USDJPY | Massive Head & Shoulders Top – 2500+ Pips | Weekly📍 Pair: FX:USDJPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen)
📆 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly)
📉 Price: 144.22
📊 Pattern: Head & Shoulders (macro top)
🔍 Technical Setup:
USDJPY has formed a textbook Head & Shoulders pattern on the weekly chart, suggesting a potential multi-thousand pip reversal if the neckline fails.
🟩 Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder structure is clear
🔻 Neckline sits near 137.00 – a major support zone
🔺 Pattern took over a year to form — signals significant macro exhaustion
🧠 Trade Plan & Targets:
❗️ Trigger: Weekly close below 137.00 (neckline breakdown)
⛔️ Invalidation: Close back above 151.00 (right shoulder high)
🎯 Target 1: 126.90
→ 📉 Move: -1,832 pips
🎯 Target 2: 118.80
→ 📉 Move: -2,547 pips
🔭 Both targets are based on measured move logic from the height of the head to the neckline, projected downward.
⚠️ Key Observations:
Sideways price action forming the right shoulder = distribution zone
Breakdown would shift trend from bullish to bearish on a long-term scale
Potential for carry trade unwind and safe-haven yen demand if macro tensions rise
💬 Are we on the verge of a major USD reversal vs the yen?
📌 Watch for a confirmed weekly break below 137.00 — this setup could define Q3–Q4.
#USDJPY #Forex #HeadAndShoulders #JPYStrength #TrendReversal #TechnicalSetup #TargetTraders
JPYUSD trade ideas
USD/JPY at a key support level tested multiple times🔻 USDJPY Sitting at Critical Support – Decision Point Ahead
USDJPY is currently hovering around the 143.60–143.65 zone — a major support level that has held multiple times in the past.
🔍 Price just completed a clean Head & Shoulders breakdown, and this zone marks the neckline retest area. We're now at a make-or-break point:
Break Below 143.60: Confirms bearish continuation, opens downside toward 143.00 → 142.20
Hold Above 143.60: Could lead to a short squeeze back to 144.20–144.50 zone
📊 Volume is rising as we test this key level — suggesting that big players are stepping in.
Trend remains bearish overall with price trading below the EMAs and rejecting trendline resistance.
⚠️ This is not the place to guess — wait for confirmation. A strong candle close below or a fakeout rejection will show the path.
Trade smart. Wait for the market to speak. No bias, just price action. 🧠
DeGRAM | USDJPY formed the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● Price defended the 142.80 confluence (triangle base + channel median), printing a bullish hammer and reclaiming the short-term trendline; structure now forms an ascending triangle inside the broader consolidation.
● Momentum is rising toward 146.50 – the pattern’s 1:1 swing and prior supply – with the next objective the upper triangle wall at 148.10. Invalid if candles fall back under 142.80.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Rebound in US ISM manufacturing and Fed minutes hinting “no near-term cuts” lifted 2-yr yields, while weak Japanese wage growth keeps the BoJ patient. The widening policy gap revives USD/JPY bid.
✨ Summary
Long 143.4-144.1; targets 146.5 then 148.1. Exit on a 4 h close below 142.8.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Interesting pattern found in USDJPY 4H chartIn this 4H chart, if you observe closely - the orange circle shows the peak at 148 price level
then, it falls to the blue circle at 146 price level before settling lower at the 143 price level. This is also where we are now.
I believe it is likely to break down further for which I have indicated a potential profit target.
USDJPY H1 I Bullish Bounce off the 61.8% FibBased on the H1 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 144.15, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.16, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 143.32, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY| - Weekky OutlookBias: Bullish
HTF Overview (4H):
Price has shown bullish intent by breaching a major internal high and taking out significant sell-side liquidity (SSL) before mitigating the 4H order block below. This suggests a bullish narrative is forming, even though the 4H swing high hasn’t been taken yet.
LTF Confirmation (30M):
Currently showing bearish momentum. I’ll wait for a clean CHoCH to confirm shift in intent. Once price sweeps liquidity and mitigates a valid 30M OB, I’ll look for entries.
Entry Zone:
After liquidity sweep + OB mitigation on 30M (or refinement on 5M), I’ll execute the setup.
Targets:
• Scalp: 5M structure highs
• Short-Term Hold: 30M structure highs
• Extended Hold: 4H structure highs (if price action is strong)
Mindset Note:
Structure tells the story, but price action confirms whether it’s worth riding. Even when structure looks awkward, respect is often still given—so stay fluid, but focused.
Bless Trading!
USDJPY: Bearish Trend Remains in ControlUSDJPY continues to follow a clear downtrend on the H4 chart, respecting a descending trendline and forming consistent lower highs. The strong rejection at 144.800 and the presence of multiple FVGs further reinforce the bearish structure.
Price is currently retracing to test the FVG zone. If rejection occurs here, the downtrend could resume towards the 141.900 support level.
Trade Setup:
Sell near 144.700
TP: 141.900
SL: above 145.300
Supporting News:
"Risk-on" sentiment is back after strong manufacturing data from China and rising expectations that U.S. interest rates may soon peak, weakening the USD against the JPY.
Are you watching for a short setup like I am?
USDJPY Analysis – Bullish Continuation After Minor PullbackUSDJPY is currently trading around 143.340, and I anticipate a minor pullback into the 143.296 zone, which aligns with a possible bullish order block and discount zone on the H1/H4 timeframe.
This short-term dip could serve as a liquidity sweep or mitigation before price resumes its bullish trend, targeting the 147.381 level — a key area of interest tied to previous highs and potential liquidity above.
I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation (e.g., clean W-pattern, bullish engulfing candle, or break of internal structure) from the 143.296 zone before taking long entries.
🔻 Short-term expectation: Pullback to 143.296
🔼 Primary bias: Bullish continuation
🎯 Upside target: 147.381
📍 Current price: 143.340
📌 Risk Management Reminder: This is not financial advice. Always apply proper risk management:
✔️ Use a minimum of 1:2 RR setups
✔️ Risk no more than 1–2% of your capital per trade
✔️ Wait for clear confirmation before entering
✔️ Protect your account — preservation over prediction
Bullish bounce?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 144.35
1st Support: 143.09
1st Resistance: 145.29
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 144.493.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 148.651 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
LONG ON USD/JPYUSD/JPY has given us a CHOC (change of character) from down to up.
It has engineered sell side liquidity right above a demand zone.
I expect price to sweep sell side liquidity, tap into the demand zone then take off to the upside.
looking to catch 150-250 pips on UJ. (Economic News could set this trade on Fire!)
Short sell nowSell this pair now support has been broken which is the green lines on top... which price has pullback too sell now and take profits at the orange lines on. The bottom 300 fib level which is the next level of support where a major reversal is where it initially sold from in the past... look left and you will see
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 3, 2025 USDJPYEvent to pay attention to today:
15:30 EET. USD - Non-Farm Employment Change
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Rate
15:30 EET. USD - Unemployment Claims
17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI
The Japanese Yen (JPY) traded with a slight positive bias against the bearish US Dollar (USD) during the Asian session on Thursday and remains near the near one-month peak reached earlier this week. Despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) hesitation to hike rates, investors seem convinced that the central bank will remain on the path of normalizing monetary policy amid rising inflation in Japan. This is a significant divergence from the stance of other major central banks (including the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)), which are leaning towards a softer approach, and is favorable for lower JPY yields.
Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump hinted at a possible end to trade talks with Japan, and also threatened new tariffs against Japan over its perceived reluctance to buy American-grown rice. This, along with the overall positive tone towards risk, is a headwind for the safe-haven yen. In addition, traders seem reluctant and prefer to take a wait-and-see approach ahead of today's release of the closely watched US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. The crucial data will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar (USD) and will give a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair.
Trade recommendation: BUY 144.00, SL 143.00, TP 145.40
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 142.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Stop loss: 141.91
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 144.68
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 143.48, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 145.11 a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 142.22, a swing low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY Continue Bearish TrendThis USD/JPY chart presents a short bias based on multi-timeframe analysis and structure:
* **Trend Summary (Text on Chart)**:
* **Weekly (W)**: Bearish
* **Daily (D)**: Bullish
* **12H**: Mixed (Bullish & Bearish)
* **6H, 4H**: Bearish
→ Overall sentiment: **60–80% Bearish Bias**
* **Technical Highlights**:
* Price is forming a **rising wedge**, typically a bearish reversal pattern.
* The pair is currently testing a **Daily Area of Interest (AOI)** near 144.665–144.963, suggesting potential resistance.
* Price broke out of the wedge with a projected retest and continuation down.
* Target zone is below **143.468 (Daily AOI)** and extends toward **142.823**, suggesting a potential short setup with a favorable risk/reward ratio.
* Red and blue EMAs indicate price is below the 200 EMA and flirting with the 50 EMA, adding confluence to the short bias.
This analysis implies an anticipated breakdown from the wedge with follow-through to the downside if bearish momentum continues.
Multi-timeframe confluence is mostly bearish:
Weekly, 6H, and 4H are clearly bearish. 12H is mixed, and only the Daily is bullish. This gives an overall 60–80% bearish bias.
Rising wedge pattern:
Price is forming a bearish wedge, typically signaling a reversal or breakdown. It's losing momentum near resistance.
Price is near a Daily Area of Interest (AOI):
The pair is testing a known resistance zone. It has failed to break and hold above it convincingly.
Expecting a break and retest of structure:
You're anticipating the wedge to break down, retest the structure or AOI, and then continue bearish.
Target is aligned with a lower Daily AOI:
You have a clear target near 142.800, where price previously reacted — offering good risk-to-reward for the short.