KASUSD trade ideas
Kaspa Vs Eth have finally broken out. Heading to ATH?After a period of DCAing, especially within the green zone (golden pocket), Kaspa had finally set a higher high, and now have broken out above the long-term yellow resistance line.
Orange measured-move line indicates that Kaspa will be heading up to retest the ATH (vs ETH) again.
Here's a zoomed-out view of the long-term support/resistance lines drawn.
Reworked Kaspa Weekly and Daily Cycles using KAS/USDReworked Cycle counts on Kaspa/USD chart
Using Fiance Camels "How to set up Cyvle count on a specific Asset", I reworked the Dailt (DCL) and Weekly (WCL) counts.
DCL form in 60 days (+/- 10%), and there are 5 DCL within the larger WCL (D/WCL-DCL-DCL-DCL-DD/Wcl)
WCLs are ~ 32 WKs (+/- 10%)
KAS potential setup $$KAS appears to be recovering nicely, suggesting that the selling pressure has subsided, and buyers are stepping back in. Buying on SPOT here could potentially benefit good gains over the medium term.
Profit Targets:
First Target: 0.125 (immediate resistance).
Second Target: 0.15 (psychological resistance and potential area for profit-taking).
Third Target: 0.20 (long-term resistance if the bullish trend continues).
Stop-Loss Area: Place a stop-loss just below the key support level at 0.077 to limit downside risk. This ensures that if the recovery fails, losses are minimized.
Cheers!
KASUSD Channel Down bottom rebound. When to sell again?Kaspa (KASUSD) is trading within a (blue) Channel Down pattern since the July 31 2024 High. The formation only broke for 4 days last December. Last Monday, the price touched the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down and today we see the technical rebound reaction in full effect.
The 1D RSI turning oversold (<30.00) is a major part of this. The current Bullish Leg should target at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 0.12500, as all 3 previous rebounds within the long-term Channel Down did.
It is very likely to see a rejection there, as it is the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the diverging (dotted) Channel Down, which was initiated on the December 08 2024 High. We expect the bearish reversal to hit at least 0.07500, potentially at the same time the 1D RSI turns oversold again.
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KASPA accumulation from ETH strategy, continued..I was waiting to sell about 25 more ETH to accumulate ~1 million Kaspa if KAS/ETH hits ~0.000025 or lower; base on the orange measured move drawn and circled (at the bottom thick yellow support line).
However, it appears a bullish is starting to form on the FG{50/15} histogram, and the previous daily candle on the 7Feb2025 engulfs the previous red candle on the 6Feb2025.
If KAS/ETH is able to break above the golden pocket (dashed horizontal thick yellow line), and then subsequently breaks above the top of the narrowing wedge (defined by thin white lines), then it is likely for KAS to continue above the 50 Fib retrace level and to the top of the thick yellow long-term resistance level.
Note: Here the Fib levels were redrawn, as comparted to my earlier published analysis.
If KAS/ETH breaks below the golden pocket at the 65% retrace lvl, then opportunity to accumulate KAS from ETH at or below 0.000025 ETH per KAS will then become likely.
Long Trade: Kaspa vs Ethereum Daily ChartFG-Histogram turned green and into the positive zone, as well as Bullish Divergence established on the daily.
Previously, a bearish divergence with the FG-Histogram subsequently turning orange marked the start of the dump in September 2024.
Have been slowly DCAing more into KAS from ETH within the golden pocket again, while setting stop limit below the 65% retrace level.
Kaspa Yin Yang pattern for 2025 target $6.42Kaspa Yin Yang pattern for 2025 target $6.42
I am giving this post a new name for a chart pattern which I am calling the Yin Yang chart pattern. This pattern is based on the curves of the Yin Yang pattern and not really on the philosophical aspects or traits that it illustrates.
I know this may sound strange and I had to try to contain the excitement over this possibility. Maybe some of you professional technical traders can enlighten me as I need it so many times when looking at the charts.
What we are looking at is a Fibonacci Retracement from the high price of Kaspa on July 31st, 2024 to the high of June 3rd, 2022. On June 3rd the price of Kaspa was at $0.00062 while the price on July 31st, 2024 was at $0.20781. When we apply the fib retracement we get a fib zone of 1.618 at a price target of $6.42. The interesting thing that shocked me was I posted on X back in 2023 that Kaspa would hit a target price of $6.42 and I based this on several metrics on mining and hash power plus price for both BTC and Kaspa which gave me this crazy $6.42 target. Today is when I decided to plot the Fibonacci zones and to my excitement the 1.618 was right on the price that I came up with back in late 2023. I wanted to share this post so that we can see if this will even happen. This is all speculative but fibonacci numbers are pretty solid targets to consider when looking into future price action.
KASPA: Is the bottom in?! (repost)Are We at the Bottom for Kaspa? Let's Dive In! 🚀
I’ve realized I should start posting more here on TradingView, especially since many of you have started following me recently. Thank you for the support! 🙌
Now, let’s take a closer look at why I think (or thought) this could be the bottom for Kaspa.
Key Reasons:
1️⃣ Power Law Bands: We were trading near the lowest deviation bands, historically a strong signal for undervaluation.
2️⃣ 120-Day Kaspa Cycle: My custom sinewave projection indicated we were near the downward cycle completion, aligning with a potential reversal.
3️⃣ Euclidean Distance Metric: This metric was at a low and displayed a buy signal twice, another indication of being undervalued.
🛠️ New Indicators I’ve Developed
In the past few months, I’ve created two new indicators that helped me analyze this potential bottom:
4️⃣ Kaspa Social Metric Index
This indicator tracks social media trends around Kaspa. It reveals that when people are loud and highly active on social platforms due to price spikes, it's often a good time to sell. Conversely, when prices are low, engagement typically drops—a signal we might be near a bottom.
5️⃣ Aggregated Kaspa Futures Premium Index
This metric calculates the difference between Kaspa's perpetual futures price and the spot price across the top 5 exchanges by volume.
When futures prices trade at a premium (higher than spot), it suggests the majority of leveraged traders are long.
When the metric reaches extreme values, it often signals an upcoming market reversal.
Recently, this index was deeply negative, further supporting the idea of a potential bottom.
The Importance of Confluence 📊
When multiple indicators like these align, the probability of a successful trade increases. Seeing all these metrics pointing to undervaluation gave me the confidence to act decisively.
Here’s what I did:
✔️ I DCA’d heavily into this bottom.
✔️ I also opened a small leveraged long position to take advantage of the opportunity.
Greetings, Sander
Another chance to convert ETH into KASPA at a discount?Been monitoring this chart since 25th December 2025 waiting for a second chance to convert even more ETH into KASPA for cheap.
Measured move in confluence with the bottom yellow solid support line as shown.
Likely if KAS falls below the dashed yellow line vs ETH.
$Kaspa Inverse Head and shoulder pattern Bullish Kaspa is forming an inverse head and shoulder pattern! Experienced Traders should or can enter a long position at .15 Kaspa is signaling an easy .24 Cents by the end of the year! we'll see how this chart plays out but it is an extremely strong chart pattern. www.tradingview.com
KASPA has broken up above inv-H&S pattern at 18 cents.Breakout above 18 cents (blue line) from the inverse head-and-shoulder, with a measured move target at 32 cents. Presently establishing support.
Need to successfully hold above the blue 18 cents line and close on the daily above to confirm.
Setting stoploss sufficiently below blue line, accounting for volatility (not exposing where I place my stops).
This chart follows on from my previous analysis:
The crypto market historically tends to move in cycles/phases, with BTC first pumping followed by higher market cap OG tokens, before the capital flows to the midcaps (i.e. KAS) and eventually the microcaps and meme coins (which then marks the time to sell). Just need to be patient and remind yourself of the fundamentals of Kaspa, being the only properly (POW) decentralized crypto that is truly scalable.
KASUSD mid-term forecastThis chart illustrates the weekly price action of the KAS/USDT pair, showcasing a defined trend with both a green support curve and a red resistance curve, forming a parabolic pattern. Here's a detailed breakdown of the analysis and prediction:
Observations :
Parabolic Structure:
The green line represents the parabolic support, where the price has consistently rebounded during corrections, signaling a strong bullish trend.
The red line, on the other hand, serves as resistance, capping the upward momentum.
Current Price Context:
The price is trading at $0.18783 (as per the last candle), just above the parabolic support.
A potential breakout above the $0.30821 resistance level is highlighted as a target, suggesting a 64.56% move in approximately 49 days (January 19, 2025).
Historical Behavior:
The price has respected the parabolic levels in the past, indicating that these curves are reliable for assessing future movements.
Momentum and Volume:
Momentum appears to be building, as seen by the tight price action close to the parabolic support.
Prediction and Trade Plan:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds the green support line and the weekly candle closes positively, a rally toward the $0.30821 target is likely.
The predicted move represents a 64.56% upside from the current level. Traders can consider this as the Take Profit (TP) zone.
Stop Loss (SL):
Place a stop loss just below the green support line, around $0.170, to limit downside risk in case the parabolic support fails.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Entry : ~$0.18783.
Stop Loss : $0.170 (-9.5% risk).
Target : $0.30821 (+64.56% reward).
Risk-to-reward ratio : ~6.8:1, which is favorable.
Potential Risks:
A break below the parabolic support would invalidate the bullish thesis and could signal a trend reversal.
Macro factors like market sentiment or news specific to KAS (Kaspa) could impact the trend.
Key Recommendations:
Monitor weekly closes to confirm the integrity of the parabolic trend.
Be vigilant about sudden spikes in volume, which could indicate either a breakout or breakdown.
This plan caters to traders looking for a mid-term swing trade with a defined target and controlled risk.
Kaspa potential breakout to above orange line; 4 hrly chart.2nd bullish divergence marker on the 4 hourly timeframe had appeared. Is Kaspa on the verge of breaking out above the short term green trendline?
If Kaspa successfully breaks out and then manages to retest ATH at ca. 20 cents, finding support above the orange long-term trendline, then it would have a chance to make its way towards above $1.
See the previously published full long-term trend lines here below.