JPY/USD Weekly Chart โ Bullish Triangle Breakout Pattern Forming๐ Chart Pattern Breakdown:
The chart is showing a symmetrical triangle pattern forming on the weekly timeframe of JPY/USD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar). This triangle is developing after a massive multi-year downtrend, which started all the way back in 2021. Such a triangle at the bottom of a trend often signals a potential reversal or a strong trend shift.
Here's what's happening technically:
๐บ Triangle Formation (Consolidation Phase):
Lower highs and higher lows indicate a clear symmetrical triangle.
The price has been bouncing between these converging trendlines for months.
This compression is like a spring โ itโs storing energy and getting ready to break out.
The triangle pattern is nearing its apex, which means a breakout is likely soon.
๐ Previous Trend Context:
Before the triangle, the market had a strong bearish move โ a downtrend that brought the pair into a major weekly support zone.
This support zone (marked in light blue) around 0.0062โ0.0063 has been tested and respected multiple times.
๐ Key Technical Zones:
Support Zone: 0.0062 โ 0.0063 โ this is where price bounced and formed the base of the triangle.
Resistance Zone / Triangle Top: Around 0.0071 โ this is the upper boundary of the triangle. A breakout above this will confirm the bullish scenario.
Target Area: 0.00829 โ derived from measuring the height of the triangle and projecting it from the breakout point.
Major BOS (Break of Structure): Once price breaks above the triangle and the BOS line, it confirms a shift from bearish to bullish structure.
SL Zone: Stop loss area is just below the support zone at 0.00629 to protect against false breakouts.
๐ Retest Setup:
After the breakout, it's common to see a pullback to retest the previous resistance (now turned support). That retest often provides a high-probability entry for swing and position traders. If it happens โ thatโs your golden moment!
๐ฏ Trade Plan (Example for Education):
Entry Criteria Value/Zone
Breakout Entry Above 0.0071 (confirmed candle close)
Retest Entry 0.0069 โ 0.0070 (support flip)
Stop-Loss (SL) Below 0.00629
Target (TP) 0.00829
โ
Why This Setup Matters:
Clear structure on the weekly chart.
Multi-touch points on both trendlines = strong pattern.
Support zone backing the triangle base gives extra conviction.
A breakout from such consolidation patterns often results in sharp movements.
Risk/reward ratio is highly favorable.
โ ๏ธ Risk Management Reminder:
Always trade with a plan, use a stop-loss, and donโt jump into the breakout blindly. Volume confirmation or retest confirmation will help increase the success rate. These kinds of setups are powerful, but only when approached with discipline.
๐ง Final Thoughts:
This JPY/USD triangle on the weekly chart is a textbook example of potential bullish reversal from a major downtrend. Itโs showing signs of a structural shift, supported by strong support, tightening price action, and the chance for a breakout to deliver a major upside move toward 0.00829.
If youโre a swing or position trader, keep this on your radar. Momentum is building โ donโt miss the move when the breakout hits. ๐๐ฅ
JPYUSD trade ideas
Bullish USDJPYThis is a bullish counter-trend trade setup on USD/JPY, aiming to catch a reversal or retracement. The trader is betting on a short-term bullish move, with a good RRR and a TP just below the 200 EMA โ a smart technical consideration. However, caution is advised since price is still under the EMA, indicating possible bearish continuation unless a strong breakout occurs.
USDJPY 4H Bearish Trend Continues
As we said in the last idea , buyers are weak and price is going down again.
Targets:
โข 143.82
โข 141.83
โข 140.32
This is based on a math method I use, and itโs very strong.
Only if price stays above 147.17, this analysis is not valid anymore.
Accurate ideas, amazing results!
USDJPY Long Setup: Triple Confluence Zone Locked InSmart money traders love one thing more than anything โ confluence. This BTCUSD setup hits all the marks:
๐ Structure Breakdown:
Market breaks structure to the upside โ
Impulsive bullish leg breaks prior high โ
Pullback into 61.8% golden zone + OB โ
Rejection wick = perfect entry confirmation โ
This is a high-probability continuation setup after BTC made a clear bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on the M30 timeframe.
๐ฆ Order Block Zone:
OB Range:
Top: ~106,989
Bottom: ~106,759
This OB was the last down candle before the big bullish impulse that broke structure. Price returned to mitigate here, then instantly rejected = Smart Money entry confirmed ๐
๐งฎ Fibonacci Levels:
61.8%: Sliced right into it
70.5% โ 79%: Deeper liquidity zone just below
The entry wick taps right into the sweet OB/Fib confluence zone and launches ๐. Itโs giving sniper precision with a low drawdown entry.
๐ฏ Trade Parameters:
Entry: ~106,759
SL: Below the OB zone
TP: 108,022 (previous high)
Thatโs an RRR of around 3.5โ4.0x โ a clean asymmetric play, just the way smart money wants it.
๐ Confirmation Factors:
Bullish BOS on M30
Price returns to OB zone + golden ratio
Clean rejection candle with demand absorption
No internal structure break = bullish narrative still valid
๐ง Key Lesson:
โWhen OB meets Fibonacci, donโt ask why. Load up โ the market just told you why.โ
Let setups like this come to you. No chasing, no emotions. Let the algo-driven footprints guide you to the money.
๐ Missed this one? Save it for your playbook โ this is how high-probability trades are built.
Drop a ๐ฐ if you caught the same move!
USD/JPY Dips FurtherUSD/JPY Dips Further
USD/JPY declined below 144.50 and is currently consolidating losses.
Important Takeaways for USD/JPY Analysis Today
- USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 146.10 and 144.90 levels.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
USD/JPY Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/JPY at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above the 146.00 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 145.00 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 144.50 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a spike below 144.00 and the pair traded as low as 143.72. It is now consolidating losses with a bearish angle. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low at 144.25.
There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 144.25. The first major resistance is near the 144.90 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the 146.10 swing high to the 143.42 low.
If there is a close above the 144.90 level and the hourly RSI moves above 50, the pair could rise toward 145.50. The next major resistance is near 146.10, above which the pair could test 147.50 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near 143.70. The next major support is near the 143.20 level. If there is a close below 143.20, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 142.00 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USDJPY - New Impulse Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
๐USDJPY has been overall bullish trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern marked in blue and it is currently hovering around the lower bound of it.
Moreover, the orange zone is a strong structure and support.
๐น Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
๐ As per my trading style:
As #USDJPY is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
๐The bullish impulse will begin after a break above the last minor high and upper red trendline.
๐ Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
MarketBreakdown | USDJPY, EURAUD, NZDJPY, CADCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1๏ธโฃ #USDJPY daily time frame ๐บ๐ธ๐ฏ๐ต
The pair demonstrates clear strength of the sellers.
The price went way below a recently broken resistance.
With the absence of impactful fundamental news,
the market may continue falling for now.
2๏ธโฃ #EURAUD daily time frame ๐ช๐บ๐ฆ๐บ
The market is trading within a wide falling parallel channel on a daily.
Its upper boundary is a strong vertical resistance.
I will look for selling from that.
Alternatively, its bullish breakout may push the prices much higher.
3๏ธโฃ #NZDJPY 4H time frame ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ฏ๐ต
Before an Australian interest rate decision at night,
the pair acted strongly bullish, following our plan.
I see a nice double bottom pattern and a confirmed bullish Change of Character CHoCH.
I think that growth will resume soon
4๏ธโฃ #CADCHF 4H time frame ๐จ๐ฆ๐จ๐ญ
The price formed a nice bullish flag pattern.
I am waiting for its bullish breakout to confirm a start
of a new bullish wave.
A candle close above its upper boundary will validate the violation.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ
JPY/USD Rising Wedge Pattern Formed | Retest & Move To Target๐ง Overview:
The JPY/USD pair has recently exhibited a Rising Wedge Pattern, a classic technical formation known for its bearish implications. This pattern has developed over several days of bullish price action, showing diminishing bullish momentum as price action narrows.
The wedge is forming right beneath a minor resistance zone, increasing the likelihood of a potential rejection and breakdown. This setup is particularly noteworthy due to the multiple layers of confluence supporting the bearish bias.
๐ Technical Breakdown:
๐ 1. Rising Wedge Formation
A rising wedge is often considered a bearish reversal pattern, especially after a strong uptrend.
As seen on the chart, price is respecting both the upper and lower bounds of the wedge, but with a loss of bullish momentum, indicated by shallower highs.
This tightening price action hints at indecision and likely exhaustion from buyers.
๐ 2. Minor Resistance Zone
Price has approached a previous structure high where strong selling interest was seen before.
This zone has already rejected price once, acting as a supply area.
The repeated failure to break above reinforces the strength of this resistance.
๐ 3. SR Interchange (Support Turned Resistance)
Below the current price action, there's a well-defined Support-Resistance Flip Zone (SR Interchange).
Previously a strong demand area, this zone may now act as a new resistance if price breaks below and retests it.
This is a key area where sellers are likely to step in again.
๐ 4. Break & Retest Structure
As price begins to break the lower wedge boundary, the next move we anticipate is a retest of the broken wedge trendline.
This retest, if confirmed by rejection candles (such as bearish engulfing or pin bars), would present an ideal entry opportunity for short positions.
๐ฏ Trade Plan & Price Levels:
๐ผ Bearish Scenario
Entry Point: Wait for a successful retest of the broken wedge line (confirmation via price action: bearish engulfing or pin bar).
Stop Loss: Above the recent swing high or above the wedge resistance (~0.006920).
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.006845 โ First key support zone.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.006807 โ Next major support / liquidity zone.
๐งฉ Why This Setup Makes Sense:
โ
Multiple Confluences:
Bearish wedge structure = reversal pattern.
Resistance zone = psychological and technical rejection.
SR Interchange = confirms institutional selling interest.
Retest confirmation = high-probability entry.
Target zones = based on recent support levels and market structure.
๐ Risk Management:
Risk-to-reward ratio favors short positions if executed after retest.
Avoid jumping in early โ wait for confirmation.
Proper stop loss is key to avoiding false breakouts or premature entries.
๐ Summary:
This is a textbook bearish setup with strong technical backing. The rising wedge pattern, when combined with resistance and retest zones, offers a great shorting opportunity โ assuming price respects the pattern. Patience will be crucial here; wait for the break, the retest, and the confirmation before entering.
๐ What to Watch:
Price behavior near the lower wedge boundary.
Reaction on retest โ do bulls defend or do bears take over?
Confirmation from volume or price action (engulfing candles, rejection wicks).
Any fundamental catalysts or USD-related news.
โ๏ธ Final Thoughts:
This is a well-structured short setup on the JPY/USD 1H chart. Wedges often deceive with temporary breakouts before reversing hard โ so discipline, timing, and confirmation will be key. If the market respects this technical structure, we could see a clean drop toward our projected targets.
USD/JPY) support level back up Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish setup with the following key insights:
Analysis Overview:
1. Current Price: 147.492
2. Support Zone: Around 145.263 to 146.000
Marked as "Support Level / FVG" (Fair Value Gap), this is the potential demand zone where the price may retrace before bouncing.
3. Trendline: An ascending trendline is supporting the bullish structure.
4. EMA 200: Price is trading above the 200 EMA (145.263), which is generally a bullish signal.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is near overbought levels (currently at 63.46 and 70.56), suggesting strong bullish momentum but a potential pullback.
6. Target Zone: 151.360
Highlighted as the "Target Point" โ this is the resistance area where price might face selling pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Idea:
Entry: Buy on retracement into the support zone (around 145.5โ146.0).
Stop Loss: Below the support zone or EMA (around 144.800 or as per risk tolerance).
Take Profit: Near the target zone around 151.360.
Risk-to-Reward: Favorable, approximately 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on the entry.
Conclusion:
The idea is based on price respecting support, fair value gap (FVG), bullish structure, and a target based on recent price projections. If the price respects the support and bullish trendline, the bullish continuation towards 151.360 is a valid expectation.
Pales support boost ๐ analysis follow)
USDJPY - Trendline Support to Determine Next Big MoveThe USD/JPY pair has been trading within a well-defined upward trajectory, currently testing key levels around 145.68. The diagonal trendline visible on the chart serves as a critical support level that has consistently propelled the pair higher since mid-April. Should the price respect this trendline in the coming sessions, we could see a temporary pullback before potentially rallying toward the resistance zone around 148.50, highlighted by the upper purple rectangle. However, traders should closely monitor any breaks below this trendline as it would signal a significant shift in momentum and possibly indicate a deeper correction. The pair appears to be consolidating after the recent pullback from May highs, with the trendline interaction likely determining the next directional move.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDJPY โ Support retest. Is the trend continuing?FX:USDJPY is storming key support within the local downtrend. Pressure is intensifying the dollar's decline...
The dollar index is beginning to fall, which is also reflected in the currency pair.
Selling pressure is intensifying. A local downtrend is forming, with an attempt to break through key support at 144.82, below which the path to 143.4 - 142 opens up. Consolidation of the price below 144.82 could intensify the sell-off.
Resistance levels: 145.34, 146.07
Support levels: 144.82, 143.44, 142.35
Global and local trends are downward, and the fall of the dollar can only provide additional resistance, which will intensify the sell-off. A break of key support and consolidation of prices below 144.82 will trigger further sell-offs.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USD/JPY BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 143.655
Target Level: 145.800
Stop Loss: 142.221
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
USDJPY TRADE PLAN โ MAY 21 BIG BREAKOUT AHEAD?USDJPY TRADE PLAN โ MAY 21 | FED HAWKISH BUT YEN STAYS WEAK โ BIG BREAKOUT AHEAD?
USDJPY is entering a critical technical zone as the market weighs the Fedโs persistent hawkish stance against Japanโs passive approach to the Yenโs depreciation. After a strong rally, we are seeing a potential exhaustion with key levels in play.
๐ MACRO CONTEXT:
FED remains hawkish: Officials continue to support higher-for-longer interest rates to tame inflation โ USD remains firm.
Bank of Japan silence: No signs of FX intervention or rate policy shift, causing ongoing weakness in JPY.
Risk sentiment neutral: Risk-off flows are muted; USDJPY remains trapped in a wide range โ awaiting macro catalysts.
๐ TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H2 CHART):
Price is now correcting within a falling channel.
Price broke below the MA200 and rising trendline, now retesting a key support zone at 143.77.
The current range 141.99 โ 144.71 is critical โ a breakout from either end may dictate the next medium-term direction.
๐ฏ TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY:
โ
SCENARIO A โ SELL THE RALLY (PRIMARY BIAS):
If price rejects 144.71:
SELL ZONE: 144.70 โ 144.71
SL: 145.10
TP: 143.77 โ 143.30 โ 142.50 โ 141.99
โ Key resistance area โ price may trigger strong seller interest.
โ
SCENARIO B โ SELL ON BREAKDOWN:
If price breaks 143.77 and retests:
SELL ZONE: 143.60 โ 143.70 (post-breakdown entry)
SL: 144.10
TP: 142.50 โ 142.00 โ 141.99
โ
SCENARIO C โ SHORT-TERM BUY (LESS FAVORABLE):
If price reacts positively at 141.99 with bullish confirmation:
BUY ZONE: 141.90 โ 141.99
SL: 141.50
TP: 142.50 โ 143.00 โ 143.77
โ Only take this setup if strong reversal signals appear.
๐ KEY LEVELS TO WATCH:
Resistance: 144.71 โ 145.00 โ 148.44
Support: 143.77 โ 143.30 โ 141.99 โ 141.20
๐ FINAL THOUGHTS:
USDJPY remains in a volatile consolidation zone, pressured by a hawkish Fed but lacking JPY strength. Watch for PMI data and Fed comments this week for directional cues. Until then, respect the current range and trade with discipline.
๐ฃ Bias favors SELL from 144.71 unless buyers reclaim full control โ trade the reaction, not the prediction!
USDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 145.469.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 142.516 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY Just Flipped โ Liquidity Has a New Target๐ง Smart Money Breakdown: USDJPY | 15-Min Chart
Weโve got a textbook bearish reversal setup forming right now on USDJPY, and Smart Money traders are paying close attention.
๐ 1. Change of Character (ChoCh)
The first key sign was a ChoCh, which flipped the internal structure from bullish to bearish. This signals a potential shift in market control from buyers to sellers โ Smart Money often initiates big moves after such a flip.
๐ซ 2. Bearish Order Block + Rejection Wick
Price pulled back right into a fresh bearish Order Block (OB) around the 148.056โ148.337 zone. This OB lines up perfectly with the upper trendline + internal liquidity area.
Price is now rejecting hard from this level, signaling Smart Money sell-side pressure.
๐ณ 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Below
Below current price lies a clean FVG, serving as a magnet for price. Smart Money often targets these imbalances to rebalance the market.
The gap extends from around 146.200 to 147.400 โ with Sell Side Liquidity resting right below at 145.872. Thatโs the likely kill zone. ๐
๐ 4. Trade Setup (R:R Approx. 3.5:1)
๐ผ Entry Zone: 147.980โ148.050 (inside OB)
โ Stop Loss: Just above OB: 148.400
โ
Target: 145.872 (Sell Side Liquidity sweep)
Perfect for swing traders and intraday SMC setups.
๐ Strategy:
Look for:
Bearish engulfing candle confirmation
Break of minor internal low (lower TF BOS)
Entry on OB rejection with tight SL above high
Bonus: Enter partials on FVG fill, hold runner to liquidity.
๐ Confluences:
โ
ChoCh confirmed
โ
Bearish OB
โ
Price rejecting from premium zone
โ
FVG below = imbalance magnet
โ
Sell-side liquidity clearly marked
โ ๏ธ Risk Reminder:
Let price show intent before jumping in
Use confirmation, not assumption
Trade what the chart says, not what you hope
๐ Summary:
Smart Money has flipped the script. With a strong ChoCh, OB rejection, and an FVG inviting price lower, this setup screams bearish continuation.
๐ป Expecting a clean run into liquidity. Stay sharp. ๐ง
๐ฌ Drop a โ๐โ if youโre eyeing the same setup.
๐ Follow for more clean SMC plays weekly.
USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Bank Bullish Heist Plan (Swing Trade)๐Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!๐
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, ๐ค ๐ฐ๐ธโ๏ธ
Based on ๐ฅThief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis๐ฅ, here is our master plan to heist the USD/JPY "The Gopher" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk Yellow MA Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. ๐๐ธ"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!๐ช๐๐
Entry ๐ : The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
Place buy limit orders most recent or swing, low level for Pullback entries.
Stop Loss ๐:
๐ Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (138.500) Day/Swing trade basis.
๐ SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
๐ดโโ ๏ธTarget ๐ฏ: 147.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
๐งฒScalpers, take note ๐ : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money ๐ฐ.
๐ฐ๐ต๐ธUSD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Money Heist Plan is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. .โโโ
๐ฐ๐๏ธGet & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets & Overall Score... go ahead to check ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐บ
โ ๏ธTrading Alert : News Releases and Position Management ๐ฐ ๐๏ธ ๐ซ๐
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
๐Supporting our robbery plan ๐ฅHit the Boost Button๐ฅ will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money ๐ฐ๐ต. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.๐๐ช๐คโค๏ธ๐๐
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned ๐ค๐ฑโ๐ค๐ค๐คฉ
More fall ahead?USD/JPY remains under intense selling pressure to trades near 149.50 in Friday's Asian trading. Despite dismal Tokyo CPI and Japan's Retail Trade data, the Japanese Yen stands resilient due to risk aversion. The US Treasury bond yields sell-off weighs heavily on the pair ahead of US PCE data.
In the past, weakness in the Japanese currency has been attributed to the difference between the U.S. and Japanese interest rates as lower rates tend to pressure currencies, while higher rates lift them up. Japan had negative rates for about eight years, keeping it's currency weak compared to the dollar.
Thus, USD/JPY is positively correlated with oil. The pair will usually rise when oil prices are rising and fall when oil prices are falling. Demographic factors, such as Japan's aging population, and the geopolitical rise of China and other East Asian competitors may be underlying, non-economic factors. Researchers have produced papers delineating possible reasons why the Japanese economy sank into prolonged stagnation.
USDJPY UPDATEUSDJPY has been and is currently trading between $160 and $140 since December 2023.
Optimal buy entry will be at ~$140. Sell entries will be at ~$160.
The buy entry at $140 is justified by the apparent demand at that zone for major buyers. Technically, this is corroborated by the consistent Yellow line on the TDI indicator (1hr TF) trending beneath the 30 line level each time price reaches that level; ~$140. Additionally, validation of a continued upward trend is supported with the recovery of the US Dollar since Pres. Trump has expressed confidence that he is close to making trade deals with a number of trading partners.
ORIGINAL ENTRY PRICE = $140
Extra Buy Entries as of 5.21.2025 = $142 and 1hr tf closure above $144
TP = $155
SL = $137.30
USDJPY โ Potential Reversal Setup from Key Demand Zone
After several days of consistent bearish momentum, price action on USDJPY has finally tapped into a well-defined demand zone just below 144.40 โ an area previously tested with strong bullish reaction.
Iโm now anticipating a potential **Change of Character (CHOCH)** as price forms a temporary floor. The rejection wick near 144.10 gives a hint of buyer interest, with confluence from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and prior liquidity sweep.
๐ **Entry:** Around 144.38
๐ **Target Zones:**
โ First Target: 146.00 (structure retest)
โ Final Target: 148.66 (major liquidity pool and previous high)
โ **Invalidation:** Break below 143.70
If this move plays out, we could be looking at a solid **Risk-to-Reward above 3:1**. Patience now is key โ Iโll wait for a strong bullish engulfing to confirm momentum shift before scaling in.
๐ง *Note:* Fundamentals (Fed tone + JPY weakness) and macro sentiment could serve as accelerators.
---
2 profit targets for USDJPYThe peak for this pair was around 160+ in Jun 2024 and it falls to a lower high to 157 on Jan 25.
From here onwards, it has gone south in direction with the red bearish trend line remaining intact.
A fake bullish candle on 12 May 25 took many traders by surprise and killed many shortists, including me, not once but twice.
Now on the 4H chart, I present you 2 shorting opportunity with relatively good risk rewards ratio. The first one should touch the green bullish trend line and break down. Thereafter, we should witness it going down to around 142.90 level.
Ideally, it should comes to the 140 support price level but let's take one step at a time.......
As usual , please DYODD
(Warning - This pair though liquid is volatile and may not suit beginners who want a peaceful night sleep. Your profits can quickly turn back to losses and vice versa within the days. Patience required and a strong heart)