$JSECPI - Capitec Bank: Contracting Triangle ConsolidationSince making an all time high at R2392,73 Capitec stock has been in a strong bear market.
Price action from the peak looks to be forming a large contracting triangle.
Without clear context of the larger Elliott Wave structure, I will treat this triangle as a neutral triangle meaning it can breakout in any direction.
The key levels to watch in the short-term are 155016 and 152500.
CPI trade ideas
CapitecJSE:CPI seems to have topped in April 2022 and has been moving downwards since then. The stock enjoyed support near R1600 twice, the recent rally came to a halt as the price reached the trend line. Also, JSE:CPI is trading below declining moving averages; waiting to see how long the R1600 - R1500 level is going to hold.
Other banks are either declining or moving sideways, it's possible that the banking sector is weak.
Capitec showing strong upside since break in downtrend to R2040Cup and Handle formed on Capitec since it broke above the Downtrend.
Now that the price is above the brim level shows strong momentum up.
Indicators also confirm upside
7>21
Price<200 but moving back to it's elastic equilibrium level
RSI>50
Target R2040.00
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Capitec was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Stellenbosch, South Africa.
The bank has over 15 million clients as of 2023, making it the third-largest bank in South Africa by number of customers.
Capitec offers a range of banking products, including savings accounts, personal loans, credit cards, and insurance.
The bank is known for its simplified and transparent fee structure, which includes low transaction fees and no hidden costs.
Capitec uses advanced technology to provide its customers with a seamless and convenient banking experience. The bank has a mobile app that allows customers to manage their accounts, transfer funds, and pay bills.
Capitec long position looking goodWe entered a long on JSE:CPI based off of the crossing of the EMA's and the turning up of the stochastic and the MACD. The trade is looking good so far with it being about a 3rd of the way to the target at 1925. It may find a bit of resistance at the current level, but I think we can potentially see a nice profit at the target if this momentum continues.
Capitec showing strong downside to come to R1,528Inverse Cup and Handle formed on Capitec and the price has just been on a strong downside trend for the last year.
We had a break below the brim level with indicators showing strong negative divergences.
200>21>7
RSI>50 - Mixed
Target R1,528
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Capitec is a South African retail bank that was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Stellenbosch, Western Cape.
The bank has been recognized as one of the fastest-growing retail banks in the world, with over 16 million customers as of 2021.
The bank offers a range of low-cost products and services, including savings accounts, loans, and insurance.
In 2017, Capitec was named the best bank in the world by the Lafferty Global Awards, which recognized the bank's focus on customer service and its commitment to financial inclusion.
The bank has a market capitalization of over ZAR 200 billion as of March 2023.
Capitec finding some support around R1800The finance sector had good 2022 Capitec was amongst the laggered. Now seemingly finding some support 1816. Proving an interesting low risk long trade with a roughly 4% lower with a target at the prior highs. Some caution and risk management is required when trading on the laggered group
Smashing New RecordsWith interest rates high, and continually increasing in an attempt to curb inflation, banks will be the biggest beneficiaries. Capitec bank continue to smash new records, outclassing it's peers or the biggest 4. It has recently added Mercentile Bank to its balance sheet and it will be focused on business banking, also it has launched Capitec Connect, a mobile network solution with data that does not expire lol. More growth and new records in the pipeline. Technically, the stock has completed wave 4 Correction and set to commence wave & impulse, which i anticipate termination around 280000 - 320000. Still, new records to be smashed lol.
CAPITEC going down further due to a Reverse Cup and Handle Since the last analysis, Capitec is continuing to look Bearish.
It's formed another RARE formation called a Reverse Cup & Handle. This is where the handle is on the left side.
Now that the price has broken below the new Brim level at R1659.23
My second target for the bank is at R944.16.
Side note: All the South African banks are showing major downside to come still, not just Capitec. I'm short three of the banks...
Capitec - Hard FallI gave out a stern warning about Capitec's overvalued price. I did say that this stock will be in a crazy nosedive very soon. Price has been falling from the R2 380 highs. We are now approaching the R1 500 zone which needs to be broken.
I'm loading Capitec shares very aggressively at these zones:
1. R550
2. R200
LOOK BEFORE YOU LEAP!!! INVEST WISELY!
CapitecJSE:CPI released results, good/bad/whatever, this week. The stock rallied a bit a day before the results, but the market hasn't been kind to JSE:CPI and other banks. Currently the stock is trading near R1560/share. R1530-ish once acted as an area of value, resistance turned support. Will the "support" level hold?
Pair trade: Selling CPI vs Buying INPMarket neutral strategy.
The price action is retracting from the upper range of the Bollinger Bands.
The 200-week sma acted as some major resistance.
The price action might target its 200-day simple moving average.
The first target is about 3.5% from current levels.