Meyer Burger Technology AG | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Meyer Burger Technology AG
- Double Formation
* (Neckline) | Completed Survey Condition
* 012345 | Wave Count | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* 3.8000 CHF | Area Of Value | Subdivision 2
* Retracement Numbered | Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Hypothesis
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Neutral
0QQ7 trade ideas
Some good news keeping Meyer Burger afloatWe had some good news from the US both for the production sites but also a new big contract!
We "can´t" go lower than that and that´s why I believe we will go up from here but there are two level that are crucial and price needs to go past them.
I can´t really make a new bullish count yet - wait for next update!
These low levels have been appealing to me and I bought more shares of Meyer Burger. I believe in this company and many problems come because of the bad market condition in Europe due to political decisions.
Do or die for Meyer Burger!Meyer Burger has faced an enormous uphill battle ever since the shift from being a company known for manufacturing machines for solar panel production (and more...) to combining everything under one roof and sell mainly solar panels.
The market reacted very positive to begin with but huge inflow from subsidized and therefore cheaper chinese solar panels made it almost impossible to remain profitable.
Meyer Burger seeks green grass on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean where the US is heavily investing in green energies and lucrative contracts have been signed. However, Meyer Burger will need some time to finish all production sites in the US and has recently asked their shareholders for money.
From a chart technical point of view Meyer Burger has only two outcomes. 1) To die rather soon as the market value has fallen to almost nothingness or 2) to raise from the ashes!
I have to admit that I am biased as a shareholder but I do see potential that we have seen the end of a very outstretched wave 2 including a irregular wave b and that the share price will move higher again BUT we need positive news to make that happen and this will take patience.
Meyer Burger Update to previous chart.ADDITION TO MAIN PUBLICATION, LINKED ON THE BOTTOM.
As said before, the trend remains bullish. We found a good support on the Weekly combined with the middle of the Uptrend Channel since march 2020.
Trend remains bullish as of now.
Retest of the Monthly at 0.458 would now make sense.
Meyer Burger Rejection, 1 CHF or a 40% retrace?!MBTN recently rejected a few levels. Yearly horizontal, 0.236 Fib and the "local" monthly combined were acting as a huge resistance. Combined with the massive run since March 2020 Crash, a retrace made sense and is healthy.
A retrace to 0.25 Chf would make sense, that's where I initially entered the trade and also bought Call Options.
Although it would make sense technically, a 40% retrace seems unlikely to me in the current environment with green energy, MBTN's new business plan and ambitions.
If I was looking for an entry into MBTN, I'd observe the latest resistance I lined out above.
Once claimed, it can see a healthy run up to 0.66 (Key-Resistance/Support) and up to 1 Chf which is the Golden Pocket pulled from the last high.
The trend remains bullish, no need to think otherwise until proven wrong.
Will MBTN close this week with an ok, good or GREAT performance?This week, Meyer Burger exceeded all bullish expectations and crushed resistance after resistance. Starting monday morning at shy 0.2470, Meyer Burger did not just cut itself through the 0.27 resistance as it would be butter, it also even overshot the blue channel forming since the corona crisis. Meyer Burger's price did not stall until over 0.33 which was a weekly gain of about +35% (!).
Understandably, at some point there were not enough buyers anymore for this moment. Hence, the price is today retracing a bit from the high of 0.3340 (!) to currently 0.2844, a seemingly horrible day with a loss of -8.99%, but one has to remember it is still a great performance of +15% for this week.
Possible closes:
price > ~0.29 / the blue channel -> GREAT
0.29 > price > 0.27 -> GOOD
0.27 > price > 0.25 -> OK
Summarized, as long as the price stays over 0.27, it's a very bullish sign technically speaking. (So watch that level in the next time)
Bottomed out, trend reversal?Did we just see a trend reversal of the Swiss Company Meyer Burger.
The Company just announced, that they will produce solar panels in Germany.
A brave decision.
Having a look in the history, we saw an overall trend in Europe. Solar production companies started in the 2010s, but failed to succeed due to the strong Asian competitors and cheap production conditions.
The current situation and thoughts to bring back local production could lead to an success.
The history of the stock shows a fall from 358 Doller to 20 Cent.
The change of energy sources away from coal could lead this current penny stock back to a proper stock.
The future will show the potential!
Meyer Burger - following business pivot and stock splitMeyer Burgers pivots from solar cell eqiupment supplier to maker of solar cell modules. Next gen photovoltaic breakthrough kept close to the chest.
Tech lead
Merger Burgers has a portfolio of leading tech setting the standard for equipment used by many of the world’s PV manufacturers. Meyer Burger is also credited with introducing efficiency-boosting PERC architecture into the solar market.
Arbitrages of perception, liquidity and possibly price
Perception and pivot: Stock split and full go ahead from shareholders, 81,4% approving capital increase and tranfsormation to a manufacturer of solar cells to solar modules.
Liquidity: In an obviously good trend where states are willing to finance next gen solar. A clear strategic commitment of German and European politics. Tax breaks will probably continue to be generous. The trend is becoming stronger all over the world. Solar together with new tech for storing electricity as well as hydrogen and hydrogen transformation will be part of the solution. There won't be one technological winner. We need many. Batteries are quite problematic for many reasons, minerals being one.
Price: stock split might provide a momentum - recent data seem to suggest this in my opinion - peoples perception of price history is not completely rational. There is a strong tendency to misread the graphs here for non instituional investors/retail investors.
Sources
Shareholder decision
www.meyerburger.com
Comeback for german solar cell production
www.meyerburger.com
Mission/pivot
www.meyerburger.com
PERC
www.meyerburger.com
MEYER BURGER N: The Perfect Buy OpportunityI would like to say - it is the perfect market for buying.
The market has been falling for 1 year. It reached the bottom. We got a confirmed trend reversal signal. The market started a new uptrend.
Now the price is at the uptrend line and it gives us a very interesting buy opportunity.
Stop orders must be placed below the uptrend line. Profit targets should be at the resistance levels.
It is a good market for the medium and long term trading. Just don't forget about proper money management.
Meyer Burger - Buy the rumour, sell the news?Meyer Burger Technology ( SIX:MBTN ) is a Swiss solar supplier mid-cap in the semiconductor sector.
Despite having a bad performance the last months, I got a tip to look at this stock more in detail. Of course, this is a speculative investment!
As I do not (yet?) have a profound understanding of fundamental analysis to analyse the key figures of Meyer Burger, thus I will first to provide you some news of this year from swiss sources and then also bit of technical analysis.
I got some inspiration for my TA from @DLavrov in his Live stream which you can watch here: youtu.be
Joint venture with REC Silicon for new solar technology?
A recent news from Finanz und Wirtschaft, one of the biggest financial newspapers in Switzerland, reported that Meyer Burger wants to union with a major customer REC Silicon ( OSL:REC ) which is a solar module manufacturer. Until now, Meyer Burger got an order from REC Silicon for their Heterojunction technology of around CHF 74M. This Technology combines the advantages of crystalline silicon solar cells with those of thin-film technologies. The solar cells thus achieve higher efficiencies and lower production costs. (3). In consideration of this big order, it makes sense, that Meyer Burger plans to step in the business with ready-made modules. The CEO of Meyer Burger speaks of REC Silicon as a "dream partner". With this strategy, Meyer Burger will be able to earn on the next level of the value chain. Furthermore there exists already a Joint Development Agreement with REC Silicon. (1)(2)
As of today, there is no confirmed information, over a possible merge of Meyer Burger and REC Silicon. Possible would also be a takeover from one or the other side or a Joint Venture around the HJT-technology. (2)
Involvement in Oxford PV
Meyer Burger already tried in spring to get more involved in the cell production when Meyer Burger communicated an involvement in Oxford PV, a start-up which develops HJT-cells further to Perovskite-Tandem cells on a Meyer-Burger-machine. Meyer Burger then acquired a share of 18,4% of Oxford PV using 62,29M new issues shares. Although, Oxford PV sold it's assigned shares only a week after receiving them at prices between CHF 0,60 and CHF 0,61 which was a discount of 11% to a small group of selected investors. On top of that a non-executive member of the boards of directors also bought shares to this discount prices and was able to make profit this way. and was Observers though speculate that Oxford PV just needed liquid funds. Also to mention, Meyer Burger's CEO Hans Brändle joined the board of directors of Oxford PV which corroborates further the intentions of Meyer Burger for a strategic partnership with Oxford PV. Still, Elysium Capital, a major shareholder of Meyer Burger commented critically on the missed opportunity to ask / inform it's shareholders about issuing and selling of this big amount of shares, and furthermore criticised that only a selected circle of investors was able to participate in buying these shares. (4)(5)(6)
Meyer Burger vs. Sentis Capital
Further to this situation, these sold shares from Oxford PV may decide, if the position major shareholder Sentis Capital can enforce its claims or not. The investment company of the Russian-born billionaire Petr Kondrashev requires a strategic realignment and a statutory strengthening of shareholder rights. As obviously the Meyer Burger's board of directors tries to resist against these demands, there may happen a struggle for power between them and Sentis Capital. Furthermore, Sentis Capital launched a website (7) to rally as many co-shareholders as possible. Some observers see the cross-shareholding with Oxford PV only to push down the voting power of Sentis Capital. According to Meyer Burger, Sentis Capital held, before creating the new shares for Oxford PV a share of 7% of votes. (4)(5)
As I am not well versed in financial numbers crunching, I am unfortunately not able to analyse the key figures of Meyer Burger, yet... :-)
Chart / Fundamentals
Some interesting connections I found between Fundamentals and Technicals:
End of April, Sentis Capital a major shareholder, communicated it's mistrust in Meyer Burger. In addition to the points already mentioned, there was also lack of rights of the shareholder in the general meeting criticised.
The current low of CHF 0.43 happened at 8th of July 2019, 3 Days after "Finanz und Wirtschaft" wrote about the partner ship between Meyer Burger and REC Silicon
Technicals / Trading Idea
Let's get down to brass tacks. As the price of Meyer Burger is clearly falling, it makes sense to have a look at the chart too, to find good buy opportunities.
Market broke uptrend in March 19 and is currently in a downtrend.
Around CHF 0.45 is a strong of support which held the market already once in November 16
Trading Idea
As the Price is at a strong support right now, you may now buy some volume. Anyway, it is safer to wait for some retrace like when the price breaks the blue resistance line. It is possible to add volume if the price can break MAs like 50, 100, 200 also which is a clear sign of strength. As I also provided a lot of fundamental news, it also makes sense to learn German ( :-) ) and search the Swiss news sites like www.fuw.ch or www.cash.ch to get the newest news about Meyer Burger and be one of the first to FOMO in, because "you're in for the technology", jokes aside, af course knowing also the fundamentals of this mid-cap gives further security to invest in this speculative asset.
the touch of my drawed line at CHF 0.30 is solely to demonstrate the trading idea, when looking at the chart you can actrually see there is alo of support around CHF 0.45 and it is probably already reversing
I am not a financial advisor you shall not take this idea as financial advice. This idea's purpose is solely to educate and ahare my ideas.
Sources:
(1): www.fuw.ch
(2): www.fuw.ch
(3): www.meyerburger.com
(4): www.fuw.ch
(5): www.cash.ch
(6): www.dgap.de
(7): www.changemeyerburger.ch
If you want to learn trading or are interested in Copy Trading or Trading Bots check this out:
tradunity.pxf.io