ADBE to Release Earnings on September 13Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE) is scheduled to release earnings on September 13, 2018, after the market closes, and will hold a conference call at 5:00 PM ET on the same day. The stock currently trades at 265.37, which is 5.4% higher than the close following its last reported earnings, trading with a range of 235.87 to 269.96 since that time.
Expected Price Volatility
Currently, option traders are expecting a ± 4.5% move for this earnings, and during the previous earnings release, the stock experienced a -2.4% move. Over the last 12 quarters, the absolute average move has been ± 3.3%, with a minimum move of 1.2% and a maximum move of 7.1%. ADBE has only experienced 3 larger-than-expected earnings moves in the last 12 quarters.
Earnings Price Pattern
The MarketChameleon earnings price pattern has detected two notable historical trends.
1 Week Before Earnings:For 11 of the last 12 quarters (92%), ADBE stock price has gone up in the week before earnings. It has had an average gain of +1.9% during that span.
2 Weeks After Earnings:For each of the last 5 quarters, the stock price has gone down in the 2 weeks following earnings. Over that period, it has an average loss of -2.4%.
Earnings Option Strategies
MarketChameleon's option strategy analysis shows that selling out-of-the-money puts the day before earnings had 83% winning occurrences, for an average gain of +67.7%. Additionally, selling at-the-money straddles resulted in 75% winning occurrences, for an average return of +24.8%.
EPS Estimate
Analysts are currently expecting ADBE to report an earnings of $1.69 per share, compared to $1.10 for the same quarter last year. Revenue is expected to come in at $2.2 billion versus $1.8 billion for the previous year.
0R2Y trade ideas
Selling Adobe sharesAt the hourly chart of ADBE, the price is in a corrective wave after a bearish impulse, as it had recently rebounded from the 61.8 Fibo level. Also, a sell signal was formed in a form of the latest fractal. Breakdown of its level would be an optimal level to open short with SL at the peaks of the correction.
stocksofadobethe adobe prices might go up as its releasing photoshop for ipad. although the shipment is about 31.7 mil , which is approx 29 percent of the worldwide use. it makes a huge difference and the prices might go up . the RSI and UO shows they r over bought , as it might come down few cents before climbing up.
$ADBE Adobe Continued Ascension$ADBE Adobe looking like a solid buy after tagging the lower trend line yesterday (while holding the 50d ema) of a tight bullish channel it's been riding since late 2017. RSI has not dropped below 40 this year and reversed off that level today. Adobe is a solid company with a great track record of earnings beats. Two possible trade targets below.
Short term target - $258.90 (previous ATH)
Medium term target - $270.00 (upper channel limit)
Note: Observation/opinion, not investment advice.
Short ADBE for an ending diagonal breakThis 30m chart of ADBE shows a nice 5 wave impulse higher with alternation between the corrective waves. It's possible that we're now seeing an ending diagonal in wave 5. Initiating a short position at 239 with an immediate profit target of 229, and an extension even lower. A move above the most recent high invalidates the setup. Trying to pick the top, so this is just a quick 2:1 reward to risk trade on a small position size.
Adobe Systems Inc SHORTShort from $245.09
Market Cap - $120.73B
Beta - 0.76
Forward P/E - 33.49
Trailing P/E - 65.39
P/B - 13.99
- Adobe have recently changed their dynamics of business to a subscription model. Meaning that ADBE will receive lower upfront fees. Alongside this transition, the switching costs have decreased which makes it easier for the clients to switch to competitors.
- The unlimited license Adobe sells (Creative Suite) is 2x the cost of a yearly cloud based license.
- With the new product, they need to keep subscribers for two years minimum to become more profitable than the original product.
- A large chunk of Adobe's business exposure is in Europe - creating large currency headwinds for the company.
- Despite recent earnings and revenues being solid in March, Adobe remains highly dependent on two products which provide over 50% of the revenue (Creative Cloud & Acrobat).
NeroTree Capital rates Adobe Systems Inc as a SELL with a price target of $195.
[ADBE] Leading Tech Stocks out of the Correction!Correction? Not for Adobe! Ahead of the curve on the same breakout setup as other names like MSFT and CSCO.
ADBE has the story, the ideas, products, etc. for the digital future.
+ Tech?
+ Software?
+ Cloud Integration?
++ Digital Media?
++ Barrier to Entry?
- Overdone Media Attention?
Adobe's been crafting their monopoly on digital media production tools by packaging, improving, and adding products to their most well known suite, Adobe Creative Cloud.
Instead of going on and on... just think, the word Photoshop is equivalent to saying Photo Editing as Kleenex is to saying Tissue and most people don't even know what Photoshop is!
They have a pseudo-monopoly on digital media production and online marketing tools for professionals and teenagers trying to be funny on Twitter.