CMG watch $48,84 above 47.95 below: Key Range to determine trendCMG trying to recover with the general market.
Testing a Semi-Major Covid fib above at $48.94
If dip bulls MUST hold Golden Genesis at $47.95
0HXW trade ideas
$CMG is headed to $40 - $35 because of trade tariff with Mexico Chipotle’s all about those fresh ingredients—avocados, tomatoes, you name it—and a ton of that stuff comes straight from Mexico. Now, throw in some hefty tariffs, like the 25% ones Trump was pushing earlier in 2025, and suddenly those ingredients aren’t so cheap anymore. If those tariffs stick, Chipotle’s got a tough choice: swallow the higher costs and watch their profits shrink, or hike up burrito prices and risk losing customers. Either way, it’s a gut punch to their bottom line.
And the stock? It’s already feeling the heat. CMG’s sitting at $50.49 right now, down a brutal 12.65% in just the past month. Traders on X are screaming it could slide to $43 - $38, and that’s before the tariffs even fully hit. With a bearish flag waving on the chart, the vibe’s getting grim. If tariffs crank up costs and scare off diners, that $40 - $35 range starts looking less like a stretch and more like a real possibility.
Sure, it’s not a lock—tariffs could still fizzle out with negotiations, and Chipotle might dodge some of the damage by switching suppliers. But right now, the threat’s real, and the market’s jittery. That’s why TradingView’s lit up with this call: tariffs could be the shove that sends CMG tumbling. Keep your eyes peeled—this one’s got some serious sizzle!
CMG: $64 Gap Fill Coming?CMG's been stuck in a tight range ($56-$59). Big gap up to $64. Breakout time?
### Analysis:
* **Daily Chart:** Consolidation for 3 weeks. Spring loaded!
* **Volume Profile:** Point of Control (POC) around $58. Price likes to revisit these.
* **Main Event:** Gap up to $64. That's the prize.
* **Backup Plan:** Small gaps below at $56 and $54.50 *if* it breaks down.
### Trade Idea:
**Bullish (What I'm watching):**
* **Buy:** Break *above* $59 with strong volume.
* **Target:** $64 gap fill.
* **Stop:** Below $56 (or tighter, your call).
**Bearish (If it fails):**
* **Short:** Break *below* $56.
* **Targets:** $56, then $54.50.
* **Stop:** Above $59.
### Quick Take:
I'm eyeing the upside. Big gap = potential big move. But always have a plan B!
1/7/25 - $cmg - Top of mind, but too expensive >$501/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:CMG
Top of mind, but too expensive >$50
- quick one here
- amazing product
- comps/ industry of QSR/FSR (i'm looking at you NASDAQ:WING , NYSE:SG , NYSE:CAVA ) are horribly overpriced. you think they're making quantum computers and beaming space lasers into ai-powered robots to eliminate labor costs
- but pt is, NYSE:CMG is best of class, even if they've lost their CEO to NASDAQ:SBUX
- 2% fcf is probably "fairly valued" unless you've got some mega portfolio and need liquidity etc. etc. to buy names
- over 40x PE and you can't stomach owning (i get it i get it different industry) NYSE:TSM for sub 20x PE and growing nearly 2x as fast with 2.5x the ebitda mgns.
- pt is... i'd like to own it, the other stuff is just a pass, or i always short on pops (thanks NYSE:SG as of today lol!, will always look to reload on NYSE:CAVA and NYSE:SG on pops)
... so note to self, that restaurants r probably just too expensive to 1H25 to even care on watchlist. trigger wb $50.
V
Chipotle: Has the Selling Begun?Chipotle Mexican Grill has been rallying for years, but some traders may think the uptrend is ending.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the series of higher highs and higher lows since August. Coming after a big slide in July, that channel could be viewed as a bearish flag.
Second, this week’s drop after quarterly results may result in a breakdown from that consolidation.
Next, prices have crossed under the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages.
Fourth, the recent high was near a price range that offered resistance in March and support in June. Is it resistance again?
These patterns, coming after the June 26 stock split, may indicate CMG is running out of catalysts.
Finally, there could be signs of a bearish channel starting on the weekly chart:
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more.
Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors.
Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges.
TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
CMGThe CMG stock sell from 56$ Stop loss closing above 69$ is rising within an upward channel. It broke through the upper boundary and triggered a trap, then fell back inside the upward channel. It then bounced off the channel's midline, which has supported the stock several times. Afterward, it returned to test the upper peak of the upward channel and indeed dropped sharply from it. We anticipate a decline to the lower boundary of the channel, and from there, we will monitor the prices. If the stock manages to hold the decline and we see some price action, it could signal an entry point. Otherwise, it might break the channel.
CMG - Tempting to go long but .... CMG looks tight here, sharp move upside to 60s can be soon. But hesitant to go heavy on this name. I see a possibility this is a B wave and followed by a C wave.
anyways, I've a small position for a swing trade from low 50s
Target 1 - 61
Target 2 - 64
Stop loss - 52, move up with the stock
Chipotle (CMG): Awaiting strong correction in bearish waveAfter the recent 50-1 stock split, we revisited Chipotle's chart, refining our analysis for a clearer picture. With the adjusted setup, we’re more confident in our outlook for a potential bearish correction. Our initial turn-around zone was spot-on when factoring in the split, and we remain committed to our analysis.
Today, NYSE:CMG reached the targeted Wave B area at the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci level. Immediate reactions are often rare, but we believe a reversal could materialize soon. We’re eyeing the range between $43-$26, near the trendline, as a potential target zone for the next phase in this corrective wave pattern.
In the second quarter, Chipotle posted an 18.2% year-over-year revenue growth, boosted by an 11.1% rise in comparable restaurant sales and over 8% transaction growth. The earnings report tomorrow will likely attract more investor attention, but our approach focuses on technical entries at key levels rather than earnings reactions.
We have alerts set and are prepared to buy when the scenario aligns. Until then, patience and disciplined timing will guide our approach.
CMG looks bullish now It's above all moving averages and FibFun
This is what I found in most bullish and bearish retracements , once you get 100% retracement of up or down move then next level is normally 1.618. If it retrace up to 50% after 100% then it's even more bullish, if it goes under 50% after 100% then it's super bearish. Have fun finding 50-100% fib retracements.
CMG could be in accumulation phaseChipotle Mexican Grill, Inc recently announced that his CEO will join Starbucks, is this shift concerns investors? We can analyze what happened with the stock by looking at the price/volume.
What we see is a clear markdown, followed by PS (Preliminary Support), SC (Selling Climax), AR (Automatic Rally) and finally the ST (Secondary Test), it's interesting that this Secondary Test happened after the news of actual CEO will join Starbucks.
Ok, so, after that news the stock the stock plummeted? Not exactly, aggressive buyers plus a lot of sell order limits appeared on the scene, now the question is if we've seeing an accumulation phase or a re-distribution. Personally I think this is accumulation but time will tell, if bullish are in control, first target should be around 55$ level.
Disclaimer: Content of this post is for information and education purposes only and should not be treated as investment or trading advice.
Chipotle (CMG): Correction Creates 20-30% Upside PotentialChipotle (CMG) stock has recently dropped from its peak of $56.92, breaking below its previous quarterly low and showing a decline in short-term momentum. This decline suggests that the stock has lost some of the gains it accumulated since 2023. Historically, CMG has faced significant declines, ranging from 40% to 75% from its peaks.
However, despite these recent setbacks, CMG has maintained a strong long-term upward trend. The strong performance in 2023 and 2024 indicates that the current correction may not lead to a complete reversal of its trend.
The stock has initial support around $47-$48, with additional support levels at $43-$45. Given the recent pullback, there may be a buying opportunity with potential upside of 20-30% over the next six months. A target price range for the stock could be between $62 and $69.
$CMG top in?As you can see on the weekly chart, we had a deviation above resistance and now look to be closing below it. Typically, that's an extremely bearish pattern.
Since the covid low, we've largely seen Chipotle go straight up and now I think we're about to see it go straight down.
Ichi also showing exhaustion signs.
I'd expect to see a bottom sometime between now and mid-next year down below the $24 range.
My base case is that we bottom before the end of the year, but the move can extend into next year.
Let's see what happens.
