Merafe reached the first target at 113c now down to 73c?First, Merafe hit our target at R1.00.
This was due to a Box Formation which the price broke below. Also above the Box Range was Buy Side LIquidity, where Smart Monet came up and swept and sold into the levels.
This brought the price down and then some.
Inv Cup and Handle formed on Merafe. And the price has broken below the brim level.
Also the price is testing a crucial support around 100.
Below that and it'll come down further.
200>21>7
RSI<50
Mt next target for the ferrochrome giant is to 73c.
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Merafe Resources Limited, commonly known as Merafe, is a South African mining company primarily focused on the production of ferrochrome.
The company was established in 2001 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Merafe operates in partnership with Glencore in a joint venture known as the Glencore-Merafe Chrome Venture. The partnership holds interests in various ferrochrome assets in South Africa.
Ferrochrome is a key ingredient in the production of stainless steel and other alloy steels, providing them with corrosion resistance and other desirable properties.
Merafe's primary asset is the Glencore-Merafe Chrome Venture, which includes the Wonderkop, Rustenburg, and Lydenburg smelters in South Africa.
The Wonderkop smelter, located in the North West province of South Africa, is one of the largest ferrochrome smelters in the world.
Merafe's operations involve the mining of chrome ore, which is then processed into ferrochrome through a smelting process. The company also has an interest in chrome ore reserves and resources.
The Glencore-Merafe Chrome Venture has a significant market presence and is one of the world's largest ferrochrome producers.
MRF trade ideas
Merafe in a Range Bounded area - Neutral outlook until breakRange bounded has been the overall trend for Merafe.
It seems like there is just a fight between the bulls and the bears.
We can only assume the price is most likely to break up due to the previous momentum.
I will only wait for a break above or below the range before acting upon.
MAs are all close confirming the sideways movement.
SMC:
There needs to be a break above the Buy Side LIquidity in order for the bulls to really take over. But right now it's a selling zone for Smart Money which goes hand in hand with the range box.
Merafe showing strong downside due to M Formation and SMC M Formation formed on Daily, which the price broke below.
21>7- Bearish
Price <200 - Bearish
RSI <50 lower highs
Target R1.08
SMC
Buy Side Liquidity Order Block formed which was at the top of the M Formation.
This is where Smart Money comes in and sweeps buying liquidity from buyers going long and shorters getting stopped.
Merafe showing downside to test R1.00 again read fundamentalsM Formation formed on the daily
and we are just waiting for the price to break below the neckline.
21>7- Bearish
Price <200 - Bearish
RSI <50 lower highs
Target R1.08
CONCERNS:
Many resource companies are showing downside to come. It seems like smart money knows something the public doesn't. This corresponds to the strengthening dollar. Ever since the US dollar started strengthening in February 2023, Resources markets have been showing volatility with no conviction of upside.
Economically speaking for Merafe, the price of ferrochrome (Which is used in the production of stainless steel) is denominated in US dollars, which means that changes in the value of the dollar can impact the price of ferrochrome.
This is because a stronger dollar makes it more expensive for buyers in other countries to purchase ferrochrome, as they need to exchange their own currency for US dollars in order to make the purchase.
This can lead to a decrease in demand for ferrochrome, which can put downward pressure on the price.
Additionally, a stronger dollar can make it less profitable for ferrochrome producers in countries with weaker currencies to sell their products on the global market. This can lead to a drop in supply of ferrochrome, which can also put downward pressure on the price.
Merafe Analysis on track to R1.66 and about the companyThe Cup and handle formed, broke above the Brim Level and now looks like it's heading on up.
The price above the 200MA is the first time since Sep 2022...
Target 1 at R145.
Target 2 R1.66
ABOUT
Merafe Resources is a mining giant company that was founded in 2005 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.
The company's primary focus is on the production of ferrochrome, which is used in the production of stainless steel.
Merafe Resources operates in partnership with mining giant Glencore, with the two companies jointly owning and operating the Glencore-Merafe Chrome Venture.
The Glencore-Merafe Chrome Venture is one of the world's largest producers of ferrochrome, with operations in South Africa, Kazakhstan, and Australia.
It has a market capitalization of over R2 billion as of February 2023.
Ferrochrome which is used in the production of stainless steel makes products like:
Stainless steel cutlery, Kitchen appliances, Construction materials, Medical instruments (Surgical tools and implants), Jewelry (e.g. watches)
Aerospace components (engine parts and turbine equipment), Electronics and the list goes on...
Merafe ready for further upside to R1.66New Cup and handle has formed on Merafe as well as a strong uptrend channel.
Target 1 at R145. Target 2 R1.66
Price is about to cross above the 200MA as it is preparing for upside.
Bullish bias but will need the price to break above the 200MA before any action to be taken.
Merafe heading to target 1 and already have Target 2 in mind New Cup and handle has formed on Merafe following the Old one in 2022
Target 1 at R145 and now a new target of R1.66
Price >200MA first time since Sep 2022
Some info on Merafe
Merafe Resources is a South African company that is primarily engaged in the mining and production of ferrochrome, which is an alloy of chrome and iron used in the production of stainless steel.
Resources is on a nice uptrend in the start of the year including AGL, BHG, ANG, GOLD and JSE:RES. Which I am long pretty much all of them.
Now since 2003, I have had a secret with Merafe. I buy at 60 cents and sell at R1.20... I've been doing it ever since and it's worked like an absolute charm. Touch wood though now that you know my secrets!
JSEMRF heading to 200MA at R1.45Cup and handle formed on Merafe. This is a short /medium term trade.
We can see the gap down is likely and ready to close.
The first price target will be at 200MA to R1.45
We also have the resource sector dominating the JSE All Share Index. AGL, ANG, HAR, EXX, KIO all looking bullish, which will help push up the Ferrochrome price along with the metals.
MERAFE Chart - RequestMerafe is currently in a sideways consolidation period and the chart remains constructive as price holds the blue 50 day moving average .
R1.80 then R2.00 remain initial targets while the swing low of R1.50 is intact.
-- MANAGE YOUR RISK - -
Disclaimer: All ideas are my opinion and should not be taken as financial advice.
MerafeThe share was ex-dividend last week, and that how we ended up with that 'dividend gap' there.
Technically, these gaps usually get filled.
Interestingly we also have a gap to the downside, roughly between 140c and 148c, that was never filled.
As for which gap will be filled 1st, there is no way of telling.
Overall, for buying purposes, I'm provisionally looking at the 150c area, that is, I would want that gap to close 1st before initiating the next 'buy'.
MerafeReceived a query on the name, so I thought I'd also update it here:
Merafe Resources MRF - Now trading 190c, this is another name which our analysis managed flag in February of last year at 61c.
Strong run over 1 and 2 years. Possibly some resistance around these highs. My view is that with the strong advance, the reward to risk is less favorable than in previous months though I'd use retracements to look for an entry.
Original Idea and Recent Follow Up Attached
Merafe - Long Idea Now +145% Over 12 MonthsOriginal Long Idea (2-Feb-2021) Attached, Based On Weekly Chart Analysis.
Current: 163c vs 61c at the time.
Comment at the time as follows: "Briefly, signal received on daily chart however zooming out, the weekly appears promising with the price looking to emerge from a 12-month base. Also noting the weekly RSI at the highest level in 2 1/2 years (60, bullish ) while the monthly RSI is starting to rise and trades at 44, suggesting room to advance over the long term."
'There are winners in the weeklies...'
Lets see what's next...