OMN.JSE Omnia - Potential Buy Zone. Double Bottom?Omnia is at a Potential Buy Zone & Double Bottom?
This is only for those Risk On Investors looking for a possible +20% Upside should the bottom hold and reverse.
Remains Speculative.
As always, please get a few outside Expert's Advice before taking Trade or Investment Decisions.
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Regards Graham.
OMN trade ideas
Our opinion on the current state of Omnia (OMN) is a diversified chemicals company supplying products to the agricultural, chemicals, and mining industries in South Africa and 48 other countries. The Agricultural division is the leader in fertilizers in Southern Africa, supplying granular, liquid, and specialty fertilizers in Southern Africa, Eastern Africa, Australia, New Zealand, and Brazil. The mining division is a leading supplier of explosives in South Africa, Mali, Swaziland, Sierra Leone, Malawi, Senegal, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Mozambique, and the DRC. The chemicals division manufactures and distributes specialty, functional, and effect chemicals and polymers across the African continent.
The company derives most of its revenue from agriculture (fertilizers) and mining (explosives). In its efforts to diversify away from the South African economy, Omnia acquired Oro Agri in America for $100m and Umongo Petroleum for R780m. Additionally, they commenced constructing a R630m nitro phosphate plant in Sasolburg.
Omnia's performance is closely linked to the general performance of the South African economy. The company is well-managed and grows consistently through acquisitions and organically, although it operates in challenging markets, making it difficult to sustain high profit margins. It remains a relatively risky investment due to its dependence on commodity prices and the agricultural sector, though both have recently performed well.
In its results for the six months to 30th September 2024, the company reported revenue up 5% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 2%. The company said, "Operating profit grew by 17%, supported by enhanced operational efficiency and improved margins. This performance highlights the success of our diversification strategy and the strength of both the Mining and Agriculture businesses."
Technically, the share has been in a downward trend since its peak in May 2022. We recommended waiting for it to break up through its long-term downward trendline, which occurred on 18th June 2024 at 6087c. The share has since moved up to 6579c.
Our opinion on the current state of OMNIA(OMN)Omnia (OMN) is a diversified chemicals company supplying products to the agricultural, chemicals, and mining industries in South Africa and 48 other countries. The Agricultural division is the leader in fertilizers in Southern Africa, supplying granular, liquid, and specialty fertilizers in Southern Africa, Eastern Africa, Australia, New Zealand, and Brazil. The mining division is the leading supplier of explosives in South Africa, Mali, Swaziland, Sierra Leone, Malawi, Senegal, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Mozambique, and the DRC. The chemicals division manufactures and distributes specialty, functional, and effect chemicals and polymers operating throughout the African continent.
The company gets most of its sales from agriculture for fertilizers and the mining industry for explosives. In its efforts to diversify away from the South African economy, OMN acquired Oro Agri in America for $100 million and Umongo Petroleum for R780 million. They also commenced the construction of a R630 million nitro phosphate plant at Sasolburg.
Omnia's performance reflects the general performance of the South African economy. It has been very well managed and grows consistently by acquisition and organically, but it operates in very tough markets where it has become difficult to make good profits. It is a relatively risky investment and dependent on commodity prices and agriculture, both of which have done well.
In its results for the year to 31st March 2024, the company reported revenue down 16% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) down 6%. The agriculture division saw turnover down 22%, mining down 3%, and chemicals down 23%. The company said, "Since raising capital of R2.0 billion in FY20, we have settled debt in excess of R4.0 billion, invested R2.8 billion in capex and returned R4.3 billion to shareholders."
Technically, the share has been in a downward trend since its peak in May 2022. We recommend waiting for it to break up through its long-term downward trendline, which may occur fairly soon. Given its strategic moves and financial management, Omnia could present a good investment opportunity once it shows signs of technical recovery. However, potential investors should be aware of the inherent risks associated with its dependency on commodity prices and agricultural performance.
$JSEOMN - Omnia: 5186 Under Pressure, Will It Hold?See link below for previous analysis.
Price has pulled back sharply after reaching 6655 cps.
The invalidation level of the bullish outlook at 5186 is under pressure but still holding.
What is a positive sign of a potential reversal is the reverse (hidden) divergence as the MACD has made a new low relative to the 2023 low but price has not.
I am neutral-to-bullish and will become more bullish once price pushes beyond 6000 cps without first breaking below 5186.
$JSEOMN - Omnia: Breakout Looks GoodSee link below for previous analysis.
Omnia stock has held up steady after breaking out of the falling wedge.
The MACD has a double convergence signal which is bullish and the MACD has held up above the zero line much longer than the previous two instances when it was above zero.
5186 is the invalidation level and buy the dips is the strategy above 5186
Our opinion on the current state of OMNOmnia (OMN) is a diversified chemicals company supplying products to the agricultural, chemicals and mining industries in South Africa and 48 other countries. The Agricultural division is the leader in fertilizers in Southern Africa. It supplies granular, liquid and speciality fertilizers in Southern Africa, Eastern Africa, Australia, New Zealand, and Brazil. The mining division is the leading supplier of explosives in South Africa, Mali, Swaziland, Sierra Leone, Malawi, Senegal, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Mozambique, and the DRC. The chemicals division is a manufacturer and distributor of speciality, functional and effect chemicals and polymers operating throughout the African continent. The company gets most of its sales from agriculture for fertilizers and the mining industry for explosives. In its efforts to diversify away from the South African economy, OMN acquired Oro Agri in America for $100m and Umongo Petroleum for R780m. They also commenced the construction of a R630m nitro phosphate plant at Sasolburg. This company's performance reflects the general performance of the South African economy. It has been very well managed and grows consistently by acquisition and organically, but it is in very tough markets where it has become difficult to make good profits. It is a relatively risky investment and dependent on commodity prices and agriculture - but both of which have done well. In its results for the six months to 30th September 2023 the company reported mining revenue down 6% and chemicals revenue decreased by 24%. The company said, "Our results are characterised by a continued declining commodity cycle with a recovery in the latter part of the reporting period following two years of higher prices. As a consequence, revenue and profitability declined". Headline earnings per share (HEPS) fell 4%. Technically, we suggested waiting until the share broke up through its 200-day moving average which happened on 11th September 2020 at 2775c. It has since moved up to 6136c.
Our opinion on the current state of OMNOmnia (OMN) is a diversified chemicals company supplying products to the agricultural, chemicals and mining industries in South Africa and 48 other countries. The Agricultural division is the leader in fertilizers in Southern Africa. It supplies granular, liquid and speciality fertilizers in Southern Africa, Eastern Africa, Australia, New Zealand, and Brazil. The mining division is the leading supplier of explosives in South Africa, Mali, Swaziland, Sierra Leone, Malawi, Senegal, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Mozambique, and the DRC. The chemicals division is a manufacturer and distributor of speciality, functional and effect chemicals and polymers operating throughout the African continent. The company gets most of its sales from agriculture for fertilizers and the mining industry for explosives. In its efforts to diversify away from the South African economy, OMN acquired Oro Agri in America for $100m and Umongo Petroleum for R780m. They also commenced the construction of a R630m nitro phosphate plant at Sasolburg. This company's performance reflects the general performance of the South African economy. It has been very well managed and grows consistently by acquisition and organically, but it is in very tough markets where it has become difficult to make good profits. It is a relatively risky investment and dependent on commodity prices and agriculture - but both of which have done well. In its results for the year to 31st March 2023 the company reported revenue up 24% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 10%. The company said, "Agriculture Revenue increased 31% to R14 694 million - Operating profit increased 2% to R1 248 million. Mining Revenue increased 28% to R8 533 million - Operating profit increased 54% to R790 million". In a voluntary trading statement for the six months to 30th September 2023 the company estimated that HEPS for continuing operations would fall by between 2% and 12%. Technically, we suggested waiting until the share broke up through its 200-day moving average which happened on 11th September 2020 at 2775c. It has since moved up to 5700c.
Omnia JSE Latest Trend.Omnia Holdings has recently shown some +10% Upside after the 50>200 EMA's Swapped.
A few other Indicators also "Show" this. I was going to say predicted - but must never use this dangerous transitive verb.
Anyway, use this Chart for Education Purposes.
On the Trend Cloud I've' shown the Light Green as +ve UP. And the Yellow -ve DOWN Ya Lose.
Smash the Rocket Boost Button if you like my Study.
Regards Graham.
Bears for Omnia Holdings Ltd may still be in the game.JSE:OMN had an eventful 2022 and managed to rally to highs of R87.75. The stock however ended the year on a lower note as it completed the right shoulder of a H/S pattern it had started painting from September 2021. Beginning of 2023 saw the H/S structure getting broken to the downside and price has since continued forming lower highs and lower lows.
Looking at the current price action, both the 50 Week EMA and neckline of the broken H/S structure were retested mid June 2023 and a bearish engulfing candle confirmed the bearish outlook of the stock. There is a liquidity area between R57.40 and R59.85 that price tested last week and closed with a small bearish candle. Taking into account that this week's candle has not yet closed, anticipation is that it also closes bearish on Friday as confirmation of overall bearishness towards the stock.
To the downside, support targets are R50.00, R37.00, R23.60 and R14.50.
The instrument is currently trading below the 50 Week EMA and has maintained it as resistance since breaking the neckline of the "Head and Shoulders" structure. Only above R65.00 will the current bearish sentiment be off the table and conservative long positions can be looked for.
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$JSEOMN - Omnia: 5434 Invalidated, Now What?Omnia bulls could not sustain buying pressure and price has traded below 5434, invalidating the outlook shared on 27.06.2023, link below.
The overall structure from 1250, the March 2020 low, still looks bullish and the correction from 8775 still looks like a falling wedge that is still making lower highs and lower lows.
I will sit on my hands for now and monitor price at the lower trendline.
$JSEOMN - Omnia: Bullish Wedge Breakout, MACD/Price ConvergenceOn 19.06.2023 Omnia released a good set of FY23 results.
Revenue: +24%
Operating Profit: +19%
HEPS: +10%
NAV: +2%
The share has experienced a 1 year bear market, down 38% from the June 2022 peak of 8775 to the recent low of 5434.
During this period, price has been contained in a falling wedge pattern, which is generally bullish once there is a clear breakout.
What is further encouraging is that the MACD has been making higher lows as price kept making lower lows creating bullish convergence indicating that selling momentum is waning.
The share caught a bid at 5434 and in the short-term this is the critical stop-loss level.
Omnia C& tiny H and broken downtrend - heading up to R70.70Cup and Handle formed on Omnia with a tiny little handle.
The type of handle you hold when you go to an Italian coffee shop or the ones you buy at a Nespresso.
You hold it all awkwardly and you act like you're comfortable.
Ye that handle!
The price has broken it's downtrend after months of plummet. And now is showing strong signs of upside.
We have moving averages looking quite good.
7>21- Bullish
Price>200 - Extra bullish
Target R70.70
ABOUT THE COMPANY
Omnia Holdings Limited is a diversified chemicals group that supplies chemicals and specialized services and solutions for the agriculture, mining, and chemical application industries.
Not sure how it got its name but Omnia is a Latin word meaning "all" or "every."
The name could represent the diverse range of services and products the company offers across multiple sectors, essentially serving "all" or "every" sector of the industries it operates in. Think of Omnipresent, Omniscient, Omnivore, Omnibus.
Founding: Omnia was established in 1953 in South Africa.
Public Listing: Omnia was listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) in 1980.
Global Presence: The company operates in more than 30 countries, including Africa, Australasia, Brazil, and China.
Divisions: Omnia has three main divisions: Agriculture, Mining, and Chemicals.
Agriculture Division: This division offers specialized products and services for various agricultural applications, including crop nutrition, seeds, and plant health.
Mining Division: The Mining division offers commercial explosives, blasting solutions, and associated services for the mining industry.
Chemicals Division: This division supplies a range of industrial chemicals and polymers.
Sustainability: Omnia has a strong commitment to sustainability and responsible business practices, including the responsible use of natural resources.
Innovation: The company has a focus on innovation, with its new Nutriology® concept, which involves the science of growing by enhancing the efficiency of crop nutrient use.
Research & Development: Omnia has its own R&D facilities to develop new products and technologies.
Employees: Omnia employs over 4,500 people worldwide.
Omnia Holdings update still coming down to R54.82Head and Shoulders formed last year and the pattern is still in tact.
SInce the breakdown there has been a strong range bounded formation which has made this trade very lacklustre to hold.
Now that it's broken below the rectangle shows a more promising move to the original target.
200 >21>7
Target R54.82
ABOUT OMN
Omnia Holdings is a South African chemicals and fertilizer company that was founded in 1953.
The company operates in over 50 countries, with a focus on Africa, Europe, and South America.
Omnia has three main business segments: agriculture, mining, and chemicals.
The company's agriculture division provides a wide range of crop nutrients and plant protection products to farmers.
Omnia's mining division supplies explosives and blasting services to the mining industry.
The chemicals division produces and markets a variety of chemicals, including acids, alkalis, and organic and inorganic compounds.
#OMN - Omnia consolidating in triangle continuationOmnia seems to be consolidating in a healthy fashion in the form of a triangle continuation pattern. Good chance in this resolving higher and your stops can be pretty tight on this. Triangle breakout could see it move to approx R95 so not a bad risk reward trade here.
OMNPreviously recommended as a long in Sept 2021 at ~5300c, recently traded as high as 8775c. Has since retreated to the early R60's
'Near oversold' on both daily & weekly time frames. Trading at lower boundary of 200-day linear regression channel (2.5x). In addition, has retreated to horizontal support. Looking for base to develop at or around current levels before potential bullish reversal.
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(This chart was part of a broader research note published to client earlier today).