Our opinion on the current state of DISCOVERY(DSY)Discovery (DSY), developed and built by Adrian Gore over the past 25 years, offers the A/B income group of people a matrix of financial services that are inter-linked and cross-selling. Thus, a customer can begin with his/her medical aid and then add a variety of insurance products and, most recently, personal banking products.
Discovery's "Vitality" concept, which rewards clients for looking after their health in various ways, is extended to their driving record and a rewards system that ensures attractive benefits for taking the full range of Discovery debit-order products. The Vitality platform tracks over 1000 customer activities and 50 biometrics a minute using the Apple Watch in South Africa, the UK, China, Europe, and the US to ensure a process of healthy aging and retirement planning.
Discovery's Chinese company, Ping An Health, in which Discovery has a 25% stake, saw membership grow by 60% over the year, and written premiums increased by 87% to $753m. Ping An is rapidly developing into Discovery's "Tencent."
Discovery's move into banking offers existing clients a range of banking and credit card facilities. The banking license was approved in November 2017 and should significantly increase the profits generated by the group in time. This is a disruptive development that will seriously shift the banking of A/B income group consumers away from existing banks. Discovery Bank's aim was to bring in 1000 new accounts per day from the end of August 2019.
The company has seen a drop in car accident claims and medical insurance claims since the lockdown. This is a highly rated share despite the decline in its share price over the past two years. Discovery Bank has now reached 700 000 active clients, and those clients are mostly of very high quality—but the progress has been relatively slow, partly because of the pandemic.
Discovery shares remain expensive, but we regard this as one of the best shares for a private investor to hold for long-term growth. CEO Adrian Gore says, "I am a great believer that opportunities are not in good times," indicating his belief that growth comes from investing during the difficult times South Africa is currently experiencing. Gore has also stated that the NHI, as it is proposed, is unaffordable for South Africa and that there are insufficient medical resources to implement it.
Discovery became the first large, listed company to require all its staff to be vaccinated. On 20th June 2022, the bank reported that it had more than 1 million accounts and was taking on about 750 new accounts per day.
In its results for the six months to 31st December 2024, the company reported total revenue up 42% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 33%. The company said, "Capital ratios remained strong across every business and liquidity at each regulated entity, and at the centre, remains well in excess of the required buffers. The cash conversion ratio remained steady at 75% of after-tax normalised operating profit compared with the prior period, notwithstanding the strong growth in normalised profit from operations."
Technically, the share has been in a strong upward trend since June 2024. We added it to the Winning Shares List (WSL) on 1st August 2024 at 14280c. It has subsequently moved up to 20882c. Due to the quality of its management and business model, we see this as a "must-have" share for any private investor's portfolio.
DSY trade ideas
Our opinion on the current state of DISCOVERY(DSY)Discovery (DSY), developed and built by Adrian Gore over the past 25 years, offers the A/B income group of people a matrix of financial services that are inter-linked and cross-selling. Thus, a customer can begin with his/her medical aid and then add to that a variety of insurance products and now, most recently, personal banking products.
Discovery's "Vitality" concept, which rewards clients for looking after their health in various ways, is extended to their driving record and a rewards system that ensures that there are attractive benefits for taking the full range of Discovery debit-order products. The Vitality platform tracks over 1000 customer activities and 50 biometrics a minute by using the Apple Watch in South Africa, the UK, China, Europe, and the US to ensure a process of healthy aging and retirement planning.
Discovery's Chinese company, Ping An Health, in which Discovery has a 25% stake, saw membership grow by 60% over the year, and written premiums increased by 87% to $753m. Ping An is rapidly developing into Discovery's "Tencent."
Discovery's move into banking offers existing clients a range of banking and credit card facilities. The banking license was approved in November 2017 and should significantly increase the profits being generated by the group in time. This is a disruptive development that will seriously shift the banking of A/B income group consumers away from existing banks. Discovery Bank's aim was to bring in 1000 new accounts per day from the end of August 2019.
The company has seen a drop in car accident claims and medical insurance claims since the lockdown. This is a highly rated share despite the decline in its share price over the past two years. Discovery Bank has now reached 700 000 active clients and those clients are mostly of very high quality—but the progress has been relatively slow, partly because of the pandemic.
Discovery shares remain expensive, but we regard this as one of the best shares for a private investor to hold for long-term growth. CEO, Adrian Gore, says, "I am a great believer that opportunities are not in good times,"—indicating his belief that growth comes from investing during difficult times such as South Africa is currently experiencing. Gore has also stated that the NHI, as it is proposed, is unaffordable for South Africa and that there are insufficient medical resources to implement it.
Discovery became the first large, listed company to require all its staff to be vaccinated. On 20th June 2022, the bank reported that it had more than 1 million accounts and was taking on about 750 new accounts per day.
In its results for the year to 30th June 2024, the company reported headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 14% and net asset value (NAV) up 16%. The company said, "Discovery Group achieved strong growth in the year ended 30 June 2024, with normalised operating profit up 17% to R11 604 million, headline earnings up 7% to R7 202 million, normalised headline earnings up 15% to R7 329 million, and core new business annualised premium income (API) up 18% to R26 667 million."
In a trading statement for the six months to 31st December 2024, the company estimated that HEPS would increase by between 30% and 35%.
Technically, the share has been in an upward trend since June 2024. We added it to the Winning Shares List (WSL) on 1st August 2024 at 14280c. It has subsequently moved up to 20936c. Due to the quality of its management and business model, we see this as a "must-have" share for any private investor's portfolio.
Our opinion on the current state of DISCOVERY(DSY)Discovery (DSY), developed and built by Adrian Gore over the past 25 years, offers the A/B income group a matrix of inter-linked financial services, enabling significant cross-selling opportunities. Customers can start with medical aid and then add a variety of insurance products and, most recently, personal banking services.
Discovery's "Vitality" concept, which rewards clients for maintaining their health, has been extended to include their driving record and a rewards system that provides attractive benefits for those who opt for the full range of Discovery’s debit-order products. The Vitality platform tracks over 1000 customer activities and 50 biometrics a minute using the Apple watch in South Africa, the UK, China, Europe, and the US to support healthy aging and retirement planning.
Discovery's Chinese venture, Ping An Health, in which it holds a 25% stake, experienced a 60% membership growth over the year, with written premiums increasing by 87% to $753 million. Ping An is quickly becoming Discovery's "Tencent," reflecting its rapid development and potential. Discovery’s foray into banking, approved in November 2017, offers clients a range of banking and credit card facilities and is expected to significantly enhance group profits over time. This disruptive move is set to attract A/B income group consumers away from traditional banks. Discovery Bank's initial goal was to secure 1,000 new accounts daily from August 2019.
Despite challenges during the pandemic, including a slowdown in progress, Discovery Bank now boasts 700,000 active clients, most of whom are considered high-quality. Discovery has also benefited from fewer car accident and medical insurance claims during lockdown periods. While Discovery shares remain expensive, the company is highly regarded, particularly for long-term growth, making it one of the best shares for private investors.
CEO Adrian Gore emphasizes that "opportunities are not in good times," demonstrating his belief in investing during tough periods like the current economic challenges in South Africa. Gore has also voiced concerns over the National Health Insurance (NHI) proposal, stating that it is unaffordable for the country and that there are insufficient medical resources to implement it. Discovery was the first large, listed company to require all staff to be vaccinated.
On 20th June 2022, the bank announced it had surpassed 1 million accounts and was onboarding approximately 750 new accounts daily. In its results for the year to 30th June 2024, Discovery reported a 14% increase in headline earnings per share (HEPS) and a 16% rise in net asset value (NAV). The company stated, "Discovery Group achieved strong growth in the year ended 30 June 2024, with normalised operating profit up 17% to R11.6 billion, headline earnings up 7% to R7.2 billion, normalised headline earnings up 15% to R7.3 billion, and core new business annualised premium income (API) up 18% to R26.7 billion."
Technically, Discovery's share has been in an upward trend since June 2024. Given its strong management and innovative business model, Discovery is seen as a "must-have" share for any private investor's portfolio.
$JSEDSY - Discovery: Stock Re-Discovers BullishnessSee link below for previous analysis.
Discovery stock held above the critical 10073 cps level and found support at the lower support trendline of the channel.
Price has caught a strong bid and looks to be tracing out a five wave impulse; currently the stock in the third of the third wave.
Dips will provide good buying opportunities.
Recovery in financial stocksPrice completed a reversal at the lowest price of the year (at 11.777 per share this year), with the low being established for year the debts collected from the past year with high interest rates could future push prices higher and the stability in the economy after the noise surrounding the country and it political uncertainty. With a Elliot Wave completion at the low of the year , a retest at the lower high could signal new trend and continuation into the upside after the earnings release next quarter in September, but if the estimated earnings does not beat expectation this could also result in the price continuing to trend downwards.
$JSEDSY - Discovery: At An Interesting JunctureSee link below for previous analysis.
Discovery has traced out the three wave decline I forecasted after the five wave advance from 10073 to 16042.
The decline is labelled as a zigzag with a triangle wave and wave is now near the support trendline of the falling channel.
There is no evidence of a reversal yet.
For this bullish, bigger picture ABC outlook to remain valid, wave B must terminate above 10073.
I will remain neutral until price action gives signs of a reversal.
Our opinion on the current state of DSYDiscovery (DSY), developed and built by Adrian Gore over the past 25 years, offers the A/B income group of people a matrix of financial services which are inter-linked and cross-selling. Thus a customer can begin with his/her medical aid and then add to that a variety of insurance products and now, most recently, personal banking products.
Discovery's "Vitality" concept, which rewards clients for looking after their health in various ways, is extended to their driving record and a rewards system that ensures that there are attractive benefits for taking the full range of Discovery debit-order products. The Vitality platform tracks over 1000 customer activities and 50 biometrics a minute by using the Apple watch in South Africa, the UK, China, Europe and the US to ensure a process of healthy aging and retirement planning.
Discovery's Chinese company, Ping An Health, in which Discovery has a 25% stake, saw membership grow by 60% over the year, and written premiums increased by 87% to $753m. Ping An is rapidly developing into Discovery's "Tencent".
Discovery's move into banking offers existing clients a range of banking and credit card facilities. The banking license was approved in November 2017 and should significantly increase the profits being generated by the group in time. This is a disruptive development which will seriously shift the banking of A/B income group consumers away from existing banks.
Discovery Bank's aim was to bring in 1000 new accounts per day from the end of August 2019. The company has seen a drop in car accident claims and medical insurance claims since the lockdown. This is a highly rated share despite the decline in its share price over the past two years. Discovery Bank has now reached 700 000 active clients and those clients are mostly of very high quality - but the progress has been relatively slow partly because of the pandemic.
Discovery shares remain expensive, but we regard this as one of the best shares for a private investor to hold for long-term growth. CEO, Adrian Gore, says "I am a great believer that opportunities are not in good times" - indicating his belief that growth comes from investing during the difficult times such as South Africa is currently experiencing. Gore has also stated that the NHI, as it is proposed, is unaffordable for South Africa and that there are insufficient medical resources to implement it.
Discovery became the first large, listed company to require all its staff to be vaccinated. On 20th June 2022 the bank reported that it had more than 1 million accounts and was taking on about 750 new accounts per day.
In its results for the six months to 31st December 2023 the company reported headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 1% and net asset value (NAV) up 20%. Embedded value per share increased by 11%. The company said, "The Group generated normalised operating profit growth of 13% to R5 622 million with positive contributions from each composite, as South Africa (SA) increased 9%, United Kingdom (UK) increased 13% and Vitality Global (VG) increased 71%. The UK and VG results benefitted from a weaker rand compared with the prior period".
Technically, the share has been moving sideways since December 2020. Due to the quality of its management and business model, we see this as a "must have" share for any private investor's portfolio.
Discovery Cycle Hinting at Good EarningsDiscovery has a bullish flag going into earnings, it has also confirmed 8 September as a cycle low. We can expect swift move upwards as price chases a weekly cycle high. The support of the 200 day moving average adds to the weight of evidence that price wants higher.
Con: The horizontal pink line is the fail point which is now R141.90, anything below this signals the bears are in control in pursuit of a weekly low, this serves as a stop-loss and/or an opening of a short trade. A slight worry also is that the previous cycle was left translated.
$JSEDSY - Discovery Ltd: Five Waves Done And Dusted, What Now?See previous analysis in link below.
Discovery stock reached the 16000 region previously forecasted and did not travel much further.
A break below the lower trendline is a strong indicator that the bull run is complete and that the stock is now in a correction phase.
I am looking for a three wave decline, similar to wave ((iv)) of the advance, before looking to get bullish again.
Discovery Head and shoulders - Aggressive downsideHead and Shoulders formed on the Daily.
The price has clearly struck below the neckline showing it wants to come down.
Aggressive traders would take full advantage here but conservative traders will wait for the price to go back up and retest the resistance before the fall.
21>7
Price<200
RSI<50
R118.00
Our opinion on the current state of DSYDiscovery (DSY), developed and built by Adrian Gore over the past 25 years, offers the A/B income group of people a matrix of financial services which are inter-linked and cross-selling. Thus a customer can begin with his/her medical aid and then add to that a variety of insurance products and now, most recently, personal banking products. Discovery's "Vitality" concept, which rewards clients for looking after their health in various ways, is extended to their driving record and a rewards system that ensures that there are attractive benefits for taking the full range of Discovery debit-order products. The Vitality platform tracks over 1000 customer activities and 50 biometrics a minute by using the Apple watch in South Africa, the UK, China, Europe and the US to ensure a process of healthy aging and retirement planning. Discovery's Chinese company, Ping An Health, in which Discovery has a 25% stake, saw membership grow by 60% over the year, and written premiums increased by 87% to $753m. Ping An is rapidly developing into Discovery's "Tencent". Discovery's move into banking offers existing clients a range of banking and credit card facilities. The banking license was approved in November 2017 and should significantly increase the profits being generated by the group in time. This is a disruptive development which will seriously shift the banking of A/B income group consumers away from existing banks. Discovery Bank's aim was to bring in 1000 new accounts per day from the end of August 2019. The company has seen a drop in car accident claims and medical insurance claims since the lockdown. This is a highly rated share despite the decline in its share price over the past two years. Discovery Bank has now reached 489 000 accounts and those clients are mostly of very high quality - but the progress has been relatively slow partly because of the pandemic. Discovery shares remain expensive, but we regard this as one of the best shares for a private investor to hold for long-term growth. CEO, Adrian Gore, says "I am a great believer that opportunities are not in good times" - indicating his belief that growth comes from investing during the difficult times such as South Africa is currently experiencing. Gore has also stated that the NHI, as it is proposed, is unaffordable for South Africa and that there are insufficient medical resources to implement it. Discovery became the first large, listed company to require all its staff to be vaccinated. On 20th June 2022 the bank reported that it had more than 1 million accounts and was taking on about 750 new accounts per day. In its results for the year to 30th June 2023 the company reported headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 5% and embedded value per share up 14% at 14911c. The company said, "At a Group level, normalised operating profit increased 24% to R11 661 million; headline earnings increased 5% to R5 490 million; normalised headline earnings increased 32% to R7 678 million; and core new business annualised premium income (API) increased 12% to R22 788 million". Technically, the share has been in a strong upward trend since September 2022. We expect this continue. We see this as a "must have" share for any private investor's portfolio.
Discovery (DSY) Consolidating in a Bull-flagDiscovery had a failed cycle in week 32, now we can expect price to confirm a weekly low as it is within the timing band. The resistance line confirms such when we close above it on a weekly basis.
We can expect price to consolidate on arrival at this resistance or breakout then backtest. A rejection at this level would mean we wait and watch where it lands, lower than 12 May means another failed daily cycle & testing of the support.
Our opinion on the current state of DSYDiscovery (DSY), developed and built by Adrian Gore over the past 25 years, offers the A/B income group of people a matrix of financial services which are inter-linked and cross-selling. Thus a customer can begin with his/her medical aid and then add to that a variety of insurance products and now, most recently, personal banking products. Discovery's "Vitality" concept, which rewards clients for looking after their health in various ways, is extended to their driving record and a rewards system that ensures that there are attractive benefits for taking the full range of Discovery debit-order products. The Vitality platform tracks over 1000 customer activities and 50 biometrics a minute by using the Apple watch in South Africa, the UK, China, Europe and the US to ensure a process of healthy aging and retirement planning. Discovery's Chinese company, Ping An Health, in which Discovery has a 25% stake, saw membership grow by 60% over the year, and written premiums increased by 87% to $753m. Ping An is rapidly developing into Discovery's "Tencent". Discovery's move into banking offers existing clients a range of banking and credit card facilities. The banking license was approved in November 2017 and should significantly increase the profits being generated by the group in time. This is a disruptive development which will seriously shift the banking of A/B income group consumers away from existing banks. Discovery Bank's aim was to bring in 1000 new accounts per day from the end of August 2019. The company has seen a drop in car accident claims and medical insurance claims since the lockdown. This is a highly rated share despite the decline in its share price over the past two years. Discovery Bank has now reached 489 000 accounts and those clients are mostly of very high quality - but the progress has been relatively slow partly because of the pandemic. Discovery shares remain expensive, but we regard this as one of the best shares for a private investor to hold for long-term growth. CEO, Adrian Gore, says "I am a great believer that opportunities are not in good times" - indicating his belief that growth comes from investing during the difficult times such as South Africa is currently experiencing. Gore has also stated that the NHI, as it is proposed, is unaffordable for South Africa and that there are insufficient medical resources to implement it. Discovery became the first large, listed company to require all its staff to be vaccinated. On 20th June 2022 the bank reported that it had more than 1 million accounts and was taking on about 750 new accounts per day. In its results for the six months to 31st December 2022 the company reported headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 9%, but normalised HEPS up 30%.The company's net asset value (NAV) rose by 10% to 57184c per share. The company said, "... the Group has a stated policy of normalising for the impact of interest rate movements in the presentation of normalised headline earnings. The effect during the reporting period was geared as interest rate movements in the prior period increased headline earnings but decreased them during the current reporting period. This predominantly explains the difference between the 9% decline in headline earnings per share (basic) to 453.6 cents compared with the 30% growth in normalised headline earnings per share (basic) to 570.2 cents". In a trading statement for the year to 30th June 2023 the company estimated that HEPS would rise by between 3% and 8%. The company said, "High levels of engagement in the Vitality Shared-value model, together with the efficacy of the model, underpinned the Group’s performance, despite a challenging and volatile macro-economic environment". Technically, the share has been in a strong upward trend since September 2022. We expect this continue. We see this as a "must have" share for any private investor's portfolio.
DSY: some Fib extensions?A surge in price beyond 15500 serves as a signal of an impending bullish trend.
Further support for this bullish trajectory comes if the price vaults above the 16000 marker.
A target price has been determined at 16600 which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection level.
A stop-loss has been carefully positioned at 15000 to curb potential losses (38.2% Fib projection).
In addition, the prevailing price action continues to follow an upward sloping linear regression channel pattern, lending further credibility to the anticipated bullish trend.
$JSEDSY - Discovery Ltd: Again, Five Waves Almost Complete.The last analysis of Discovery was on 07.04.2023, link below.
At that time, I was of the view that wave ((iv)) was complete at 13194 but the correction developed into a larger zigzag labelled (abc) which terminated at 12945, just above the wave ((i)) peak of 12932 thereby not violating the impulse wave rule for 4th wave termination.
From 12945 the stock looks to be unfolding in a five wave impulse for wave ((v)) and thus far has traced out wave (i-ii-iii) and the current pullback is for wave (iv) which should terminate above wave (i) providing a buy setup for wave (v).
The trend is at a mature stage as after completion of wave ((v)) the expectation is for a pullback in three waves.
Longs can be opened when price action gives the signal but this should not be a long-term trade. Using the trend channeling technique, price target for wave (v) is in the 16000 region.
Discovery (DSY) Consolidating in a Bull-flagDiscovery broke out of a falling wedge and is now consolidating in a bull-flag while at the same time working off the oversold conditions. Risk accepting investors have no problem buying at these levels. In the short-term price is expected to go above R132-133 level to confirm trend remains up.
The plan is to hold while assessing the JSE Top40 index. When it shows bearish moves to the downside one would want to take profit, alternatively one can target the pole of the flag for taking profit +17% which would be around R146 resistance. Consistently taking profit is good for one’s trading and investing journey. Capital gains in short term will allow exploiting bigger wins later in the journey.
Discovery - Back for another dipAfter the last post where i cautioned being long on the stock, price pulled back and found support at the 200dma
The stock has returned to the same resistance zone and i will be looking for shorts up to R146 with a stop above R148 swing high
Initial target will be test of the 200dma again at R135
$JSEDSY - Discovery Ltd: Five Waves Almost Complete, What Now?Discovery did discover some buyers as per the previous analysis, link below.
Looking at the move from 10073, it looks like the stock is making its fifth and final move up to complete an impulsive move.
Wave(iii) in only 1.236*wave(i) so there is potential for wave(v) to be extended.
Longs opened at current prices should use 13194 as a stop-loss level.