Momentum-shift for Sephaku Holdings signals buyers' interest. Sephaku Holdings Limited had a taste of gravity in April 2015 when it tumbled from highs of R10.22 and went headfirst to smell lows of 23c by June 2020. The stock consolidated to close the week of the 11th of October 2021 at R2.06.
From this point we saw interested buyers closing the coming weeks in a “cup and handle pattern”, effectively printing a higher swing low and closing higher than R2.06 in September 2024 at R2.64.
Price is currently in the handle of the pattern, trading in a steep flag above the 49 Week EMA, currently resting at R1.68.
After closing the week of 02 December 2024 at R1.94, we expected the stock to pullback and retest the R1.68 zone before moving higher and that was achieved now in Jan 2025.
Recommended BUY positions can be initiated by using limit orders, or waiting to see a bullish reaction at the 49 Week EMA.
Entry – R1.68
Stop Loss: R1.56
Target 1: R2.99
Target 2: R3.63
Target 3: R4.08
A Weekly close above R4.65 could see the stock reach R5.24 and R6.42.
Below R1.55 the stock will call sellers to have a party and may plumet to 38c.
SEP trade ideas
Our opinion on the current state of SEPHAKU(SEP)Sephaku (SEP) operates within South Africa's construction materials sector, focusing on ready-mixed cement products and other cement supplies for the industry. The company owns 100% of Metier Mixed Concrete and holds a 36% stake in Sepcem, with Dangote owning the remaining 64%. Sephaku's performance is closely tied to the state of the construction industry, which has faced challenges in recent years.
In its financial results for the year ending 31st March 2024, Sephaku reported an 18.6% increase in revenue and a rise in headline earnings per share (HEPS) to 25.71 cents from 9.66 cents in the previous year. The company highlighted that Métier had repaid its term loan, replacing it with an unutilized overdraft facility by the end of FY 2024. To support its fleet and loader renewal program, instalment sales liabilities increased to R65 million, compared to R47 million in the prior year. Finance charges saw a reduction from R13.3 million to R11.6 million, driven by a decrease in total debt.
In its trading statement for the six months ending 30th September 2024, Sephaku projected a HEPS increase of between 72% and 87%, noting improved performance from Sephaku Cement and steady results from Métier Mixed Concrete. While the share has experienced a decline and sideways movement since October 2021, it is showing signs of stabilization, finding support around 85 cents. Given its current trading volume averaging R220,000 per day, it remains a feasible option for private investors, especially as it trends upward following the latest results.
Our opinion on the current state of SEPHAKU(SEP)Sephaku (SEP) is a construction materials business in South Africa, supplying ready-mixed cement products and cement to the construction industry. The group consists of 100% of Metier Mixed Concrete and 36% of associate company Sepcem, with the remaining 64% held by Dangote. Sephaku is directly impacted by the difficulties in the construction industry.
In its results for the six months to 30th September 2023, the company reported revenue up 19.7% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) of 7.54c compared with 11.26c in the previous period. The company said, "While the year-on-year value of residential buildings passed declined during 2023, activity on civil construction projects and non-residential buildings increased. The rising cost of essential goods and services, coupled with higher interest rates, continued to erode the disposable income of consumers, maintaining pressure on the retail market."
In a trading statement for the year to 31st March 2024, the company estimated that HEPS would be between 24.5c and 26c compared to 9.98c in the previous year. The company said, "Métier Mixed Concrete (Pty) Ltd ("Métier") and Dangote Cement SA (Pty) Ltd ("Sephaku Cement") both demonstrated resilience and agility in maintaining market share, and Métier delivered strong growth in revenue and profit."
The share was in an upward trend from July 2020 until October 2021 but has been falling and moving sideways since. It has R818,000 worth of shares changing hands on average each day, making it practical for the private investor. Although volatile, it appears to have found some support at around 85c and has begun moving up on its latest results.
Our opinion on the current state of SEPSephaku (SEP) is a construction materials business in South Africa which supplies ready-mixed cement products and cement to the construction industry. The group consists of 100% of Metier Mixed Concrete and 36% of associate company Sepcem where the remaining 64% is held by Dangote. Obviously, Sephaku is directly impacted by the difficulties in the construction industry. In its results for the six months to 30th September 2023 the company reported revenue up 19,7% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) of 7,54c compared with 11,26c in the previous period. The company said, "While the year-on-year value of residential buildings passed declined during 2023, activity on civil construction projects and non-residential buildings increased. The rising cost of essential goods and services, coupled with higher interest rates, continued to erode the disposable income of consumers, maintaining pressure on the retail market". The share was in an upward trend from July 2020 until October 2021, but has been falling and moving sideways since. It has R133 000 shares changing hands on average each day making it practical for the private investor. Although volatile, it appears to have found some support at around 85c.
Our opinion on the current state of SEPSephaku (SEP) is a construction materials business in South Africa which supplies ready-mixed cement products and cement to the construction industry. The group consists of 100% of Metier Mixed Concrete and 36% of associate company Sepcem where the remaining 64% is held by Dangote. Obviously, Sephaku is directly impacted by the difficulties in the construction industry. In its results for the year to 31st March 2023 the company reported revenue of R981m compared to R786m in the previous year. Headline earnings per share (HEPS) were 9,98c compared with 17,67c in the previous year. The company said, “The Group’s FY 2023 performance was mixed. Métier and SepCem both demonstrated resilience and agility in maintaining market share, and Métier delivered strong growth in revenue and profit. But deteriorating economic conditions and persistent challenges in the cement industry impacted SepCem’s financial performance". In a trading statement for the six months to 30th September 2023 the company estimated that HEPS would fall by between 27% and 35%. The share was in an upward trend from July 2020 until October 2021, but has been falling and moving sideways since. It has R133 000 shares changing hands on average each day making it practical for the private investor. Although volatile, it appears to have found some support at around 85c.