AAL trade ideas
An RSI based on Constance Brown's workCreated for ZmDm, this is a an RSI that plots four zones throughout: the Bear and Bull buy zones, and the Bear and Bull sell zones. Brown suggests the important moves are the ones that happen closer to the midline (in any oscillator), hence the four zones.
You would use this alongside other indicators.
Update: Long AGL/Short KIO; +10% Follow-ThroughThe ratio price moved higher immediately from day of publication as opposed to the lower-then-higher price action expectation.
Nonetheless, a +10% gain on the pair since 21 July.
Original idea attached.
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Anglo American Plc - Cash Flow, Generated. In this week's main report, we split AGL into a 'day plan' (Monday 12/07) and a 'swing plan'. This post relates to the day plan, which was outlined as follows:
"It’s possible that the price retraces to the mid-point of the prior day candle, which is in line with the 8-day EMA. Look for support here (57800c/58100c) to buy up to the 59100/59300c area."
Today's low was seen at 57788c, while during the last hour of trade, the share is printing 59398c (exceeding intraday target).
As a 'day play', this would have been a decent cash flow generator around a core long or short position.
I also highlighted Northam Platinum, with both a swing and day plan, however the 'day' level did not trigger.
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AGL UpswingJSE:AGL seems to be making an upswing at the moment. It recently formed a higher low and now with the EMAs crossing which was preceded by signals from the Stochastic as well as the MACD - I think we could see the upward momentum continue possibly all the way up to the resistance at around the 63500 area.
BHP Group vs Anglo American PlcBHP vs AGL - two shares and comments I'm publishing from a discussion we were having yesterday.
The following comments are in the context of a long-term portfolio . There are 3 more comparative charts that go along with this discussion, but for the sake of simplicity (and clients), I'll keep it at the main chart.
On a relative basis, AGL is nearing long term technical resistance vs BHP, that being the downward trend line extending back to June 2003 and the swing high of January 2007.
Also, from the resource sector low of January-2016, AGL has outperformed BHP by around 340%.
Reviewing the individual performance, the following is noted:
BHP's peak prior to the Jan-2016 lows occurred in August 2014, which I am using as a reference point. From then to Jan-2016, BHP declined by ~63%, while AGL fell by ~82%.
While both declines were similar in % terms, AGL has recovered by ~1280%, while BHP has only recovered by ~268% from the January 2016 lows.
Based on the chart which highlights the pending resistance, the technical case would look to buy BHP and sell AGL as a catch-up investment/trade within a long-term portfolio.
*Know Your Time Horizon and Manage Your Own Risk*
AGL Ultra Short Term Buy Coming into the week of 11-15 Jan, the name (and peers) ranked as 'near overbought'.
As at yesterday's close, the lower time frame suggested 'near oversold'. In addition, the price trades on it's 50% FIB retracement, and is currently reclaiming yesterday's lows, following a print below it at the open this morning.
This looks like an ultra short term buy. price at 49160 as I type. SL: 48400c.