOJ Summary of Opinions showed that some members are more dovish, given global trade tensions and the bumpy US-Japan trade talks. Japan has said it will not agree to US tariffs of 25% on Japanese cars, and six rounds of talks in the past two months have failed to produce a deal. The Core PCE Price Index, the Fed's preferred inflation indicator, accelerated in May and was higher than expected. The index rose 2.7% y/y up from an upwardly revised 2.6% in May and above the consensus of 2.6%. Monthly, the index rose 0.2%, up from 0.1% which was also the consensus. This was a three-month high and will boost the case for the Fed to leave interest rates unchanged at the July meeting. USD/JPY faces resistance at 144.49 and 144.64 144.31 and 144.16 are the next support levels
by OANDA
USD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT Hello, Friends! USD-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 142.829 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the USD/JPY pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
USD/JPY Consolidation Triangle – Breakout WatchThe USD/JPY pair is currently trading inside a well-formed symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart. This structure typically forms when the market is in a phase of consolidation, with neither buyers nor sellers able to break the range. Price is compressing between a horizontal resistance zone (~146.50) and a rising support line (~143.50), indicating that a breakout in either direction may be imminent. This triangle has formed after a sharp downtrend, followed by a broad base formation. Such setups often precede a decisive move, especially if accompanied by volume. 🔼 Upside Breakout Scenario If price breaks and closes above the resistance zone (above 146.50–147.00) with bullish confirmation, we can expect momentum to shift in favor of buyers. A confirmed breakout would open the path toward 150.00+, possibly even retesting the highs of 2024 near 152.00. This would be seen as a bullish reversal after a prolonged downtrend. 🔽 Downside Breakdown Scenario Alternatively, if price fails to hold the rising trendline and breaks below the 143.00–142.50 support zone, it may confirm a bearish breakdown. This would suggest a continuation of the earlier downtrend with fresh bearish momentum targeting 140.00 and lower levels. 🧭 Trade Strategy Consideration Bullish Plan: Buy breakout above 147.00 with SL below 145.50 and TP near 150.50–152.00 Bearish Plan: Sell breakdown below 142.50 with SL above 144.00 and TP near 140.00–138.00 Neutral Bias: Wait for breakout confirmation; no trade inside the triangle This is a tight volatility setup where breakout traders should stay alert. The longer the consolidation, the stronger the breakout move tends to be. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
by TradZoo
USD/JPY "The Ninja Heist" – Bullish Loot Grab!🌟 Hey, Thieves & Market Bandits! 🌟 💰 Ready to raid the USD/JPY "The Gopher" vault? 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 (technical + fundamental heist analysis), here’s the master plan to swipe bullish profits before the market turns against us! Escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone—overbought, consolidation, and bear traps ahead! 💸 "Take the money and run—you’ve earned it!" 🏆🚀 🕵️‍♂️ Heist Strategy: 📈 Entry (Bullish Raid): The vault’s unlocked! Buy any price—this heist is LIVE! Pullback lovers: Set buy limits at recent/swing lows for extra loot. 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Thief SL at recent/swing low (4H/Day trade basis). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Profit Escape): 148.700 (or flee earlier if bears ambush!) ⚔️ Scalpers’ Quick Strike: LONG ONLY! If rich, attack now. If not, join swing traders & rob slowly. Trailing SL = Your bodyguard! 💰🔒 💥 Why This Heist? USD/JPY "The Ninja" is bullish due to key factors—check: 📌 Fundamental + Macro + COT Report 📌 Quantitative + Sentiment + Intermarket Analysis 📌 Future Targets & Overall Score (Linkks In the profile!) 🔗🌍 🚨 Trading Alert (News = Danger!): Avoid new trades during news—volatility kills! Trailing SL saves profits on running positions. 💖 Support the Heist Team! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 Help us steal more money daily with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned—another heist is coming soon! 🤑🎯
Long
by Thief_Trader
Forecast USDJPY Contrary to popular belief, USD/JPY is structurally in a long-term bearish trend since 1971 on a logarithmic scale. What appears to be a recovery is in fact a technical retracement within a broader secular downtrend. A historic hidden bearish divergence is forming: the RSI has been gradually rising, while the price continues to print lower highs over the decades. This reflects a momentum squeeze within the bearish structure. We may be standing at the edge of a major rejection zone, where the long-term downtrend could reassert itself forcefully. The market is quietly preparing for a powerful bearish continuation.
Short
by Kanounsyphax
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY has rejected off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 38.2% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 145.22 1st Support: 144.17 1st Resistance: 145.91 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints: 1. Premature Breakout Bias: The chart shows price repeatedly rejecting the resistance zone (highlighted in red). The arrow assumes a clean breakout without confirmation — this is speculative, as the price hasn’t closed convincingly above the resistance. This could easily turn into a false breakout or double top if price fails again. 2. Volume Mismatch: A breakout should be backed by strong bullish volume. However, the current volume is mixed and not showing a clear surge in buyer strength. Lack of volume confirmation makes the breakout less reliable. 3. Ignoring Recent Rejections: The red zone was tested multiple times in the last sessions without success. That typically signals strong supply or institutional selling. Repeating this setup without accounting for historical failure adds downside risk. 4. Missing Bearish Scenario: No alternate path is considered. A failed breakout could lead to a pullback toward 144.00 or lower, especially with U.S. news events (indicated by the flag). A balanced analysis should always prepare for both breakout and rejection. 5. Macroeconomic Event Risk: Similar to the GBP/USD chart, this one also shows an upcoming U.S. economic event. That could heavily move USD/JPY, and technical setups may become invalid fast. The analysis ignores the need to wait for the news catalyst or confirmation after the release.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Bearish drop?USD/JPY is reacting off te pivot and could drop t the 1st support. Pivot: 144.67 1st Support: 143.07 1st Resistance: 145.89 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets