ARI stunning Cup and Handle target to R340Cup and Handle has formed very nicely on the weekly chart.
We've also had a strong breakout, confirming from the open of the candle.
The moving averages are bullish 7 > 21 >200
RSI >50 - higher lows
Bullish
Target 1 - R340.00
Here's some information about the company to those who are international:
African Rainbow Minerals (JSE:ARI) is a diversified South African mining company that was founded in 1997. The company has operations in the coal, platinum, manganese, chrome, iron ore, and copper industries, among others. ARM is listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange and is one of the largest mining companies in South Africa. It is also involved in various social and environmental initiatives in the communities where it operates.
ARI trade ideas
African Rainbow (ARI) Bearish ScenarioAfrican Rainbow price is constricted between resistance and rising support forming an ascending triangle. In previous instances ARM showed this price action, price broke to the downside. There is a high probability of the same.
Price closing above the resistance line on a weekly basis would be a stop loss for a short position then closely watch for a false breakout to get a re-entry.
ARI: mean reversion trade?Above 23300 supports a bullish trend direction.
Upside price momentum supports the bullish trend.
A price action close and below 22800 increases the likelihood of a pullback and mean reversion trade.
At the lower range of the linear regression channel and the Bollinger Bands - which also supports upside price potential.
ADX supports a strong trend gaining momentum.
Mean reversion back to its 200-day likely.
ARI - Possible Short positionJSE:ARI is showing some good downward momentum based on the stochastic and MACD and the EMAs which are about to cross downwards. I will wait until we get absolute confirmation from the EMAs before entering, but if it breaks lower than the low of today's candle so far, we should see a cross.
African Rainbow Mineral breakoutI would like to see JSE:ARI break above the resistance level. TVC:GOLD is currently trading above the 200EMA, hopefully that can hep push JSE:ARI prices higher. If the breakout happens, I will buy at market close, with a stop level 2*ATR from the 50EMA. No target, the trend may persist. Will close the position if price close below 50EMA.
Downward Momentum on ARIJSE:ARI is showing some good downward momentum with the recent downward crossing of the 3 and 15 period EMA's as well as the crossing downward of the stochastic and the MACD. If this momentum continues, we could see a possible downward move towards the support level at around 24000.
ARI holding uptrend support
African Rainbow Minerals
Position
Average entry: R271.10
Stop loss: R258.57
Quantity: 8
Risk: -R100.24 (- 1.38%)
The stock is currently just dancing in the R265 - R 303 box. Waiting for a to break the R303 - R345 box. I’m placing a buy entry at 306.80, just above the R306.78 multi week high. With a stop loss at break even at R271.10 for now. This may change, I may move the stop loss and adjust the position size accordingly
ARI Reversal possibilityJSE:ARI has reached a level of resistance and seems to be turning downwards for a short move. It has been confirmed by the stochastic, MACD and 3&15 EMAs. If the move happens, we might see it go down towards the 200SMA where it might find some support before either bouncing upwards or continuing downwards.
Now that looks goodPosition
Everage Entry: R271.10
Quantity: 8
Stop loss: R258.57
Risk: -R12.53
Current Risk ZAR: -R100.24
The stock looks quiet lively currently dancing about in the R251 - R303 box. I; lookking for a break through the R303 resistance moving to the R303 - R363, at which point I will add to my position and my position and trail my stop loss behind me.