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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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USD/JPY Reverses from ResistanceUSD/JPY is poised to snap a three-day winning streak with price reversing today at the 61.8% retracement of the monthly range. A decline of more than 1.5% from the highs puts the immediate focus on the monthly range lows with a break needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend. Monthly open support rests at 143.06 and is backed by the May opening-range lows (ORL) at 142.35. A break below this threshold exposes the yearly low day close (LDC) at 141.56 and key support at the December lows / 61.8% retracement of the 2023 advance at 140.25/49- look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Initial resistance stands at 146.15 and is backed by the 78.6% retracement at 147.25. A topside breach / close above the upper parallel (blue) is needed to invalidate the yearly downtrend with subsequent objectives eyed at 148.39/65 and the 200-day moving average / March high-day close (HDC) around 149.46/50. Bottom line: USD/JPY exhausted into technical resistance this month with today’s reversal threatening resumption of the broader downtrend. From a trading standpoint, rallies should be limited to 147.25 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below the monthly range needed to fuel the next leg of the decline. -MB
by FOREXcom
USDJPY H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling our buy entry level at 144.87, a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Our take profit is set at 146.55, a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 143.86, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
Bullish Reversal on Risk-On Shift and Channel BreakoutCMCMARKETS:USDJPY USD/JPY surged as risk appetite returned after a U.S. federal court blocked President Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs, undermining demand for safe-haven assets like the yen. Meanwhile, weak demand in Japan’s 40-year bond auction raised concerns over fiscal stability, adding further downside pressure to JPY. Technically, the pair broke above a downward channel and formed a bullish engulfing pattern near the 144.90 demand zone. If price consolidates above 145.00, a test of the 148.15 resistance zone is possible. Traders now eye upcoming U.S. GDP and PCE inflation data for direction on Fed policy. Resistance : 148.14 , 148.67 Support : 144.90 , 144.42
Long
by ATFX_Global
USDJPY Short Setup – Bearish Breakout WatchBias: ✅ Strong Sell Timeframe: 4H Pair: USDJPY Week: 26–30 May 2025 🔍 Technical Setup: USDJPY is sitting on a critical support zone around 142.55. A decisive break and 4H close below this level would confirm a bearish continuation. Entry: Break below 142.55 Stop Loss: Above resistance at 142.80 Take Profit: Major support around 140.05 Risk-Reward Ratio: ~4R Structure: Lower highs, pressure on demand – momentum building 🧠 Macro Confluence: 📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, worsening macro (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓) 💴 JPY Strength: Seasonal bias, bullish COT positioning, risk-off sentiment 🧾 COT: JPY net long positions at 92% RSI 📊 Conditional Scores: JPY ↑, USD ↓ ⚠️ Risk Sentiment: VIX 22.68 – risk-off favors JPY ⚠️ Risk Notes: Wait for confirmation candle before entry Watch FOMC + GDP (USD) for volatility spikes Consider scaling in on retest of broken support 📌 Let the level break before jumping in. Precision matters. Share your thoughts or charts below 👇
Long
by wajahatarif
USDJPY H4 I Bullish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 142.57, a pullback support. Our take profit is set at 143.57 a pullback resistance. The stop loss is placed at 141.69, below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Disclaimer High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
USDJPY SMC Play | Order Block + Fibo 61.8 = Precision EntryUSDJPY | Confluence Entry in Motion 🚀 A beautifully aligned setup using Smart Money Concepts, with a clear entry mapped out at the OB + Fib 61.8% retracement zone. Price just tapped into the purple zone — now it’s all eyes on bullish momentum confirmation. 📊 1. Market Overview USDJPY has been trending bullish, with a strong impulsive move followed by a retracement — price is now sitting at a key decision zone. The zone is a refined bullish Order Block (purple) aligning perfectly with: ✅ 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ✅ 70.5% golden zone ✅ Strong imbalance below We’re seeing a beautiful reaction candle off this area as price hunts liquidity. 🧠 2. Why This Trade Makes Sense (SMC Breakdown) Here’s the logic: Price broke structure to the upside Pullback into OB + discounted pricing Clean liquidity sweep just beneath the short-term low Room for continuation toward higher timeframe POI (top green zone) This is a textbook SMC + Fibonacci sniper setup. 🎯 3. Entry Zone (Purple Box) 📍 OB Zone: 145.200 – 145.334 🧮 Fib Levels: — 50%: 145.595 — 61.8%: 145.334 — 70.5%: ~145.200 — 100% (SL): 144.836 Your entry's beautifully layered with confluences = 🔥 Risk/Reward. 🚀 4. Target Zones 🟢 TP1: 146.000 🟢 TP2: 146.703 (TOP of the Fibonacci extension, completing the full bullish leg) ⚖️ 5. Risk-Reward Setup ✅ SL: 144.836 ✅ Entry: around 145.334 ✅ TP: 146.703 👉 RRR: Over 1:4 — institutional grade 🔥 🛡️ 6. Trade Management Tips ✅ Wait for bullish engulfing or LTF break of structure for confirmation 🕰️ Drop to M15 for precise sniper confirmation entry 🔄 If it taps again with more imbalance left = re-entry possible 📌 Save this if you love high confluence entries 🔥 Drop “SMC Sniper” in the comments if you're watching this pair 👀 Follow for daily setups just like this — clean, confident, and calculated
Long
by ChartNinjas88
USD/JPY(20250529)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting: The risks of rising unemployment and inflation have increased, and the benefits of flexible average inflation targeting in a high-risk environment have weakened; "Federal Reserve mouthpiece": Stagflation forecasts may become the tone of the Federal Reserve's June economic forecast summary. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 144.57 Support and resistance levels: 145.79 145.33 145.04 144.11 143.81 143.36 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 145.79, consider buying, the first target price is 146.20 If the price breaks through 145.33, consider selling, the first target price is 145.04
Long
by CrazyInvestorTom
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish Reversal in Play🔎 Technical Breakdown: 1. Rising Wedge Formation: The pair has been trading within a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows but with diminishing momentum. The wedge is visible from the swing low on May 13, where price began to climb aggressively but within increasingly narrow price action. This narrowing range signals weakening bullish strength. 2. Key Resistance Zone: The wedge forms right below a Major Resistance Zone marked earlier in the chart (around 0.007050), where price had previously faced heavy selling pressure. This adds confluence to the bearish bias, as the zone historically acted as a turning point. 3. SR Interchange Zone: Below the wedge lies a Support-turned-Resistance (SR) Interchange level, a critical price area where past support may now act as resistance if the price attempts to retrace. This is a commonly watched level by institutional and technical traders. 4. Breakdown Confirmation: The price has broken below the wedge's lower trendline, which is often considered the breakdown signal. A valid breakdown typically includes a close outside the wedge body followed by a retest or continuation. 5. Bearish Target: The projected move is toward 0.006796, derived by measuring the wedge height and applying it from the breakdown point. This level aligns with a historical support zone, adding more confluence to the target. 🧠 Psychological & Structural View: Bullish exhaustion: Buyers pushed price higher into resistance, but momentum slowed, signaling exhaustion. Trapped longs: Traders who entered late in the wedge may now be trapped, potentially accelerating a sell-off as they exit. Smart money behavior: Rising wedges near resistance often signal distribution by smart money before a drop. 🛠️ Trading Plan Suggestion (Not Financial Advice): Entry: After a clear wedge breakdown, consider short entries on a retest of the broken trendline or a bearish candle confirmation. SL: Above the wedge high or major resistance zone. TP: Staggered exits below 0.006850 and final target around 0.006796. 🔁 What to Watch For: Retest of the wedge breakdown (potential short entry zone) Momentum confirmation via volume or bearish candles Price reaction at SR Interchange and final support target 🧠 Minds Section – Condensed Summary JPY/USD formed a Rising Wedge below major resistance, signaling bullish exhaustion. Price has broken down from the wedge, confirming bearish momentum. A clean breakdown targets 0.006796, with SR interchange acting as a minor support. A retest of the wedge breakdown could offer a good short opportunity.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY key levels to watch after powerful rallyThe USD/JPY has rallied decisively today, aided by the shift in Japanese bond sentiment. The pair has broken several short-term levels and moving averages. At the time of writing, it was trading bang in the middle of the 144.00 -144.80 resistance area, formerly support. We also have the 21-day exponential moving average residing here. As things stand, the next key upside target for the USD/JPY is now positioned near the 145 mark. Should price approach or breach it, we might begin to see growing confidence among longer-term bulls. On the downside, key support is seen around the 142.50 level. Bearish below towards 140.00 next. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
USDJPY – Bearish Channel Holds, Eyes on Support BreakUSDJPY is currently trading within a clearly defined bearish channel on the 3H timeframe, consistently forming lower highs and lower lows. After a slight bounce from the 142.50 support zone, the price is now heading toward the 143.30 resistance area — which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. This is a zone likely to face rejection and renewed selling pressure. On the news front, Moody’s recently downgraded the U.S. credit rating due to concerns over prolonged budget deficits, putting pressure on the USD. Although the interest rate gap between the Fed and the BoJ still favors the dollar, current market sentiment is making it harder for USDJPY to maintain a strong rally. If the 143.30 resistance holds, the price is likely to be pushed back down to retest the 141.07 support zone — a previous low and the lower boundary of the descending channel. A confirmed break below this level would signal further downside, with the next target below the 140.00 mark.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
Will the storm be more intense next week?The USD/JPY fell 2.11% this week to close at 142.48, recording its largest weekly decline since April 7. At the start of the week, USD/JPY hit a two-week low due to broad USD weakness, with safe-haven demand driving JPY strength. Market Consensus: Sustained inflation above Japan's 2% target has prompted the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to consider a 25-basis-point rate hike. If data continues to support rate hike expectations, the JPY could strengthen further. Institutional Analysis: Uncertainties from trade tensions have enhanced the JPY's safe-haven appeal. If global risk sentiment deteriorates, the JPY may extend its upward trend. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results.
Short
by Ashbur
USDJPY Will Move Lower! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for USDJPY. Time Frame: 1h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a significant resistance area 142.577. Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 141.626 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Yen Strengthens on Dollar WeaknessThe Japanese yen firmed to around 143.6 per dollar, heading for a weekly gain of over 1% as inflation data came in stronger than expected. Core inflation surged to 3.5%, its highest in more than two years, while headline inflation held at 3.6%, reinforcing expectations that the BoJ may maintain its tightening stance. The yen also benefited from continued dollar weakness tied to U.S. fiscal worries. Earlier, Japan’s Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato denied discussing exchange rates with U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent at the G7 summit, dismissing rumors of joint currency intervention. USD/JPY faces resistance at 148.60, with further upside levels at 149.80 and 151.20. Key support lies at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
by ChartMage
USDJPY WEEKLY PLAN: Demand Zone Breakdown in Sight?USDJPY is approaching a critical support zone around 140.771, which has acted as a demand area multiple times in the past. However, the structure appears vulnerable, suggesting a potential bearish continuation. 📌 Main scenario: If price breaks and closes below 140.771, it could signal a shift in sentiment. Further downside could lead price toward the next support level at 132.147, and potentially the strong demand zone at 126.637. ⚠️ Watch for confirmation of a clean break. The current demand is "unfresh", increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction if buyers fail to defend it.
by RakyatTrader
Yen Stabilizes as Risk Sentiment ImprovesThe Japanese Yen edged up from a two-week low on Thursday but lacked strong momentum, as risk appetite improved after a U.S. court blocked Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs, reducing demand for safe havens. Concerns over Japan’s rising debt continue to pressure the Yen. Meanwhile, USD/JPY rose for a fourth day, supported by hawkish FOMC minutes, though markets still expect a Fed rate cut. Expectations of a more hawkish Bank of Japan helped limit the Yen’s losses. The key resistance is at $147.10 meanwhile the major support is located at $145.00.
by ChartMage
Market next move 📊 Current Analysis Summary: Pair: USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe. Bias: Bullish breakout above a minor consolidation (highlighted box). Target: Set higher, implying continuation of upward momentum. Arrows: Show bullish path with a minor pullback, then a breakout continuation. --- ❌ Disruptive Breakdown: 🔴 1. Fake Breakout Risk Price is testing the upper bound of the consolidation box. If this breakout fails to hold, it could trap late buyers. A rejection back inside the box might trigger a bearish reversal—a textbook bull trap scenario. 🔴 2. Volume Divergence Despite the green breakout candle, the volume spike is not aggressive enough. If volume fails to increase further, it may suggest exhaustion, not momentum. This divergence undermines the breakout’s credibility. 🔴 3. Fundamental Uncertainty Several U.S.-related economic icons (e.g., high-impact news) are visible. A hawkish BoJ or weaker-than-expected U.S. data could sharply reverse USD strength, causing a retracement or dump back below 145.000. 🔴 4. Overextended Short-Term Move The steep rise could signal near-term exhaustion. RSI or other momentum indicators (not shown here) likely suggest overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a cool-off retracement. 🔴 5. Liquidity Grab & Drop Setup Price might poke just above the box (to trigger stop losses and attract breakout traders), then reverse aggressively downward—a liquidity sweep or stop-hunt move before the real direction emerges.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USDJPY InsightWelcome, dear subscribers! Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe. Key Points - U.S. President Trump announced a delay of the 50% tariff, which he had warned would take effect from June 1, until July 9. - Nvidia’s earnings will be released after the market closes on the 28th, drawing attention as a potential catalyst for increased risk appetite. - At the opening of the two-day conference themed “New Challenges in Monetary Policy” on the 27th, BOJ Governor Ueda stated that "Japan’s inflation is closer to the target than at any time in the past 30 years," and added, "As economic activity and prices improve, we will adjust the level of monetary easing as necessary to achieve the sustainable 2% inflation target, within the range that reinforces confidence in our baseline scenario based on incoming data." Key Economic Events This Week + May 28: FOMC Meeting Minutes + May 29: U.S. Q1 GDP + May 30: U.S. April PCE Price Index USDJPY Chart Analysis While it initially seemed like a short-term uptrend was forming with 149 as the peak, the pair broke below the 144 level, failing to establish the uptrend. The breakdown below the support line suggests a possible decline toward the 140 level. After reaching the low, we will need to monitor the situation, but a rebound is expected at this point. If the 140 level is breached, we will quickly develop a new strategy.
Short
by shawntime_academy