Our opinion on the current state of SANLAM(SLM)Sanlam (SLM) is one of the largest insurance and financial services groups in South Africa. It was established in 1918, demutualised in 1998, and then listed on the JSE and the Namibian Stock Exchange. It has operations in South Africa, the UK, America, Europe, India, and Australia, as well as a range of other African countries. Its product range includes general insurance, life insurance, asset management, banking, credit, health, and bancassurance.
The business has four essential elements:
1. Sanlam Investment Holdings (SIH) - now 25% owned by African Rainbow Capital.
2. Sanlam Emerging Markets - which includes its 84.5% interest in Saham.
3. Sanlam Personal Finance.
4. Santam - in which it owns 61%.
Outside of South Africa, it has operations in 11 other African countries and Malaysia. Saham has operations in 33 French-speaking countries with 3,000 staff members operating out of 700 branches, offering a similar product mix to Sanlam. Sanlam also owns 26% of Shriram, a leading provider of insurance products and financial services in India. It also made a deal to acquire 69% of Catalyst Fund Managers, a Cape-based manager of listed property assets, and 100% of an Irish company, CIG Fund Management.
About 50% of Sanlam's profits come from its personal finance operation, which is primarily based inside South Africa. It is therefore impacted by the low levels of consumer spending in this country as well as the economic recession. Sanlam is 18% black-owned and has initiated a partnership with African Rainbow Capital (ARC), in which it intends to focus on lower- and middle-income consumers and small companies. Sanlam will provide R2bn of seed capital.
On 14th June 2021, the company announced that it had acquired the Alexander Forbes group risk and retail life business for R100m. The company announced that, like Discovery, it would require employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19 from 2022.
In its results for the six months to 30th June 2024, the company reported headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 40%. The company said, "The group's earnings momentum continued, growing net result from financial services (NRFFS) by 14%, reflecting strong trading performances across our businesses. Our life and health insurance operations grew net results from financial services by 14%, general insurance reported a 16% rise, investment management performance was satisfactory with 10% growth, while the group's credit and structuring operations recorded growth of 9%. NRFFS per share increased by 19% due to a lower adjusted weighted average number of shares in 2024 relative to 2023."
In a trading statement for the year to 31st December 2024, the company estimated that HEPS would increase by between 30% and 40%.
Sanlam is one of the JSE's foremost blue-chip shares with a history of steady growth over a long period of time. After recovering somewhat from the fall in markets due to the coronavirus pandemic, it is currently trading on a P:E of 10.55. We consider it to be good value at these levels.
In a joint announcement on 18th June 2024, Sanlam agreed to buy 60% of MultiChoice’s insurance business for R1.2bn in cash.
SLM trade ideas
Our opinion on the current state of SANLAM(SLM)Sanlam (SLM) is one of the largest and most established insurance and financial services groups in South Africa, with a rich history dating back to 1918. The company demutualised in 1998 and is listed on both the JSE and the Namibian Stock Exchange. Sanlam has a wide range of operations spanning South Africa, the UK, the USA, Europe, India, Australia, and several African countries. Its product offerings include general insurance, life insurance, asset management, banking, credit, health, and bancassurance.
Sanlam's business is divided into four key divisions:
1. Sanlam Investment Holdings (SIH) – Now 25% owned by African Rainbow Capital.
2. Sanlam Emerging Markets – This includes an 84.5% stake in Saham, which operates in 33 French-speaking countries.
3. Sanlam Personal Finance – This is a core area contributing about 50% of Sanlam's profits, primarily focusing on the South African market.
4. Santam – Sanlam owns a 61% stake in Santam, the largest short-term insurer in South Africa.
Sanlam also has international interests, including a 26% stake in Shriram, a prominent provider of insurance products in India, and various other investments in the UK, Ireland, and Malaysia. Saham is a significant part of its African operations, with 3,000 staff members across 700 branches.
The company's partnership with African Rainbow Capital (ARC) is aimed at growing its presence in the lower- and middle-income markets, with Sanlam providing R2 billion in seed capital for these efforts. This partnership is expected to help expand its business to underserved markets.
In its financial results for the six months ending 30th June 2024, Sanlam reported a strong performance with headline earnings per share (HEPS) rising by 40%. The company showed solid growth across its core businesses, with net result from financial services (NRFFS) up 14%, driven by a 14% rise in life and health insurance, 16% in general insurance, 10% in investment management, and 9% in credit and structuring operations. This reflects broad-based operational strength and earnings momentum.
Sanlam continues to be one of the JSE's blue-chip stocks, with a long track record of consistent growth. Its current price-to-earnings (P:E) ratio of 12.17 makes it an attractive value proposition at current levels, especially as it continues to expand its operations both locally and internationally.
On 18th June 2024, Sanlam announced a significant acquisition, agreeing to buy 60% of Multichoice's insurance business for R1.2 billion in cash. This deal should further bolster its insurance operations and provide new opportunities for growth.
Our opinion on the current state of SANLAM(SLM)Sanlam (SLM) is one of the largest insurance and financial services groups in South Africa, with a rich history dating back to its establishment in 1918. The company demutualised in 1998 and subsequently listed on both the JSE and the Namibian Stock Exchange. Sanlam operates across multiple geographies, including South Africa, the UK, America, Europe, India, Australia, and various African countries. Its extensive product range covers general insurance, life insurance, asset management, banking, credit, health, and bancassurance.
The business is organized into four key divisions:
1. Sanlam Investment Holdings (SIH): Now 25% owned by African Rainbow Capital.
2. Sanlam Emerging Markets: This includes its 84.5% interest in Saham, a leading insurer in French-speaking African countries.
3. Sanlam Personal Finance: Primarily based in South Africa, this division contributes about 50% of the company's profits.
4. Santam: In which Sanlam owns a 61% stake.
Sanlam’s operations outside of South Africa span 11 other African countries and Malaysia. Saham, its subsidiary, operates in 33 French-speaking countries, employing 3,000 staff members across 700 branches and offering a similar product mix to Sanlam. The company also owns a 26% stake in Shriram, a prominent insurance and financial services provider in India. Additionally, Sanlam has acquired 69% of Catalyst Fund Managers, a Cape Town-based manager of listed property assets, and 100% of CIG Fund Management, an Irish company.
Sanlam’s South African operations are significantly impacted by the low levels of consumer spending and the country's economic recession. The company is 18% black-owned and has partnered with African Rainbow Capital (ARC) to focus on lower- and middle-income consumers and small businesses. Sanlam committed R2 billion in seed capital for this partnership. On 14th June 2021, Sanlam acquired the Alexander Forbes group risk and retail life business for R100 million. Additionally, the company announced that it would require its employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19 starting in 2022, similar to Discovery.
In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023, Sanlam reported a net result from financial services up 26% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 118%. The company noted that cash net results from financial services increased by 30%, with broad-based improvements across all divisions, including a 38% increase in net results from general insurance and a 28% increase in life insurance.
In an operational update for the nine months to 30th September 2023, Sanlam reported new business volumes up 13% and operational earnings up 35%. The group maintained a strong solvency position, with a solvency cover ratio of 170%. A trading statement for the year to 31st December 2023 estimated that HEPS would increase by between 43% and 53%, driven by higher investment returns on the shareholder capital portfolio.
Further, in an update for the three months to 31st March 2024, the company reported a 14% increase in cash flow and a 15% increase in investment returns. A trading statement for the six months to 30th June 2024 estimated that HEPS would rise by between 35% and 45%, highlighting strong growth across all lines of business, particularly in life and general insurance.
Sanlam is recognized as one of the JSE's foremost blue-chip shares, with a history of steady growth. After recovering somewhat from the market declines caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, the stock is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 12.69, which is considered good value at these levels. In a joint announcement on 18th June 2024, Sanlam agreed to acquire 60% of Multichoice's insurance business for R1.2 billion in cash, further expanding its footprint in the financial services sector.
$JSESLM - Sanlam: More Upside PotentialSee link below for previous analysis.
I have made a minor adjustment to the wave count with wave 3 terminating at the March high.
The stock looks to be unfolding in a five wave impulse from 6150 cps and is currently in the third wave of wave 5 of (3).
Buy the dips.
Our opinion on the current state of SANLAM(SLM)Sanlam (SLM) is one of the largest insurance and financial services groups in South Africa. It was established in 1918 and demutualised in 1998, subsequently listing on the JSE and the Namibian Stock Exchange. The company operates in South Africa, the UK, America, Europe, India, Australia, and a range of other African countries. Its product range includes general insurance, life insurance, asset management, banking, credit, health, and bancassurance.
The business has four essential elements:
1. Sanlam Investment Holdings (SIH) - now 25% owned by African Rainbow Capital
2. Sanlam Emerging Markets - which includes its 84.5% interest in Saham
3. Sanlam Personal Finance
4. Santam - in which it owns 61%
Outside of South Africa, Sanlam has operations in 11 other African countries and Malaysia. Saham operates in 33 French-speaking countries with 3,000 staff members across 700 branches, offering a product mix similar to Sanlam's. Sanlam also owns 26% of Shriram, a leading provider of insurance products and financial services in India. Additionally, it acquired 69% of Catalyst Fund Managers, a Cape-based manager of listed property assets, and 100% of an Irish company, CIG Fund Management.
About 50% of Sanlam's profits come from its personal finance operation primarily based in South Africa. Consequently, it is impacted by low levels of consumer spending and the economic recession in the country. Sanlam is 18% black-owned and has initiated a partnership with African Rainbow Capital (ARC) to focus on lower- and middle-income consumers and small companies. Sanlam will provide R2bn of seed capital for this initiative.
On 14th June 2021, the company announced that it had acquired the Alexander Forbes group risk and retail life business for R100m. Furthermore, Sanlam announced that, like Discovery, it would require employees to be vaccinated against COVID-19 from 2022.
In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023, the company reported the net result from financial services up 26% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 118%. The company said, "Cash net results from financial services increased by 30%, while net results from financial services increased by 26%. The improved performance was broad-based. Net result from financial services from our general insurance line of business increased by 38%, life insurance by 28% and credit and structuring by 36%."
In an operational update for the nine months to 30th September 2023, the company reported new business volumes up 13% and operational earnings up 35%. The company said, "The solvency position of the group remained strong and within target ranges on 30 September 2023, with a group solvency cover ratio of 170%."
In a trading statement for the year to 31st December 2023, the company estimated that HEPS would increase by between 43% and 53%. The company said, "The higher expected percentage increase in net operational earnings is due to higher investment returns on the shareholder capital portfolio." In an update on the three months to 31st March 2024, the company reported cash flow up 14% and investment returns up 15%.
Sanlam is one of the JSE's foremost blue-chip shares with a history of steady growth over a long period. After recovering somewhat from the fall in markets due to the corona pandemic, it is currently trading on a P:E of 11.86. We consider it to be good value at these levels.
In a joint announcement on 18th June 2024, Sanlam agreed to buy 60% of MultiChoice's insurance business for R1.2bn in cash.
SLMTuesday 21-May-2024.This is a high risk idea thus smaller positions will apply. The share has developed a 'V-shaped' reversal, with aggressive buying in recent weeks, however, the current rating reflects excessively overbought conditions into overhead resistance. Failure to hold the prior session highs would be indicative of a early price weakness and could lead to the start of a topping structure followed by a bearish reversal. As always, traders could consider the following if/when the prices approaches the target: bank/take profit, partially scale out, adjust the stop-loss to protect profits. Time Stop: Wednesday, 28 August 2024.
Entry: 7428
Target: 7015
Stop-loss: 7625
Our opinion on the current state of SANLAM(SLM)Sanlam is a powerhouse in the insurance and financial services industry, not just in South Africa but on a global scale. Established in 1918, it has expanded its operations significantly over the years, now reaching into multiple continents including Africa, Europe, America, and Asia, with particularly strategic operations in the UK, America, Europe, India, Australia, and across several African nations. This extensive geographic footprint underscores its status as one of the most influential and comprehensive providers in the financial and insurance sectors worldwide.
Operational Structure and Strategic Acquisitions:
Sanlam’s business structure is divided into four primary segments:
1. Sanlam Investment Holdings (SIH): A significant portion (25%) of which is owned by African Rainbow Capital.
2. Sanlam Emerging Markets: This includes an 84.5% interest in Saham, a major player with operations in 33 French-speaking countries.
3. Sanlam Personal Finance: This is the biggest contributor to profits, largely focused within South Africa.
4. Santam: Sanlam owns a 61% stake in this South African insurer.
Sanlam’s strategic acquisitions, such as the majority stake in Catalyst Fund Managers and the purchase of Alexander Forbes group risk and retail life business, further demonstrate its aggressive growth strategy and commitment to diversifying its portfolio.
Financial Performance and Market Position:
For the six-month period ending on 30th June 2023, Sanlam reported an impressive increase in net results from financial services by 26% and a dramatic rise in headline earnings per share (HEPS) by 118%. The company’s performance was bolstered across various lines including general insurance, life insurance, and credit structuring.
Further, the nine-month operational update to 30th September 2023 showed new business volumes up by 13% and operational earnings up by 35%, with a robust solvency cover ratio of 170%, reflecting strong financial health and regulatory compliance.
In its latest trading statement for the year ending 31st December 2023, Sanlam projected a significant increase in HEPS of between 43% and 53%, attributed mainly to higher investment returns on the shareholder capital portfolio.
Investment Outlook:
Sanlam has demonstrated a consistent ability to generate robust growth and maintain a solid financial base, making it a compelling choice for investors. With a current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.43, the company is positioned as an attractive investment relative to its past performance and future growth potential. This valuation suggests that Sanlam offers good value, particularly considering its strong recovery post the coronavirus market downturn and its historical performance stability.
Conclusion:
As one of the JSE’s blue-chip stocks, Sanlam represents a substantial investment opportunity, especially for those looking to invest in a company with a broad international presence and a diversified service offering. Its proactive approach to growth through strategic partnerships and acquisitions, combined with a solid track record in financial performance, positions Sanlam as a strong contender for long-term investment.
SLMSLM Sanlam & Sanlam vs Top 40 | On an absolute basis, Sanlam is trading just below multi-year highs, however, having traded in a tight range for several weeks. This is a healthy technical development. On a relative basis, the share is trading near 52-week highs versus the broader markets (Top 40 as a proxy). Also note yesterday's elevated volume. This is a potential swing buy/long (continuation) trade setup.
$SLM - Sanlam: I Count Five Waves, Stock Losing Momentum See link below for previous analysis
Sanlam has had a good run since the last update and has traded as forecasted.
An update of the wave count shows a triangle consolidation for wave 4 and wave 5 looks to be unfolding as an ending diagonal.
The MACD is trending lower as price continues to creep higher. This divergence is a caution that price momentum is waning to the upside.
With the wave count at a mature stage and loss of price momentum, if not already in the stock I would sit on my hands and if already in the stock, use a trailing stop and protect profits.
SANLAM LTD set for a mini drop & a probable rise afterwards.JSE:SLM has been trading sideways between R43.96 and R73.20 from March 2020 after tumbing from its all-time highs of R98.49 in early March 2018. Price just retested the resistance band around R73.20 and has been having a bearish reception since Monday the 18th of December 2023, however price had managed to close last week Friday strongly bullish at R74.31. This could be an indication that the bulls believe SANLAM LTD has to be priced higher.
Looking at the fact that the retest of the resistance band was corrective with a rising wedge, price is forecasted to drop to the 'zone' between R61.50 and R62.10 to see if the bulls still want the stock to climb higher and rebalance price action from the last week of March 2018.
A bullish daily candle close around this zone will be a good sign to go long on the stock and ride the probable +40% gain in price to R89.94. Higher targets to lookout for beyond this rebalance are the all-time high of R98.49 and R116.80.
Bullish sentiments will be off the table when the stock starts to trade and hold well below R60.50.
Sanlam - (SLM) Near Long-term SupportSanlam has a beautiful down channel which has another channel within the bigger channel. The share is seeking a yearly low price. The area it is approaching has a confluence of support where downtrend was halted before as shown by horizontal black lines. How to approach the trade:
1. Watch for price to make a swing low (on daily chart), watching to see reaction where inner channel support meets horizontal support (black lines)
2. Once swing low is confirmed, open a long position or use reaction off support to get in early
3. If risk averse open 50% position & buy the rest when price closes above the blue resistance on a weekly basis
4. If price continues down to COVID lows the 50% remaining can be deployed when price arrives there
5. We would want to hold until test of recent highs which is some 50% up move.
Our opinion on the current state of SLMSanlam (SLM) is one of the largest insurance and financial services groups in South Africa. It was established in 1918 and demutualised in 1998 and then listed on the JSE and the Namibian Stock Exchange. It has operations in South Africa, the UK, America, Europe, India, and Australia as well as a range of other African countries. Its product range includes general insurance, life insurance, asset management, banking, credit, health and bancassurance. The business has four essential elements: 1. Sanlam Investment Holdings (SIH) - now 25% owned by African Rainbow Capital 2. Sanlam Emerging markets - which includes its 84,5% interest in Saham 3. Sanlam Personal Finance 4. Santam - in which it owns 61% Outside of South Africa, it has operations in 11 other African countries and Malaysia. Saham has operations in 33 French-speaking countries with 3000 staff members operating out of 700 branches offering a similar product mix to Sanlam. Sanlam also owns 26% of Shriram which is a leading provider of insurance products and financial services in India. It also made a deal to acquire 69% of Catalyst Fund Managers, a Cape-based manager of listed property assets and 100% of an Irish company, CIG Fund Management. About 50% of Sanlam's profits come from its personal finance operation which is primarily based inside South Africa. It is therefore impacted by the low levels of consumer spending in this country as well as the economic recession. Sanlam is 18% black-owned and has initiated a partnership with African Rainbow Capital (ARC) in which it intends to focus on lower- and middle-income consumers and small companies. Sanlam will provide R2bn of seed capital. On 14th June 2021, the company announced that it had acquired the Alexander Forbes group risk and retail life business for R100m. The company announced that, like Discovery, it will require employees to be vaccinated against COVID19 from 2022. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023 the company reported the net result from financial service up 26% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 118%. The company said, "Cash net results from financial services increased by 30%, while net results from financial services increased by 26%. The improved performance was broad-based. Net result from financial services from our general insurance line of business increased by 38%, life insurance by 28% and credit and structuring by 36%". In an operational update for the 9 months to 30th September 2023 the company reported new business volumes up 13% and operational earnings up 35%. The company said, "The solvency position of the group remained strong and within target ranges on 30 September 2023, with a group solvency cover ratio of 170%". Sanlam is one of the JSE's foremost blue-chip shares with a history of steady growth over a long period of time. After recovering somewhat from the fall in markets due to the corona pandemic it is currently trading on a P:E of 10,93. We consider it to be good value at these levels.
Momentum kicking in for the upside? Since December 2022 Sanlam has been in a steady upward movement. The MACD is making a bullish crossover and the share is +-12% higher than the 200-day SMA, confirms the direction for long.
Direction: Buy
Target: R70.96
Stop loss: R62.71
Risk/Reward: 1.5
Traders/Investors should always make their own analysis, the idea posted is just a guideline. Risk management is always your number one priority.
SLM - Bank/Take ProfitUpdate: Sanlam - Bank/Take Profit on Sell/Short Idea
(Original Idea Attached)
The share is at a 1-month low and is in the money by 4.2% (ungeared) . It is also nearing the full target of 6442c.
Alternatively, traders can:
1) Adjust their stop-loss
2) Scale out of the position as it approaches the full target.
The chart is 'current'.
JSE Life Assurance vs JSE Top 40. Nearing Overbought?The JSE Life Assurance Sector is approaching overbought levels relative to the JSE Top 40 Index. Considering the distance of the ratio chart vs the 200-day SMA, sector trades 13% above the moving average. This is the highest level since 2019 (as far the current data goes back). Why is this chart relevant? For traders who currently hold life insurers or are overweight the sector, the distance vs the 200-day SMA may indicate an overextension and that a pullback from at or around current levels is possible. Alternatively, if for investors who have been overweight the sector, it may be an opportunity to shift to an equal-weight position.
Sanlam: The Bear CaseSanlam daily cycle is seeking a half cycle high on day 17, however we note the following:
1. TSI & RSI are putting negative divergence.
2. The RSI is showing overbought and beginning to turn.
3. Switching to the weekly chart we see overbought conditions as well.
Given the above, the earnings report presents a risk to the downside, the cycle would be confirmed to have turned bearish if price goes below the price of R62.08 or the 18 August low, this is a good entry confirmation.
Our opinion on the current state of SLMSanlam (SLM) is one of the largest insurance and financial services groups in South Africa. It was established in 1918 and demutualised in 1998 and then listed on the JSE and the Namibian Stock Exchange. It has operations in South Africa, the UK, America, Europe, India, and Australia as well as a range of other African countries. Its product range includes general insurance, life insurance, asset management, banking, credit, health and bancassurance. The business has four essential elements: 1. Sanlam Investment Holdings (SIH) - now 25% owned by African Rainbow Capital 2. Sanlam Emerging markets - which includes its 84,5% interest in Saham 3. Sanlam Personal Finance 4. Santam - in which it owns 61% Outside of South Africa, it has operations in 11 other African countries and Malaysia. Saham has operations in 33 French-speaking countries with 3000 staff members operating out of 700 branches offering a similar product mix to Sanlam. Sanlam also owns 26% of Shriram which is a leading provider of insurance products and financial services in India. It also made a deal to acquire 69% of Catalyst Fund Managers, a Cape-based manager of listed property assets and 100% of an Irish company, CIG Fund Management. About 50% of Sanlam's profits come from its personal finance operation which is primarily based inside South Africa. It is therefore impacted by the low levels of consumer spending in this country as well as the economic recession. Sanlam is 18% black-owned and has initiated a partnership with African Rainbow Capital (ARC) in which it intends to focus on lower- and middle-income consumers and small companies. Sanlam will provide R2bn of seed capital. On 14th June 2021, the company announced that it had acquired the Alexander Forbes group risk and retail life business for R100m. The company announced that, like Discovery, it will require employees to be vaccinated against COVID19 from 2022. In its results for the six months to 30th June 2023 the company reported the net result from financial service up 26% and headline earnings per share (HEPS) up 118%. The company said, "Cash net results from financial services increased by 30%, while net results from financial services increased by 26%. The improved performance was broad-based. Net result from financial services from our general insurance line of business increased by 38%, life insurance by 28% and credit and structuring by 36%". Sanlam is one of the JSE's foremost blue-chip shares with a history of steady growth over a long period of time. After recovering somewhat from the fall in markets due to the corona pandemic it is currently trading on a P:E of 14,77. We consider it to be good value at these levels.
UPDATE: Sanlam on its strong uptrend since the breakoutIn the last analysis I mentioned, Sanlam was forming a falling flag.
That was for the buyers and sellers to balance based on the previous phenomenal growth it had.
Since then the price is above the Falling Flag ad is showing even more upside (passed my target).
But we will be generous and do another analysis if it surpasses the first place.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target R74.61
SLMSanlam Ltd (SLM) | The share has advanced strongly, moving into an overbought range, with the 7-day RSI at Friday's close, the 14-day RSI at 71 and the 7 week RSI at 73 at last week's close. While the strength is evident, today's candle formation may have been an early sign of a loss of upside momentum, with the development of a 'dark cloud cover' as well as a close at the lows of the day. The aforementioned points to the potential for a sell/short setup however event risk in the form of earnings due on Thursday 07 September makes the setup slightly complicated as the share could continue it's rally when earnings are reported. Traders who are looking to embrace the opportunity to sell/short could potentially apply smaller-than-average position sizes to reduce the risk of the trade. Note: The short & medium term automated end of day readings are highlighted on the chart below.
Sanlam - Short-Term Bearish ViewLooking at the daily chart, we can see Sanlam forming a descending triangle formation which we can expect to break down or put a break higher then make a round trip on the triangle (Around the Apex) move. The RSI is building negative divergence. As emphasized on the notes to the monthly view, one would have taken profit partially for later deployment on the lows.
Sanlam (SLM) In Time for Weekly DropThe weekly view of Sanlam shows the share is in week 27 & ended the week with a reversal candle. The drop towards weekly cycle low must drop to below the pink upwards slopping support line. Once we reach that point we look for a turn to the upside, however the drop must not go below R46.86. Current price can also be seen to turn away upon hitting the 200 week moving average.