NI1! trade ideas
MCX Nickel Detailed Trend Forecast & TipsHere, I have used Elliott wave theory, Fibonacci Retracement, and MA ( 30 & 62 ) to identify the next move. At present, MCX nickel in a corrective wave. We may see a reversion bounce off here. It can be up to 38.20% to 23.60% of the retracement level. Wherein, 38.20% retracement level will act as a resistance and 50.00% vice versa.
In other words, nickel will start raising for 1076 - 1090 - 1100 level. Dynamic resistance breakout will lead the prices for a 23.60% retracement level. Intraday or positional trader can hold 1080 level.
If nickel breakout the strong support and 50.00% retracement level, don't buy. That can slip immediately for a 61.80% retracement level.
Also, don't forget to wait for a crossover of MA 30 & 62.
Nickel Futures Analysis using Head and Shoulders patternAnalysis is based on head and shoulders pattern
Short on Nickel Futures (chart is at the peak of second shoulder)
This is a long term position (approx 6-8 months). Intermediate shorts can be taken with the help of support and resistance levels.
Target 1: 1057
Target 2: 972
Target 3: 910
Initial Stop Loss: 1160
Nickel ‘battery’ demand on the rise. Nickel Bulls are really putting the work in recovering an impressive 22.5% from the pandemic March lows. Nickel has remained inside a multi-year rising channel (A) and is now facing a strong resistance hurdle before further upside is likely to resume (for the medium-long term).
Nickel mining companies are being urged to mine more nickel, as the Nickel ‘battery’ demand is forecast to increase by 14x over the coming years, with the rise of the electric vehicles playing a big part.
Here’s what Mr Musk himself had to say:
Musk promises 'Giant Contract' for efficiently mined nickel. Elon Musk has a plea for mining companies: "Please mine more nickel." "Tesla will give you a giant contract for a long period of time if you mine nickel efficiently and in an environmentally sensitive way,"
Any weakness around these current levels (1) will most probably result in a decline for the short-medium term and possibly a re-test of channel support. Above the resistance zone (1) could see prices revisit the September 2019 highs over the long term.