Zscaler: BalancedZS has seen buyers and sellers largely balancing each other recently, preventing any significant moves in either direction. As a result, we continue to place the stock in a corrective rally as part of the magenta wave , with its high anticipated above the $259.61 resistance. However, if the price falls below the $153.70 support, the ongoing corrective structure will extend further, with the turquoise wave alt.X establishing a new low. This alternative scenario carries a 35% probability.
0XVU trade ideas
ZS - the trade from the upper part of the envelopeSHORT:
- the price hit resistance and broke through the upper part of the envelope. which indicates the weakening of the bulls
- the price moves inside the expanding channel
- on 4h TF it is clearly visible that the RSI and the stochastic are about to reverse
- on 4h TF divergence in osmosis is clearly visible
$ZS: Zscaler – Cloud Security Titan or Overhyped Hype Train?(1/9)
Good afternoon, folks! ☀️ NASDAQ:ZS : Zscaler – Cloud Security Titan or Overhyped Hype Train?
With NASDAQ:ZS soaring after smashing earnings, is this cybersecurity champ locking down profits or just riding a digital wave? Let’s crack the code! 🔍
(2/9) – PRICE PERFORMANCE 📊
• Current Price: Up post-earnings, exact $ TBD 💰
• Recent Results: Q1 2025 earnings beat estimates, per X buzz 📏
• Sector Trend: Cloud security demand surging 🌟
It’s a hot streak in a hotter market! ⚡
(3/9) – MARKET POSITION 📈
• Market Cap: Strong, based on 151.62M shares 🏆
• Operations: Leader in Zero Trust security ⏰
• Trend: posts hail robust growth, per Mar 6 chatter 🎯
Solid, shielding the digital frontier! 🌍
(4/9) – KEY DEVELOPMENTS 🔑
• Earnings Win: Q1 2025 topped forecasts, guidance raised 🔄
• Cloud Security: Demand spikes amid cyber threats 🌐
• Market Reaction: Stock jumped📋
Thriving, as hackers keep the world on edge! 💡
(5/9) – RISKS IN FOCUS ⚠️
• Valuation: High P/E could spook investors 🔍
• Competition: Crowded field with CrowdStrike, Palo Alto 📉
• Macro Shifts: Economic dips might slow spending ❄️
Watch out, risks lurk in the shadows! 🕵️
(6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS 💪
• Earnings Beat: Q1 2025 growth shines 🥇
• Market Lead: Zero Trust pioneer 📊
• Demand: Cloud security’s red-hot 🔧
Locked and loaded for the cyber age! 🔒
(7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES ⚖️
• Weaknesses: High valuation, competition pressures 📉
• Opportunities: Rising cyber threats fuel expansion 📈
Can it secure the bag or get hacked by rivals? 🤔
(8/9) – 📢Zscaler’s riding high post-earnings—your call? 🗳️
• Bullish: $250+ by summer, cyber’s king 🐂
• Neutral: Holding steady, risks loom ⚖️
• Bearish: $180 drop, hype fades 🐻
Vote below! 👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY 🎯
Zscaler’s Q1 2025 earnings pop signals strength 📈, but high stakes mean volatility’s a shadow friend 🌫️. Dips? That’s our DCA jackpot 💰. Buy low, soar high! Treasure or trap?
Attempting a break above the resistance NASDAQ:ZS is looking at a potential break to the upside after the stock has crossed above all ichimoku indicators. Additionally, long-term MACD is showing a constant steady flow of upside momentum. Beside that, mid-term stochastic has rebounded above the 20-oversold line with %K and %D crosses, rising up in the process.
ZS - breakout of daily trendline and backtest heldZScaler has broken out of the daily trendline and back-tested the trendline yesterday and held it. Todays price action is also nice watching it holding it above the 205 level
As long as it holds 205 level on a daily closing basis, I believe we will see 215/220 prior to Earnings which are due in another 3 weeks.
SL - < 205 on DCB basis
T1 - 215
T2 - 220
Zscaler Poised for Massive BreakoutZscaler's appears to be situation for a breakout from a massive multi-year consolidation triangle. It's P/S ratio is 4x less than its peak while revenue has increase dramatically. Profitability is coming with net margins being within a few points of positive earnings (used to be -38%). ZS had never missed a single earnings projection and the future looks like continued growth as businesses continue to invest heavily in cybersecurity.
This is eyeing the $400 level with a P/S of 25. The previous peak will act like a magnet once the breakout is complete. But it likely won't stop there. Steady revenue growth and profitability should push this to $600+ over the next 3 years.
Zscaler (ZS): Liquidity Below $154—A Drop Imminent?Zscaler is becoming interesting again, not only due to its earnings call yesterday but also because it has formed a strong sell-side liquidity below $154.
After a period of sideways movement, we anticipate a sell-off to take out the liquidity below, most likely wicking into the $151-$122 area. If this plays out, it should conclude the wave C and wave (2).
We did not believe the earnings report will have a decisive impact, but it still could provide one last push into the $220-$237 range before the expected drop to wave (2).
At this point, we are not placing any limit orders but have set alerts to monitor the development of this scenario closely.
Zscaler Earnings BREAKOUT Inbound? 67% UpsideEarnings Monday: Zscaler - NASDAQ:ZS 💻
A huge name within the cybersecurity space, this growth beast is reporting earnings on Monday and has beaten earning projections over 24x in a row! They clearly know how to play the game that is Wall Street. Will the streak continue?
-Cup with handle forming as we speak. $265 is the BO area. 📏$445 - 67% Upside
-Bull Flag breakout with successful retest.📏$300
-H5 Indicator is Green
-Williams Consolidation Box is thriving
-Launching off AVP Shelf
The sector is red hot with MEH quarters from the Cybersecurity leaders in NASDAQ:CRWD NASDAQ:PANW so if Zscaler can come in and knock some socks off then they will fly to $300 faster than you can say "What is a Zscaler?"
NFA #CyberSecurity
$ZS - ascending triangle pattern breakout incoming.ZS - Stock forming ascending triangle pattern on daily time frame and approaching $200 resistance level which it failed thrice or higher. looking for calls above that level for a move towards $220 and higher. Stock is strong on indicators. on high watch
Zscaler: Wave (2) Correction! After a rapid rise in early September, the ZS stock managed to reach the highs from August, but there was no significant acceptance at this level. Structurally, the upward movement isn't sufficient for us to consider wave (2) as completed. So far, the bullish signals lack a clear impulsive character, and we expect new lows during the magenta wave (2), which should primarily end above the support at $84.93. Once a trend reversal has been initiated, the subsequent wave (3) should push through the resistance at $251.45. According to our 33% likely alternative scenario, this could also happen directly.
Long swingI'm deploying a multi-timeframe approach here, focusing on a swing trade setup that aligns with both trend and momentum indicators. Here's the core of the strategy:
Entry Criteria: I look to enter on a break above a recent higher high combined with a flat to rising 5-day moving average. Additionally, I’m observing the anchored VWAP from the most recent high (to the left on the chart); it should ideally be flat or rising to confirm sustained interest.
Volume and Price Requirements: Only trading stocks with at least 300,000 shares in daily volume and a price above $3, ensuring liquidity and relevance for momentum.
Trend Confirmation: On the daily timeframe, the stock must be making higher highs and fall within an early Stage 2 uptrend based on Stage Analysis, indicating the start of an uptrend.
Stop Loss: My stop is set just below a recent significant low (higher low) on the 30-minute chart to keep risk in check. If this low is penetrated before entry, I cancel the trade to avoid premature breakdowns.
Anticipating Growth Post-CorrectionKey arguments in support of the idea.
▪ We believe the stock is currently undervalued, given the strong fundamentals of the business.
▪ Zscaler stock presents an attractive entry point, with appealing valuation levels across key multiples.
Investment Thesis
Zscaler Inc. (ZS) is an American cloud cybersecurity company headquartered in San Jose, California. The Company provides cloud-based services designed to protect enterprise networks and databases and is ranked among the top 10 companies in its sector. Zscaler has been recognized as a Leader in the Gartner Magic Quadrant 2024 rankings for the Security Service Edge (SSE) category, marking its third consecutive year in this position. Before its inclusion in the Magic Quadrant for SSE, the Company was acknowledged as a leader for ten consecutive years in the Magic Quadrant for Secure Web Gateway (SWG). Zscaler offers an all-in-one Zero Trust Exchange platform, which delivers a comprehensive suite of cloud-based security services. This platform secures all enterprise traffic, provides intelligent routing through the fastest channels, and streamlines access management.
We believe the stock is currently undervalued, given the strong fundamentals of the business. The recent stock price correction, following weaker-than-expected management guidance for the quarter, was influenced by several key factors: 1) the introduction of lower-margin products in their early stages, including ZDX, Zero Trust solutions, and AI analytics; 2) the application of a projected non-GAAP tax rate of 23%.; 3) increased capital expenditures for data centers, driven by investments in cloud and AI infrastructure upgrades; and 4) staffing adjustments related to the new go-to-market strategy. Zscaler shares have corrected by over 19% due to the factors mentioned above. Nevertheless, business fundamentals remain stable, and the impact of the new tax rate and personnel changes is expected to be one-time. New product introductions and increased capital expenditures on data processing centers are fostering a favorable environment for the Company’s organic growth. Additionally, strong demand for cybersecurity services is a key growth driver. Organizations are investing heavily to protect against hacks, data breaches, and potential losses, reinforcing Zscaler's resilience and growth prospects. Cyberattacks globally have surged, with a 30% increase in weekly attacks on corporate networks in Q2 2024 compared to the same period in 2023, and a 25% rise from Q1 2024. On average, organizations face 1,636 attacks per week, highlighting the escalating threat landscape.
Zscaler stock presents an attractive entry point, with appealing valuation levels across key multiples. The Company’s stock is currently trading at a discount relative to key multiples when compared to the segment leader and its historical valuation levels. For instance, Zscaler's P/FCF ratio for the next 12 months is 45.1x, which is lower than that of its main competitor, CrowdStrike Holdings, at 58.7x. Additionally, this ratio is below the Company’s historical average of 64.9x. This suggests that the stock is an attractive entry point and highlights its potential for further growth.
The target price for the shares is $195, the rating is Buy. We recommend setting a stop loss at $150.
can ZS stay above $167 by Friday 09/13?FQ4 results were solid. Billings grew 27% YoY, above consensus, and FY25 outlook was largely in line. However, with guidance assuming steep 2H accel compounded by salesforce disruption and more competition, investors remain cautious. Stock likely settles around $170 range, or ~30X EV/FY26 FCF.
ZS - resistance at $163.75 needs to break to move towards $180ZS - stock has big earnings gap to fill. Stock is oversold on indicator level but bouncing twice off $155.80 level also previous support. Stock is rejecting $163.75 twice after earnings. looking for calls above that level for a move towards $180 50% FIB retracement level.
Zscaler's Stock Plummet 18.83% on Q2 Earnings ShockZscaler (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ZS ), a prominent cloud security platform, experienced a significant drop of 17.8% in pre-market trading after its latest earnings release. While the company beat analysts' expectations on billings, revenue, and operating income for the quarter, its guidance for billings in the upcoming year fell short of market expectations. This mixed outlook has investors questioning the company’s near-term growth potential.
Strengths and Concerns
Zscaler’s recent quarter was a mix of positives and negatives. On the bright side, Zscaler (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ZS ) reported $592.9 million in sales, beating the expected $567.9 million, and delivered adjusted earnings of $0.88 per share, significantly higher than the forecasted $0.69 per share. The company also made strides towards GAAP profitability by reducing its losses from $1.40 per share in fiscal 2023 to $0.39 per share this fiscal year.
However, concerns loom over the future. Management’s billings growth projection—13% in the first half of the fiscal year accelerating to 23% in the second half—didn't sit well with investors, reflecting uncertainty about the company's ability to sustain its momentum. Furthermore, Zscaler's guidance for non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.62 in fiscal Q1 2025 and $2.84 for fiscal 2025 was below the consensus forecast of $0.73 and $3.33, respectively. This signals potential headwinds that could slow down growth and delay GAAP profitability even further, now projected to be reached beyond 2027.
A Volatile Path
Technically, Zscaler’s stock has displayed high volatility, with notable swings in the last year, including eight moves exceeding 5%. The latest 17.8% drop is particularly significant, indicating a strong reaction from the market to the latest earnings report and future guidance.
The stock currently trades 37.8% below its 52-week high of $254.93, making it a potentially attractive buy for long-term investors looking for a discount on a high-growth cloud security leader. However, the sell-off has pushed Zscaler (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ZS ) below key support levels, signaling bearish sentiment. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) which is sitting at 28.56 has also dipped into oversold territory, suggesting that while the stock is under pressure, there could be a rebound opportunity once the market stabilizes.
Outlook and Market Sentiment
The broader market reaction to Zscaler’s report highlights concerns over the cybersecurity industry’s near-term prospects, particularly as it faces challenges like economic uncertainty and shifts in customer spending behavior. Similar pressures have been seen across the sector, with rivals like Palo Alto Networks also facing guidance cuts and growing pains due to strategic shifts.
Despite the negative sentiment, Zscaler’s consistent revenue growth and progress towards profitability underscore the company’s potential. Investors should closely monitor upcoming earnings to see if Zscaler can deliver on its promise of accelerating billings growth in the latter half of the year.
Is Zscaler a Buy?
The significant drop in Zscaler’s share price could present a buying opportunity for those willing to weather short-term volatility in exchange for long-term gains. With solid fundamentals, a clear path toward profitability, and continued innovation in the cybersecurity space, Zscaler (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ZS ) remains a compelling play, albeit one that requires patience and a tolerance for risk.
Investors should watch key support levels and consider Zscaler’s guidance trajectory in their decision-making. The market’s current apprehension presents a chance to buy into a high-quality name at a discounted price, though further volatility is expected as the company navigates through its challenges.
ZS Zscaler Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ZS:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ZS Zscaler prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 200usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $11.60.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.