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Japanese Yen / U.S. Dollar

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JPYUSD trade ideas

#USDJPY $USDJPY Rise after Monetary Policy Divergence...The USD/JPY continiues to produce. Latest: The USDJPY has seen an increase over the last three days due to several factors: Monetary Policy Divergence: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to maintain its interest rates, reflecting a dovish stance in contrast to the U.S. Federal Reserve's more hawkish approach. This divergence in monetary policy tends to strengthen the U.S. Dollar against the Yen since investors can borrow Yen at low rates to invest in higher-yielding U.S. assets. FOMC Meeting Impact: The recent FOMC meeting indicated a slower pace of rate cuts for 2025, which typically supports a stronger U.S. Dollar. This hawkish cut by the Fed, alongside the BoJ's inaction, contributed to the USDJPY's upward movement. Market Reactions and Technical Levels: Following the FOMC and BoJ announcements, there was an immediate market reaction. The USDJPY broke higher post-BoJ press conference, indicating a breakout possibly influenced by both the Fed and BoJ decisions. Technical analysis suggests that if the pair maintains above certain levels, like 157, it could aim for higher extensions, showing strong market sentiment towards further appreciation of the USD against JPY. Although a pullback at this level would be healty. Speculation on Future Interventions: There's an anticipation that the Japanese Ministry of Finance might intervene at around the 160 level to protect the Yen, but historical interventions have been less effective, suggesting that the USDJPY could continue to rise if these levels are approached (Taking a look at the upper line yellow line at the chart, if this is tested, broaken and holds we could see a great incerease). My target would be at 160- 165 lvl for now if it holds its current price or finds support in event of an pullback at a key level. However always keep in mind, currency movements are also influenced by broader market sentiment, geopolitical events, and other economic indicators. This is not financial advice.
Long
by BaseLineTraders
USD/JPY Delivers Exactly as Predicted—Next Stop: 161.92?Daily Context: The daily timeframe continues to respect the bullish structure, with strong upward momentum intact. We’ve successfully broken the last high, achieving the medium-term target of 156.74. My long-term target of 161.92 remains firmly in place, aligning perfectly with the broader trend. 4H Perspective: The market played out exactly as we talked about in the last analysis. After the accumulation phase, the breakout was clean, and the price delivered a strong markup, reaching 156.74. This perfectly confirms the bullish shift we anticipated following the distribution phase and validates the daily demand zone as a solid foundation for upward movement. Updated Trade Plan: Now that 156.74 has been achieved, I’ll monitor for a potential pullback into the 155.50–156.00 zone for a continuation setup. If the bullish structure holds, the next target remains 161.92, which aligns with the higher timeframe trend. 💡 Key Takeaway: Patience and structure-based trading paid off here—once again, the market delivered exactly as expected. The most important thing is to trade markets with clear context and solid setups. Stay focused, and let the market come to you!
Long
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
USD/JPY at Bearish Gartley Completion: High-Probability Short The USD/JPY has completed a Bearish Gartley harmonic pattern, with the critical reversal zone (point D) aligning near the 154-155 resistance area. This technical confluence suggests a potential short opportunity for a trend reversal in the short to medium term. Strategy: Sell at the Reversal Zone (Point D) Rationale: The 154-155 zone represents a critical resistance level, coinciding with the completion of the Bearish Gartley pattern. Recent price action shows rejection candles near the resistance, signaling waning bullish momentum. The TDI indicator reveals bearish divergence, with price forming higher highs while the indicator forms equal highs—validating a possible reversal. Trade Parameters: Entry Zone: 154.00 Stop Loss: 155.50 (above resistance and point D) Take Profit: 150.00 (major psychological and technical support) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 This setup leverages the strong technical confluence of the Bearish Gartley pattern, validated by divergence and resistance tests. As always, price action confirmation near the resistance is essential before entering.
Long
by MrVNpt
LONG TERM INVESTMENTS FOR BIG COMPANIES !! LONG TERM !TRADING CAN CHANGE YOUR LIFE !! META - APPLE - AMAZON - SPX - SPY - TESLA - NVIDIA - JP MORGAN - RIVIAN - LUCID AVGO - HOOD - ROCKETLAB - AFFIRM - GOOGLE - SOFI - MICROSOFT - META -TSM - CRM - AMD QCOM - BAC - AMEX - DISCOVER FOREX EURUSD - GBPUSD - USDJPY BTC Key Considerations for Trading Forex, BTC, and Stocks Trading in financial markets, whether it's Forex, Bitcoin (BTC), or stocks, involves a unique set of challenges and opportunities. Here are crucial points to keep in mind before diving into these markets: For Forex Trading: Leverage: Forex markets offer high leverage, which can amplify both gains and losses. Understand your risk tolerance and use leverage cautiously. Market Hours: Forex markets are open 24/5, which means opportunities and risks are constant. Consider when you trade in relation to major market sessions (London, New York, Tokyo). Volatility: Currency pairs can be highly volatile, especially around economic news releases or geopolitical events. Stay updated with economic calendars. Interest Rates: Central bank policies can significantly affect currency values. Monitor interest rate decisions and monetary policy statements. Pair Correlation: Understand how currency pairs correlate with each other to manage your portfolio risk better. For Bitcoin (BTC) Trading: High Volatility: Cryptocurrency, especially Bitcoin, is known for extreme price movements. Prepare for significant price swings. Regulatory Environment: Keep an eye on global crypto regulations which can influence market sentiment and price. Market Sentiment: Bitcoin's price can be heavily influenced by news, tweets from influencers, and market sentiment. Tools like sentiment analysis can be beneficial. Security: Since BTC is digital, security of your wallet and trading platform is paramount. Use hardware wallets for long-term storage. Liquidity: Ensure you're trading on platforms with good liquidity to avoid slippage, especially during volatile times. For Stock Trading: Company Fundamentals: Unlike Forex or BTC, stocks are tied to company performance. Analyze earnings, financial statements, and growth prospects. Dividends: Some stocks offer dividends, providing an income stream which can be reinvested or taken as cash. Market Trends: Stocks are influenced by broader market trends, sector performance, and macroeconomic indicators. Diversification across sectors can mitigate risk. Brokerage and Fees: Stock trading can involve various fees like transaction fees, management fees, etc. Choose your broker wisely based on cost and services. Long vs. Short Term: Decide if you're in for long-term investment or short-term trading. Each strategy requires different approaches to analysis and risk management. General Tips for All Markets: Education: Continuous learning about markets, new tools, and strategies is essential. Risk Management: Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Use stop-loss orders, diversify, and only invest money you don't need for living expenses. Psychology: Trading can be emotionally taxing. Manage stress, fear, and greed to make rational decisions. Technology: Utilize trading platforms, analysis tools, and keep abreast of technological advancements that can impact your trading, like blockchain for crypto. Regulation: Understand the regulatory environment of each market you're trading in to avoid legal pitfalls. Community and Mentorship: Engage with trading communities or find a mentor. Learning from seasoned traders can provide shortcuts and insights. Remember, every market has its nuances, and what works in one might not work in another. Tailor your strategies to each asset class while maintaining a cohesive risk management framework across all your trading activities. Good luck trading!
Education
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
USD/JPY carry trade explainedCurrently, the USD/JPY pair is trading around 154.26, influenced by upcoming policy decisions from the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The US Fed's anticipated 25bps rate cut could potentially narrow the interest rate gap, affecting the carry trade's immediate appeal. However, the strong performance of the US economy, with robust job growth and rising inflation, might sustain the dollar's strength, keeping the carry trade attractive. Meanwhile, the BoJ's steady interest rate at 0.25% and potential for future hikes offer a contrasting backdrop, maintaining the yen's role as a low-interest currency. Global economic uncertainties and political changes in both the US and Japan could impact these dynamics, so traders should monitor central bank signals and economic data closely to navigate potential shifts in the carry trade's profitability.
by tastyfx
USD/JPY Sell - 15 minsTrade Setup Overview: Bias: Bearish Key Levels: Entry Zone: Near 154.000 Target (TP): 153.324 (Support Zone) Stop Loss (SL): Above 154.236 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Rejection: Price has rejected the 154.000–154.236 resistance zone, shown by bearish candles forming at the top of the structure. The resistance aligns with a previous supply zone and forms a strong ceiling for sellers. Bearish Structure Shift: A Break of Structure (BOS) confirms momentum to the downside. A small accumulation phase followed by bearish momentum indicates sellers are in control. Support Target: The TP is placed at the next significant support level (153.324), a key area where price previously reacted. Confirmation Patterns: Bearish Candlestick Formations and rejection wicks suggest further downside potential. Price is trading below the 50 EMA, reinforcing the bearish trend bias.
Short
by tamrobert20
USD/JPY continue with the UptrendOn USD/JPY , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 152.890. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
USDJPY Will Move Higher! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USDJPY. Time Frame: 15m Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 153.579. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 153.895 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
USD/JPY: High-Probability Price Action TradesFX:USDJPY AlexGoldHunter Technical Analysis Using Price Action Techniques Key Levels and Structures Support and Resistance Levels: Swing High: Around 153.758 Swing Low: Around 151.933 Current Price: 153.758 Break of Structure (BOS): BOS is marked at several points indicating significant price movements breaking previous highs or lows. Change of Character (CHOCH): CHOCH is marked indicating a potential reversal in the trend. Moving Averages Red Line: Likely a short-term moving average (e.g., 50-period MA). Yellow Line: Likely a longer-term moving average (e.g., 200-period MA). Indicators RSI: Current RSI is around 62.93, indicating the market is not overbought or oversold. MACD: The MACD line is above the signal line, suggesting bullish momentum. Buy Strategy Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position if the price breaks above the recent swing high (153.758) with strong volume. Confirmation: Look for a BOS above the swing high and ensure the RSI is not in the overbought territory. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent swing low (151.933) to manage risk. Take Profit: Set a take profit at the next significant resistance level or use a trailing stop to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Sell Strategy Entry Point: Consider entering a sell position if the price breaks below the recent swing low (151.933) with strong volume. Confirmation: Look for a CHOCH indicating a potential trend reversal and ensure the RSI is not in the oversold territory. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent swing high (153.758) to manage risk. Take Profit: Set a take profit at the next significant support level or use a trailing stop to lock in profits as the price moves in your favor. Conclusion This chart shows a bullish trend with potential for further upward movement if key resistance levels are broken. However, traders should watch for signs of reversal and use appropriate risk management techniques. Happy trading! 📈📉 Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
by Alexgoldhunter