Waiting for the wedge to break on the M30Just before the resistance level, marked in purple, a wedge is forming. Will the price break through the resistance during the third attempt?
HWDN trade ideas
Howden’s on the front foot.Followed the rest of the ftse into a depressed state post the Covid meltdown. The winners are now perking up on this side of the pond. Howden’s can benefit from the UKs recommencement of the housing boom. Macro factors such as Brexit are still going to hold it back for the foreseeable future, so watching the channels is my strategy and will buy into further strength.
Howden Joinery - Throw the kitchen sink at it?Technical
Howden Joinery looks interesting on a technical basis. The shares shot higher to new highs following a bullish update to the market. We have since seen the share price unwind to some sensible levels as the overall market continues in this condolidaiton phase. The shares have reached a confluence of Fibonacci support levels, which I have highlighted on the chart. We have seen buying interest emerge and a gap higher in price to break out of a consolidation wedge. The overall trend remains bullish and a move to new highs is expected.
Fundamentals
The UK’s leading manufacturer and supplier of fitted kitchens, appliances and joinery products has been paying dividend yields of around 2.5%. Howden ended the reporting period with net cash of £217.1m, which makes its forward P/E multiples of around 14-15 look attractive.
Stop: 505p
Target: 600p
HWDN 11 RRR shortReposting this since TV removed this idea earlier for containing links to my telegram group.
Trading Methodology:
1. An asymmetric bullish/bearish pennant is drawn using ascending and descending curved trend lines with a minimum of three price action touche points per line. The direction is determined by the previous trend.
2. The angle tool is applied from the earliest two trend touch points, beginning at the earliest touch point.
3. A trend-based Fibonacci retracement triangle is drawn starting from the earliest trend touch point and ending at the earliest touch point of the opposite trend line .
4. Based on the degree, of the earlier defined angle, the appropriate (and secret) levels are selected for the fibonacci retracement ; two levels for stop-loss and two levels for take-profit. The closest stop-loss level to the current price level is the top priority stop-loss. Though the secondary stop-loss level is often chosen for some markets such as FX and some equities in order to account for seldom unexpected resistance breaks. The greater target level is the top priority, and where majority of the shares are sold, though some may choose to close part of the position at the first target level or set it to be the stop-loss once price exceeds it. Entries should be laddered in around the levels closest of the yellow line.
This trading strategy can be applied to any market and time frame, and positions most often garner the greatest risk-to-reward ratio with the highest success rate. What more can you ask for? I will only be posting my unique trading strategy until EOY. I work solely with price action to identify pennants and apply unique trend-based fibonacci retracement levels for SL and TP levels. Reach out to me if you have any questions.
Howden Joinery HWDN on watchlistUsing Weinstein stage analysis on the weekly chart we see that HWDN is potentially entering Stage 2 having broken out of a minor Stage 1 resistance and retested the 30MA. Watching for a break above the upper golden trendline drawn from the previous Stage 3 highs. The upper and lower golden trendlines indicate a bullish triangle pattern and is very close to an ascending triangle (horizonal top).
I will take a half position on a break above 530.
My preference would be for further consolidation within the triangle pattern with a contracted trading range leading to a more powerful breakout in the future.
