AVI- BUY THE DIP!After their results AVI enjoyed a mammoth rally but has since pulled back. I have been waiting to see if it could hold above R71.00 and ALSO break out of the wedge. It has done both. This looks to me like we could see a healthy bounce to around R80.00. I'd be looking to buy at R74.00 or better with a stop loss at 71.00. PS. R2.50 Dividend on the 14th October but I reckon we'll be out by then
AVI trade ideas
JSE:AVI Lining up for a poor start to 2019AVI has been ranging since the beginning of the year. However, this looks like a distribution range. The declines with in the range have wider bars and sharper declines than any previous declines since listing. The last decline was on high volume and the attempted rally seems to be failing at the Yearly Pivot Point. Will be watching for price action and if the oversold trend line will be broken decisively for the markdown to start.
AVI LTD Not Financial Advice
#AVI $AVI #JSEAVI
Watching this on the Weekly and Monthly, Dont want to see this support broken.
Weekly looks the most interesting out of them all
Daily finding some resistance
Weekly close above 70 or 71 would peak my interest into buying this
Monthly support has been tested over and over and it seems to holding.
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AVI looking good for a possible long entryLooking good for a possible long entry. What is a bit concerning is the MA200 coming in at 8260 which might cap gains. Will need to break above the MA200 for further upside.
So will have 3 possible targets and monitor closely how the stock trades around first and second target should they be reached.
Entry will be a break and daily close above 7800.
Stop loss will be 7320 and adjusted to a trailing stop should the MA200 be overcome.
1st target - 8260 (MA200)
2nd traget - 8850
3rd target - 9450 (might be a bit ambitious but possible)
JSE:AVI OverboughtWe have been flowing the distribution and markdown of AVI from the beginning of 2019 (See posts below). Although we are in the markdown phase we have now seen a selling climax with price going oversold and breaking the demand line. We have seen a reversal bar and the stock should now have an automatic rally and enter a trading range.
Equities: Local | AVIEquities: Local | AVI | I’m a firm believer that combining a technical and fundamental view can create powerful insights for the investor and trader. That’s what influenced the thought process behind the previous warning that AVI appeared technically vulnerable and fundamentally out of sync with the macro SA backdrop. At a price of 10265c in January 2019, the share was developing a bear flag formation combined with a double top setup and traded on a lofty 19 times trailing earnings. With the economic deterioration over several months, the group (even with a very highly rated management team) has struggled to maintain it’s consistency as it released a trading update which reflected group revenue rising by just 1% and Headline Earnings Per Share to decrease between 3% and 5%.
AVI January 2019: Combining technicals + fundamentals: Sell AVI in 2019? – The R105 level is proving tough to remain above. Strong medium term trend (since 2014) but now ‘double top’ & potential ‘bear flag’. Below R94 the floor opens. PE is 19 (a bit rich considering the environment).
AVI 2020 – At current levels, the share has broken down in a new bear flag where the R80 level is key. A loss of this level would see R73.70 open up as a potential target zone.
Short this ravaged companyJacob Zuma stole a third of the South African GDP and Cyril Ramaphosa, the other thug who worked under him wants to give white land to economically ignorant supporters in exchange for continued power to starving supporters. Do you think this situation is given to exorbitant spending on luxury clothes by the fiscally raped citizens of South Africa??
Not a damn.
And until the racist fat cats are arrested for treason, we can only expect malls to be gutted, people to grow hungry and politicians to feather their own nest like the aristocracy during the French Revolution but with a specifically Zimbabwe-style tang of shit.
JSE:AVI AVI still waiting for the markdown to continueWe have been following the AVI distribution since the beginning of the year (see posts below). We are now in the markdown phase. Price has found some support at 8500 but is looking like selling pressure could push it through this level. The 200 day MA has been tested and we see an increase in volume on down bars as it pushes up against 8500. Watching for the break lower.
Trade Idea: AVI Ltd
Dear Trader
FMCG Group AVI has always been a market leader, with management lauded for their strong capital allocation skills and producing some of the best fundamental metrics over the long term.
Recently the price has taken a knock (along most retailers) from a peak of around R96 to its recent low of R79.39. The price currently trades at the lower boundary of the channel that has been in place since December 2017 and could offer an opportunity for traders to participate a short term rebound. The RSI is printing a small bullish divergence while attempting to break out of an oversold zone. The R86.75 level is prior support which may now act as resistance and could act as a target from around current levels.
Trade Plan For AVI:
Buy at R80.70 or (lower)
Stop-loss: R77.15
Take Profit Target: R85.95