JPYUSD trade ideas
Usdjpy buy 142.52Usdjpy declined below bottom Bolinger band on 4hr . And walking Bolinger down for past couple days. Yesterday it broke up and now resistance becomes support.
Buy on retest of the bottom Bolinger from the top and see if buying will push price to test blue resistance SCD band on 4 hr around 143.50.
If price manages to close below Bolinger again I will stop out.
USDJPY – Struggling Ahead of Tokyo CPI ReleaseUSDJPY continues to slide within a clearly defined descending channel, forming a textbook bearish structure with consistently lower highs and lower lows. Price action remains below both the EMA34 and EMA89, repeatedly failing to break above the descending trendline — signaling that buyers still lack the strength to reverse the momentum.
At present, USDJPY is bouncing slightly from the support zone of 139.143–138.322, though the price behavior suggests this may simply be a technical pullback. The 141.872 area now acts as strong resistance — if the price retests this level and faces rejection again, sellers could capitalize to push the pair back toward its previous lows.
Tokyo CPI is due soon — if the figure exceeds expectations, it may fuel speculation that the BoJ will begin tightening sooner than expected, lending strength to the JPY. Meanwhile, the USD remains under pressure due to weak PMI data, leaving USDJPY vulnerable to an extended downside move.
Daily Analysis – USD/JPY📉🔽 Daily Analysis – USD/JPY
Overall Trend:
The pair is currently in a downtrend, with continued selling pressure dominating the market.
Overbought Condition:
We’ve noticed signs of exhaustion in price movement, suggesting a potential temporary correction.
Next Strategy:
We’re waiting for a price pullback towards strong supply zones, where selling would be the most suitable option, with clear targets in place.
⚡️ Tip:
Closely monitor current price action and be ready to enter the market once the anticipated correction occurs.
Still bullish on the downward trend, the latest trading strategyToday, the DXY has recovered somewhat, leading to an increase in the USD/JPY exchange rate.
However, the overall trend is still downward. The continuous criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell by U.S. President Trump has dampened market confidence in the U.S. dollar. Due to the strong bearish sentiment towards the U.S. dollar in the current market and the fact that the USD/JPY is technically in a downward trend, before effectively breaking through the upper resistance level, one can consider going short on rallies.
Trading Strategy:
sell@141.500 - 141.000
TP:140.500-140.000
The signals last week resulted in continuous profits, and accurate signals were shared daily.
👇 signals👇
DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING HEAD N SHOULDER TOP The chart posted should be viewed with the other chart I just posted on twitter .DEFLATION CRASH IS NEARING .Can they reflate the system just enough to create a 5the wave super bubble ?? Not sure But the fact that the drop was perfect fib math and that the high was as well leads me to think I will wait just a little as I feel the world and the markets are at the crossroads of a final bubble or that the 2007 top is in place and we are bouncing back up in the ABC rally as we did in 2007 that rally was .618/66% and .786 in NYA See 2025 forecast so far it is 99% on target .Best of trades WAVETIMER
Japanese Yen seems poised to appreciate further against weaker UFrom a technical perspective, the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is already flashing slightly oversold conditions and warrants some caution for bearish traders. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for an extension of the USD/JPY pair's well-established downtrend witnessed over the past three months or so.
In the meantime, attempted recovery might now confront some resistance near the 141.60-141.65 region. This is followed by the 142.00 round figure and the 142.40-142.45 hurdle, above which a fresh bout of a short-covering move could lift the USD/JPY pair to the 143.00 mark en route to the 143.25-143.30 zone. Any further move up, however, might still be seen as a selling opportunity.
On the flip side, a sustained break and acceptance below the 141.00 mark could be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and makes the USD/JPY pair vulnerable. The subsequent downfall below the 140.45-140.40 intermediate support might expose the 140.00 psychological mark. The downward trajectory could extend to the 2024 yearly swing low, around the 139.60-139.55 region.
Short-term bullish momentum supports USD🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ Global risk sentiment received a significant boost after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated at a private investor summit that the tit-for-tat tariff battle between the U.S. and China will soon ease. Following this, White House correspondent Karoline Leavitt told reporters that the Trump administration was preparing for a deal. This, in turn, increased investor appetite for riskier assets and triggered capital outflows from traditional safe havens like the Japanese Yen.
➡️ Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump ruled out the unprecedented move of dismissing Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell before his term ends in May 2026. This helped spark a solid rebound in the U.S. Dollar from a three-year low, drawing fresh buying interest in the USD/JPY pair during Wednesday’s Asian session. However, the dollar's upward momentum faded amid expectations of more aggressive policy easing from the Fed.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The USD is being supported in the short term after the latest dovish news from Trump. So in the short term, it will create a downward momentum for USD/JPY
➡️ Analyze based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 141.60 - 141.40
❌SL: 140.90 | ✅TP: 142.60 – 143.00
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Yen surges to five-month high as US dollar under pressureThe Japanese yen came flying out of the gates on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 141.00, down 0.79%. Earlier the yen strengthened to 140.47, its strongest level since Sep. 2024.
The US dollar has posted losses against the major currencies on Monday, including against the yen. Investors gave the US dollar a thumbs down after President Trump's top economic advisor said that Trump was considering the dismissal of Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
Trump has been increasingly critical of Powell for not lowering interest rates and said last week that "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough". Trump fired his latest salvo after Powell said that US tariffs would raise inflation and that the Fed could find itself having to balance keeping a lid on inflation and supporting economic growth. Powell added that tariffs are "likely to move us further away from our goals".
Powell has insisted that he isn't going anywhere and will serve until the end of his term in May 2026. Can Trump legally fire Powell? That is a complicated legal question, but the markets aren't waiting for an answer and the US dollar has retreated.
Trump's attacks on Powell threaten the independence of the US central bank and is eroding confidence in the US dollar. The dollar is also under pressure from Trump's tariff policy, which has dampened the confidence of foreign investors.
USD/JPY has pushed below support at 141.16. Below, there is support at 140.14.
There is resistance at 142.62 and 143.64
USD_JPY SWING LONG|
✅USD_JPY is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 139.559
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 141.384
LONG🚀
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USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers,
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump stated that if China does not negotiate, "the United States will make the decision and set the tariff rates," while White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said, "Negotiations with China are going very well."
- Regarding Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, President Trump said, "I have no intention of firing him, but I hope Chairman Powell will be more proactive about the idea of a rate cut."
- The Russian side explained that when the President mentioned the possibility of bilateral talks to ban attacks on civilian targets, it was with negotiations and discussions with Ukraine in mind.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ April 23: U.S. April Manufacturing PMI, U.S. April Services PMI
USDJPY Chart Analysis
Contrary to expectations, the pair showed a downward movement and formed a bottom around the 140 level. A rebound is occurring in this zone, suggesting the potential for a short-term rise. The 144 level is a likely target for the next peak. However, if the 140 level is broken downward, there is a possibility of a decline toward the 135–136 range.
Usdjpy reversal coming 15 April 2025Using wave pattern, we can see that price is ranging in what appears to be a triangle
After which, there is a high probability price spike down lower towards 141 region to complete the waves.
Once the pattern is completed, price may start to reverse and retest previous high around 148 region. Hope this works and benefit your trades
Good luck.
Safe-haven currencies gain in uncertain trade landscapeFinancial markets continue to navigate a complex landscape shaped by evolving U.S. trade policies and global economic dynamics. U.S. dollar weakness is at the centre of attention as investors reconsider the greenback’s safe haven status in a world of trade wars.
There has been some relief on the tariff front—at least for now—allowing U.S. and global equities to recover in recent sessions. The Swiss franc and euro have gained significant ground as safe haven flows bolster confidence, while the pound has remained resilient, supported by solid UK economic data and expectations for a more stable Bank of England policy outlook.
In Asia, the yen continues to attract bids, reflecting Japan’s firm stance in upcoming trade talks with the U.S. Overall, markets remain cautiously optimistic, balancing hopes for trade de-escalation against persistent uncertainty from erratic U.S. policy moves.
Looking ahead, key calendar standouts include German wholesale prices, UK employment data, Eurozone industrial production, German and Eurozone ZEW sentiment readings, Canadian inflation, U.S. import and export prices, Empire manufacturing, and various Fed speeches.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
XAU/USD 15-Min Chart Breakdown!Market Outlook – 15-Minute Chart Analysis
After reaching an all-time high (ATH), price action retraced to 3193 before finding support and consolidating within a rising wedge pattern inside a defined channel. The confluence of the rising wedge, declining volume, and resistance near the upper boundary of the channel suggests a potential bearish move.
We anticipate a downward push to fill the weekend breakaway gap, as illustrated on the chart. As long as the shiny metal remains below the key resistance at 3216, the bearish outlook remains valid, with the target marked clearly on the chart.
However, if price breaks above the channel’s upper boundary and decisively surpasses the 3216 resistance level, we could see a bullish continuation toward 3236.
⚠️ Reminder: Every trade carries risk. Always apply proper risk management to protect your capital first.
Wishing you a successful and green trading week!
USD/JPY Trend Early This Week – JPY Strong🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ The Japanese Yen (JPY) started the week on a strong note, climbing to its highest level since September against a weaker US Dollar (USD) during Asian trading hours. Optimism surrounding US-Japan trade talks and underlying risk-off sentiment in global financial markets continued to boost demand for the safe-haven JPY. Additionally, data released on Friday showed that Japan’s core inflation accelerated in March, increasing the likelihood of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), which also lent support to the Yen.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The JPY is showing signs of outperforming the USD. Although there are signs of slowing down due to oversold activity, tariff and economic information still support the JPY
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy .
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 138.60 - 138.80
❌SL: 138.00 | ✅TP: 139.40 - 140.00
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰