HMY - Uprising !!!
After peaking at over $18.00 and and around $15.00 over the last decade, HMY has seen worst days than what probably lies ahead.
This seems like a promising opportunity with HMY successfully raising $200M to part fund the acquisition of AngleGold Ashanti’s South African assets. A few days later it featured in Zacks Analyst Blog Highlight among the top five Gold stocks to deliver strong results in 2020 on 30.06.2020.
I see a potential inverted triangle forming with higher lows forming across mid-March to May with almost 50% retracement before breaking through the previous high.
Technicals point to a good longer term buying opportunity after the gap sees some retracement. You can potentially wait for an entry as it nears 50 EMA during pullback.
What are your thoughts?
0J39 trade ideas
Harmony Lagging The gold price in Rands Looking at relative performance DRD (surface gold operation) and the Gold price in Rand , Harmony might have been lagging because of the transaction in buying Mponeng from Anglo Gold Ashanti and/or Covid risk . However i think this might present a opportunity depending on whether you want to bet on Gold
jse:har Harmony Gold UpsideHarmony Gold has come down 27% since last week's price of R72.
Case for short term upside in Harmony Gold:
Harmony closely correlates to the Rand Gold price.
1. DXY Dollar Index is extremely oversold on the RSI, way off its 50-day moving average together with a big perfected TD 8 0f 9 candle which indicates a potential turnaround candle tomorrow. This inherently means a potential weakening of the Rand.
2. The Rand itself is currently at its .618 Fib "Retracement level and also in extreme RSI overbaught levels.
3. Harmony Gold has turned around at R51.50 which can be argued is because of great support as the Volume Profile indicates extreme volume levels between R49 and R50.
JSE:HAR Lagging in a Strong SectorHarmony Gold has been the weakest of the gold stocks (see post below). Even after good rallies in the other gold stocks, Harmony has still not broken out of the trading range. Even thou it does not seem to be the first choice there is high volume indicating buying and price is getting ready to break out of the range.
JSE:HAR Harmony the weakest of the gold stocksAll the gold stocks are actively being marked up (See posts below) but Harmony is only now starting. It was able to break the above the yearly pivot point and 200 day SMA today only. Anglo Gold ( ANG ) for example has already broken above the accumulation trading range but Harmony is only now completing the Spring and test of the spring.