0A1K trade ideas
Nio big buy opportunityNio broke the big downtrend and pullback. now i think trend turn the bullish. first target 13 $. Nio open new "neo house" in diffirent european countries. nio Nio Inc. delivered 31,041 vehicles in the first quarter, with 10,378 of those deliveries in March, it announced over the weekend.The quarterly delivery figure was up 21% from a year before it should be support to up trend.
NIO AnalysisPrice consolidated since my last analysis. Price previously left an equal lows at 8.03 behind and is now trapped between that and the clean highs at 9.70. Right now, it's unclear where price will move, but I'm expecting the equal lows to be taken with the intention of mitigating the bullish POI below.
$NIO - BEARISH Head & Shoulder $4.97 target w/ GAP at $4.88Nio has formed a major bearish head and shoulder pattern. The neckline has also been compromised signaling further downside. Price Target is the length of the head to the neckline, thus equating to a price objective to about $5 for the first target. There is a Also a gap at the 4.88 level too.
Possible H&SI took profits and I am waiting for next move.
Whats painting is H&S, so perhaps we'll go up in the morning and fall mid day to previous low at around 8.40, from there if the market bounce (high probability) we may go up again to 9.20 ish level.
I am not going to play big on this one.
Wait for NIO to double bottom to take this trade.
Good luck
NIO: CHART UPDATE / RSI CYCLES / MACDIVERGENCE / FULL BREAKDOWNDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a Semi-Macro analysis of NIO. As previous chart setup became invalidated with the decline of Price Action a strong support was confirmed at 8.50 Points, the same Support that gave way to further uptrend when touched on Oct 25th 2022. Despite invalidation of past Chart Setup CYCLE ESTIMATION was fairly accurate.
POINTS:
1. Deviation of 2.50 Points between Supply & Demand Channels remains the same.
2. Current Trend: Sideways Consolidation
3. Price Prediction: 13 Points by March 31st & will serve as another attempt to breaking upper level of 14.50 Points.
4. TIMEFRAME for 5th CYCLE PREDICTION was drawn out by utilizing the mean average of the past 4, RSI agrees with these cycles of Buying & Selling Pressure.
IMPORTANT: RSI needs pullback & is EXTREMELY IMPORTANT Price Action holds above 9.50 Points or at the very least lingers above 9 Points in SUPPLY POCKET.
RSI: RSI has completed another cycle by reaching OVERSOLD TERRITORY in the 30 RANGE & is Breaking Trend.
MACD: Faster moving average on MACD has confirmed current uptrend on Price Action. Next step would be to see MACD flip & surpass Median level to the upside. (Most crucial indicator in this scenario)
SCENARIO #1: In a Bullish scenario Price Action holds above 9 Points or 9.50 preferably for some consolidation & follows cycle with an eventual break of 12 Points making way for a test at 14.50 Points.
SCENARIO #2: In a Bearish scenario Price Action deviates from cycle and decides to Break Down 8.50 Points which would be followed by a further continuation of next SUPPORT at 7 Points.
FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com
NYSE:NIO
Watchlist 2023-03-02 $NTLA $FHN $WOLF $STM $AFRM $NIO $ONCSSPY - failing to make a higher high on the lower time frames now, couldn't close above the key 296.30 on the 1h or 5m. Gapping above 293.50 double bottom support, VIX rising, recently lost the 200 EMA, 10 year making new highs. Downside momentum is still in favour, next stop over the next week is 387.
NTLA- FDA nod to start trial of CRISPR gene editing therapy. Gap 2 because it's above a range but still below the key 45.80 pivot, also with the downs trending MA's. Up 1.5 ATRs in the PM. really need to see some Vol pick up for a trade over 45.80.
FHN - Continuation from PD - doesn't expect it will receive regulatory OK in time to complete its $13.4 billion acquisition by May 27, which priced the shares at a cash buyout of $25 1 year ago from TD bank. key Resistance. 20.50, 21.30
Short Watches:
WOLF - Tesla suggests next-gen car will cut silicon-carbide use, Wolf, specializes in this type of chip. Down 2.3 ATRs, PD fakeout green bar which is a key feature. Also below the declining Mas. Needs to get below and stay below 66.50 area and has room to 61.
STM- lower on Tesla's Silicon Carbide Reduction Plan.
AFRM - if market weakness continues, this is a name to be short with a confirmed flat bottom break below 12. Don't want to be first to this trade. Wait for the break to happen and find a way in.
NIO - lower after reporting losses that were much wider than expected. Normally I would not trade a name that has sequential movement to a key level but NIO reported some very bad results and is approaching the 8.40 pivot on elevated RVOL, even for NIO. Watching this level. Don’t want to be the first to short the breakdown, would prefer more market structure to form. Eg lower highs, fakeout, then a weak bounce.
Other Watches: ONCS
I focus on names trading elevate RVOL>2, trading past key ranges and pivots, preferably with news catalysts.
Yellow = Support
Purple = Resistance
Red = short opportunity
Green= long opportunity
NIO - Will Rise From Ashes 🦅Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 NIO has been overall bearish trading inside the falling wedge pattern, and it is currently diving inside a weekly demand zone 6.5 - 10.0
The bears are still in control managing to make new lower lows. But, we can clearly see that the impulse movements are getting flat and small.
This signals an early alert that the bears are exhausted. However , it doesn't mean that bulls are in control yet.
🏹 For the bulls to take over, hence have a long-term shift in momentum, we need a break above the last major high in gray.
📊 Meanwhile, until the bulls take over, NIO can still dive till the lower bound of the demand zone around 6.5
📕 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich