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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

Analysis of the Latest SignalsRecently, the situation in Ukraine and Russia has remained tense, and the conflict in the Middle East has escalated (such as the confrontation between Israel and the Houthi armed forces in Yemen), prompting funds to flow to traditional safe - haven currencies. However, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) maintained a dovish stance last week and did not clarify the interest - rate - hike path, which limited the upside potential of the yen. Although inflation in Japan persists and wage growth is strong (the largest increase in 34 years), the BoJ's cautious attitude towards economic recovery has led the market to lower the interest - rate - hike expectations for June and July, putting pressure on the yen. you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Long
by HilaryBloomer
USDJPY: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵 I see a very bearish price action on USDJPY: The price formed a head & shoulders pattern after a test of a key daily/intraday resistance and violated its neckline and a rising support of a rising wedge pattern. The next strong support is 141.75 It will most likely be the next goal for the sellers. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
1
USDJPY Analysis week 19🌐Fundamental Analysis Signs of rising inflation in Japan still open the door for the BoJ to tighten interest rates further. Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s trade policies have kept investors on edge. Moreover, bets on more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve will limit any meaningful gains in the dollar and help limit deeper losses for the lower-yielding yen. 🕯Technical Analysis After a breakout and bounce late Friday, USDJPY is looking to continue its strong uptrend. Last week’s high of 145.900 will act as a temporary buffer before the pair heads towards the weekly resistance around 148.000. On the other side, last week’s liquidity sweep converging with the trendline also creates an important buying zone for the week if the pair reverses. The support level that the bears are strong at is also the weekly support level of interest around 142.000. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL USDJPY 148.000-148.200 Stoploss 148.500 BUY USDJPY 142.000-141.800 Stoploss 141.500
by TVS-Trader
Can USD/JPY hold THIS key support after a mixed NFP report? The US dollar traded mixed shortly after the NFP was released, as risk-on sentiment remained the prevailing trend. As index futures rose further, commodity dollars extended their gains against the greenback, while the USD/JPY attempted to find support around the key 144.00 - 144.50 area. This zone was resistance in the past so let's see if the UJ will be able to rebound from here later in the session, and in early next week. NFP comes in stronger, but... The nonfarm payrolls data “beat” forecasts, with a headline print of 177K vs. 138K eyed. But data for March was revised lower to 185K rom 228K. Revisions to prior two months have taken out 58K from initial estimates. Taken together, this is hardly a beat. But the good news was that full-time employment rose sharply. The unemployment rate, meanwhile, was unchanged at 4.2%. On the inflation side of things, average earnings came in slightly lower than expected, rising 0.2% on a month-over-month basis, compared with 0.3% expected. Nothing to get too excited over, but potentially good news as far as inflation is concerned – especially after we saw a slightly weaker Core PCE Price Index in mid-week. NFP was never going to matter much The market’s focus is on trade war and trade negotiations. We were never going to see any wild market reactions, and so it has so far proved. The US dollar initially spiked then quickly returned to pre-NFP levels. Gold fell, and index futures added onto earlier gains. Up next: ISM Services PMI on Monday and FOMC on Thursday. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USDJPY Forecast: Haven Appetite Back in SightUSDJPY remains above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone at 139, stemming from the uptrend between January 2023 (127.20) and July 2024 (162.00). However, the pair is currently trading below resistance at 146, steering the trend back toward key support levels at 142 and 139. A decisive break below 139 could expose new 2025 lows near 138.30 and 134.60, both key Fibonacci levels. On the upside, a rebound above 146 may open the way to 149 and 151, testing the grounds for a more sustainable uptrend. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
by FOREXcom
USDJPY 1 day ⚙️ Technical Overview (USD/JPY – 1D) 📉 Trend & Structure: Rising wedge pattern has been broken to the downside, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. Price has retested the broken trendline from below near the 147.30 resistance level, confirming structure rejection. Clear breakdown below both ascending trendlines. 📊 Key Levels: Resistance: 147.32 (marked on chart, rejected after trendline break) Minor resistance around 145.90–146.50, former support area turned resistance. Support: Nearest horizontal support: 135.00 – 136.00 zone Major support (and target of measured move): 122.73, also aligned with prior consolidation zone from 2022. 📏 Measured Move: A measured move suggests a potential drop of -8.43% (~1,229 pips) from the wedge top to the lower trendline support around 133.00–122.70 range. This aligns with a long-term target near 122.73, which is a major structural level. 🧠 Outlook & Bias: Bias: Bearish Momentum: Strong breakdown with retest failure indicates bearish momentum is intact. Confirmation: A daily close below 144.50 could further confirm downside continuation. 📌 Potential Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice): Entry: After confirmation below 144.50 or aggressive entry on current retest failure. SL: Above 147.50 (last swing high & trendline). TP: First target at 136.00; second target at 122.70
Short
by Forexbeats
USDJPY 15 MINUTESThis chart shows a potential bullish setup for USD/JPY, highlighting: A downtrend break suggesting a reversal. A buy zone near the trendline support around 142.50. Projected upward movement through Level 1 (142.97) and Level 2 (around 143.50). A final target near 144.00 marked as “TADGET SUCCESSFUL” (note the spelling error: should be “TARGET SUCCESSFUL”). It appears the analysis anticipates a bounce from the trendline with confirmation if it clears Level 1. Would you like help refining this setup or checking for additional confirmation indicators?
Long
by Alpha_Gold_Trader
USDJPY Technical Expert Review - 3 May 2025🔮 USDJPY Price Forecast – 1H Timeframe 📈 Bullish Scenario: Price may bounce from the LPP Inducement + HL (Higher Low) area and push upward. The first target would be the upper blue LQ Close zone, which is still untouched. If we observe weakness or an “M-shaped” reaction within that blue zone, a sell setup could be valid (inducement trap). However, if price breaks and closes above the blue zone, further bullish continuation is expected — possibly toward the higher green liquidity zone around 147+. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the HL (blue zone) fails and breaks down, forming a new Lower Low (LL), Then we can expect price to retrace toward the lower green demand zone, around 141.000, which aligns with higher timeframe liquidity and unmitigated demand.
Long
by collegepips
Complete Mapping Analysis — USDJPY (H1 Chart)Strategy Focus: Elliott Wave (Impulse) + AO Divergence + Fibonacci Extensions 🔍 1. Current Wave Structure (Elliott Wave Count) You’ve identified: A completed Wave 3 (impulse). A completed or nearly completed Wave 4 correction. Now projecting Wave 5 to complete the 5-wave impulse. Substructure breakdown: Wave 1-2: Clean impulse and pullback. Wave 3: Strong rally with AO confirming higher momentum peaks. Wave 4: Corrective move, breaking below the internal trendline (initial break), signaling potential end of correction. Wave 5 (projected): Final push upward to complete the motive wave. 📊 2. Fibonacci Extension Targets From Wave 0–3 and Wave 4 retracement: 2.618 extension: ~146.50 2.886 extension: ~146.78 4.236 extension: ~148.22 (Aggressive top for a possible extended fifth) These are possible Wave 5 termination zones. Confluence with previous supply zones increases likelihood of reversal here. 📉 3. Momentum Confirmation — Awesome Oscillator (AO) You're watching for: Bearish Divergence on AO: Wave 3 had a strong momentum peak. Expect Wave 5 to push higher in price, but AO shows a lower high, signaling weakening momentum. This aligns with classic Wave 5 behavior — price extension with momentum exhaustion. 🧭 4. Entry Strategy Setup: Long entry at Wave 4 bottom. Entry trigger: Initial break → minor pullback → bullish confirmation candle. AO: Turns green after red bars = first sign of momentum recovery. Optional confirmation: Break of short-term structure high (micro Wave 1 in Wave 5). 🎯 5. Take Profit Plan Layered take-profit strategy based on Fibonacci and AO: Target Zone Price Area Action TP1 (Safe) ~1.618 (145.44–145.72) Take partial profit (30–50%) TP2 (Primary) ~2.618 (146.50) Secure majority of profit (80%) TP3 (Max/Stretch) ~4.236 (148.22) Optional final push / runner 🛡 6. Stop Loss Strategy SL placement: Below Wave (4) low (~143.73 zone) or below structure break. Use structure break or strong bearish engulfing as a reason to exit early if momentum fails. ⚠️ 7. Divergence & Reversal Monitoring Once price enters your TP2–TP3 zone: Look for: AO divergence (price high vs. AO lower high). Bearish engulfing candles or microstructure breaks. Weak volume or extended wick rejection. These may indicate Wave 5 completion and the start of Wave A (correction) or a reversal. 🔄 8. Next Play After Wave 5 Completes If divergence confirms and reversal begins: Map corrective structure (ABC). Short from: Break of rising wedge/trendline. AO flips red + break of microstructure. Target retracement: 0.382 to 0.618 retracement of the full Wave 1–5 impulse. Target zone: ~144.80 – 143.70 ✅ Summary: Strategic Flow ✅ Identify Wave 4 completion → Confirm via initial break + minor pullback. ✅ Long entry for Wave 5 → Enter on bullish candle or structural break. ✅ Track AO → Expect divergence at Wave 5 peak. ✅ Use Fibonacci for TP zones. ✅ Exit with confirmation of divergence and reversal signs. ✅ Option to reverse short post-Wave 5.
Long
by Candydreamz
Yen Slips Toward 144 on Stronger DollarThe Japanese yen edged lower toward 144 per dollar on Tuesday, as the U.S. dollar strengthened amid optimism over potential U.S.-China trade talks and investor caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. President Trump suggested a possible reduction in tariffs on Chinese goods. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan held rates steady but revised its growth and inflation outlook. Trading activity remained subdued due to a public holiday in Japan. Resistance is located at 145.90, followed by 146.75 and 149.80. On the downside, support levels are at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
USDJPY Long Setup | Bullish Reversal from Value Area🧠 Technical Breakdown 🔹 Volume Profile Analysis High Volume Node (HVN) around 144.50–145.20 indicates strong price acceptance. Price is currently sitting on the Point of Control (POC) or near a zone with high historical transaction volume. Low Volume Area (LVA) just above this level suggests price may move upward swiftly if buyers take control. 🔹 Key Levels Entry: ~144.55 (current price where long position begins) Stop Loss: Just below 144.166 (low-volume rejection zone / support) Take Profit: ~145.183 — previous resistance level, where selling pressure appeared earlier 🔹 Structure The previous bearish correction may be coming to an end as price stabilizes at a key support cluster. The "open & close" line marks a significant balance point, with buyers stepping in to defend it. Formation of potential higher low, suggesting early signs of a bullish reversal. 🛠 Trade Setup Bias: Bullish Entry: Current price zone ~144.55 Stop Loss: Below 144.166 support Target: 145.183 (resistance) Risk:Reward: Favorable (approx. 1:2) ✅ Confluences for Long Entry Strong support zone at 144.166 High-volume accumulation zone (Volume Profile POC) Price holding above prior open/close levels Bullish rejection wicks forming at the bottom ⚠️ Watch For A break and close below 144.166 would invalidate this setup. Volatility from upcoming USD/JPY macroeconomic events — check the calendar. 🧭 Game Plan If price continues to hold above 144.366–144.50 zone and shows bullish momentum (like bullish engulfing or strong reaction candles), this setup offers a high-probability long with clean invalidation and solid upside.
Long
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK
DeGRAM | USDJPY Keeps the Demand Zone📊 Technical Analysis ● USD/JPY has broken the falling-wedge top and is holding above the 142.20 breakout line; that keeps 144.03 → 147.5 in scope. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● U.S. March retail sales surged 1.4 %, underscoring resilient demand. ✨ Summary A wedge breakout plus firm U.S. data, a hawkish Fed and a dovish BOJ favour more dollar strength; holding above 142.20 keeps USD/JPY on track for $144.03–147.5. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
Loading up on Yen Dollars - USDJPYThis is the 4H chart and I am trading 3 contracts on this pair. This is going to be a swing trade which may takes some weeks/months to play out. By determining the SL first, you can have a clear idea and know in advance that is how much you are going to LOSE in value terms. No matter how well your charting or analysis may be, the market may go against you and if that happens, your SL is hit, are you OK, financially ? That means, your 1000 or 500 or 5000 loss - would it be your end of the world? Thus, it is important to put a small fixed amount to do trading and NOT BE GREEDY. There are so many things you can go LONG/SHORT depending how knowledgable you are with the market. For example, the cutting of the RRR by China this morning along with other stimulus drives the HSI up 2+% but it is now paring down. That means you could see your profits dwindle or worse, turns into a LOSS if you are not watching or preset your SL/profit target. Never be too sure of your chart as market can moves very quickly. SO, I like swing trade because it is over a longer time frame and once I am ok with the SL, I will go ahead, not adjusting the limits along the week. This defeats the purpose. By having 3 contracts (you can have 10 or more), it helps to take some profits off the table if halfway you have cold feet, at least you recover some money. Often, the anxiety kicks in not at the beginning but as tension builds up, you start to see your profits rolling one night and the next it is back to zero , that is when your heart starts to beat faster and thoughts racing to tell you to get out or stay calm. This process takes time . Again, I advocate not having too many positions open as it can be quite challenging for you to manage should something ROCK the market. Just closing your trades fast would make your fingers go numb and not at your call. 3 positions will be just nice and best to diversify. For me, I like indices , forex and maybe one crypto. You can have a different combination or just concentrate on one. As usual, trade with spare money that you can afford to lose and NEVER EVER borrow money to trade. Man up, if you lose . Treat it as tuition money and something that you need to pay to learn from your mistakes albeit a costly one. That is why I first started with forex and go for the safest pair - EURUSD . Best of luck and DYODD
Short
by dchua1969
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Bank Bullish Heist Plan (Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! Place buy limit orders most recent or swing, low level for Pullback entries. Stop Loss 🛑: 📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (138.500) Day/Swing trade basis. 📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. 🏴‍☠️Target 🎯: 147.500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 💰💵💸USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .☝☝☝ 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets & Overall Score... go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader